50 Pounds of Moving Average

We bought Roku a few days ago after the LTA scanner popped an alert yesterday we are up 21.1% What would you expect from the #1 Live Alert scanning tool in the World.  I would be more than happy to teach how I use the LTA Stanner.  Watch for a 4-hour clinic, coming soon.

The SPY closed a bit higher than the day before but not over the 50-SMA and the $290.98 line we talked about yesterday. Price action has not pushed through the T-Line Bands, and the V-Stop Dots are red. The VXX still does not show much fear on the daily chart other then it is set up with a low high and higher low all it needs is a reason, the conditions are in place. The player, SPY, DIA, QQQ, IWM, SMA, IYT already have 50-pounds of moving averages on top of them.

Acton Plan, Trade Toughts To Today

  1. Manage the trades I am in
  2. Don’t trade the first 30-min of the market, unless it is for a chart I already own
  3. Trade smaller, less capital in a position
  4. Fewer positions
  5. Longer lunch (LOL)
  6. Trade strong, stable charts, not one-day wonders
  7. Trade with the trend of the chart
  8. Play with base hits
  9. Stops, always have a stop plan
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Trade Ideas

We are adding the following trade ideas to our watch-list. Be sure to check earnings dates. FAS, ERX, AMJ, XHB, PAYX, NWL, CNC, HES, Trend, Protective Stops, Base hits.

We use 2 of The Worlds Best Trading Tools, TC2000 for charting, LTA-Live Trading Alerts for real-time price action, candle and candle patterns, and western patterns. The right tools for the right job.👍

Free YouTube Education  •  Subscription PlansPrivate 2-Hour Coaching

DISCLAIMER: Investing / Trading involves significant financial risk and is not suitable for everyone. No communication from Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates or representatives is not financial or trading advice. All information provided by Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates and representatives are intended for educational purposes only. You are advised to test any new trading approach before implementing it.  Past performance does not guarantee future results.  Terms of Service

Tech Relief

Tech Relief

A 90-day grace period added to the technology ban with Huawei has the lifted the spirits of the futures market this morning and relieved some of the strong selling pressure in the NASDAQ.  Futures are pointing to more than a 100 point gap up open in the Dow and the NASDAQ is showing at least a partial recovery of yesterday’s rout.  However there is still significant technical damage in the charts and with US/China negotiations stalled, repairing the damage could take some time.

Price action continues to be very challenging with what seems almost daily overnight reversals and big gaps.  Swing traders are likely finding it very difficult to maintain an edge of any kind as the volatility favors the quick in out of day trading avoiding the overnight risk.  Remember don’t fight the market and don’t trade just to have something to do.  Remain disciplined to your trading plan and profit your capital until your edge returns.

On the Calendar

calendar

On the Earnings Calendar we have more than 70 companies reporting with a big emphasis in retail for the rest of the week.  Among the notables today, KSS, JWN, CRMT, EV, HD, JCP, TJX, TOL and URBN,

Action Plan

After the close yesterday a 90 day grace period was added to the Huawei blacklisting to relieve some pressure on the US tech companies.  This exemption allows Googe to send software updates to Huawei phones which use its Android operating system through August 19th.  As a result NASDAQ futures are recovering substantially this morning and lifting the spirits of the other major indexes as well. 

Unfortunitually the divide between the US and China trade negotiations seems to have grown and according to reports the trade war could get worse before it gets better.  Despite that US futures are pointing to a positive open this morning but keep in mind there is still significant technical damage in the charts that will likely take some time to repair.  The overnight reversals and volatility continue to favor the very nimble day traders and making it challenging for swing traders to matain an edge of any kind.

Trade Wisely,

Doug

Challenging The 50-SMA

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Futures are up this morning as this blog is being written. Looking at the SPY (weekly chart) it is clear to see price on a support and the 23.6 Fib line. (Not too surprised of a bounce and a test of the 50-SMA) The daily chart has the 200-SMA 2.3% below yesterdays close, and the daily Blue Ica failure is still in the game. Bullish price action would have to close above $289.20 for the buyers to be in control. In my humble opinion, anything less than $289.20 would keep the current downtrend intact. The T2122 chart is now in an oversold area; buyers are starting to peck around, but will they be able to give us a solid close in the next day or so over $289.20? Remember base hits and protective stops. Set a plan 2:1 minimum and when long buy near support and when shorting buy near resistance. The market of late has been challenging for even the best of traders, ask them what their tricks are to survive.

Trade Ideas

We are adding the following trade ideas to our watch-list. Be sure to check earnings dates. COST, SYF, PEP, BX, AXP, LMT, MA, MET. Trend, Protective Stops, Base hits.

We use 2 of The Worlds Best Trading Tools, TC2000 for charting, LTA-Live Trading Alerts for real-time price action, candle and candle patterns, and western patterns. The right tools for the right job.👍

Free YouTube Education  •  Subscription PlansPrivate 2-Hour Coaching

DISCLAIMER: Investing / Trading involves significant financial risk and is not suitable for everyone. No communication from Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates or representatives is not financial or trading advice. All information provided by Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates and representatives are intended for educational purposes only. You are advised to test any new trading approach before implementing it.  Past performance does not guarantee future results.  Terms of Service

Nervous Tensions

Tensions

Stalled US/China trade negotiations continue to ripple around the world as the nervous tensions grow amidst the uncertainty of it all.  After the blacklisting of Huawei’s devices, Google has suspended business activity with the Chinese device maker essentially blocking it from global growth and inflaming already difficult negotiations between the countries.

