Nervous Tensions

Tensions

Stalled US/China trade negotiations continue to ripple around the world as the nervous tensions grow amidst the uncertainty of it all.  After the blacklisting of Huawei’s devices, Google has suspended business activity with the Chinese device maker essentially blocking it from global growth and inflaming already difficult negotiations between the countries.

Tensions are also on the rise with Iran with the president’s warning of the end of Iran if they raise arms against the US.  As John Wayne would say, they’s fightin’ words!  Hopefully cooler heads will prevail but once again the uncertainty is not something the market likes so keep an eye on the VIX if fear begins to grow.  A failure at the 50-day average in the index chart creates significant technical and psychological damage that can take weeks if not months to repair.  Choose your risk carefully.

On the Calendar

calendar

On the Earnings calendar we have 80 companies expected to fess up to results.  Notable earnings include IGT, TTM & TI.

Action Plan

Futures that initially pushed higher by nearly 120 points in early trading reversed overnight as trade war tensions continue and saber rattling with Iran grew over the weekend.  Potentially damaging technical price patterns let behind on Friday’ index charts could bring out the bear this morning unless there is something that can inspire the bulls in the lead up to today’s open.

Unfortunately there is nothing on the economic calendar to inspire and although there are some notable earnings reports today they are unlikely to market moving events.  That means the market will likely be very sensitive to news reports and tweets today opening the door to volatile price action.  Remember is unwise to chaise a gap so let’s wait and see if sellers come in to support the gap before making any new trade decisions.

Trade Wisely,

Doug

Performing A Balance Act

It looks has been performing a balancing act around the 50-SMA for the past nine days, all below its recent high. A close above $290.50 could set the bulls free to challenge the $294.95 high. Weakness and a failure to claim the 50-SMA for the Bulls could lead into chart patterns such as a “Blue Ice Failure” and a “Bearish H Pattern.” Both of these patterns are on the edge of success and could push price closer to the 200-SMA or about. The T2122 chart (3wk New High/Low Ratio has not turned up from the recent down move. When looking at the VXX on the daily chart, it looks like like it has been through a meat grinder, but the chart pattern is still holding a bullish form. To say this market has been easy to trade the last couple of weeks would be a flat out lie. It’s important to know when duck into a cove, tie up and wait out the storm.

Trade Ideas

We are adding the following trade ideas to our watch-list. PEP, GIS, CMCSA, PLUG, MDB, CELG, ATHM, SQQQ, TZA, SOXS, XRX, VXX, SPXS. We follow the trend, buy near support, profit into strength for solid base hits.

We use 2 of The Worlds Best Trading Tools, TC2000 for charting, LTA-Live Trading Alerts for real-time price action, candle and candle patterns, and western patterns. The right tools for the right job.👍

Free YouTube Education  •  Subscription PlansPrivate 2-Hour Coaching

DISCLAIMER: Investing / Trading involves significant financial risk and is not suitable for everyone. No communication from Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates or representatives is not financial or trading advice. All information provided by Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates and representatives are intended for educational purposes only. You are advised to test any new trading approach before implementing it.  Past performance does not guarantee future results.  Terms of Service

IWM Having Trouble

Earlier this week price had closed below the 50-SMA and yesterday (Thursday) the Bulls found a path to close over the 50-SMA. This by no means suggests the bulls are back. A test of the or near the 50-SMA is required and bullish follow-through from there. Below $279.95 the seller will throw a party, and above %289.23 the buyers will dance in the streets. IWM is having a little trouble at the 50-SMA, a bear flag and a Blue Ice Failure at the moment, for this reason, we shorted IWM yesterday looking for a few hundred $$$ in profits. The VXX chart is another reason we took advantage of IWM. On the 15- minute chart the VXX was forming a bottom (“W”) looking like it want to attack its 50-SMA. Pre-market this plan is working, we will see if the open is the same. Yesterday we closed out PEP and PG for nice double-digit profits, could have not done it without our trading tools.

