Morning Video 9-27-16 Posted 8:32 EDT

Good morning everyone.  After the presidential debate lat night the futures popped up over 100 points but I guess sometime during the night the market realized that nothing really changed so they begin to normalize and it looks like we can expect just a slightly higher open.

Oil is lower this morning by more than $1 a barrel which could make it tough for the markets to really gain much ground.  There are a couple economic reports this morning but I think it’s unlikely they will move the market…However, we have Fed member speaking today and as you know they can create big moves if his speech is is perceived as dovish or hawkish.

The disappointing thing is our market seems to be completely dependent on the news cycle right now.  As you know the biggest moves are occurring during the pre-market and after that it just can’t seem to gather enough energy to anything other than chop.  It makes for some tough trading indeed.  If your a bit frustrated, you are not alone!

Trade Wisely,

Doug

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Morning Video 9-26-16 Posted at 8:45 EDT

Good morning.  I hope everyone had a restful weekend.  The market seems to have woken up today with a bearish attitude.  The patterns in the index ETF’s are not positive at the moment with gap down opens that seem to be confirming another lower high on both the SPY and the DIA.

There is a ton of news this week with a bunch of Fed members speaking almost every day.  Yellen will be testifying on the Hill this week which will likely the market focusing on what she has to say.

If that were not enough we have the Presidential Debate tonight that has the potential to really kick up volatility depending on the results. Then we have OPEC once again trying to get an agreement to control output production.  Both Russia and Iran have both said they will not agree to a slow down.

Buckle up it could be a bumpy week.

Trade Wisely,

Doug

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Morning Video 9-23-16 Posted at 8:48 EDT

Good morning and Happy Friday everyone. This has been a long week of waiting on the Fed only to have that end with us still stuck in a tight range on the SPY and the DIA. The QQQ is at record highs and the IWM broke it’s last high but again there seems to be a lack of enthusiasm.

We have a bunch of Fed speak today so anything is possible. Make sure you have your stops and targets in place. With all that hot air being spewed who knows what could happen.

Trade Wisely,

Doug

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Morning Video 9-22-16 Posted at 8:21 EDT

Good morning. Now that we are past all big news maybe we can get back to some trading. I would lover to say back up the truck and start loading up on stock but when you look at the overhead resistance that would be a foolish thing to do. There is no question that market looked bullish at the end of trading yesterday however it is also undeniable that resistance has been a major player in the market indexes and should not be ignored.

As with any big move, follow-through is essential and it is not required to do so immediately. We must continue to plan trade carefully and keep ourselves focused on the overall chart, not a single day.

That being said there are a lot of nice looking charts and you should expect to see some trade alerts coming out today.

Trade Wisely,

Doug

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Morning Video 9-21-16 Posted at 8:32 EDT

Good morning. It’s Yellen day and without question, it is going to be a tough day to trade. The BOJ did just enough to keep the bears from showing their teeth this morning but let’s keep in mind the market has now gapped up 4 days in a row only to sell off the rest of the day. Fool me once shame on you, fool me twice, Shame on Me!

At 10:30 eastern time will get oil numbers and that has proven to move the market in the past. At 2 PM we will finally hear from the Fed with the press conference at 2:30. Expect some very wild price action right after the news with some very big whipsaws in just a few minutes.

I will likely sit on my hands most of the day if not all. Trading the news is the domain of the big boys so it’s better to stand aside and let them duke it out. We will enter after it calms down and a directional decision has been made.

Trade Wisely,

Doug

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Morning Video 9-20-16 Posted at

Good morning.  I spent a lot of time going over chart last night and this morning looking for clues on the overall direction of the market.  A long story short, everything I look at is suggesting we should sit on our hands today.  I get the impression that the decision from the BOJ and the oil report will completely overshadow the decision from the FOMC.

I think Rick has it right.  Take profits where you can reduce risk to the market and then sit back and watch the show.  If you have been putting off fishing, cleaning the garage or taking that special someone out on a date, today, would be a good day to get it done.

Trade Wisely,

Doug

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Morning Thoughts 9-19-16 Posted 8:10 EDT

Good morning everyone and Happy Monday! The market is surprisingly happy this morning considering the terrorist activity in New Jersey this weekend. Normally that would dampen market enthusiasm but this morning it seems to have no effect.

Tuesday begins the 2-day FOMC meeting with the announcement on Wednesday at 2 PM eastern time. However, the Fed may be overshadowed by the BOJ which is largely expected to make a significant early Wednesday morning. Many are speculating that the BOJ will further cut interest rates deeper into the negative zone.

With all that going on we wise to expect just about anything on Wednesday. Until then don’t be at all surprised to see light volume choppy price action rule shortly after the morning rush.

Let’s have a great week!

Trade Wisely,
Doug

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