Bad Black Friday and Good Vaccine News

Large-caps gapped about a third of a percent higher while the QQQ gapped up six-tenths of a percent at the open Friday.  Some roller-coaster volatility action all 3 markets closed near the open to print indecisive Doji-like candle on the shortened day.  For the session the SPY gained 0.28% (as the S&P500 closed at an all-time high), DIA gained 0.17%, and QQQ gained 0.92%.  The VXX was up slightly to 17.51 and T2122 fell a percent but remains deep in overbought territory at 95.76.  10-year bonds fell to 0.842% and Oil (WTI) fell to $45.52/barrel.

Reports came from coast to coast that Black Friday shopping foot traffic was down dramatically (over 53%).  Many analysts claim the virus has accelerated the move from brick-and-mortar to online shopping, but it is worth noting that retail analysts also tell us Black Friday online sales were only up 22%.  So, overall sales seem to be down 30% year-on-year on the biggest shopping day of the year.  On one other interesting note, Shopify reports that 71% of online sales now ome from a mobile device.

On the vaccine front, MRNA sys new data shows their vaccine is 94% effective, 100% effective in preventing severe cases, and they have enough safety data to ask for approval.  They plan to file their approval request and data later today.  In the meantime, the first shipment of the PFE-BTNX joint-venture vaccine has arrived in the US and will enter the special “extreme cold” distribution system.  The first vaccinations using the PFE-BTNX cavvine could come as soon as the next 2 weeks.

On the virus front itself, infections continue to rage as the US.  The US numbers are thrown off a bit by 20 states that have not reported data since Wednesday, which means we will also see a “catch-up spike” in the next day or so.  At any rate, US totals have risen to 13,751,337 confirmed cases and 273,101 deaths.  That said, the 7-day average of new cases fell to 163,649 while deaths are averaging deaths rise to 1,481/day.  26 states report a record number of hospitalizations.  Dr. Birx (White House Task Force) urged Thanksgiving travelers to get a test and self-isolate in a plea aimed at minimizing another super-spreader holiday.  This is likely to fall on deaf ears as over 6 million Americans traveled for Thanksgiving despite cautions. Ominously, Dr. Fauci (NIH) told the press Sunday that restrictions will be needed for Christmas and New Year’ s Day based on what was seen at Thanksgiving.

Globally, the numbers rose to 63,172,024 confirmed cases and the confirmed deaths are now at 1,467,129 deaths. In Europe, the UK reports that infections dropped 30% so far during their second lockdown.  This falls in-line with PM Johnson announcing that the quarantine will end this week and be replaced with a national tier system by region.  In Asia, Japan and South Korea report daily spikes again, with the latter will impose tighter restrictions as a result.  Other countries like Indonesia are reporting record case counts.  Even North Korea is admitting problems as it imposed very tight border restrictions with China in an effort to reduce new cases.

Overnight, Asian markets were red across the board.  Hong Kong (-2.06%), South Korea (-1.60%) led the losses among major economies.  However, Indonesia (-2.96%) and Malaysia (-2.79%) were the worst hit.  China reported better than expected PMI numbers on Sunday.  In Europe, markets are mixed so far today.  Russia (-1.07%) and Denmark (+1.06%) are outliers.  Among the big 3 exchanges, the FTSE is flat (+0.15%), the DAX up (+0.49%), and CAC (-0.13%) flat.  As of 7:30 am, US futures are pointing to a mixed open.  The DIA is implying a fall of 0.41%, the SPY a fall of 0.20%, and the QQQ to a slight gap higher (+0.29%).

The major economic news for Monday is limited to Core PCE Price index (7:30 am), Chicago PMI (9:45 am), and Oct. Pending Home Sales (10 am).  Major earnings reports on the day are limited to ADNT before the open.  Then after the close ZM reports.

This is the first day back after what, for many, was an extra-long weekend. So, we might see increased activity. Also, keep in mind that today is month-end. With little economic news or earnings reports, the market may be in a position to move. However, reports indicate Black Friday was a flop for retailers this year. That may weigh on at least the retail names.

We sit at or near all-time highs and the market is overextended by most counts. However, Mr. Market can remain overbought longer than you can take the pain of predicting reversals. So, don’t predict. As always, respect the trend, support/resistance, and price action. Don’t chase moves you have missed (there will be another opportunity) and stick with your trading rules. Our job as traders is consistency, not hitting home runs.

Ed

Swing Trade Ideas for your consideration and watchlist: REGI, SDGR, GKOS, TLRY, GNUS, DAR, CDAY, EVRI, TSM, PINS, DVAX, NTRA. Trade your plan, take profits along the way, and smart. Also, remember to check for impending earnings reports. Finally, remember that any tickers we mention and talk about in the trading room are not recommendations to buy or sell.

🎯 Mike Probst: Rick, Got CTL off the scanner today. Already up 30%. Love it.

🎯 Dick Carp: the scanner paid for the year with HES-thank you

🎯 Arnoldo Bolanos: LTA scanner really works $$, thanks Ed.

