Coming up Roses?

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Coming up Roses?

At the close yesterday, it seemed that everything was coming up roses.  Strong earnings reports, resumption of face to face US/China trade talks, debit ceiling, lifted without incident and the market moving up into yesterday close.  So what gives with the downbeat futures this morning?  My guess is some of today earings reports my be the first to shine a light on trade war impacts as CAT fesses up to results.  There is also a concern about the coming reports from FB, AAPL, and GOOG as the Federal government begins a wide tech anti-trust investigation.

The chart technicals of the DIA, SPY, and QQQ remain bullish with only the all-time high resistance levels above to challenge a breakout.  Asian markets closed with solid gains overnight with the resumption of the trade talks lifting spirits.  European markets are missed but mostly lower this morning as they wait for a possible ECB rate cut.  Ahead of a big round of earnings reports and New Home Sales numbers US Futures currently point to a slightly bearish open but could improve or worsen as the numbers roll out.  Prepare for volatility and be careful not to get caught up in the morning drama.  Stick to your rules!

On the Calendar

The Wednesday Earning Calendar could ramp up the market volatility with 224 companies expected to report.  Among the notable are, FB, AEM, ALGN, ANTM, T, BA, BSX, CAT, EFX, F, FCX, HLT, LVS, NSC, PYPY, NOW, SIX, SAVE, TSLA, TROW, UPS, VFC, GWW and WIX.

Action Plan

After a day where Congress lifted the debt ceiling, a strong round of earnings reports, learning that face to face US/China negations will resume next week and a solid afternoon rally closing the market near its highs seeing futures in the red this morning is a bit of a surprise.  Such is the nature of earnings season, which I have mentioned that large gaps and overnight reversal possible as the market sorts out all the data.  So what’s the problem?  Today is a very big day of earnings where we some of the effects of the trade war could come to light with the earnings report form CAT.  Also, with the Federal Government casting a wide anti-trust investigation net on Tech, FB, AAPL, and GOOG have yet to report raising some concerns.

Technically speaking the trends remain bullish however continue to be challenged by all-time resistance levels in the DIA, SPY, and QQQ.  Who knows, maybe today will provide the results necessary for the market to breath a sigh of relief and inspire the bulls to break through the ceiling.  On the other hand, one has to wonder what this means for possible rate cuts later this month if the economic slowdown never arrives.  It could be a wild and woolly day so buckle up and prepare for a bumpy road ahead.

Trade Wisely,

Doug

Market Thoughts 7/24/19

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Yesterday July 23 the SPY moved higher but not enough to make a respectable close over our 300.05 resistance line. It still stands that the SPY must show bullish power over $300.05 to remain in the bullish game. The 3-bar candle chart shows a nice higher low off the 34-ema and the 50-SMA moving averages. Follow-through above the 300.05 line would create a bullish “w” pattern. You can see how important follow-through is. Weakness below $298.05 would suggest the price is still looking for support and help, the 50-SMA work for the last to such pullbacks. While still on the 3-bar chart, the VXX showed three lower lows while close to a brand new low. The IYT transports closed with a good candle pattern (Doji Continuation) but pegged against the upper wedge line. SMH remains bullish near a consolidation area. Conclusion: with minor pullbacks and profit-taking from bullish runs, the SPY remains bullish. As always trade with caution and be looking for profits.

What We’re Trading

✅ Yesterday we had a few new buys and closes. Bought long calls on AMD, and WBA and closed the SPY Puts. AMD closed about even while 💲BABA closed positive 21.2%. CPB closed positive 3.6% and premarket looks as is a bull gap is in order. CSCO down 5% while 💲INTC is up 26%. WBA is even money and OXY -1.5%. 👉For more detail and the full list join us in the HRC trading room #1 Click Here and choose Trading Room #1 Password 8020

😊 Have a great trading day – Rick

Trade-Ideas

✅ For your consideration: Here are a few charts I thought should go on the watch-List, remember to trade your trade. Trade smart and wait for the QEP → (QEP) Quality Entry Patterns). GE, FCX, SNAP, RF, OSTK, MRVL,UAA, CAG, ALLY, MOMO, WBA, LULU    ✅ Check Earnings!

🎯Malcolm .: Posted in room 2, @Rick… I used the LTA Scanner to go through hundreds of stocks this weekend and picked out three to trade:  PYPL, TGT, and ZS.   Quality patterns and with my trading, up 24%, 7% and 12%…. this program is gold.

