The SPY And The Wall

This $281.50 area on the SPY is proving to quite the wall for the SPY, three times last year and two times this year. The T2122 chart (4wk New High/Low Ratio) is breaking down from its overbought area now trending toward the oversold area.  The SPY chart is a bit puzzling right now, The Bears produced a Bearish Engulf yesterday and a Bearish Evening Star a week ago, the Bulls have held the trend in a fairly tight range. There are many things I have learned in my 31-years of trading; one is to know my risk limits. Yesterday we made two great trades with VXXB and SPY puts then went to 100% cash. Until Mr. Market gives a better clue, I will plan to sit mostly on the sidelines with only a few trades here and there. A close over $280.50 the bulls have a chance, under not so much.

Hit and Run Candlesticks News

🎯 The “Road to Wealth” account to over 400% in the past 14 months and plan to double 2018 profits. 🎁Yesterday we had great profits on VXXB and SPY puts, took a few losses as well.

✅ Today I will be using the Live Trading Alerts Scanner for trade ideas. We need to see what is setting up both up and down. One spot available for the “Road To Wealth Coaching.” Mentoring program. Read More…

Live Trading Alerts News

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Rick’s Favorite Charting Software

Free YouTube Education  •  Subscription PlansPrivate 2-Hour Coaching

 DISCLAIMER: Investing/ Trading involves significant financial risk and is not suitable for everyone. No communication from us should be considered as financial or trading advice. All information provided by it and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates or representatives is intended for educational purposes only. You are advised to test any new approach before implementing it.  Past performance does  not guarantee future results. Terms of Service

Monday Morning Wall of Worry

The SPY wall of worry comes through again. I do think every trader is concerned about the resistance line that is drawn across 10/17/18 – 11/7/19 and 12/3/19 and rightly so. On the other hand, the same traders are seeing the bulls hold it together with a bullish trend starting in late December with a weekly chart showing Ten weeks of new higher lows, (crazy and amazing). Put those two scenarios together, and you have the perfect wall of worry. Remember that price is king and price builds trends. The VIX-X chart is showing no fear in the market and remains pushed down below our Red/Green line closing Friday at $13.57. A  VIX-X close over $16.20 would certainly get the attention of the market. We will be starting Monday cautiously bullish, taking profits into strength or base hits.

Hit and Run Candlesticks News

The start of another week of trading and we are excited! The “Road to Wealth” account to over 400% in the past 14 months and are planes are to double 2018 profits. Possible trade ideas- OSTK, KMI, BMY, MRO, WDC, FDC, BBT, NVDA, JNJ, AAPL. Two spots available for the “March Road To Wealth Coaching.” Mentoring program. Read More…


Live Trading Alerts News

✅Live Trading Alerts – 100 plus alerts/scans to choose from

Two new auto scans have been added to the LTA-Live Trading Alerts Scanner; the Bull -Fig Newton pattern and the Bear- Oreo Pattern. With over 100 built-in scans my favorite bullish scans are the Pop Out of The Box, The RBB, The 3×8 Trap, The Fig Newton. If you need set with the scanner set up or adding scans just let us know. Each day (Market hours) we provide Free Scanner coaching in our trading room #4. Warning the LTA- Live Trading Alert software is a game changer, alerts for candlesticks, candlesticks patterns, western patterns, price action, tends, bullish and bearish.

Rick’s Favorite Charting Software

Free YouTube Education  •  Subscription PlansPrivate 2-Hour Coaching

 DISCLAIMER: Investing/ Trading involves significant financial risk and is not suitable for everyone. No communication from us should be considered as financial or trading advice. All information provided by it and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates or representatives is intended for educational purposes only. You are advised to test any new approach before implementing it.  Past performance does  not guarantee future results. Terms of Service

Buy the Rumor Gap

On Sunday the Wall Street Journal triggered a buy the rumor rally when they reported that the US and China are “in the final stage of completing a trade deal.”  The story offered nothing as to an actual completion date of the agreement and had little to no details about what’s included.  Nonetheless, markets around the world have reacted bullishly to the hope that some kind of agreement is forthcoming hopefully sooner than later.

We have more than 500 companies reporting earnings this week and busy economic calendar as we move toward the Friday Employment Situation report.  The index trends are still up but we still have those pesky price resistance levels above that continue to demand respect.  As we saw on Friday a gap into price resistance can prove dangerous and costly if you chase into it with a fear of missing out.  Wait for proof in the price action after the gap that buyers are stepping in supporting the gap to avoid those nasty pop and drop patterns.

On the Calendar

calendar

On the Earnings Calendar we have 64 companies stepping up to report earnings results today.