🎯 Bob S: LTA is incredible…. I use it … would not trade without it

🎯 Malcolm .: Posted in room 2, @Rick… I used the LTA Scanner to go through hundreds of stocks this weekend and picked out three to trade:  PYPL, TGT, and ZS.   Quality patterns and with my trading, up 24%, 7% and 12%…. this program is gold.

🎯 Friday 6/21/19  (10:09 am) Aaron B: Today, my account is at +190% since January. Thanks, RWO HRC Flash Malcolm Thomas Steve Ed Bob S Bob C Mike P and everyone that contributes every day. I love our job.

Hit and Run Candlesticks / Road To Wealth Youtube videos

|607% in just 24 months |

Disclosure: We do not act on all trades we mention, and not all mentions acted on the day of the mention. All trades we mention are for your consideration only.

Free YouTube Education  •  Subscription PlansPrivate 2-Hour Coaching

DISCLAIMER: Investing / Trading involves significant financial risk and is not suitable for everyone. No communication from Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates or representatives is not financial or trading advice. All information provided by Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates and representatives are intended for educational purposes only. You are advised to test any new trading approach before implementing it.  Past performance does not guarantee future results.  Terms of Service

Half-Day and No Economic News

Large-caps opened flat on Wednesday and then proceeded to put in a sideways, but bearish grind all day.  The QQQ gapped up four-tenths of a percent and after a bit of roller coaster action rallied mildly most of the day.  The SPY printed a Hanging Man candle while the QQQ printed a Spinning Top candle.  On the day, SPY lost 0.15%, DIA lost 0.56%, and QQQ gained 0.61%.  The VXX fell over 3.5% to 17.39 and T2122 rose deeper into the overbought territory at 96.93.  10-year bond yields were unchanged at 0.882% and Oil (WTI) rose to $45.24/barrel.

Bitcoin traders got a nasty shock after the close Wednesday.  After reaching its all-time high during the trading day, after-hours Bitcoin fell nearly $3,000.  No apparent cause for the plunge is known at this point.  However, CNBC reports that most cryptocurrency experts do not feel this volatility will have long-term implications and they still expect it to reach $20,000 soon (which after this drop is 18% away).

AZN faced more scrutiny on Thursday when more details about their Phase 3 trial were released.  It turns out that the mistake, which led to data implying a 90% efficacy rate, was based on a manufacturing problem. AZN mistakenly only put half doses of the vaccine in thousands of vials.  Rather than scrap or remanufacture the product, AZN and Oxford University made the decision to just administer the half doses to a younger group of volunteers.  So, while the 1.5 dose regimen did show it was 90% effective (versus 62%when 2 doses were administered to older volunteers), the data is skewed and the AZN quality control is in question.  Worse yet, AZN and Oxford did not disclose this in their original statement. Instead, they just said 1.5 doses was 90% effective and on average the vaccine was 70% effective.  Still, the vaccine was formally referred to the UK Medicines Regulator for assessment of fitness for approval.

On the virus front itself, infections continue to rage as the US. Despite a relative respite on the holiday (only 108,289 new cases) the US totals have risen to 13,249,447 confirmed cases and 269,597 deaths.  The 7-day average of new cases to 179,923 while deaths are averaging deaths rise to 1,712/day.  The Pentagon has instituted new restriction and protocols are cases climb on bases and ships.

Globally, the numbers rose to 61,448,892 confirmed cases and the confirmed deaths are now at 1,440,531 deaths. In Europe, Russia reported a new record high in cases Friday, and Germany topped 1 million cases as it reported its worst day of deaths.  In Asia, Japan saw its second-highest new case count to date while South Korea saw the same, (with Wednesday being the record high day).

Overnight, Asian markets were mixed again, but this time leaned to the green side.  Shanghai (+1.14%) led the gainers by far while Australia (-0.53%) paced the losses.  In Europe, we see a similar mixed picture so far today.  The FTSE (-0.39%), DAX (+0.28%), and CAC (+0.052%) lead the way.  As of 7:30 am, US futures are pointing to a modestly higher open.  The DIA is implying a gain of 0.21%, the SPY a gain of 0.21%, and the QQQ to a slight gap higher (+0.35%).

There are no major economic news events Friday.  There are also no major earnings reports on the day.  However, remember that today is a half-day, with markets closing at 1 pm.

Expect a light and perhaps volatile day as many traders enjoy a four-day weekend. Also, remember that this is Friday. So, book some profits and/or place some hedges in front of the weekend. As always, respect the trend, support/resistance, and price action. Don’t chase moves you have missed (there will be another opportunity) and stick with your trading rules. Our job as traders is consistency, not hitting home runs,

Ed

Swing Trade Ideas for your consideration and watchlist: No Trade Ideas for a short Friday. Trade your plan, take profits along the way, and smart. Also, remember to check for impending earnings reports. Finally, remember that any tickers we mention and talk about in the trading room are not recommendations to buy or sell.

🎯 Mike Probst: Rick, Got CTL off the scanner today. Already up 30%. Love it.