Trade Ideas

Sorry, we do not post trade ideas on Fridays. Friday is the day we clean up our positions. And enjoy being a Trader of the market. We follow the trend, buy near support, profit into strength for solid base hits.

We use 2 of The Worlds Best Trading Tools, TC2000 for charting, LTA-Live Trading Alerts for real-time price action, candle and candle patterns, and western patterns.

👍 A good tool improves the way you work. A great tool 👉 improves the way you think. – Jejj Duntemann

Free YouTube Education  •  Subscription PlansPrivate 2-Hour Coaching

DISCLAIMER: Investing / Trading involves significant financial risk and is not suitable for everyone. No communication from Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates or representatives is not financial or trading advice. All information provided by Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates and representatives are intended for educational purposes only. You are advised to test any new trading approach before implementing it.  Past performance does not guarantee future results.  Terms of Service

Weekend Risk

Having reaped the benefits of a nice relief rally traders will have to consider the weekend risk of the trade war news and the rising tensions with Iran.  Futures are currently pointing to a bearish open with the Dow currently expected to open about 100 points lower. 

With a light day on both the earnings and economic calendars traders will have plenty of ponder the technical damage in index charts as this volatile week comes to the close.  Yesterday afternoon I began to lighten up by taking profits to reduce risk and hedging positions that I plan to hold.  Consider carefully how best to protect your capital in light of the tensions, possible volatility that can emerge over the weekend.

On the Calendar

As usual we get a little break on the Earnings Calendar Friday with only 13 companies today.  Notable earnings include DE & RDY.

Action Plan

After a big rally to test key resistance levels futures are pointing to some profit-taking at the open this morning.  With a light day on the earnings calendar and the economic calendar the market will have to ponder the technical damage in the charts as we move toward the weekend.  Tensions with Iran have grown to such an extent that the Whitehouse has deemed it time to inform Congress.

Hopefully cooler heads prevail but traders should consider the weekend risk if a military confrontation were to occur let alone the slings and arrows tossed back and forth in the trade war.  Currently futures point to more than a 100-point gap down.  If that holds the open watch closely to see if sellers support the gap before considering short positions.  However, if the sellers do being to pile on reducing risk into the weekend fear could quickly grow and selling could quickly accelerate. 

Trade Wisely,

Doug

Up Or Down?

Yesterday’s candle rolled about 1.56% or about $4.40, that’s what happens when you’re afraid to fall, unfortunately, sometimes it can’t be helped. As we had said yesterday if the SPY can not turn $285.65 into support price will be forced to sleep with the 200-SMA for a day or two. Yesterday’s candle was impressive, but now we need follow-through and a test of the $285.65 area for support. For the 50-SMA followers price closed yesterday below the 50-SMA and the fast moving average has not closed back over the T-Line, meaning the buyers need more time or there are not enough buyers willing to push. Pre-Market is suggesting the buyers are in town. Hopefully, they will stay. Support above $265.85 would also suggest the recent May highs could get challenged. Keep your eye on the VXX; price is still in a bullish formation, and support is near.

In my opinion, the LTA- Live Scanner and TC2000 offer the best of the best. TC2000 charts are clear, easy to use, and read. The LTA- Live Alert Scanner pops up trade ideas that fit my style based on how I have set the program up right on my desktop. Day Traders and Swing Trader needs an edge to succeed.

🍰 Today we are adding 10 stocks to our watch list for a possible trade in the next few days. ZNGA, RCII, SE, AMD, BX, MDLZ, AIG, ZS, PG, MSFT, PEP, NOW, The alert software we at Hit and Run Candlesticks and Right Way Options is available to you. Try it for a month

🎯 The Worlds Best Trading Tools ✅ TC2000 for charting, ✅ LTA-Live Trading Alerts for real-time price action, candle and candle patterns, and western patterns. ✅ TradeHawk for placing the trades. Crazy enough, not one of them are expensive.

