Monday saw a strong gap higher as both T and WBA beat during the premarket and the attraction of all-time highs proved irresistible.  The President had also tweeted that Trade War Negotiations were ahead of schedule (whatever that means).  Regardless of the drivers, the SPY and QQQ both ended the day at new all-time high closes.  The IWM also broke out of its recent resistance level and the DIA lagged, staying within its two-week range despite the gap-up.

The Tuesday economic calendar includes Conf. Board Consumer Confidence and Sept. Pending Home Sales (both at 10 am).  The FOMC also begins its two-day meeting (with the market “pricing in” a rate cut on Wed.).  However, earnings are likely to steal the show again today, with GOOG (miss) and TMUS (beat) having reported after the bell Monday.  Among the pre-market reporters on Tuesday are COP, GLW, CMI, ETN, ECL, GM, IR, K, MLM, MRK, PFE, and XRX. (COP, MRK, PFE, and K all reported beats this am. GM missed and lowered on strike effects.)

Overnight, Asian markets were mixed, with China showing red.  In Europe, red was the color of the day across the board so far.  As of 7:30 am, U.S. futures were indicating a gap down of 0.1% in the DIA, 0.2% in the SPY and 0.3% in the QQQ.

With the Fed show back in town, reduced rhetoric on the China Trade War front and generally good earnings reports, the Bulls are feeling no pain. However, each of those 3 factors could be a double-edged sword. If the Fed doesn’t do as expected (or just says the wrong thing), or we have a new flare-up in US-China threats, or we catch a couple of missed earnings (or bad guidance) from major names…things could change in a heartbeat. Don’t be surprised by lighter volumes and a more “wait and see” attitude in the market Tuesday.  The bulls are running, but be cautious, and remember to take profits along the way.

Ed

Swing-Trade Trade ideas for your consideration. Long – PM, CNC, AFL, TSM, JBHT, PNC, DG, JEC, AMAT, BERY, JWN, KSS. Short – CINF, NOC, KO, CSX, TTWO, MDT. Trade smart, take profits along the way and trade your trade. Also, do not forget to check for upcoming earnings. Stocks we mention and talk about are not recommendations to buy or sell.

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