🎯 Dick Carp: the scanner paid for the year with HES-thank you

🎯 Arnoldo Bolanos: LTA scanner really works $$, thanks Ed.

🎯 Bob S: LTA is incredible…. I use it … would not trade without it

🎯 Malcolm .: Posted in room 2, @Rick… I used the LTA Scanner to go through hundreds of stocks this weekend and picked out three to trade:  PYPL, TGT, and ZS.   Quality patterns and with my trading, up 24%, 7% and 12%…. this program is gold.

🎯 Friday 6/21/19  (10:09 am) Aaron B: Today, my account is at +190% since January. Thanks, RWO HRC Flash Malcolm Thomas Steve Ed Bob S Bob C Mike P and everyone that contributes every day. I love our job.

Hit and Run Candlesticks / Road To Wealth Youtube videos

|607% in just 24 months |

Disclosure: We do not act on all trades we mention, and not all mentions acted on the day of the mention. All trades we mention are for your consideration only.

Free YouTube Education  •  Subscription PlansPrivate 2-Hour Coaching

DISCLAIMER: Investing / Trading involves significant financial risk and is not suitable for everyone. No communication from Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates or representatives is not financial or trading advice. All information provided by Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates and representatives are intended for educational purposes only. You are advised to test any new trading approach before implementing it.  Past performance does not guarantee future results.  Terms of Service

Big Data Dumps Before The Holiday

Markets gapped higher, but mixed amounts on Tuesday.  The QQQ jumped up four-tenths of a percent, the SPY eight-tenths of a percent, and on the day that the Dow broke 30,000, the DIA gapped up a full percent.  We then saw a follow-through rally the rest of the morning.  However, markets spent that afternoon grinding sideways, even with large position-covering volume the last 10 minutes of the day.  VXX lost a percent to 18.05 and T2122 held in place deep in overbought territory at 95.84.  10-year bond yields rose again to 0.882% and oil popped 4% to $44.86/barrel as optimism (or relief from uncertainty) over a government transition seemed to buoy markets in the morning.

Mortgage rates dropped again this week to 2.92%.  This move was cheered by borrowers as mortgage applications climbed 4% for the week (19% increase from the same week in 2019).  However, it was refinancing (71% of the applications) that caused most of this activity.  Refinance applications were up 79% year-on-year and at the highest level since April. 

From the “better to be lucky than good sometimes” file, a sidebar to the recent AZN vaccine news.  It turns out the 90% efficacy rate was only achieved under younger patients.  More interestingly, that dosage was only stumbled upon by mistake.  AZN made a systemic error and only gave half doses to a large group of volunteers.  This was only discovered because they reported far fewer side effects than expected.  So, rather than throw out the data and start again, AZN continued and just gave those volunteers a full dose a month later.  It turns out that this 1.5 dose regimen was over 25% more effective than the full 2 doses…at least in younger patients.  The CDC is reviewing the AZN data and hoping to find ways to increase efficacy or reduce side effects in the similar PFE and MRNA vaccines.

On the virus front itself, infections continue to rage as the US.  This surge has raised the US totals to 12,958,805 confirmed cases and 265,986 deaths.  The 7-day average of new cases to 178,692 while a spike in deaths (2,194, the highest since the start of May) saw the average deaths rise to 1,657/day.  Meanwhile, the HHS is conducting a test of the vaccine distribution networks in hope of heading off problems when an approved vaccine is available. 

Globally, the numbers rose to 60,240,061 confirmed cases and the confirmed deaths are now at 1,417,858 deaths. Hong Kong is seeing another rise in cases as new restrictions are to begin.  The WHO says that Europe is still the epicenter, accounting for 44% of new cases and 49% of deaths the past week.  This came as Germany reported another new record daily high in cases.

Overnight, Asian markets were mixed again, but this time leaned to the red side.  Shenzhen (-1.74%), Shanghai (-1.19%), and India (-1.51%) paced the losses.  Malaysia (+1.22%) and Thailand (+1.01%) were far and away the larges gainers.  In Europe, we see a similar mixed picture so far today.  The FTSE (-0.69%), DAX (-0.18%), and CAC (+0.03%) lead the way, but the continent’s exchanges range from -0.94% to +0.81%.  As of 7:30 am, US futures are also pointing to a mixed open.  The DIA is implying a flat open (-0.05%), the SPY a 0flat (+0.08%) open, and the QQQ to a slight gap higher (+0.38%).

There is a large amount of economic data today.  Oct. Durable Goods, Q3 Employment Cost Index, Q3 GDP Price Index, Oct. Trade Balance, Oct. Retail Inventories, and Oct. Core PCE Price Index (all at 8:30 am), Oct. PCE Price Index, Oct. Personal Spending, Univ. of Michigan Consumer Sentiment, and Oct. New Home Sales (all at 10 am), and Crude Oil Inventories (at 10:30 am).  Major earnings reports are limited to DOOO and DE before the open.  There are no earnings reports after the close.

