Downside Tasuki Gap

Last Updated: March 27, 2017

There is a positive and a negative to nearly every situation. We’ve already discussed the upside of a Tasuki Gap, so now it’s time for the downside. Occurring at the end of a distinct downtrend, the Downside Tasuki Gap is a bearish continuation pattern. Like the Upside Tasuki Gap, it isn’t particularly common or dramatic, but why not add it to your repertoire regardless? To help you get started, today we’re exploring the formation of the Downside Tasuki Gap candlestick pattern and the meaning it conveys.
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Morning Video 03-27-17 Posted at 7:59 AM EDT

Good Morning!

The bears are hungry, and it looks like they plan to fed well today.  The failure of Congress to pass a new healthcare bill is gaping the market sharply lower this morning.  The selloff began in Asian markets last night and went all around the world.  Quietly I was hoping why would pull off a last minute deal before today’s open but apparently they have given up at least for now.

The economic calendar events will not provide us any help today because all have are a few bond announcements and a couple of Fed speakers that still have something say after talking all last week.  On the earnings front, we have 50 companies reporting today so stay on your toes.

The first order of business for me this morning is to manage the positions that I’m in.  We have some very nice profits in RWO trades so let’s make sure we are taking care of that business first.  Don’t act out of panic but clearly think through each position and respond as with a business frame of mind.  We will now start looking for some bearish positions, but we must remember that the 1st quarter is coming to an end and the possibility of an end a window dressing rally is possible.

Have an awesome day!

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Trade Wisely,

Doug

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From a bull’s eye SPY:

The Shooting Star Signal on the 3-day chart and the bear flag is proving to be too much for the bulls at this time. Until we see a solid bull reversal pattern I am seeing a $227.90 direction. Yes there will likely be relief rallies and a relief rally can turn into a reversal but a bullish pattern is usually required.

Second star to the right and straight on till morning! Well, not quite, Peter Pan. Those directions will take you to Neverland, but if you’re looking for a Shooting Star candlestick pattern, you’ll need better directions. This bearish reversal signal, which looks uncannily like the Inverted Hammer, is found at the end of an uptrend and heralds a falling price. It is formed by a single candle with a short body, little or no lower shadow, and a very long upper shadow. If you’re wondering exactly what a Shooting Star candlestick pattern looks like or what it might mean for future prices, scroll down. Everything you need to know is below . . .

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From a bull’s eye SPY:

It’s a tug-a-war between the bulls and the bears. Price remains under the T-Line which demands a bullish signal, then follow through that cuts through resistance. If you’re a bear your just waiting for a signal that drops the price below the pivot low of $233.05.

If you flip the Hammer candlestick on its head, the result becomes the (aptly named) Inverted Hammer candlestick pattern. Like the Hammer, the Inverted Hammer occurs after a downtrend, and it also has one long shadow and one non-existent (or very short) shadow. Plus, they’re both bullish reversal patterns formed with just one candle! The key to identifying a Hammer versus an Inverted Hammer is the location of the long shadow. A Hammer’s long shadow extends from the bottom of the body, while an Inverted Hammer’s long shadow projects from the top.

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From a bull’s eye SPY:

As of Wednesday’s close, the bear still owns the bull and the bear has created resistance starting about $235.80.

The last few days we have been talking about Moving Average crossover, using the T-Line and another slower moving average. The SPY has clearly broken the bull trend. The candle patterns have also confirmed the sellers are in charge.

To be bullish we will need to see a candlesticks reversal and a moving average cross-over. Set you to plan up and create a working watch list. Until then we will focus on, in this order, shorts, inverse ETF’s, longs.

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