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Rick’s Trading Blog: August 14, 2026
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Daily Market Overview: New Highs, Mixed Futures & Discipline Rules
The SPY logged another all-time high yesterday, and futures are slightly green to flat this morning as bulls maintain clear control over the tape.
Economic data remains relatively quiet: yesterday’s jobless claims came in without surprises, and today’s retail sales print is expected to follow a similar muted script. Meanwhile, pre-market index futures are mixed and mostly flat heading into the opening bell.
Key Macro & Commodity Watch
- Precious Metals (GLD & SLV): Pulled back into the T-Line (8 EMA), setting up a potential 3-8 trap. While the US Dollar remains in a technical downtrend, its recent price action is fighting hard to push higher.
- Geopolitical & Crude Oil: Brent crude is trading around $87.13/bbl with little overnight escalation out of the Middle East.
- Inflation: Remains a persistent headwind that refuses to fade quietly, keeping markets watchful beneath the surface.
Technical Outlook: Bulls Remain in Control
Both the SPY (market-cap-weighted) and RSP (equal-weighted S&P 500) closed at new all-time highs yesterday, cleanly breaking out of last week’s choppy, sideways consolidation. It was an excellent day for active trend followers—congratulations to everyone who participated.
The broader market structure stays firmly bullish:
- Price > T-Line (8 EMA)
- T-Line > Trendicator (our green/red indicator dots)
A Note of Caution: Pullbacks and corrections are a normal, healthy part of any market cycle—but unexpected ones can damage accounts quickly if you’re caught flat-footed. Stay disciplined, watch candlestick signals closely, and respect what the charts are telling you rather than anticipating what you hope will happen.
Market Internals & Breadth
- VIX: Closed with a Doji yesterday. Keep an eye out for a potential short-term volatility pop if market participants seek quick downside protection into the weekend.
- T2108 (% of Stocks Above 40-Day SMA): Closed at 55%. Holding above the 50% threshold confirms broad-based participation supporting the index rally.
- Trend Alignment: Price remains stacked bullishly: Price > T-Line > Trendicator > 25 EMA.
Bottom Line & Game Plan
With a half-day on my schedule, I will not be opening new long positions today. I may look to trim strength and lock in existing profits into the weekend.
Over 36+ years of trading, consistent profitability always comes back to four core rules:
- Never eat like a bird and poop like an elephant: Keep risk small relative to your winners.
- Take profits into strength: Don’t let green trades turn red out of greed.
- Cut losses quickly: Hope is not a trading strategy.
- Price and trend are king: Follow the tape, not opinions.
Focus on steady base hits—that is what builds a profitable year, not swinging blindly for home runs.
Have a fantastic trading day and a great weekend!
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Current Portfolio Status: NFLX, FIG, ORCL, LUNR, SCHW, WMT, RKLB, SPCX
Recently closed; taking the Road to Wealth Account to 500K from $4000
PLTR $734.00 profit, NVO, $1114.00 gain, QQQ $450.00 gain, KLAR 25% gain, HIMS 25% gaim, HOOD 45% gain, INTC 35.4% gain, 1/2 INTC 22% gain, Made 2 SPY day trades 5 goals put away, SPY 21% gain, ALKS for 2 goals, IREN 26%, FIG 80% gain, FIG 80% gain, PLTR 53% gain, PTIR, 61% gain, SMCI 50% gain, IREN 44% gain, 1/2 SMCI 15% Gain, FIG 29% Gain, GEO 62% gain, KO 13% gain, NVDA 44% gain, AAPL 22% gain, TSLL 40% gain, CRML 27% gain, INTC 32% gain, NOK 58%, 2/3 CRML 27% gain, WMT 35% GAIN, IREN 23% gain, OKLO 32% gain, PTON 4% gain, Z 22% gain AAPL 50% gain, SOFI 50% gain, OKLO 40% gain, BABA 44% gain, HIMS 46.5% gain, ORCL 20.5%, 1/2 SOFI 17.5%, U 22% gain, ORCL 34.5% gain, MRVL 30% Gain, ARM 42% gain, Closed 1/2 NFLX 40% gain, 1/2 NOK 19.5% gain, NOK 28% gain, ACHC 12% gain
Stocks of Interest:
TEAM, PAYC, NOW, VEEV, GENI, U, FIG, UEC, COTY, CCC, SNPS, KTOS, DDOG, GOOG, ADBE, PGY, IBM, QBTS, GOOGL, GEN, EH, CCJ, PL, RCAT, TTAN, UUUU, GLW, BA, JOBY, RGTI, BWXT, Z, VOYG, LUNR, LHX, RDW, PYPL, ONDS, SMR, OKLO, CRML, IONQ, UFO, ULTA, CHTR, AVAV, SOFI, ARKX, USAR, NU, SO, LDOS, ASTS, RKLB, AXP, FLY, MP, D, NOC, RTX, CHWY, QCOM, DUK, SPCX, CEG, LMT, INTC, AMD, EPAM, MU
✅Space Stocks: RKLB, ASTS, SATS, PL, FLY, LUNR, RDW, VOYG, SPCX
✅Quantum Stocks: IBM, QBTS, RGTI, IONQ
✅Rare Earth Stocks: MP, USAR, CRML, UUUU
✅Finteck: V, MA, PYPL, AXP, STRIP, SOFI, NU, PGY
✅Nuclear Stocks: CCJ, CEG, DUK, SMR, SO, UEC, OKLO, D, BWXT
✅Drone Stock: KTOS, AVAV, RCAT, NOC, JOBY, EH, ONDS
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