All the data makes the open uncertain at this point. However, remember many traders may already be headed to the door for a long weekend. So, low-volume volatility is quite possible, As always, respect the trend, support/resistance, and price action. Don’t chase moves you have missed (there will be another opportunity) and stick with your trading rules. Our job as traders is consistency, not hitting home runs,

Ed

Swing Trade Ideas for your consideration and watchlist: WRK, DFS, IP, DAR, PWR, XLB, USB, MTCH, SBUX, BA. Trade your plan, take profits along the way, and smart. Also, remember to check for impending earnings reports. Finally, remember that any tickers we mention and talk about in the trading room are not recommendations to buy or sell.

🎯 Mike Probst: Rick, Got CTL off the scanner today. Already up 30%. Love it.

🎯 Dick Carp: the scanner paid for the year with HES-thank you

🎯 Arnoldo Bolanos: LTA scanner really works $$, thanks Ed.

🎯 Bob S: LTA is incredible…. I use it … would not trade without it

🎯 Malcolm .: Posted in room 2, @Rick… I used the LTA Scanner to go through hundreds of stocks this weekend and picked out three to trade:  PYPL, TGT, and ZS.   Quality patterns and with my trading, up 24%, 7% and 12%…. this program is gold.

🎯 Friday 6/21/19  (10:09 am) Aaron B: Today, my account is at +190% since January. Thanks, RWO HRC Flash Malcolm Thomas Steve Ed Bob S Bob C Mike P and everyone that contributes every day. I love our job.

Hit and Run Candlesticks / Road To Wealth Youtube videos

|607% in just 24 months |

Disclosure: We do not act on all trades we mention, and not all mentions acted on the day of the mention. All trades we mention are for your consideration only.

Free YouTube Education  •  Subscription PlansPrivate 2-Hour Coaching

DISCLAIMER: Investing / Trading involves significant financial risk and is not suitable for everyone. No communication from Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates or representatives is not financial or trading advice. All information provided by Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates and representatives are intended for educational purposes only. You are advised to test any new trading approach before implementing it.  Past performance does not guarantee future results.  Terms of Service

Yellen to be Nominated for Treasury

Markets gapped about a half percent higher at the open Monday on good vaccine news from AZN.  However, a sharp selloff about 10am lasted an hour and a slow recovery brought the major indices back to close near the gap-ups.  SPY and QQQ both printed indecisive Doji or Spinning Top type candles on the day, while DIA was a little more bullish, but still had quite a bit of wick.  On the day DIA gained 1.16%, SPY gained 0.62%, and QQQ was dead flat.  The VXX lost 1.24% to 18.37 and T2122 rose further into overbought territory at 95.55.  10-year bond yields rose to 0.859% and Oil gained a percent to $42.91/barrel on vaccine-recovery hopes.

President-elect Biden announced several of his cabinet nominees.  The key name for markets is that Biden will nominate former Fed Chair Yellen as his Sec. of Treasury. Financial pundits claim the markets like this nomination. This comes hours before the GSA announced Monday night that the formal transition process can now begin (despite President Trump’s ongoing spate of lawsuits they hope would nullify election results and delay the process).  Futures rose on the GSA news. 

CNBC reports that the top Democrat on the House Judiciary Committee, Rep. Neguse, has called for hearings on regulatory approach (such as the FTC) to approving “big pharma” mergers.  Specifically cited were the ABBV acquisition of AGN and the merger of PFE and MYL.  This news comes in the wake of the committee’s year-long investigation into big tech (AMZN, AAPL, FB, GOOG) anti-trust practices.  However, at this point, it is preliminary and yet to be determined if a full investigation is warranted.

On the virus front itself, infections continue to rage as the US.  This surge has raised the US totals to 12,778,924 confirmed cases and 263,701 deaths.  The 7-day average of new cases to 176,434 while the average deaths rose to 1,577/day.  This surge has put a large strain on the healthcare system nationally.  One example is Cleveland Clinic (a major Hospital Network in the Cleveland area) reported 970 caregivers are out due to the virus, triple the number from just 2 weeks ago.  

Overnight, Asian markets were mixed.  Japan (+2.50%) and Australia (+1.26%) led gainers.  Meanwhile, Thailand (-1.32%) and Malaysia (-1.20%) passed the losers.  In Europe, markets are generally green, with just two small-market exceptions, Denmark (-1.22%) and Switzerland (-0.22%).  However, in general Europe seems to like the news of the official US transition with the 3 major bourses being typical with the FTSE (+0.99%), DAX (+0.92%), and CAC (+1.19%).  As of 7:30 am, US futures are pointing to a mixed gap higher.  The DIA is implying a 0.90% gap up, the SPY a 0.60% gap up and the QQQ just a 0.21% “gap” higher.

The major economic news for Tuesday is limited to Conf. Board Consumer Confidence (10 am), and 3 Fed Speakers (Bullard at 11 am, Williams at noon, and Clarida at 12:45 pm.  Major earnings reports include ANF, ADI, BBY, BURL, DKS, DLTR, DY, HRL, SJM, J, MDT, and TIF before the open.  Then after the close AEO, ADSK, DELL, GPS, HPQ, JWN, VMW report.