🎯 Friday 6/21/19  (10:09 am) Aaron B: Today, my account is at +190% since January. Thanks, RWO HRC Flash Malcolm Thomas Steve Ed Bob S Bob C Mike P and everyone that contributes every day. I love our job.

$50.00 discount with code: Privilege

Disclosure: We do not act on all trades we mention, and not all mentions acted on the day of the mention. All trades we mention are for your consideration only.

Free YouTube Education  •  Subscription Plans • Private 2-Hour Coaching

DISCLAIMER: Investing / Trading involves significant financial risk and is not suitable for everyone. No communication from Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates or representatives is not financial or trading advice. All information provided by Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates and representatives are intended for educational purposes only. You are advised to test any new trading approach before implementing it.  Past performance does not guarantee future results.  Terms of Service

Debt Ceiling

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Modestly better than expected earnings results and a 2-year debt ceiling agreement between the Whitehouse and Congress have the US indicating a bullish open ahead of a big day of reports.  After a mostly choppy price action day, the bull finally overwhelmed the bears as they defended trends and key supports.  Of course with nearly 140 companies on deck to report and the Existing Home Sales number a 10:00 AM Eastern a lot could change by the open but so far it would appear the bulls have the upper hand.

Asian markets responded bullishly overnight on the better than expected earnings results closing in the green across the board.  European markets are also bullish this morning as they welcome a new Prime Minister ( Boris Johnson ) and a government reorganization that may or may not lead to Brexit deal.  As a result, all four major indexes indicate a bullish open.  Expect price action volatility to expand as the number of earnings reports ramp-up this week.

On the Calendar

On the Tuesday Earnings Calendar, we have about 140 companies fessing up to quarterly results.  Notable reports include AN, AVY, BIIB, CNI, CNC, CMG, CB, KO, DFS, FITB, FE, HAS, IRBT, JBLU, KEY, KMB, LMT, PNR, PHM, DGX, SHW, SNAP, SWK, TXN, TRV, UBS, UTX & V.

Action Plan

After a mostly choppy price action day, the bulls finally got it together and appeared to gain the upper hand by the close.  The QQQ demonstrated the tenacity of the bulls recovering and defending a key support and ultimately maintaining the bullish trend in the DIA, SPY as well.  Earnings after the bell appeared to come in slightly better than expected and the announcement of a Whitehouse and Congressional 2-year debt ceiling deal also lifted spirits.

Consequently, US Futures are pointing to a higher open this morning ahead of nearly 140 earnings reports that obviously could improve or dampen the actual open depending on the reaction of the results.  At 10:00 AM Eastern we will get the latest reading on Existing Home Sales which can move the market and the only such report on the economic calendar with the power to do so today.  I’m expecting volatility to expand the rest of the week as the number of earnings reports expands.  Challenging price is likely with the possibility of substantial morning opening gaps that could include overnight reversals.

Trade Wisely,

Doug

Indecision Close

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🌞 Good Morning Traders welcome to our Tuesday blog. Yesterday we closed F with a loss and bought,💲 CSCO calls, 💲 SPY puts and added to 💲 BABA on the Hammer. F closed below the 50-SMA. Bought CSCO calls with price near our green band line holding with the recent Bullish Engulf. Bought SPY puts with Fridays Bearish Engulf and yesterday’s Doji at the lower end of the T-Bands. We are still long INTC with 17.7%, INTC, news of AAPL buying one of there divisions. And OXY with 18.8%. 💲 We are also holding CPB, LYFT, and a few VXX calls

Pre-Market Thoughts

✅ Yesterday the SPY closed with a Doji following a Bearish Engulf; it will be important for the bulls to see buying above yesterday Doji $299.00. If the buyers can hold price above $299.00, then we may see a challenge of the recent top. If the buyers can not hold price up, then the sellers will look for the 50-SMA or lower. There are a couple of places the buyers might try to mount a charge like the 34-EMA area and between the 34 and 50 moving averages. The SPY premarket is trying to challenge the 15-Min 200-SMA, we would have to see a breakout and a test of the 200-SMA before the bulls can go too far. The VXX chart is still not showing any real fear while it tries to construct a bottom, I question is will it ever get off the ground. Transports (IYT) is in a wedge and needs to break one way, or another above $194.25 would suggest bullishly. Earnings, Earnings, Earnings, be cautious.