Action Plan

Friday’s gap up open into resistance found sellers and through our the morning gave back the entire gain and at one point was looking pretty grim.  Fortunately the bulls went back to work in the afternoon recovering about half of the initial morning gap.  This morning futures are once again signaling a gap up open with Asian and European markets also bullish overnight.  On Sunday the Wall Street Journal reported that the US and China are “in the final stage of completing a trade deal.”  It cited that Beijing was offering some lower tariffs on U.S. Products and markets responded bullishly around the world.

Unfortunately the story said nothing about the timeline to completion and little to no detail as to the contents in the agreement.  A true to form buy the rumor market pop!  Nonetheless, the trend is still up and thus far key resistance levels are still holding and must be respected.  We have another big week of earnings reports and several significant economic reports culminating on Friday with the big Employment Situation number on Friday morning.  As always, avoid chasing the morning gap waiting instead for proof in the price action that buyers are going to set in supporting the gap.

Trade Wisely,

Doug

#1 Traders Edge

The chart in a yesterdays blog post I had drawn two red lines, one at Monday’s high (Resistance) and one at Wednesday’s low (Support). Yesterday printed a higher low Doji within our T-Line Bands that formed the early stage of a Bullish Continuation pattern. Bullish followthrough over Monday’s high $281.31 would suggest the Bulls may be ready to challenge the $286 area. Now for the Bearish scenario – Price closes below the $277.48 support line would suggest price may be headed back to the 200-SMA. The Live Trading Alerts Scanner can and does help

It’s the first of the month, and we will start new student training on the (LTA) Live Trading Alerts. Live Trading Alerts is by far the best trading software for signaling you when stocks ready to breakout or breakdown. With a steady flow of market data, the LTA Scanner pinpoints chart patterns, candlesticks signals, and patterns, trends. The (LTA) Live Trading Alerts Scanner the trader’s edge.

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Free YouTube Education  •  Subscription PlansPrivate 2-Hour Coaching

 DISCLAIMER: Investing/ Trading involves significant financial risk and is not suitable for everyone. No communication from us should be considered as financial or trading advice. All information provided by it and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates or representatives is intended for educational purposes only. You are advised to test any new approach before implementing it.  Past performance does  not guarantee future results. Terms of Service

The Bulls Push Higher

Higher

Asian markets closed higher overnight even after China manufacturing numbers declined for the 3rd straight month.  European markets are also higher across the board this morning due to fresh US-China trade comments according to CNBC.  Consequently, US Futures are pointing to a substantial gap up this morning supposedly in reaction to yesterday’s GDP number if you believe the news.

Currently the futures suggest a gap of more than 175 Dow points this morning to test key resistance index levels.  Those caught short could enhance the bullish move, buying to cover in a so-called short squeeze.  We should also be on guard for the possibility of a pop and drop pattern at or near price resistance.  Don’t chase with the fear of missing out, take a breath and wait to see if buyers step in supporting the gap before adding risk ahead of the weekend.

On the Calendar

calendar

We get a little break on the Earnings Calendar with just 50 companies reporting earnings today.  Notable reports today are XRAY, FL and SNH.

Action Plan

Futures are sharply higher this morning though I’m not sure why other than the bulls just want to go up.  CNBC is suggesting it due to US/China trade comments but the only story I can find on the subject suggests that Intellectual Property Theft remains a major sticking point.  There is also a suggestion that the market is responding to yesterday’s strong GDP news.  Odd, but okay.  Nonetheless we are looking at a substantial gap up this morning and those caught short may trigger a short squeeze this morning.

Although we have a lighter day on the earnings calendar we have several potential market-moving economic reports this reports morning.  Remember to not chase a morning gap especially right into price resistance.  Wait to see if buyers step in supporting the gap because we don’t want to get caught in a classic pop and drop at price resistance.   If resistance does break an attack of record market highs may be in the cards.  Have a fantastic weekend everyone!

Trade Wisely,

Doug

SPY holds T-Line Band

The SPY’s Evening Star is still present as well as the QQQ’s, DIA’s and IWM. The SPY’s low yesterday was $277.48 or the Lower T-Line Band, yesterday’s low was also the 3rd lower low in a row and the 3rd lower high. The three lower lows and lower highs is a sign the sellers have more control than the buyers. However as of yesterday, not enough control to push price below the T-Line Band bullish area. $281.00 remains strong resistance but not impossible to break out. The bulls have truly been amazing. If this week’s price can hold it’s low above $276.35, it will mark the 10th week in a row of higher lows. We are still cautiously bullish, bullish because of the trend and cautious because of the $301.00 resistance.

The Month of February is coming to an end, and I would like to thank all the members for there post and comments. It is so great to read your post when you enter and exit a trade and your wins and losses, thank you. The Road To Wealth account will end the month of February with about a 15% increase or about $3,400.00.

