All about the Earnings

All about the Earnings

It’s all about the earnings and it would seem the entire world is waiting on the edge of their seat to see the results.  Asian markets closed mixed but mostly lower as they wait and European index are also pensive this morning waiting on the wave of earnings results out this morning.  The trends in the DIA, SPY and QQQ continue to hold but thus far have lacked the inspiration to attack all-time highs.  If earnings are good enough that may be exactly what we do.

However if earnings disappoint than the small-caps currently the weakest of the indexes could lead us lower and already showing weakness.  Expect significant volatility over the next few weeks with the possibility of large morning gaps in either direction as traders and investors digest the results.  As always set aside your bias and focus on the price action.  What we want the market to do is not relevant.  How we exercise our discipline to trade the market reaction is what matters.  Which direction we go is all about the earnings!

On the Calendar

calendar

We have a big day on the earnings calendar with nearly 150 companies reporting results today.  Notable reports include, CP, CNC, CIT, KO, EBAY, EW, FITB, FE, HOG, HAS, PG, IRBT, JBLU, LMT, NUE, SHW, SIX, SNAP, STT SYK, AMTD, TXN, TRU TWTR & VZ.

Action Plan

After a day of anemic price action markets around the world continued to trade very cautiously overnight.  Asian markets closed mixed but mostly lower waiting for the US earnings and reacting to rising oil prices.  European markets currently indicate the same caution with mixed but mostly lower results as they wait for the earning deluge.  As a result the US early morning futures are modestly lower across the board but that likely to significantly change as earnings roll out fast a furiously in the pre-market.

Existing home sales came in short of expectations yesterday despite the lower interest rates.  With that in mind the New Home Sales report at 10 AM Eastern gains in significance and could move the market today should it also miss expectations.  Technically speaking the DIA, SPY and QQQ are in good shape holding trends while still looking for inspiration to challenge price resistance levels.  IWM on the other hand is a different story trading well below all-time highs and currently dealing with a failed new high.  Will earnings prove strong enough to lift the market?  Only time will tell.

Trade Wisely,

Doug

Buyers and Sellers Battle

The price action battle is on between the buyers and sellers. Last week the sellers printed a Bearish Engulf on Thursday and follow-through on Friday. Yesterday (Monday) the Buyers printed a Bullish Engulf that covered Friday’s Doji follow-through. The buyers still control the trend, hands down! Using the recent Doji low $288.66 as the pivot low the buys have a chance to use yesterday’s Engulf as a key candle to help with there challenge of higher highs. “Of course the question is will they” As boring as this market has been it’s nice to see the profits/losses and the net gain posted in the trading room. “Thanks, Traders!” The VIX continues to show no fear, which points to a bullish market.

🎁 Trade Alerts with LTA has proven to be the #1 alert system in trading. Serious about making money? LTA will provide alerts to you in real-time on your computer screen based on what you are looking for. Candlesticks signal, chart patterns, or a combination of both and in different time-frames. Do you have a special chart pattern? The team at LTA can create it for you.

✅ Hit and Run Candlesticks trade Ideas for consideration: ZAYO, SPWR, XOP, LULU, MAR, DNR, CRZO, GDDY, CAG

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DISCLAIMER: Investing / Trading involves significant financial risk and is not suitable for everyone. No communication from Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates or representatives is not financial or trading advice. All information provided by Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates and representatives are intended for educational purposes only. You are advised to test any new trading approach before implementing it.  Past performance does not guarantee future results.  Terms of Service

Ticker CRZO

LTA – Live Trading Alerts

We saw CRZO popping on the scanner this morning when price was about $12.70. What a nice finish! I have it on the LTA scanner hot list looking for a PBO buy alert on a little consolidation. If you have the LTA scanner and need help setting up a hot list just let me know and I will walk you through it. Have a great evening.

Trade Alerts with LTA has proven to be the #1 alert system in trading. Serious about making money? LTA will provide alerts to you in real-time on your computer screen based on what you are looking for. Candlesticks signal, chart patterns, or a combination of both and in different time-frames. Do you have a special chart pattern? The team at LTA can create it for you.

You know your the best when other educations use your work.