As we draw nearer to the holiday break, we may see less volume. However, there is plenty of major earnings today, especially in the retail space. That said, those are backward-looking and we do have the big Black Friday and Cyber Monday retail events coming in days. Also, remember that we have been range-bound for a couple of weeks and the very short-term trend has been a pullback with all-time high resistance above and some support just below.

As always, respect the trend, support/resistance, and price action. Don’t chase moves you have missed (there will be another opportunity) and stick with your trading rules. Our job as traders is consistency, not hitting home runs,

Ed

Swing Trade Ideas for your consideration and watchlist: PEIX, DK, WLL, LUV, SCHW, FORM. Trade your plan, take profits along the way, and smart. Also, remember to check for impending earnings reports. Finally, remember that any tickers we mention and talk about in the trading room are not recommendations to buy or sell.

🎯 Mike Probst: Rick, Got CTL off the scanner today. Already up 30%. Love it.

🎯 Dick Carp: the scanner paid for the year with HES-thank you

🎯 Arnoldo Bolanos: LTA scanner really works $$, thanks Ed.

🎯 Bob S: LTA is incredible…. I use it … would not trade without it

🎯 Malcolm .: Posted in room 2, @Rick… I used the LTA Scanner to go through hundreds of stocks this weekend and picked out three to trade:  PYPL, TGT, and ZS.   Quality patterns and with my trading, up 24%, 7% and 12%…. this program is gold.

🎯 Friday 6/21/19  (10:09 am) Aaron B: Today, my account is at +190% since January. Thanks, RWO HRC Flash Malcolm Thomas Steve Ed Bob S Bob C Mike P and everyone that contributes every day. I love our job.

Hit and Run Candlesticks / Road To Wealth Youtube videos

|607% in just 24 months |

Disclosure: We do not act on all trades we mention, and not all mentions acted on the day of the mention. All trades we mention are for your consideration only.

Free YouTube Education  •  Subscription PlansPrivate 2-Hour Coaching

DISCLAIMER: Investing / Trading involves significant financial risk and is not suitable for everyone. No communication from Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates or representatives is not financial or trading advice. All information provided by Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates and representatives are intended for educational purposes only. You are advised to test any new trading approach before implementing it.  Past performance does not guarantee future results.  Terms of Service

More Vaccine and Treatment News

Stocks opened flat in the SPY and QQQ, but the DIA gapped down about four-tenths of a percent.  After a little sideways roller-coaster action, all 3 major indices sold off late to end the day lower.  The only signal printed on the day was Bearish Harami in the QQQ.  For the day SPY and QQQ both lost 0.68% and DIA was down 0.95%.  The VXX was flat at 18.60 and T2122 rose again in the overbought territory to 92.25.  10-year bond yields fell significantly again to 0.824% and Oil (WTI) gained a percent to close at $42.17/barrel.  For the week the large-caps were both down about eight-tenths of a percent while the QQQ was indecisive and off just two-tenths of a percent.

On Saturday the FDA authorized emergency use of the REGN monoclonal antibody treatment (similar to part of what was given President Trump) after a study on non-human primates indicated benefit. On Sunday, White House Vaccine Czar Slaoui told reporters the first vaccinations could take place in mid-December.  However, he also said the best-case hope is to get the first of two jabs done for up to 20 million of the priority people before year end, with widespread availability in later Q1 or Q2, and getting to children by mid-year 2021. 

Then overnight, AZN reported that its vaccine was about 70% effective on average. (It was trialed in 2 dosages; one was 62% effective and the other 90% effective.  Both require two injections, on month apart.)  While less effective than the two US vaccines, the AZN vaccine does not require anything more than typical refrigeration (30-40 degrees F) which makes it far easier to distribute and administer than the US vaccines.  And finally, MRK announced it plans to acquire privately-held OncoImmune, which is in late-stage clinical trials of a drug that shows promise as a respiratory treatment for Covid-19 patients.

On the virus front itself, infections continue to rage as the US.  This surge has raised the US totals to 12,590,220 confirmed cases and 262,711 deaths.  The 7-day average of new cases to 172,789 while the average deaths rose to 1,547/day.  47 states are in the White House Task force’s “red zone.”

Overnight, Asian markets were mostly green, with Japan (-0.42%) the lone holdout.  Thailand (+2.24%), South Korea (+1.92%), and Taiwan (+1.18%) led gainers, but the rally was broad.  There is a similar situation in Europe so far today, with just a handful of red on the board.  Among the big 3 bourses, the FTSE is flat (+0.02%), while the DAX (+0.50%) and CAC (+0.41%) are up at this point in their morning.  As of 7:30 am, US futures are pointing to a green start to the day.  The DIA (+0.59%), SPY (+0.51%), and QQQ (+0.29%) are all pointing to positive opens.

The major economic news for Monday is limited to Nov. Mfg. PMI and Nov. Services PMI (both at 9:45 am) and a single Fed speaker (Daily at 1 pm).  The only major earnings report before the open is WMG.  However, after the close, A, CBT, CENT, CENTA, and URBN report.