Hit and Run Candlesticks News

Yesterday we closed another 20% from out IWM PUTS which brings the “Road to Wealth” account to over 425% increase in 14 months. Possible trade ideas- MRO, IMMU, APA, CLR, OSTK, CHK, NBR. I have opened up two more spots for the “March Road To Wealth Coaching.” Mentoring program. Read More…

Live Trading Alerts News

✅Live Trading Alerts – 100 plus alerts/scans to choose from

Two new auto scans have been added to the LTA-Live Trading Alerts Scanner; the Bull -Fig Newton pattern and the Bear- Oreo Pattern. With over 100 built-in scans my favorite bullish scans are the Pop Out of The Box, The RBB, The 3×8 Trap, The Fig Newton. If you need set with the scanner set up or adding scans just let us know. Each day (Market hours) we provide Free Scanner coaching in our trading room #4. Warning the LTA- Live Trading Alert software is a game changer, alerts for candlesticks, candlesticks patterns, western patterns, price action, tends, bullish and bearish.

Rick’s Favorite Charting Software

Free YouTube Education  •  Subscription PlansPrivate 2-Hour Coaching

 DISCLAIMER: Investing/ Trading involves significant financial risk and is not suitable for everyone. No communication from us should be considered as financial or trading advice. All information provided by it and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates or representatives is intended for educational purposes only. You are advised to test any new approach before implementing it.  Past performance does  not guarantee future results. Terms of Service

No Deal

The North Korean summit abruptly ends with no deal and with the public Cohen political drama now behind closed doors the US Futures are suggesting only a modestly lower open.  However, with more than 280 companies reporting and a busy economic calendar a lot could still change as we move toward this mornings bell.

Even though the bulls have given up a little ground the last couple days they still are in control of the uptrend and fought back yesterday cutting the initial losses in half by the close.  The bears on the other hand continue to defend key resistance levels putting market between a rock and hard place and we will have to watch price closely for clues.  Perhaps we slip into a healthy consolidation resting after such an extraordinary market run.  If that’s the case, there will be some good trading for stock pickers as companies with price momentum can continue to elevate with relatively low volatility.  That of course will change dramatically if the bears began to gain the upper hand.  Stay focused and flexible.

On the Calendar

calendar

We have a big day on the Earnings Calendar with more than 280 companies stepping up to report.  Among the notable earnings today are, DDD, ABB, ALRM, AMC, AMCX, BUD, ADSK, CARS, CROX, ECA, GPS, EP, JCP, JD, KDP, LTC, MAIN, MAR, JWM, NRG, PRTY, SEAS, SPLK, TC, VMW and WDAY.

Action Plan

After some initial selling the market became very choppy and lethargic as the Cohen political drama which may be better described as a soap opera played out at the US Capital.  As near as I could tell skimming through the highlights the only thing accomplished was political grandstanding.  The markets are reacting lower this morning as due to the US/North Korean summit ends abruptly with no deal.  We also have India and Pakistan exchanging air strikes as tensions between the two countries escalate.

Technically, the indexes continue to battle index resistance levels and though the bulls gave up a little ground in the last couple trading days they continue to fight hard to hold the current up trend.  Asian markets closed lower and European are also currently lower across the board this morning.  US Futures are pointing to a modestly lower open but with a big day of earnings and economic reports anything is possible.

Trade Wisely,

Doug

Follow Through IS Required

The close yesterday produced an Evening Star closing on the upper T-Line channel band. More selling and a close below yesterdays low $278.90 today or tomorrow could put price action on the blue Lower T-Line channel band or about $276.90. If a Red Volatility Stop Dot is created, the pressure on the bulls might make them run for safety about $273.50. A test of the 200 SMA is possible if the buyers don’t put a game together. The T-2122 chart 4Wk New High/Low Ratio saw weakness yesterday below the 80 line, and today we are likely to test the recent low. From the December low to yesterdays high the 23.6 Fib retracement would be $269.80, a nice healthy pullback, the 38.2 line would be at $262.95.

Hit and Run Candlesticks News

Yesterday we closed VXXB for 26% which brings the Road to Wealth account to a 425% increase in 14 months. I have opened up two more spots for the “March Road To Wealth Coaching.” Possible trade ideas- DPZ, ATGE, EA, UNP, PYPL, HAE, EBS, MTAP, SGMS. We will also be moderating the LTA Scanner.

Live Trading Alerts News

✅Live Trading Alerts – 100 plus alerts/scans to choose from

Two new auto scans have been added to the LTA-Live Trading Alerts Scanner; the Bull -Fig Newton pattern and the Bear- Oreo Pattern. With over 100 built-in scans my favorite bullish scans are the Pop Out of The Box, The RBB, The 3×8 Trap, The Fig Newton. If you need set with the scanner set up or adding scans just let us know. Each day (Market hours) we provide Free Scanner coaching in our trading room #4. Warning the LTA- Live Trading Alert software is a game changer, alerts for candlesticks, candlesticks patterns, western patterns, price action, tends, bullish and bearish.