👍 A good tool improves the way you work. A great tool 👉 improves the way you think. – Jejj Duntemann

Free YouTube Education  •  Subscription PlansPrivate 2-Hour Coaching

DISCLAIMER: Investing / Trading involves significant financial risk and is not suitable for everyone. No communication from Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates or representatives is not financial or trading advice. All information provided by Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates and representatives are intended for educational purposes only. You are advised to test any new trading approach before implementing it.  Past performance does not guarantee future results.  Terms of Service

Do we Dare Hope?

Hope

Do we dare hope for a bullish follow-through this morning? Although a presidential executive order seems to have raised trade war tensions markets are putting on a brave face this morning.  Following a rather volatile session Asian market closed mixed but modestly higher overnight.  European are currently green across the board and US Futures point to a bullish open in the pre-market. 

The world largest retailer, WMT, has already reported better than expected to give the futures a nice bump but we have three potential market-moving economic reports at 8:30 AM Eastern for the market to digest before the open.  Keep a close eye on price action and remember we have important resistance levels just above that the bears could defend.  As for me I do dare to hope for follow-through bullishness but I will patiently wait until I see proof the bulls have the energy to deal with resistance before considering new risk.

On the Calendar

calendar

We have a lighter day on the Earnings Calendar but we have some heavy hitters that could move the market.  Notable reports include, WMT, NVDA, AINV, AMAT, BIDU, BOOT, FRO, IQ, LTM, MANU, NGG & WIX.

Action Plan

We had a nice steady rally yesterday following a gap down open as the market reacted to trade tensions and declining retail sales figures.  After the bell yesterday the president signed an executive order that allows the federal government to block transactions that involve information or communications technology citing National Security concerns.  China sees this as a direct assault on the mobile device seller Huawei adding additional pressure to trade negotiations.

Despite that, futures are currently pointing bullish open.  Dare we hope for a day of follow-through?  Keep in mind we have some big earnings reports today that could move the market as well as three potential market-moving economic reports at 8:30 AM Eastern.  If the pre-market bullishness holds into the open remember to watch closely key resistance levels where the bears could reassert themselves.  A gap into resistance raises the risk of a pop and drop so keep a close eye on the price action and avoid chasing the open.

Trade wisely,

Doug

Trend a Traders Edge

Something as simple as a trend can be a traders edge. Based on or 3-Line Dark chart the sellers are winning the game, at least as of yesterdays close. If the buyers can close above $285.65 and establish support, they have a chance to climb higher. Ultimately the trend needs to make a big turn, 👉Fast-EMA needs to be above the T-Line, and the T-Line need to be above the slow-EMA. If the sellers maintain control, we are looking at both our 200 moving average lines for a price test. Looking at the weekly chart, the SPY is at a little support but is also looking at three lower lows, and the monthly chart is supporting a Bearish Engulf. The VXX has challenged the 200-SMA in the (RBB) Rounded Bottom Breakout pattern, currently bullishly consolidating. May is turning out to be a fight between the buyers and sellers; this is where traders need the very best tools 👉for trading and have their wits about them.

In my opinion, the LTA- Live Scanner and TC2000 offer the best of the best. TC2000 charts are clear, easy to use, and read. The LTA- Live Alert Scanner pops up trade ideas that fit my style based on how I have set the program up right on my desktop. Day Traders and Swing Trader needs an edge to succeed.

🍰 Today we are adding 10 stocks to our watch list for a possible trade in the next few days. SPXS, QID, FAZ, VXX, TZA, SYY, COTY, GIS, CL, NEE. The alert software we at Hit and Run Candlesticks and Right Way Options is available to you. Try it for a month

🎯 The Worlds Best Trading Tools ✅ TC2000 for charting, ✅ LTA-Live Trading Alerts for real-time price action, candle and candle patterns, and western patterns. ✅ TradeHawk for placing the trades. Crazy enough, not one of them are expensive.

