Hit and Run Candlesticks Blog

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Trade Idea: NLY (1-4-26)

Setup: Coming out of a tight squeeze, price back over the trendicator.
Earnings: Clear until January
Targets: 50 SMA and 50% retracement line
Stop: Current stop near $18.50

GOOG: Looking at GOOG / GGLL for a buy when the time is right
NEE: is now headed to the target zones. Let me know in the Trading Room, X, or FB if you are playing NEE
NEE is only a couple percent from our main target; don’t forget to take a few profits.

Rick’s Trading Blog — November 4, 2026

Rule #25: Never Let Profits Slip Away

Once you are in profit—or as price pushes up into strength—take some off the table. We call that the front half. Securing gains early frees you up mentally to let the back half run higher. If price action starts breaking down later, take profit on the remainder to book gains on both pieces of the trade.

Morning Market Overview

Last night marked a pivotal moment with the midterm elections. That major catalyst is behind us now, removing a key layer of market uncertainty.

Energy: Brent Crude is trading at $102.10, and WTI Crude is at $95.00—solid numbers relative to recent highs.
Futures Sentiment: As of 6:50 AM ET, futures are trading higher across the board. Remember: do not chase. Let price action and clear chart patterns develop first. Trade the trend, and profit into strength.

Index & Indicator Breakdown

SPY (S&P 500 ETF): Premarket bulls are testing the 50-day SMA. Structurally, the T-Line remains below the Trendicator, which remains below the 50-day moving average.
RSP (S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF): An absolute monster. It appears poised for a fresh breakout into all-time highs, showing strong underlying market breadth.
IWM (Russell 2000 ETF): Gapping up premarket above its 50-day SMA. The key question today: can the small caps hold above the 50-day through the regular session?
T2108 (% of Stocks Above 40-Day SMA): Closed yesterday at 46.94%. That is a respectable baseline, and given this morning’s futures lift, we can expect this number to expand today.
T2123 (TC2000 Bullish Indicator): One of my go-to market internals. It continues to hold a bullish posture with the T-Line above the Trendicator. With this morning’s gap, look for T2123 to push further upward.
UVXY (1.5x Short-Term VIX Futures ETF): After reflecting elevated election hedging recently, it is gapping down premarket to sit just below its 50-day SMA, indicating risk appetite is returning.

Hit and Run Candlesticks: Today’s Action Plan

Watchlist Idea (GOOG): Looking at GOOG at current depressed levels. If entering here, maintain a tight stop to protect capital in the event the broader tech bottom is not yet fully confirmed.

Stick to the Playbook: Stay disciplined with our flagship strategies—focus on high-probability entries and selling into strength.

Post-Election Follow-Through: The premarket tape is clearly optimistic, but the real test is how price digests the election news throughout the session and into the closing bell. Let the opening bell shakeout settle before committing capital.

🟢👉Join the Facebook Team at: http://bit.ly/HRCFBGroup. Here you will find a great trading community sharing trade ideas from members and me.

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With a clear directional thesis, a logical price target, and a strict protective stop.

Trade well and have a great day,

Rick

👉Join us Monday nights at 8:00 PM Eastern for our live Traders Talk session. Simple and disciplined, we give ourselves the edge to succeed every single day.

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