Possible Silver Lining
Possible Silver Lining
Without question, yesterday’s selling may have been painful, but is there a possible silver lining? If you take a close look at the DIA, SPY, IWM and even the QQQ could be forming a possible bullish inverted head and shoulders patterns. Of course, we will need to buyers come to hold key support levels to complete the formation, but that is still possible to stay focused on price action.
After more than a 2000 point nine-day rally in the Dow, a pullback should not have been a big surprise. I warned about the possibility in yesterday’s morning video. It was not a prediction but rather just a simple observation of price action, support an resistance that anyone can do if you set aside personal bias. Clearly, volatility remains high, and with futures pointing sharply higher this morning it would be wise to keep that in mind. Don’t rush blindly with a fear of missing out, wait for your edge and trade with a well thought out plan.
On the Calendar
On the Earnings Calendar, we have just over 200 companies reporting to keep us on our toes and volatility high.
Action Plan
I don’t need to tell you that yesterday was a brutal day of selling. The rising dollar, rising interest rates, and declining oil prices seemed to take the blame for the bearishness according to the news. Blah, blah blah. How about the fact that the Dow had gained over 2000 points in just nine days of trading! Anyone that’s been paying attention had to know a pullback was possible. In fact, I would go so far to say that yesterday’s selling was a good thing as long as key support hold.
Let’s remember our overall economy is strong. The GDP is showing 3% growth, and employment continues at historic levels, so it’s not all gloom and doom. The fact remains that the current market is very volatile and that should not be a surprise given the technical damage in the charts. As always the best we can do as retail traders is to stay focused on price action and ready to react without bias no matter the direction.
Trade Wisely,
Doug
[button_2 color=”green” align=”center” href=”https://youtu.be/LLDVexwqQ3k”]Morning Market Prep Video[/button_2]
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Good morning from the Las Vegas Money Show. Asian markets closed modestly higher across the board overnight, and the European markets are currently mixed but mostly lower this morning. Consequently, US futures are pointing to a mixed open as I write this. Keep in mind that bond and currency markets are closed today in observance of Veterans Day. As a result, don’t be to surprise if price action becomes light and choppy after the morning rush.
Is your market bias robbing you of profits? As a trading coach, I answer questions almost every day from traders that fail to see the price action clue in the chart due to bias. Perma-bulls dreaming of a Santa Clause rally, fail to see the possibility of a pullback even after a 2000 point rally in just 8-days. Perma-bears are just as negligent believing that the market has gone up so much that it has to come down. Have you ever failed to close position moving strongly against you because, darn it, you have to be right!
