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✅ Rick’s Trading Blog: October 15, 2026
Rule #13: What Goes Up Must Come Down
Why Is the Market Under Pressure?
Sellers have firmly taken control of the tape over the past 48 hours. Several macro and structural headwinds are converging at once:
- Surging Treasury Yields: Rising yields continue to compress equity multiples across broad sectors.
- AI Capex & Debt Strain: Heavy selling pressure has hit high-flying AI names amid growing skepticism over the massive debt financing required to build out AI infrastructure.
- Semiconductor Contagion: Weakness across semiconductors is spreading globally rather than staying isolated.
- Macro & Earnings Uncertainty: Mixed corporate earnings, lingering geopolitical instability, and renewed market chatter around monetary policy are keeping buyers sidelined.
Market Technical Breakdown
- SPY (S&P 500 ETF): SPY broke down with a gap lower, extending its slide to close right beneath the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). Price now sits below both the Trend Indicator and the 50 SMA. Whenever price loses both of these levels simultaneously, it signals a major red flag.
- RSP (S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF): RSP closed yesterday below both the Trend Indicator and the 8 EMA (T-Line). While pre-market action shows buyers trying to lift price back over the T-Line, RSP is fighting an uphill battle just to retest its overhead 50 SMA. Breadth remains fragile.
- QQQ (Invesco QQQ Trust): The Qs continue their downward slide after slicing through the 50 SMA. With pre-market trading opening below that key moving average, the technical setup points to further downside ahead. Rule of thumb: Do not pick bottoms, and do not try to catch falling knives.
- SMH (VanEck Semiconductor ETF): In pre-market action, SMH reached our “dotted deuce” (modified 200 SMA). A brief relief bounce is possible off this level, but in this tape, any bounce is more likely an opportunity for short sellers to reload.
- IYT (Dow Jones Transportation Average ETF): Transports remain pinned below the 200 SMA. Price has moved sideways over the past week attempting to carve out a base, but it has yet to confirm a durable bottom.
- MAGS (Magnificent Seven ETF): The mega-cap leaders took a heavy hit yesterday, retreating to test the Trend Indicator / 21 EMA. Because this group has shouldered the broader rally, a confirmed break toward the 50 SMA could trigger widespread market liquidation. Stay nimble—cash is a position if volatility exceeds your risk tolerance.
- FNGU (MicroSectors FANG+ 3X Leveraged ETN): The bullish structure is broken. FNGU closed below the 50 SMA yesterday and is printing lower lows pre-market. Expect continued chop or downside over the next several sessions.
- VIX (CBOE Volatility Index): The VIX spiked yesterday to close at 16.87, just shy of its 200 SMA. A sustained breakout above the 200 SMA would signal that latent anxiety is converting into active, widespread institutional panic.
Hit & Run Candlesticks Game Plan
Yesterday’s defense translated directly into offense:
- SPY Puts: Executed for solid gains as the breakdown accelerated.
- ASST Puts: Locked in profits on our first
tranche yesterday, with plans to trim more into today’s weakness.
- BROS Calls: Entered near yesterday’s close against a defined T-Line stop to capture a localized bounce setup.
The Bottom Line:
Preservation of capital comes before everything else. You do not need to trade every session. Ask yourself before entering any position: Is this market structure truly working in my favor?
Stick strictly to our high-probability flagship setups, take profits into strength, and let your stops protect your capital. Rule #1 never changes: Don’t lose money.
Connect with us in our Facebook group to review live trade ideas, chart setups, and community discussion throughout the session. essions as bank earnings roll through. Let the setups come to you—protect capital and stay patient.
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With a clear directional thesis, a logical price target, and a strict protective stop.
Trade well and have a great day,
Rick
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👉Current Portfolio Status: SKHY, WMT, NOK, GLW, MUU, FCX, PTIR, BROS, AMZN
Recently closed; taking the Road to Wealth Account to 500K from $4000
GLW 42% gain, EAT 34% profit, SN 14% profit, MU 11.5% profit, NFLX 14.5% profit, NFLX 11.5% profit, PLTR $734.00 profit, NVO, $1114.00 gain, QQQ $450.00 gain, KLAR 25% gain, HIMS 25% gaim, HOOD 45% gain, INTC 35.4% gain, 1/2 INTC 22% gain, Made 2 SPY day trades 5 goals put away, SPY 21% gain, ALKS for 2 goals, IREN 26%, FIG 80% gain, FIG 80% gain, PLTR 53% gain, PTIR, 61% gain, SMCI 50% gain, IREN 44% gain, 1/2 SMCI 15% Gain, FIG 29% Gain, GEO 62% gain, KO 13% gain, NVDA 44% gain, AAPL 22% gain, TSLL 40% gain, CRML 27% gain, INTC 32% gain, NOK 58%, 2/3 CRML 27% gain, WMT 35% GAIN, IREN 23% gain, OKLO 32% gain, PTON 4% gain, Z 22% gain AAPL 50% gain, SOFI 50% gain, OKLO 40% gain, BABA 44% gain, HIMS 46.5% gain, ORCL 20.5%, 1/2 SOFI 17.5%, U 22% gain, ORCL 34.5% gain, MRVL 30% Gain, ARM 42% gain, Closed 1/2 NFLX 40% gain, 1/2 NOK 19.5% gain, NOK 28% gain, ACHC 12% gain
✅Space Stocks: RKLB, ASTS, PL, FLY, LUNR, RDW, VOYG, SPCX
✅Quantum Stocks: IBM, QBTS, RGTI, IONQ
✅Rare Earth Stocks: MP, USAR, CRML, UUUU
✅Finteck: V, MA, PYPL, AXP, STRIP, SOFI, NU, PGY
✅Nuclear Stocks: CCJ, CEG, DUK, SMR, SO, UEC, OKLO, D, BWXT
✅Drone Stock: KTOS, AVAV, RCAT, NOC, JOBY, EH, ONDS
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