The holiday-shortened trading week appears to be kicking off with the bulls in charge. However, remember that we have been range-bound for a couple of weeks and the very short-term trend has been a pullback with all-time high resistance above and some support just below.

With more positive vaccine and treatment news, obvious expectations would be for a rally. However, Mr. Market seldom does exactly what the consensus expects. We have a couple of days off, Black Friday and Cyber Monday all just ahead. So, there’s also the possibility of hedging or lightening up in front of those events. Just be careful.

As always, maintain discipline with your trading rules and don’t chase. Respect the trend, support/resistance, and price action. Our job as traders is consistency, not hitting home runs,

Ed

Swing Trade Ideas for your consideration and watchlist: KIRK, NOVA, PLUG, BOOT, TLRY, NIO, EYE, LABU, WK, APPS, TUP, CLF, DSS. Trade your plan, take profits along the way, and smart. Also, remember to check for impending earnings reports. Finally, remember that any tickers we mention and talk about in the trading room are not recommendations to buy or sell.

🎯 Mike Probst: Rick, Got CTL off the scanner today. Already up 30%. Love it.

🎯 Dick Carp: the scanner paid for the year with HES-thank you

🎯 Arnoldo Bolanos: LTA scanner really works $$, thanks Ed.

🎯 Bob S: LTA is incredible…. I use it … would not trade without it

🎯 Malcolm .: Posted in room 2, @Rick… I used the LTA Scanner to go through hundreds of stocks this weekend and picked out three to trade:  PYPL, TGT, and ZS.   Quality patterns and with my trading, up 24%, 7% and 12%…. this program is gold.

🎯 Friday 6/21/19  (10:09 am) Aaron B: Today, my account is at +190% since January. Thanks, RWO HRC Flash Malcolm Thomas Steve Ed Bob S Bob C Mike P and everyone that contributes every day. I love our job.

Hit and Run Candlesticks / Road To Wealth Youtube videos

|607% in just 24 months |

Disclosure: We do not act on all trades we mention, and not all mentions acted on the day of the mention. All trades we mention are for your consideration only.

Free YouTube Education  •  Subscription PlansPrivate 2-Hour Coaching

DISCLAIMER: Investing / Trading involves significant financial risk and is not suitable for everyone. No communication from Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates or representatives is not financial or trading advice. All information provided by Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates and representatives are intended for educational purposes only. You are advised to test any new trading approach before implementing it.  Past performance does not guarantee future results.  Terms of Service

PFE to File For Vaccine Use

Stocks ground sideways all morning Thursday.  However, an announcement from Senate Democratic Leader Schumer saying that Senate Majority Leader McConnell had agreed to resume stimulus negotiations helped lead to an afternoon rally.  All 3 major indices closed near their highs as a result.  On the day, DIA was up 0.19%, SPY up 0.42%, and QQQ up 0.78%.  The QQQ also managed to print a Bullish Engulfing candle on the day.  VXX lost a percent to 18.64 and T2122 fell a tad, but remains in the overbought territory at 84.25.  10-year bond yields fell sharply to 0.836% and Oil (WTI) was flat at $41.82/barrel.

After the close, Treasury Sec. Mnuchin asked the Fed to extend some emergency programs for another 90 days, but to end other programs.  The programs he asked the Fed to extend include short-term loans to businesses as well as backstop guarantees for Payroll Protection Program loans.  The two main programs he asked the Fed to kill are the purchase of corporate bonds and the direct “Main Street Lending” program targeted toward small and medium-sized businesses.  With the killing of a couple of programs, Treasury has asked the Fed to return $455 billion (ostensibly so it can be spent elsewhere).  While the impact on markets is as yet unknown, stocks did rally hard at the time the programs were first announced.

The other major overnight news is that as expected, PFE and BTNX will file for an “Emergency Use” Waiver for their vaccine today.  The terminology is unclear to me (how can it be an emergency use, if it is a preventative medicine and not a treatment), but approval is expected to be nothing but a formality.  The consensus is that MRNA will follow closely behind PFE/BTNX in requesting the same authorized usage next week.

On the virus front itself, infections continue to rage as the US saw another spike to 192,186 cases and 2,065 deaths on Thursday.  This surge has raised the US totals to 12,072,560 confirmed cases and 258,354 deaths.  The 7-day average of new cases to 169,813 while the average deaths rose to 1,398/day.  All 50 states are have reported at least a 10% increase in cases since last week.  33 states have reported at least a 10% increase in covid-19 deaths since last week. New local and statewide restrictions continue to be implemented coast-to-coast mostly including mask mandates, curfews, and stay at home advisories.

Globally, the numbers rose to 57,382,260 confirmed cases and the confirmed deaths are now at 1,368,493 deaths.  Overnight a panel of WHO scientists have advised doctors to stop using Remdesivir from GILD to treat covid-19.  The panel found in a study that there is no evidence that drug improves survival rates or reduces the need for ventilation. This comes the same night as the US FDA has approved Remdesivir for use in combination with LLY drug Baricitinib to treat covid-19.

