Futures are wildly mixed this morning the Dow Futures
pointing to a gap down of more than 150 points while the SP-500 and NASDAQ Futures
point to modest gains. The huge decline
in the Dow is due to the sharp decline in BA shares after a second 737 Max 8 plane crash. It is also important to note that we have a
potential market-moving Retail Sales number
at 8:30 AM Eastern after the very disappointing
results in the last reading.
As the SPY and QQQ move higher this morning remember to
respect the possible overhead price resistance above. If a lower high failure would to occur that
would be technically very damaging so stay focused on price action and avoid
chasing the morning gap. Let’s wait and
see if buyers step up after the open in support of the gap. The Whitehouse
has forwarded the new budget that includes a border wall funding and threats of
yet another government shutdown are already spinning the political rhetoric. Also keep in mind the US/China negotiations
could still be a huge market-moving event if or when we finally get news on the
subject.
On the Calendar
On the Earnings Calendar we have 100 companies reporting today.
Action Plan
We have a very interesting market
setup this morning that could make for a challenging day. Asian markets that began three trading day lower
managed to close modestly positive despite
global growth concerns. European are currently
slightly higher across the board ahead of a crucial Brexit vote while US Futures
are widely mixed. Currently the Dow Futures
point to a gap down of more than 150 mostly due BA shares falling sharply as
the result of another plane crash.
However, the SP-500 and the NASDAQ futures are pointing to gap up opens
that may retest resistance levels.
It will be interesting to see
how this plays out with such mixed results at the open. Keep an eye on overhead resistance levels in
both the SPY and QQQ and be very careful about chasing the open. The Retail Sales number at 8:30 AM Eastern
could be critical for the day. The last
reading on retail sales saw a decline -1.2% and consensus for today is for a
reading 0.0% which means the futures could quickly change before the open
depending upon actual number.
Happy Friday traders, hope you have fun plans this weekend after your short and put profits the last few days! The SPY is now below all the T-Line Bands which is a major warning sign. The 34-EMA, Dotted Deuce Line and the 50-SMA are below price and may help to soften the pull back a bit. The Evening Star and the Bearish Engulf clues are seeing follow through and will stay that way until the Bull Rises. A couple of short term targets I see for the sellers are $270.35 and $267.25 with one or two minor relief rallies along the way. Note the Weekly chart on the SPY is printing an Evening Star clue that could lead to the 50% retracement of $262.75. The bottom line is that the sellers have taken a bit and will continue to bit until the bull has had enough; the chart will tell the story. Have a great weekend fiends
Took 20% on WIX puts! Thank you LTA- Live Trading Alerts
Jerry G.
Testimonial
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DISCLAIMER: Investing/ Trading involves significant financial risk and is not suitable for everyone. No communication from us should be considered as financial or trading advice. All information provided by it and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates or representatives is intended for educational purposes only. You are advised to test any new approach before implementing it. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Terms of Service
With an ugly decline
yesterday I think most traders went into the close hoping the Friday Employment Situation number would get the bulls
back on the job. Unfortunately China’s very disappointing trade numbers last night
has the markets around the world reacting significantly
lower as the global slowdown theme continues to spread.
Futures are pointing to
a gap down of more than 100 points but that could greatly improve or get worse depending on the economic reports at
8:30 AM Eastern. This has obviously been a
rough week for the market and the failure
has key resistance levels does not help the technical
picture of the market. Consider carefully
the risk you carry into the weekend keeping in mind that we’ve still could
hear about a US/China trade deal.
On the Calendar
A little slower day on the Friday earnings calendar with just under 60 reports today. No particularly notable except maybe MTM
today.
Action Plan
Looking at the futures
this morning I wish I had held more of
the hedge positions through today. Futures were lower but pretty benign until China released trade numbers that were
sharply lower than expected. Asian
markets closed sharply lower and currently European are also declining across
the board.
Today is the big Employment situation
number. Estimates expect 180k jobs created
and that the unemployment rate will tick down to 3.9 %. That would be a very good number but sharply
lower than 304K reading last month. We
also have the Housing Starts number that disappointed on the last reading so keep
a close eye on the futures at 8:30 AM eastern as the open could improve or get
worse very quickly, Consider the risk
you hold into the weekend and remember we’ve yet to hear news on the US/China
trade deal. Have a great weekend everyone.
Although
price closed above our Lower T-Line Channel Band,
the price action is testing its ability
to hold onto a bullish rating. In the past eight days, the SPY has printed a few candles
that suggest the bulls need a restful pullback,
but the bears don’t seem to have enough growl to push them over. This type of price
action is hard on most trades because there is not a defined trend, (chop chop
chop). Our 4-hour chart shows that
price has crossed into bear territory and targets are in the $272.75 and
$268.10 areas. For the Bulls to get the game back, they need to capture the
$279.25 flag.