Tensions are also on the rise with Iran with the president’s warning of the end of Iran if they raise arms against the US.  As John Wayne would say, they’s fightin’ words!  Hopefully cooler heads will prevail but once again the uncertainty is not something the market likes so keep an eye on the VIX if fear begins to grow.  A failure at the 50-day average in the index chart creates significant technical and psychological damage that can take weeks if not months to repair.  Choose your risk carefully.

On the Calendar

calendar

On the Earnings calendar we have 80 companies expected to fess up to results.  Notable earnings include IGT, TTM & TI.

Action Plan

Futures that initially pushed higher by nearly 120 points in early trading reversed overnight as trade war tensions continue and saber rattling with Iran grew over the weekend.  Potentially damaging technical price patterns let behind on Friday’ index charts could bring out the bear this morning unless there is something that can inspire the bulls in the lead up to today’s open.

Unfortunately there is nothing on the economic calendar to inspire and although there are some notable earnings reports today they are unlikely to market moving events.  That means the market will likely be very sensitive to news reports and tweets today opening the door to volatile price action.  Remember is unwise to chaise a gap so let’s wait and see if sellers come in to support the gap before making any new trade decisions.

Trade Wisely,

Doug

Performing A Balance Act

It looks has been performing a balancing act around the 50-SMA for the past nine days, all below its recent high. A close above $290.50 could set the bulls free to challenge the $294.95 high. Weakness and a failure to claim the 50-SMA for the Bulls could lead into chart patterns such as a “Blue Ice Failure” and a “Bearish H Pattern.” Both of these patterns are on the edge of success and could push price closer to the 200-SMA or about. The T2122 chart (3wk New High/Low Ratio has not turned up from the recent down move. When looking at the VXX on the daily chart, it looks like like it has been through a meat grinder, but the chart pattern is still holding a bullish form. To say this market has been easy to trade the last couple of weeks would be a flat out lie. It’s important to know when duck into a cove, tie up and wait out the storm.

Trade Ideas

We are adding the following trade ideas to our watch-list. PEP, GIS, CMCSA, PLUG, MDB, CELG, ATHM, SQQQ, TZA, SOXS, XRX, VXX, SPXS. We follow the trend, buy near support, profit into strength for solid base hits.

We use 2 of The Worlds Best Trading Tools, TC2000 for charting, LTA-Live Trading Alerts for real-time price action, candle and candle patterns, and western patterns. The right tools for the right job.👍

Free YouTube Education  •  Subscription PlansPrivate 2-Hour Coaching

DISCLAIMER: Investing / Trading involves significant financial risk and is not suitable for everyone. No communication from Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates or representatives is not financial or trading advice. All information provided by Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates and representatives are intended for educational purposes only. You are advised to test any new trading approach before implementing it.  Past performance does not guarantee future results.  Terms of Service

IWM Having Trouble

Earlier this week price had closed below the 50-SMA and yesterday (Thursday) the Bulls found a path to close over the 50-SMA. This by no means suggests the bulls are back. A test of the or near the 50-SMA is required and bullish follow-through from there. Below $279.95 the seller will throw a party, and above %289.23 the buyers will dance in the streets. IWM is having a little trouble at the 50-SMA, a bear flag and a Blue Ice Failure at the moment, for this reason, we shorted IWM yesterday looking for a few hundred $$$ in profits. The VXX chart is another reason we took advantage of IWM. On the 15- minute chart the VXX was forming a bottom (“W”) looking like it want to attack its 50-SMA. Pre-market this plan is working, we will see if the open is the same. Yesterday we closed out PEP and PG for nice double-digit profits, could have not done it without our trading tools.

Trade Ideas

Sorry, we do not post trade ideas on Fridays. Friday is the day we clean up our positions. And enjoy being a Trader of the market. We follow the trend, buy near support, profit into strength for solid base hits.

We use 2 of The Worlds Best Trading Tools, TC2000 for charting, LTA-Live Trading Alerts for real-time price action, candle and candle patterns, and western patterns.

👍 A good tool improves the way you work. A great tool 👉 improves the way you think. – Jejj Duntemann

Free YouTube Education  •  Subscription PlansPrivate 2-Hour Coaching

DISCLAIMER: Investing / Trading involves significant financial risk and is not suitable for everyone. No communication from Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates or representatives is not financial or trading advice. All information provided by Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates and representatives are intended for educational purposes only. You are advised to test any new trading approach before implementing it.  Past performance does not guarantee future results.  Terms of Service

Weekend Risk

Having reaped the benefits of a nice relief rally traders will have to consider the weekend risk of the trade war news and the rising tensions with Iran.  Futures are currently pointing to a bearish open with the Dow currently expected to open about 100 points lower. 