Overnight, Asian markets were mixed again, but leaned toward the green side.  Thailand (+1.45%) led gainers by a wide margin while India (-0.92%) led the losses (also by a wide margin).  All-in-all, most Asian exchanges were modestly positive on the day.  However, in Europe, so far today we see green across the board.  Smaller exchanges seem to have fared better, but the DAX (+0.47%), FTSE (+0.48%), and CAC (+0.47%) are indicative.  As of 7:30 am, US futures are pointing to a mixed, but flat open.  The DIA is implying a -0.16% open, the SPY implying a -0.05% open, and the QQQ implying a +0.20% modest gain at the open.

The major economic news for Friday is limited to a single Fed speaker (Kaplan at 8:30 am).  Major earnings reports are also very limited with FL reporting before the open.

With more positive vaccine news, not economic or earnings, and the Administration signaling they no longer see as bad of a problem, you might expect a strong rally. However, Thursday was the worst day ever in terms of new cases and the worst day since April in terms of deaths. And it will be several months before vaccines are widely available, let alone administered in two doses per patient (one month apart). So, the realities don’t seem to match. It is unclear which reality Mr. Market will live in today.

Remember that it’s Friday…pay day. So, take some money off the table or at least consider hedging yourself ahead of the weekend. As always, maintain discipline to your trading rules, don’t chase and respect trend, support/resistance, and price action.

Ed

Swing Trade Ideas for your consideration and watchlist: TWLO, WIMI, TUP, ETSY, NBR, TMX, FCX, PSXP. Trade your plan, take profits along the way, and smart. Also, remember to check for impending earnings reports. Finally, remember that any tickers we mention and talk about in the trading room are not recommendations to buy or sell.

🎯 Mike Probst: Rick, Got CTL off the scanner today. Already up 30%. Love it.

🎯 Dick Carp: the scanner paid for the year with HES-thank you

🎯 Arnoldo Bolanos: LTA scanner really works $$, thanks Ed.

🎯 Bob S: LTA is incredible…. I use it … would not trade without it

🎯 Malcolm .: Posted in room 2, @Rick… I used the LTA Scanner to go through hundreds of stocks this weekend and picked out three to trade:  PYPL, TGT, and ZS.   Quality patterns and with my trading, up 24%, 7% and 12%…. this program is gold.

🎯 Friday 6/21/19  (10:09 am) Aaron B: Today, my account is at +190% since January. Thanks, RWO HRC Flash Malcolm Thomas Steve Ed Bob S Bob C Mike P and everyone that contributes every day. I love our job.

Hit and Run Candlesticks / Road To Wealth Youtube videos

|607% in just 24 months |

Disclosure: We do not act on all trades we mention, and not all mentions acted on the day of the mention. All trades we mention are for your consideration only.

Free YouTube Education  •  Subscription PlansPrivate 2-Hour Coaching

DISCLAIMER: Investing / Trading involves significant financial risk and is not suitable for everyone. No communication from Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates or representatives is not financial or trading advice. All information provided by Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates and representatives are intended for educational purposes only. You are advised to test any new trading approach before implementing it.  Past performance does not guarantee future results.  Terms of Service

Jobless Claims and Virus News Lead

Markets started the day flat in the large-caps and a slight gap-down in the QQQ.  After a sideways grind in the morning, there was a strong afternoon selloff.  This left both large-cap indices printing large Bearish Engulfing candles and all 3 major indices closed at the lows to give us large black ugly candles.  The VXX gained almost 3% to 18.84 and T2122 fell a little but remains well into the overbought territory at 87.22.  10-year bond yields were flat at 0.868% and Oil (was up half a percent to $41.66/barrel.

In miscellaneous news, LUV sent furlough warnings to about 15% of their mechanics as stalled talks continue with the pilot and flight attendant unions.  The company is asking employees to take a 10% pay cut.  Meanwhile, GOOG announced that their employee productivity is back above pre-pandemic levels, so they have adjusted well.   

Wednesday the Business Roundtable called for more stimulus to save the economy. Jamie Dimon of JPM called the amounts involved “chump change” and at the same time said it was critical to avoid an economic crash.  At the same time, the Institute for International Finance reported that the virus has pushed global debt to a record $277 trillion with “advanced nations” debt reaching 432% of GDP in Q3 (up 50% from 2019 Q3) and “emerging economies” only a bit worse at 248% of GDP.  And all this comes as the US Senate also went on holiday recess until Nov. 30.  It did this without a vote on another stimulus package. So, either the Senate is not concerned or they are too divided to decide.

The virus continues to rage as the US saw another 173,768 cases and 1,964 deaths on Wednesday.  This surge has raised the US totals to 11,876,240 confirmed cases and 256,311 deaths.  The 7-day average of new cases to 164,996 while the average number of deaths rose to 1,266/day.  47 states are have reported at least a 10% increase in cases since last week.  33 states have reported at least a 10% increase in covid-19 deaths since last week. New local and statewide restrictions continue to be implemented coast-to-coast mostly including mask mandates, curfews, and stay at home suggestions/requests. This comes as Admiral Giroir (White House Task Force) told reporters “this is not crying wolf, it is an absolutely dangerous situation…I lose sleep over where are right now.”