😊 Have a great trading day – Rick

Trade-Ideas

✅ For your consideration: Here are a few charts I thought should go on the watch-List, remember to trade your trade. Trade smart and wait for the QEP → (QEP) Quality Entry Patterns). EPD, OXY, ATUS, KHC, BAC, KKR, BX, PG, MA    ✅ Check Earnings!

🎯Malcolm .: Posted in room 2, @Rick… I used the LTA Scanner to go through hundreds of stocks this weekend and picked out three to trade:  PYPL, TGT, and ZS.   Quality patterns and with my trading, up 24%, 7% and 12%…. this program is gold.

🎯 Friday 6/21/19  (10:09 am) Aaron B: Today, my account is at +190% since January. Thanks, RWO HRC Flash Malcolm Thomas Steve Ed Bob S Bob C Mike P and everyone that contributes every day. I love our job.

$50.00 discount with code: Privilege

Disclosure: We do not act on all trades we mention, and not all mentions acted on the day of the mention. All trades we mention are for your consideration only.

Free YouTube Education  •  Subscription Plans • Private 2-Hour Coaching

DISCLAIMER: Investing / Trading involves significant financial risk and is not suitable for everyone. No communication from Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates or representatives is not financial or trading advice. All information provided by Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates and representatives are intended for educational purposes only. You are advised to test any new trading approach before implementing it.  Past performance does not guarantee future results.  Terms of Service

One Close, Three New Buys

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One close and three new buys on Friday. Friday we closed QCOM to cut a little risk and bought INTC, OXY, and VXX. INTC has produced and little Continuation pattern that closed bullish just above the green band. OXY had a sweet flag pullback, above Thursdays Doji, we entered. With bullish follow-through over the next few days, OXY will become an (RBB) set up. VXX failed to push lower, and we saw signs of buyers, took the enter a little less than mid-candle Friday. This week is another heavy week of earnings; we expect earnings to stay relatively flat and expected. And with the current candle pattern in the VXX chart, we may see a run to the 34-EMA or 50-SMA if the buyers can continue with the current construction. Other charts we are holding BABA, CPB, F, and X.

Pre-Market Thoughts

Well, Friday ended interesting after a good exciting morning, after the bullish gap the sellers started to peel back the skin of the buyers and the sellers made them say Bearish Engulf. If the buyers can not keep us above $296.70, I think the sellers will continue to peel to the $294.80 area with the possibility of $293.00 (about the 50-SMA). We should also mention the $290.80 area below the 50-SMA. The VXX failed to push lower, and we saw signs of buyers Friday with the construction of a Fig Newton candle pattern. This week is another heavy week of earnings; we expect earnings to stay relatively flat and expected. And with the current candle pattern in the VXX chart, we may see a run to the 34-EMA or 50-SMA if the buyers can continue with the current pattern construction.

😊 Have a great trading day – Rick

Trade-Ideas

✅ For your consideration: Here are a few charts I thought should go on the watch-List, remember to trade your trade. Trade smart and wait for the QEP → (QEP) Quality Entry Patterns). AKS, BBY, BA, CVS, OXY, HPQ, AGN, MDR, CVE  Check Earnings!

$50.00 discount with code: Privilege

🎯Malcolm .: Posted in room 2, @Rick… I used the LTA Scanner to go through hundreds of stocks this weekend and picked out three to trade:  PYPL, TGT, and ZS.   Quality patterns and with my trading, up 24%, 7% and 12%…. this program is gold.

🎯 Friday 6/21/19  (10:09 am) Aaron B: Today, my account is at +190% since January. Thanks, RWO HRC Flash Malcolm Thomas Steve Ed Bob S Bob C Mike P and everyone that contributes every day. I love our job.

Disclosure: We do not act on all trades we mention, and not all mentions acted on the day of the mention. All trades we mention are for your consideration only.

Free YouTube Education  •  Subscription Plans • Private 2-Hour Coaching

DISCLAIMER: Investing / Trading involves significant financial risk and is not suitable for everyone. No communication from Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates or representatives is not financial or trading advice. All information provided by Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates and representatives are intended for educational purposes only. You are advised to test any new trading approach before implementing it.  Past performance does not guarantee future results.  Terms of Service

Palpable earnings uncertainty.

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Palpable earnings uncertainty

Friday’s price action certainly raised a lot of concerns, but the selling stopped short of breaking the current up-trends in the DIA, SPY, and QQQ leaving behind a palpable earnings uncertainty.  Of course, the growing tensions with Iran and the uncertainty of US/China trade negotiations and huge earnings calendar this week only add to the uncertain path ahead.  We should expect and prepare for the possibility that two-sided very challenging price action will continue in the days ahead.