Free YouTube Education  •  Subscription PlansPrivate 2-Hour Coaching

DISCLAIMER: Investing / Trading involves significant financial risk and is not suitable for everyone. No communication from Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates or representatives is not financial or trading advice. All information provided by Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates and representatives are intended for educational purposes only. You are advised to test any new trading approach before implementing it.  Past performance does not guarantee future results.  Terms of Service

Turbulent 3-day weekend.

Turbulent

A turbulent 3-day weekend of Easter terror attacks in Sri Lanka and Mueller report political drama ahead of a big week of earnings report has the futures pointing to a gap down open this morning.  With several markets around the world closed today and the likelihood that many traders and investors have extended their holiday; there is the possibility of light and choppy price action after the morning rush.

With about 800 companies scheduled to report earnings this week plan for an extra dose of price volatility and don’t be surprised to large morning gaps.  The big question to be answered is whether or not the earnings will inspire the market to new record highs or if the analyst’s concerns of an economic slowdown come to fruition in the company results?  Though we may have had a turbulent 3-day weekend of news the turbulence may just be beginning as earnings season heats up.  Stay focused on price action and plan your risk carefully for the possibility of bumpy air ahead. 

On the Calendar

calendar

On the Earnings Calendar we have nearly 80 companies reporting earnings today but we will have more than 300 reports on Thursday.  As the 2nd quarter earnings season heats up make sure to check reporting dates for all current holdings and those you’re considering for a buy. 

Action Plan

Easter terror attacks in Sri Lanka, Mueller report political drama, rising oil prices, Boeing facing claims of Dreamliner Mfg. issues, and a parked Tesla apparently blowing up are just a few of the stories popping up during the long weekend.  There are several markets closed around the world today as Easter holidays continue.  Futures are slightly under pressure this morning pointing to a gap down of more than 50 Dow points.  After the morning rush there is a possibility of light and choppy price action as may traders and investors have likely extended their holiday vacation.

With earnings season heating up this week we should expect increased price action volatility and the possibility of large daily gaps.  Check those earnings dates on companies you hold or are thinking about buying and plan your risk carefully.  I think the big question to be answered is will earnings finally break resistance highs propelling the markets to new records or will earnings point to the economic slowdown many analysts suggest.  Only time will tell so stay focused on price action for clues and respect support and resistance levels as you plan you risk moving forward.

Trade Wisely,

Doug

Friday Follow-Through?

Thursday last week the SPY printed a Bearish Engulf and Friday we did see minor follow-through with Friday’s close below the halfway point of the Bearish engulf and a lower low. Price has closed below our blue tightening wedge lines both Thursday and Friday. On the bright side, the SPY chart trend still has a bullish attitude with price closing Friday above the T-Line Bands. If the sellers can print a lowe close today below the green T-Band $286-285, could see a test. A bullish close over $290.35 would suggest the bulls are not finished with there challenge of the $293.95 high. This is a pretty heavy week of earnings, chose wisely when taking on a position or holding a position. With price action still in the bullish side of the T-Bands, we will remain cautiously bullish and continue to trade with clarity and rules.

Trade Alerts with LTA has proven to be the #1 alert system in trading. Serious about making money? LTA will provide alerts to you in real-time on your computer screen based on what you are looking for. Candlesticks signal, chart patterns, or a combination of both and in different time-frames. Do you have a special chart pattern? The team at LTA can create it for you.

✅ Trade-Ideas for consideration: BKH, PCG, NSP, USO, TZA, KBH, RIOT, LULU, AAPL, CTRP.

You know your the best when other educations use your work.
Rick’s Favorite Charting Software

Free YouTube Education  •  Subscription PlansPrivate 2-Hour Coaching

DISCLAIMER: Investing / Trading involves significant financial risk and is not suitable for everyone. No communication from Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates or representatives is not financial or trading advice. All information provided by Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates and representatives are intended for educational purposes only. You are advised to test any new trading approach before implementing it.  Past performance does not guarantee future results.  Terms of Service

Full Plate of Data

Full Plate

On this last trading day of the week the market has a full plate of data to chew through this morning.  Not only will this be the biggest day of the 2nd quarter earnings season so far but we also have several potential market-moving reports on the economic calendar before the open.  Then, shortly after the open, Attorney General Bar releases the Mueller Report that’s likely to trigger a firestorm of political spin and media speculation.

