Thursday started with another gap as strong Earnings and news of a new Brexit deal lead the way. However, then range-trading took over for the rest of the day. We ended up printing some form of a black spinning top in the DIA, SPY, and QQQ. However, the IWM conspicuously went its own way, printing a strong large-body candle after its gap up. In the end, we have to say this has been a strong start to Earnings Season so far (week 1) and the market has liked it.
As I said, a Brexit deal was reached on Thursday. However, to get this deal, PM Johnson agreed to Northern Ireland remaining in the EU for customs and some VAT purposes and to “no block veto,” which had been part of the Good Friday Agreement. As a result, this will cost him support in Parliament. The UK press is now reporting that Johnson does not have the votes to get the new deal through Parliament by Saturday at this point. In Syria, Turkey agreed to a ceasefire so that the Kurds can retreat. This essentially gives Turkey everything they wanted from the invasion. Both of these stories reduce market risks and, as such, are “risk on” factors for stock markets.
Last night, China reported a 6% growth for the third quarter, which is its slowest growth since the 1990s. However, Friday’s US economic calendar is very light with the exception of 5 Fed members speaking during the day. On the earnings front, AMD, AXP, CFG, KO, KSU, SLB, STT and SYF all report before the open. (KO already reported a beat.)
Overnight, Asian and European markets were mixed. As of 7:30 am, U.S. futures were all pointing to flat open for the major indices.
Remember to be careful chasing. Yes we are getting Rick-on indications from the news (yesterday anyway) and the short-term uptrend remains in place. However, this has not been a deliberately-trading market. Gaps and whiplash don’t make for a good swing trading environment. So, caution remains the prudent approach.
Ed
For Your Consideration: No Trade ideas on Friday. With 2.5 days of news risk in front of us…and no ability to respond, taking profits and hedging is in order. Trade smart, take profits along the way and trade your trade. Stocks we mention and talk about are not recommendations to buy or sell.
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