Asian markets struggled overnight closing in the red across the board.  However, European markets are currently trading with modest gains across its 3-major indexes this morning.  US Futures are also projecting modest gains at the open as earnings continue to roll out.  There is little on the Economic Calendar for the market to react on this morning, so it’s all about the quality of the earnings reports and how they are perceived by the market this morning.  With so many big reports this week we should plan for the possibility of large overnight gaps and reversals and should plan our risk accordingly.

On the Calendar

On the Monday Earnings Calendar, we have 70 companies reporting in a week where the number of earnings ramp up substantially.  Among the notable are ACC, CALM, GNC, HAL, LII, PETS, STLD, AMTD, WHR, and ZION.

Action Plan

No doubt about it last Friday was a rough day as selling increased into the close as traders took profits ahead of an uncertain weekend.  Tensions with Iran continued to grow after Friday’s capture of a British oil tanker and now the claims they have claimed they have captured and detained about a dozen individuals they accuse as US spies.  However, the Friday selling stopped short of breaking the current uptrends in the DIA, SPY, and QQQ.  Although the price patterns left behind warrant an extra measure of caution keep in mind, there must be a downside follow-through breaking trends to indicate bearishness.

This morning futures are currently pointing to bullish open ahead of the 70 or so earnings reports expected today.  We should expect the rather challenging volatility to continue and the possibility it could ramp up with about 800 earnings reports, including three-quarters of the so-called FANG companies.  Large overnight gaps are possible as these big techs report so carefully plan your risk.  So far, the earings price action has been very choppy and two-sided, so it may be wise to avoid becoming over-extended in your holding with a single directional bias.

Trade Wisely,

Doug

Holding Key Support Levels

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Holding Key Support Levels

After a concerning morning selloff during the morning session, the bulls stepped up right on queue defending current up-trends and holding key support levels with a nice afternoon rally.  After the bell, yesterday MSFT’s strong earnings report also seems to have at least temporarily lifted some trade war fueled tech earning concerns. 

FOMC members Willimas & Clarida spurred speculation of a more aggressive interest rate cut after their comments late Thursday.  As a result, Asian markets closed decidedly bullish seeing green across the board.  However, European markets are mixed but mostly slightly lower this morning after the Fed clarifies and tones down the rate cut rhetoric.  Consequently, US Futures point to modestly bullish open as earnings reports roll in and ahead of the Consumer Sentiment at 10:00 AM Eastern.  With tensions once again on the rise after the US downing of an Iranian drone carefully consider the risk you carry into the weekend.

On the Calendar

On Friday’s Earnings Calendar we have a slightly lighter day with 39 companies reporting.  Notable reports today include BLK, CLF, KSU, MAN, NVR, SLB, STT, and SYF.

Action Plan

Yesterday’s strong earnings report from MSFT may go a long way to soothing traders concerns of a trade war influenced tech slow down at least for today.  Next week we jump headlong into earnings with more than 800 companies expected to report with big tech being a major focus.  There is renewed hope of a bigger rate cut this morning after a late afternoon speech’s by FOMC members Williams & Clarida spurred speculation of a more aggressive Fed.  If that is the case, with such strong current economic indicators, it will leave very little firepower for the Fed if an economic crisis really does arrive. 

Technically speaking the afternoon rally yesterday seemed to come at just the right time holding current trends and key support levels in the indexes.  Toss in a good MSFT report, and a warm and fuzzy feeling of possible rate cuts the US Futures are suggesting a modest rally at the open, and I would not be surprised if overnight futures highs get tested sometime during today’s session.  We have Consumer Sentiment at 10:00 AM Eastern that is expected to remain strong and more Fed speak to round out this week’s economic calendar. 

Trade Wisely,

Doug

Bullish Piercing Candle

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Friday Update: (SPY) The Bullish Piercing Candle from yesterday did not get follow-through. Today we bought INTC, LYFT, OXY, and VXX. INTC ended about where we bought it, LYFT up 1.57%, OXY up 16.9% and VXX is up 16.9%.

Have a great weekend everyone!

MSFT is gapping on earnings! Yesterday July 18, we closed VXX for a small loss and made no other trades. Due to market chop and condition. BABA is still set up in the Bands, over $178.10 we would look for a challenge of $184. Still holding F and will add over $10.30 (earnings on Wednesday). CPB is acting well pattern breakout and riding the trend. A close below the Red T-Band and I will close QCOM. We have added a couple of new scans to the scanner and will hold a clinic this Friday at 2: pm in room #3.