As the market digests all the morning reports it will also need to consider the risk of the 3-day weekend ahead.  I will not be at all surprised if the volume becomes very light and choppy as we head into the afternoon as traders head out to take full advantage of this 3-day spring getaway.  Our full plate will continue next week as earnings season ramps up with more than 700 companies expected to report.  Carefully pan your risk and have a great weekend everyone!

On the Calendar

We have 75 companies reporting earnings on this last trading day of the week due to the Good Friday Holiday.  Notable reports, ALLY, AXP, BBT, BX, CHKP, CFG, DHR, DOV, GPC, HON, ISRG, KEY, MAN, PM, RF, RCI, SLB, SKX, SNA, STI, SYF, TSM, TRV, UN & UNP.

Action Plan

Futures appear a bit sluggish as we head into a big of data before and a 3-day weekend.  First we the biggest day of earnings reports so far this season and a busy economic calendar with Jobless Claims, Philly Fed Bus. Outlook and Retail Sale all coming out at 8:30 AM Eastern.  If that were not enough, Attorney General Bar will release the Mueller Report this morning that is likely to trigger a firestorm of political spin.  Asian markets closed in the red across the board last night and European are currently showing mixed results after a disappointing manufacturing report.

Although US Futures have rallied from overnight lows they are still pointing to slightly bearish open as I write the morning note.  Don’t be too surprised to price action become light and choppy after the morning hubbub as traders and investors head out early to take full advantage of the 3-day weekend.  With the market continuing to struggle against the all-time resistance levels consider the risk carefully you carry into the long weekend.  I wish you all a great day of trading and a wonderful Good Friday holiday weekend!

Trade Wisely,

Doug

SPY Bearish Engulf

The SPY closed yesterday with a Bearish Engulf and closed below our narrowing pattern (I talked about the narrowing pattern in yesterdays morning blog) When we see a candle signal or pattern has printed it is important to wait for confirmation before making a huge commitment. A close below $289.40 would suggest about $287.30 may be the next pit stop. Of course, if the Bulls find a spark to run with a close over yesterdays high would surely see a challenge of the $293.95 area. Remember tomorrow is Good Friday and the market is closed, we will be treating today as our Friday and pulling a few trades off the table. Having the right tools to do the job is important, we all know that! What would you think if you changed tires for a living and didn’t have a jack, having the right tools is important for success.

Posted 4/17/2019 You can see from the SPY chart (above) the trend channel is narrowing as price moves closer to the SPY all-time high. As price narrows, I will be watching for a decisive break one way or another (Bullish or Bearish). Usually, when price narrows and builds pressure, a move is in the works.

✅ Trade-Ideas for consideration: No trade ideas today. We will call trades from the scanner live today. Will will also post a good setups in the trading room and the App

Drive it for 30-days, your quality of charts will increase. I never leave home without it.
You know your the best when other educations use your work.
Rick’s Favorite Charting Software

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DISCLAIMER: Investing / Trading involves significant financial risk and is not suitable for everyone. No communication from Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates or representatives is not financial or trading advice. All information provided by Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates and representatives are intended for educational purposes only. You are advised to test any new trading approach before implementing it.  Past performance does not guarantee future results.  Terms of Service

Cautiously Optimistic

I think cautiously optimistic best describes the current market condition and investor sentiment even though yesterday’s pop and drop price action may have been bit disappointing.  The bullish trends in the DIA, SPY and QQQ show the overall optimism of an all-time market high resistance test.  However, the price action is showing considerable caution as we approach high resistance levels as investors wonder what comes next?  Can earnings continue to support current price evaluations or not?

On this 4th day of 2nd quarter earnings results thus far are somewhat mixed so investors are is hoping clues will emerge today that support current trends.  So with the overall market cautiously optimistic we must stay with the trend but keep a close eye on price action as we approach resistance highs.  Clearly the bulls want new market highs but the big question is earnings continue to support these lofty levels?

On the Calendar

On the Earnings Calendar we have more than 70 companies reporting on this the 4th day of 2nd quarter earnings.  Notable reports today include, PIR, ABT, AA, BK, BHP, CCI, ETFC, KSU, LVS, MS, PEP & USB.

Action Plan

As I write this, US Futures are modestly bullish anticipating a fresh round of earnings and last nights report showing China’s economic growth was better than expected.  After the bell yesterday NFLX disappointed investors but even after projecting weak forward guidance the price bounced back substantial for early low’s.  IBM is also lower this morning in reaction to earnings that disappointed.  Asian markets closed mixed but modestly higher overall and currently European markets show modest gains but also showing slightly mixed results.