The Times IS Now
Hit and Run Candlesticks News
My #1 trading tool LTA-Live Trading Alert Scanner alerted us on (IWM) as it was just starting to breakdown below the T-Band channel, The IWM PUTS closed up yesterday 17.3 The February Road To Wealth Account statement has been posted to the website. Trade-Ideas for the next week or so: CSCO, BBY, WDAY, AXP, PM, ADP, CC, WYNN, ADSK, LGIH, XOM. Some of these are long and some are short.
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Coach B.
✅Save time reviewing hundreds of charts. ✅Find EXACTLY the right set up by being alerted for only those tickers that qualify. ✅Stop “Chasing trades” by being alerted of the move (not finding out later.) ✅Eliminate “trouble pulling the trigger” (be sure when a ticker is moving.) ✅Stop “leaving money on the table” (manage your exits with lower-time alerts.) ✅Stop “Predicting” by trading alerts that show the turn, not forecast it. ✅Stop ignoring the overall market (by watching alerts on DIA, SPY, IWM, QQQ.) ✅Gain massive efficiency over flipping through charts (hoping to find them at just the right time) or waiting on someone to feed you trade ideas.
DISCLAIMER: Investing/ Trading involves significant financial risk and is not suitable for everyone. No communication from us should be considered as financial or trading advice. All information provided by it and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates or representatives is intended for educational purposes only. You are advised to test any new approach before implementing it. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Terms of Service
As always with a gap open we want
to avoid the urge to chase. Wait and watch
the price action after Clues of a slowing economy that continue to pop
up in the economic data have slowly begun a toll on this tremendous bull run. Slowing retail and housing were swept aside due to hopes of a forthcoming US/China
trade deal. The appears to be growing weary of the wait and yesterdays disappointing
trade numbers added additional pressure.
Thus far the selling has been very controlled and after such
a steep rally should not have been a surprise.
Futures this morning are currently trying to rally off the overnight low
but are suggesting a modest gap down at the open. Although we may see in increase in price volatility as fear grows I would be careful not
to chase the gap waiting to see if sellers
support the move.
On the Calendar
We have 185 companies fessing up to quarterly results
today. Among the notable earnings are:
COST, BKS, AOBC, BURL, CRCM, CHUY, LOCO,
GNC, HRB, HOV, KR, PLUG & UMH.
Action Plan
Disappointing economic
growth numbers in Europe, US trade deficits, North Korea appearing to restart
their nuclear program while the world
continues to wait for a US/China trade
deal have the futures looking gloomy this morning. The bulls have worked pretty hard to hold
price action supports are beginning to falter as hungry bears continue the gap to see
if sellers support the move lower with additional selling.
T2122 this morning is likely
to reach the bullish reversal zone at the open.
That doesn’t mean we should get an immediate bounce it only suggests the
odds of a relief rally are growing as long as there is not a piling on of more
bad news. So far this has been a very controlled
pullback but this mornings gap down has the potential to increase price volatility.
This video is considerably different than most of the videos that focus on charts and price action. In this 76 minute video, Doug Campbell talks about the steps necessary to improve your win/loss ratio.
It’s not a sexy subject but one that is vitally important to your long term success as a trader. Simple things like reviewing past trades looking for repetitive mistakes, proper trade planning and believe it or not learning to take profits are key elements to improve your win/loss ratio.
The charts in this video are for educational purposes only. No communication from Hit and Run Candlestick Inc should be considered as financial or trading advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
DISCLAIMER: Investing/ Trading involves significant financial risk and is not suitable for everyone. No communication from us should be considered as financial or trading advice. All information provided by it and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates or representatives is intended for educational purposes only. You are advised to test any new approach before implementing it. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Terms of Service
While the market waits
for details of the US/China negotiations the
price action has become very light and choppy and there is a danger of
over-trading a dull market. Traders can
easily become bored during choppy markets talking themselves into trader they
would normally avoid just to have something
to do and break the boredom.
If the overall market is patiently
waiting perhaps we should do the same.
Eventually the stalemate will be
broken and the market could suddenly move either up or down. Unfortunately,
that big move often happens overnight and the result can be very costly if you
find that you’re on the wrong side of the
move. Exercise your discipline, stay focused
on price action and carefully weigh the risks of
over-trading a dull market.
On the Calendar
On the Earnings Calendar we have more than 120 companies reporting.
Notable reports are, ANF, AEO, BJ. BKCC, BREW, DLTR, SWRE & RST.
Action Plan
Yesterday was a mind-numbingly boring day with light volume
chop as the market waits for news on the trade
deal. The entire range of the DIA
yesterday was less than $1.50 closing
just 0.09 cents below the open of the day.