Save $50.00 with Promo Code: 👉 Privilege 👈

👉 Full disclosure, we are actively trading all stocks mentioned in the above. We may close or add more at anytime. To learn more about us or join in the live trading room consider an HRC membership or trial Rick and the HRC Members kick off the trading room starting at 9:10 Eastern We review the market and today’s trade ideas.

Pre-Market Thoughts

The SPY made four lower lows then yesterday on a FED comment the bulls stepped in. The SPY closed with a Bullish Piercing Candle from the $296. Key support line. Like all Candlesticks signals, confirmation is required, for yesterday’s rally to be confirmed we need to see positive trading above $298.90. With minimal overhead resistance, a Bullish J-Hook continuation pattern is setting up. At one point yesterday it looked as if the VXX chart was going to make a run for it, then pulled back closing with a Doji. The VXX is still trending down. A close above $24. Could rally a few more points. Stay safe and cautious with this market.

😊 Have a great trading day – Rick

🎯Malcolm .: Posted in room 2, @Rick… I used the LTA Scanner to go through hundreds of stocks this weekend and picked out three to trade:  PYPL, TGT, and ZS.   Quality patterns and with my trading, up 24%, 7% and 12%…. this program is gold.

🎯 Friday 6/21/19  (10:09 am) Aaron B: Today, my account is at +190% since January. Thanks, RWO HRC Flash Malcolm Thomas Steve Ed Bob S Bob C Mike P and everyone that contributes every day. I love our job.

Trade-Ideas

✅ It’s Friday, no trade Ideas today. Trade smart and wait for for the QEP → (QEP) Quality Entry Patterns). Check Earnings!

Disclosure: We do not act on all trades we mention, and not all mentions acted on the day of the mention. All trades we mention are for your consideration only.

Free YouTube Education  •  Subscription Plans • Private 2-Hour Coaching

DISCLAIMER: Investing / Trading involves significant financial risk and is not suitable for everyone. No communication from Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates or representatives is not financial or trading advice. All information provided by Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates and representatives are intended for educational purposes only. You are advised to test any new trading approach before implementing it.  Past performance does not guarantee future results.  Terms of Service

Bears are once again on the prowl!

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Bears are once again on the prowl

With the smell of fresh blood in the air after the disappointing results, NFLX reported yesterday the nearly forgotten bears are once again on the prowl.  NFLX has warned they would miss expectations and it makes you wonder what might lay ahead with the many other company warnings that were issued.  Technically speaking the bullish trends in the DIA, SPY and QQQ remain intact, but we should expect price action to become much more volatile as earnings reports increase over the next couple weeks.

Asian markets closed lower across the board overnight, reacting to earnings and growing trade war tensions.  European markets are currently mixed but mostly lower, citing trade uncertainty and tech earnings concerns.  US Futures have recovered significantly from overnight lows ahead of the 8:30 AM eastern Jobless Claims report and the Philly Fed Business Outlook Survey which both have the potential of moving the market.  I would expect challenging price action in weeks ahead, so plan your risk carefully.

On the Calendar

On the Thursday Earnings calendar, we have 90 companies stepping up to report quarterly results.  Among the notable reports ALLY, BBT, COF, CHWY, DHR, DOV, ETFC, GPC, HON, ISRG, MTB, MS, MSFT, NVS, NUE, PM, PPG, SKX, SWKS, STI, TSM, UNP, and UNH.

Action Plan

NFLX earnings disappointed traders after the bell yesterday reporting a significant decline in domestic subscribers.  Shares of the streaming service are indicated to open nearly 40 points lower this morning pulling the QQQ down to test breakout support levels.  It may also elevate the concerns of all the other tech companies that have warned about missing expectations this season.  Perhaps an even more damaging report came for CSX yesterday sending the railroad sharply lower raising significant concerns for the overall transport sector.

With another big round of earnings reports this morning and the tech giant MSFT reporting after the bell, we should expect an increase in volatility.  As of the close of yesterday overall trends of the DIA, SPY and QQQ remain bullish, but with the scent of blood in the air, hungry bears will be on the prowl.  As I write this, the bulls are trying to put on a brave face with the futures recovering significantly from overnight lows and currently suggesting modestly bearish open.  I would not be at all surprised to see a retest of the overnight lows depending on the morning earnings results and the 8:30 AM Economic Calendar reports. 

Trade Wisely,

Doug