While yesterday’s pop and drop pattern was disappointing there was no technical damage to the index charts that continue to remain bullish.  With a large group of notable earnings this morning anything is possible by the time the market opens today.  Although holding trends in the DIA, SPY and QQQ and investors appear very cautious as we approach all-time high resistance levels.  If we do ultimately gap higher at the open, we must once again exercise discipline waiting to see if buyers step in to support the gap.  I’m confident the markets will reach out to test all-time highs but the big question is can they hold them once there?

Trade Wisely,

Doug

Price Patterns Narrowing

Another higher low for the SPY, the high had trouble, but the low was higher. Yesterday (Tuesday) was the 12th day above the T-Line Band. The SPY chart does look like it’s determined to challenge the $293.934 September high. Seriously the wall of worry is starting to get to traders, let’s keep it simple: Stay with the charts that are trending and the trend makes sense. Use trend lines and price action (Candlesticks) to determine if the trade is still in your favor. Become a base hitter by pulling off profits as price moves in your direction.

You can see from the SPY chart (above) the trend channel is narrowing as price moves closer to the SPY all-time high. As price narrows, I will be watching for a decisive break one way or another (Bullish or Bearish). Usually, when price narrows and builds pressure, a move is in the works.

✅ Trade-Ideas for consideration: NBR, WDC, RIOT, STX, UCO, HPQ, TIF, CAT, <AR, XOP, UTX. Let the LTA Scanner do you work for you Tryit for 30-days

Drive it for 30-days, your quality of charts will increase. I never leave home without it.
You know your the best when other educations use your work.
Rick’s Favorite Charting Software

Free YouTube Education  •  Subscription PlansPrivate 2-Hour Coaching

DISCLAIMER: Investing / Trading involves significant financial risk and is not suitable for everyone. No communication from Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates or representatives is not financial or trading advice. All information provided by Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates and representatives are intended for educational purposes only. You are advised to test any new trading approach before implementing it.  Past performance does not guarantee future results.  Terms of Service

QQQ Reaching Out

Reaching Out

A fresh round of earnings reports that include some big tech has inspired the futures markets sharply higher this morning and has the QQQ reaching out of an all-time high test.  If this bullishness holds throughout the morning the Dow futures suggest a gap up of more than 100 points after barely having the energy to move yesterday.  Asian market closed bullish overnight and European markets are mixed but mostly higher.

Bullish trends are intact for the DIA, SPY and QQQ but the IWM is questionable as it struggles with a lower resistance level.  Remember to respect the resistance above a be careful to not chase into the morning gap.  Wait for proof that buyers will support the gap as the indexes reach out toward all-time high resistance levels.  Personally it would be very disappointing after such an impressive 3-month rally if we don’t at least test the all-time highs.  The bulls want that headline but let’s not forget there could be bears up there ready to defend so plan your risk accordingly. It’s great to be reaching out but the next step is the ability to hold on to the new elevation and that is still in question.

On the Calendar

We have over 60 companies reporting today with the first big tech earnings beginning.  Some of the more notable reports today are, BAC, BLK, CMA, CSX, JNJ, UNC, UNH, WIT, NFLX & IBM.

Action Plan

After a disappointing price action day where both bull and bears lacked inspiration futures are bullish ahead of a fresh crop of earnings that include some big tech reports.  During the night Asian stocks advanced closing higher across the board.  European markets are currently mixed but mostly higher as cautious traders wait for US earnings data.  So far this morning JNJ has reported an earnings beat and is indicated higher and although BAC reported better than expected the stock is currently indicating a flat to lower open.  After the bell today we will hear from IBM and NFLX.

Technically speaking the bullish trends continue in the DIA, SPY and QQQ.  We are so close to testing the all-time highs in the QQQ and the SPY it would be a surprise to me if the bulls don’t find a way to reach out very shortly.  Who knows today might be the day!  Currently the Dow futures suggest a gap up open of more than 100 points and if the current bullishness continues through the open the QQQ will be very close to breaking out.  As bullish as it now appears make sure you respect resistance an avoid chasing the open gap.  Let’s make sure buyers are willing to step up in support. 

Trade Wisely,

Doug