Rick’s Favorite Charting Software

Free YouTube Education  •  Subscription PlansPrivate 2-Hour Coaching

 DISCLAIMER: Investing/ Trading involves significant financial risk and is not suitable for everyone. No communication from us should be considered as financial or trading advice. All information provided by it and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates or representatives is intended for educational purposes only. You are advised to test any new approach before implementing it.  Past performance does  not guarantee future results. Terms of Service

Historical Events

Historical Events

Futures are pointing to a modestly lower open this morning as the market faces a day of historical events.  First are the decisions of nuclear disbarment of North Korean a feat no sitting president has been able to accomplish.  Secondly a congressional hearing where the president’s former attorney is expected to testify that is boss broke the law while holding the highest office in the nation.  Add to that a big day of earnings reports and full economic calendar and I think it’s safe to say the market has a lot a lot on its plate to digest.

The bulls have proven to be very resilient and the trend is up so expect them to fight hard to defend against any bear attack.  However, we also have to respect the price resistance in the index charts and plan for the possibility that the political drama could impact the market with higher volatility.  Saying that anything is possible would not be an understatement and you never know exactly how the market could react with so much to chew on today.

On the Calendar

calendar

On the Earnings Calendar we have a big day with more than 210 companies reporting quarterly results.  Some of the notable earnings are, AMT, APA, BBY, BKNG, BOX, CPB, CHK, DF, FIT, TWNK, HPQ, LB, LOW, ODP, PK, PBR, SQ, TDOC, TJX and WING.

Action Plan

As the US and North Korean try to make nice while discussing nuclear disarmament abroad the president himself will be under attack in a congressional hearing right here at home.  Putting the president’s challenges aside we should plan for the possibility of serious market impacts.  As I write this morning note the futures are pointing to only a modest decline at the open.  With a big day of earnings reports, important economic reports and a distracting political drama anything is possible.

In our 11th week of rally and testing index price resistance it would not be out of the question to see some profit-taking begin or some price consolidation to reinforce a new level of support.  However, the bulls have proven to be remarkably tenacious and with the market trend strongly in their favor I would expect them to fight hard for higher prices.  Avoid predicting, stay focused on price, remain flexible, stay disciplined to your trading rules and prepare for a very interesting day.

Trade Wisley,

Doug

4-Hour Chart Evening Star

I often watch the 4-hour chart, and yesterday the SPY 4-hour chart ended the day with an Evening Star closing below the upper T-Line channel Band. The SPY looks to be opening lower today causing a high probability of price testing the Lower T-Line channel Band. A close below $278.50 will likely produce a Red V-Stop, first one in the past 18 days. Note we have not seen a Red V-stop on the daily in the past 41 days, that’s a lot of bullishness with no real rest. Yesterday’s 4-hour Evening Star was produced at the $280.00 resistance line with the 4wk New High/Low Ratio above 80. The VXXB chart closed with a solid piercing candle on the daily chart and a Morning Star signal on the 4-hour chart. Final comments: trend light in this market if the SPY fails the T-Line the $200SMA or $274.50 and $271.20 could be in the cards.

Hit and Run Candlesticks News

Yesterday we closed JNJ for 17% and GE for 80%. We also took on a few new trades CRON, SPY, and VXXB

Trade ideas for the watch list – (Long AG, ECA, AAOI, EXAS, EBIX, VXXB) (Short STZ, GILD)

Live Trading Alerts News

✅Live Trading Alerts – 100 plus alerts/scans to choose from

Two new auto scans have been added to the LTA-Live Trading Alerts Scanner; the Bull -Fig Newton pattern and the Bear- Oreo Pattern. With over 100 built-in scans my favorite bullish scans are the Pop Out of The Box, The RBB, The 3×8 Trap, The Fig Newton. If you need set with the scanner set up or adding scans just let us know. Each day (Market hours) we provide Free Scanner coaching in our trading room #4. Warning the LTA- Live Trading Alert software is a game changer, alerts for candlesticks, candlesticks patterns, western patterns, price action, tends, bullish and bearish.

Rick’s Favorite Charting Software

Free YouTube Education  •  Subscription PlansPrivate 2-Hour Coaching

 DISCLAIMER: Investing/ Trading involves significant financial risk and is not suitable for everyone. No communication from us should be considered as financial or trading advice. All information provided by it and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates or representatives is intended for educational purposes only. You are advised to test any new approach before implementing it.  Past performance does  not guarantee future results. Terms of Service