With a light day on both the earnings and economic calendars traders will have plenty of ponder the technical damage in index charts as this volatile week comes to the close.  Yesterday afternoon I began to lighten up by taking profits to reduce risk and hedging positions that I plan to hold.  Consider carefully how best to protect your capital in light of the tensions, possible volatility that can emerge over the weekend.

On the Calendar

As usual we get a little break on the Earnings Calendar Friday with only 13 companies today.  Notable earnings include DE & RDY.

Action Plan

After a big rally to test key resistance levels futures are pointing to some profit-taking at the open this morning.  With a light day on the earnings calendar and the economic calendar the market will have to ponder the technical damage in the charts as we move toward the weekend.  Tensions with Iran have grown to such an extent that the Whitehouse has deemed it time to inform Congress.

Hopefully cooler heads prevail but traders should consider the weekend risk if a military confrontation were to occur let alone the slings and arrows tossed back and forth in the trade war.  Currently futures point to more than a 100-point gap down.  If that holds the open watch closely to see if sellers support the gap before considering short positions.  However, if the sellers do being to pile on reducing risk into the weekend fear could quickly grow and selling could quickly accelerate. 

Trade Wisely,

Doug

Up Or Down?

Yesterday’s candle rolled about 1.56% or about $4.40, that’s what happens when you’re afraid to fall, unfortunately, sometimes it can’t be helped. As we had said yesterday if the SPY can not turn $285.65 into support price will be forced to sleep with the 200-SMA for a day or two. Yesterday’s candle was impressive, but now we need follow-through and a test of the $285.65 area for support. For the 50-SMA followers price closed yesterday below the 50-SMA and the fast moving average has not closed back over the T-Line, meaning the buyers need more time or there are not enough buyers willing to push. Pre-Market is suggesting the buyers are in town. Hopefully, they will stay. Support above $265.85 would also suggest the recent May highs could get challenged. Keep your eye on the VXX; price is still in a bullish formation, and support is near.

In my opinion, the LTA- Live Scanner and TC2000 offer the best of the best. TC2000 charts are clear, easy to use, and read. The LTA- Live Alert Scanner pops up trade ideas that fit my style based on how I have set the program up right on my desktop. Day Traders and Swing Trader needs an edge to succeed.

🍰 Today we are adding 10 stocks to our watch list for a possible trade in the next few days. ZNGA, RCII, SE, AMD, BX, MDLZ, AIG, ZS, PG, MSFT, PEP, NOW, The alert software we at Hit and Run Candlesticks and Right Way Options is available to you. Try it for a month

🎯 The Worlds Best Trading Tools ✅ TC2000 for charting, ✅ LTA-Live Trading Alerts for real-time price action, candle and candle patterns, and western patterns. ✅ TradeHawk for placing the trades. Crazy enough, not one of them are expensive.

👍 A good tool improves the way you work. A great tool 👉 improves the way you think. – Jejj Duntemann

Free YouTube Education  •  Subscription PlansPrivate 2-Hour Coaching

DISCLAIMER: Investing / Trading involves significant financial risk and is not suitable for everyone. No communication from Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates or representatives is not financial or trading advice. All information provided by Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates and representatives are intended for educational purposes only. You are advised to test any new trading approach before implementing it.  Past performance does not guarantee future results.  Terms of Service

Do we Dare Hope?

Hope

Do we dare hope for a bullish follow-through this morning? Although a presidential executive order seems to have raised trade war tensions markets are putting on a brave face this morning.  Following a rather volatile session Asian market closed mixed but modestly higher overnight.  European are currently green across the board and US Futures point to a bullish open in the pre-market. 

The world largest retailer, WMT, has already reported better than expected to give the futures a nice bump but we have three potential market-moving economic reports at 8:30 AM Eastern for the market to digest before the open.  Keep a close eye on price action and remember we have important resistance levels just above that the bears could defend.  As for me I do dare to hope for follow-through bullishness but I will patiently wait until I see proof the bulls have the energy to deal with resistance before considering new risk.

On the Calendar

calendar

We have a lighter day on the Earnings Calendar but we have some heavy hitters that could move the market.  Notable reports include, WMT, NVDA, AINV, AMAT, BIDU, BOOT, FRO, IQ, LTM, MANU, NGG & WIX.

Action Plan

We had a nice steady rally yesterday following a gap down open as the market reacted to trade tensions and declining retail sales figures.  After the bell yesterday the president signed an executive order that allows the federal government to block transactions that involve information or communications technology citing National Security concerns.  China sees this as a direct assault on the mobile device seller Huawei adding additional pressure to trade negotiations.

Despite that, futures are currently pointing bullish open.  Dare we hope for a day of follow-through?  Keep in mind we have some big earnings reports today that could move the market as well as three potential market-moving economic reports at 8:30 AM Eastern.  If the pre-market bullishness holds into the open remember to watch closely key resistance levels where the bears could reassert themselves.  A gap into resistance raises the risk of a pop and drop so keep a close eye on the price action and avoid chasing the open.

Trade wisely,

Doug