FOMC today and tomorrow, big earnings this week YIKES! I you ever heard me say “I don’t like earnings?” Well, I don’t. I have seen earnings kill trading accounts and set traders back months on their profit progress. And then on top of it all, we have the FOMC rate decision this week as well.
As you can see from the SPY chart below, price action is walking right into the right corner of the up and down trend lines. The bigger direction decision will likely show itself once the buyers or sellers push the price above the downtrend line or below the uptrend line. The last six candles have simply been consolidation above support and below resistance. For the bulls, the price has been trending above our Red/Green trend line, and the past seven candles have held above the $260.60 support line while at the same time the bears have held price in a tight range below the downtrend line. I suspect a big decision is coming soon. The CBOE Market Volatility Index (VIX) closed once again below the T-Line and the Red/Green trend line. However, with a double bottom and a possible breakout of $21.95 would create a bullish chart pattern. There is plenty of reason to be concerned or even be sitting out of this market right now. I do remain cautiously bullish.
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