👍 A good tool improves the way you work. A great tool 👉 improves the way you think. – Jejj Duntemann

Free YouTube Education  •  Subscription PlansPrivate 2-Hour Coaching

DISCLAIMER: Investing / Trading involves significant financial risk and is not suitable for everyone. No communication from Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates or representatives is not financial or trading advice. All information provided by Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates and representatives are intended for educational purposes only. You are advised to test any new trading approach before implementing it.  Past performance does not guarantee future results.  Terms of Service

Will the Relief Rally continue?

Yesterday broad-based rally left me hopeful that we might see at least a little follow-through bullishness this morning.  Futures during the night showed some promise of that as Asian markets rallied closing up across the board.  Unfortunately that bullishness has faded this morning ahead of a big day of earnings reports and economic reports.

Although there was some sweet relief yesterday from the selling pressure so much technical damage was created on Monday prices now face some pretty tough resistance levels if the rally is to continue.  Perhaps this mornings data deluge and provide the energy need to inspire the bulls higher.  As you plan your risk forward however it would be wise to remember that it’s not uncommon for prices to retest market lows at some point.  Remember the current trend is still down and how the market deals with resistance levels will be very important as we move forward.

On the Calendar

calendar

A busy day on the Earnings Calendar with nearly 190 companies reporting.  Notable reports BABA, CSCO, ERJ, FLO, JACK, M, NTES & TCEHY.

Action Plan

Yesterday’s relief rally appears to have been very broad-based with many sectors involved in the recovery.  Unfortunitually Monday’s selling created so much technical damage in charts they now face some pretty strong price resistance levels.  We also have a very big day of earnings and an economic calendar full of potential market move reports for the market to chew on this morning. 

Futures reopened last night bearish but then turned bullish as Asian markets found the energy to recover but that warn and fuzzy feeling has now slipped away.  As I write this note futures are pointing to a gap down of more than 50 points but that could quickly change as earnings and economic data rolls out.  Keep a close eye on overhead resistance levels and remember that market bottoms often require a retest of previous supports so plan your risk carefully.

Trade wisely,

Doug

Possible Relief Rally?

Relief Rally

US futures are pointing to a triple point gap up but is this a relief rally or the setup for a pop and drop pattern?  Only time will tell but be careful not to get caught in fear of missing out rushing into danger.  There was wise spread technical damage created in most sectors of the market yesterday so keep an eye on those price resistance levels if the bulls do choose to test them. 

Though the market may have created a short-term oversold condition with yesterdays aggressive sell-off the trade war is likely to have lasting impacts so don’t expect the bears to give up easily.  The market is likely to remain volatile, sensitive to tweets and news reports so plan your risk carefully.  The current market condition is likely to be challenging to even the most experienced traders so there is no need to rush into harm’s way, remain disciplined to your rules and wait for your edge to return even if this is a relief rally.

On the Calendar

calendar

We have nearly 170 companies on the Earnings Calendar expected to report results.  Among the notable reports, BABA, PLCE, CSCO, ERJ, FLO, JACK, M, NTES & TCEHY

Action Plan

After taking considerable time to look over 1000’s of charts last night, yesterday’s rout created significant technical damage across most sectors.  Consumer defensive stocks, utilities, precious metals fared the best as traders and investors looked to find some safe havens.  Futures are pointing to a triple-digit gap up but it would not be wise to rush in the morning gap.  The bears are unlikely to give up easily and we will have to watch the possibility of a pop and drop pattern.

Price action is likely to remain fast, volatile and very challenging even to the most experienced traders.  For the time being this is a very emotional and news-driven market subject to intra-day and overnight reversals so plan your risk carefully.  Due to the heightened volatility, if I do trade, I will take smaller than normal positions and expect to take profits without hesitation to reduce the risk of reversal.  Stay disciplined to your rules and patiently wait for technical correct patterns that provide you with a higher probability edge.

Trade Wisely,

Doug