There are certainly very good looking
stocks but keep in mind a single new report could move the market substantially
so be careful not to over-trade out of sheer boredom.
Asian markets closed mixed over-night and currently European markets are mixed and mostly flat as
it seems the entire world is watching and waiting. Currently the futures are pointing to a modestly lower open having recovered about 50% from
their overnight lows. Perhaps earnings
and economic reports can break the logjam this morning and we can pick a
direction. If not it would be wise to
remember that really big moves often happen overnight on news events. Over-trade a dull market and you can easily
find yourself on the wrong side of the move.
Plan your risk accordingly.
The sellers (Bears) have been stopping the buyers (Bulls) in there tracks. The only thing the Bulls have done is to hold price within the Bullish T-Line channels, that is good but will it be enough? The bears have carved out and Bearish Evening Star and a Bearish Engulf and both are still active. If the sellers can force the bulls to close below $276.30, $272.40 and $266.95 could get tested. Over $280.50 the buyers will have a chance to be bulls. I have had reports of many people having trouble in the past few days. Remember to know your limits, what you can trade and what you can not trade. LOL, the market never stays the same for very long. Yesterday The LTA Scanner alerted us on (CRON) as it was just starting to work on the T-Line Bounce and the T-Line Band Scan. Yes we took advantage, and it has been worth 26.6% so far paying for the scanner four times over
Hit and Run Candlesticks News
Yesterday The LTA Scanner alerted us on (CRON) as it was just starting to work on the T-Line Bounce and the T-Line Band Scan. Yes, we took advantage, and it has been worth 26.6% so far paying for the scanner four times over in one trade. The Road To Wealth Account loves the Scanner. Trade-Ideas for the next week or so: ACB, CRON, FB, SQ, NBR, X, AER, TOL, CME, CIEN
I have hit for over $300 this morning using your LTA scanner, I think I have found my niche!
Coach B.
✅Save time reviewing hundreds of charts. ✅Find EXACTLY the right set up by being alerted for only those tickers that qualify. ✅Stop “Chasing trades” by being alerted of the move (not finding out later.) ✅Eliminate “trouble pulling the trigger” (be sure when a ticker is moving.) ✅Stop “leaving money on the table” (manage your exits with lower-time alerts.) ✅Stop “Predicting” by trading alerts that show the turn, not forecast it. ✅Stop ignoring the overall market (by watching alerts on DIA, SPY, IWM, QQQ.) ✅Gain massive efficiency over flipping through charts (hoping to find them at just the right time) or waiting on someone to feed you trade ideas.
DISCLAIMER: Investing/ Trading involves significant financial risk and is not suitable for everyone. No communication from us should be considered as financial or trading advice. All information provided by it and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates or representatives is intended for educational purposes only. You are advised to test any new approach before implementing it. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Terms of Service
ursus arctos – a wild brown bear look at me partially hidden by tree trunk in the boreal forest. a really funny scene
It has been 11 weeks since the bears have a chance to eat and yesterday snack was just a reminder they
are still there and still hungry. Yesterday,
price action was also a reminder that no matter how strong a trend may appear,
price resistance in the chart should be respected by traders at all-times! Notice I didn’t say that resistance is something
to fear, only that it must be respected an approached with a little caution and a plan for the what if.
Although yesterdays selloff created some market fear and volatility,
technically very little damage was done
at least at this point. If the bulls get
back to work then yesterday move could prove to just that reminder that the
bears are still lurking about and we can never
get complacent in our trading. On the other hand if the bulls stumble again
we could see a push down to test the next levels of support. Keep in mind price resistance is still above and
the bears have given us a gentle reminder of their willingness to defend it so
plan your risk accordingly.
On the Calendar
On the Earnings Calendar we have nearly 120 companies reporting
results today. Among the notable reports
are: CRM, AVAV, AMBA, CIEN, KSS, ROST, SINA, TGT, URBN, VSLR & WB.
Action Plan
After a painful pop and drop yesterday futures are pointing to
a modest open but there is a challenge ahead on the Economic Calendar that has
the potential to trip the bulls. At
10:00 AM Eastern we will get the New Home Sales numbers that disappointed the
market in the last report. The last
reading was 657K, analysts lowered the consensus target to 590K today. If
they lowered the expectation enough perhaps it won’t be a problem but if the
actual number comes in less than expected once again we could see some
additional selling.
Yesterday selloff certainly created a little fear but overall the
technical damage is minimal at this point.
If the bulls can step up their efforts we could easily see the indexes
slide right back into consolidation as we wait for news on a US/China trade
deal. However, if the bulls happen to stumble
again the bears could be emboldened to
test lower supports. Once again that 10
AM report could be very important as to which side gains the edge. As always stay focused on price and remember
to trade the chart for what it is, not what you want it to be.