Overnight, Asian markets were mixed yet again but leaned to the red side.  Malaysia (-1.31%) and India (-1.29%) led the losses while Indonesia (+0.66%) and Shenzhen (+0.63%) led gainers.  However, in Europe, so far today we see red across the board.  Smaller exchanges seem to be worse off, but the DAX (-0.87%), FTSE (-0.72%), and CAC (-0.70%) are indicative.  As of 7:30 am, US futures are pointing to a flat to a modestly lower open.  The DIA is implying a -0.17% open, the SPY implying a -0.11% open, and the QQQ implying a -0.28% modest gain at the open.

The major economic news for Thursday is limited to Nov. Philly Fed Mfg. Index and Weekly Initial Jobless Claims (both at 8:30 am), Oct. Existing Home Sales (10 am), and a Fed Speaker speaks twice (Mester at 8:30 am and 12:35 pm).  Major earnings reports include BERY, BJ, M, and NTES before the open.  Then after the close, BECN, BEST, INTU, POST, ROST, WSM, and WDAY report.

With no more major vaccine news, economic news may have the chance to move markets this morning. Just remember that for every push, there will be a reaction back the other way. So, don’t get caught up in FOMO (on either side). Remember there will be a chance for price to come to you soon. Stick to your discipline, keep taking profits (goals/targets) on the way, and work your trade plan.  Consistency beats the occasional homerun every time. Focus on the trading rules you have built, follow the trend, and respect support and resistance.  Good trading!

Ed

Swing Trade Ideas for your consideration and watchlist: SOLO, CRBP, JCI, NKLA, PLUG, DKNG, YUMC, QCOM. Trade your plan, take profits along the way, and smart. Also, remember to check for impending earnings reports. Finally, remember that any tickers we mention and talk about in the trading room are not recommendations to buy or sell.

🎯 Mike Probst: Rick, Got CTL off the scanner today. Already up 30%. Love it.

🎯 Dick Carp: the scanner paid for the year with HES-thank you

🎯 Arnoldo Bolanos: LTA scanner really works $$, thanks Ed.

🎯 Bob S: LTA is incredible…. I use it … would not trade without it

🎯 Malcolm .: Posted in room 2, @Rick… I used the LTA Scanner to go through hundreds of stocks this weekend and picked out three to trade:  PYPL, TGT, and ZS.   Quality patterns and with my trading, up 24%, 7% and 12%…. this program is gold.

🎯 Friday 6/21/19  (10:09 am) Aaron B: Today, my account is at +190% since January. Thanks, RWO HRC Flash Malcolm Thomas Steve Ed Bob S Bob C Mike P and everyone that contributes every day. I love our job.

Hit and Run Candlesticks / Road To Wealth Youtube videos

|607% in just 24 months |

Disclosure: We do not act on all trades we mention, and not all mentions acted on the day of the mention. All trades we mention are for your consideration only.

Free YouTube Education  •  Subscription PlansPrivate 2-Hour Coaching

DISCLAIMER: Investing / Trading involves significant financial risk and is not suitable for everyone. No communication from Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates or representatives is not financial or trading advice. All information provided by Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates and representatives are intended for educational purposes only. You are advised to test any new trading approach before implementing it.  Past performance does not guarantee future results.  Terms of Service

Good Vaccine and 737 Max News

Markets gapped down at the open Tuesday and then printed indecisive candles in all 3 major indices.  The large-caps both printed white Doji type candles while the QQQ printed a black Spinning Top type candle.  On the day, QQQ fell 0.32%, SPY fell 0.54% and DIA fell 0.56%.  The VXX also fell a percent to 18.30 and T2122 dropped just a touch, but remains deep in overbought territory at 97.05.  10-year bond yields fell to 0.87% and Oil (WTI) was flat at $41.36/barrel.

A couple days after MRNA reported initial efficacy of 94.5% for their vaccine (95 test subjects), PFE and BNTX announced that additional analysis has shown their vaccine is 95% effective (170 test subjects) and they now have enough safety data to file for an emergency use waiver from the FDA within days.  They report that there were 8 infections among those who got the vaccine (versus 162 among those who got a placebo) after 2 doses. So far, no “serious” safety concerns have been reported two months after the first administration.  (There were 2% of recipients who had severe reactions to the first dose and just under 4% who reported fatigue after the first and/or second dose.  However, those were not deemed major safety concerns. The typical 2-year study of long-term safety effects will be waived given the 1.3 million people who have already died from the virus worldwide.)  This news is likely to buoy PFE, BTNX, MRNA (because they have the same class of vaccine), and the market as a whole (including Oil).  

TGT crushed estimates in its early morning report.  LOW came in short of estimates.  BA is set to jump on both vaccine news and a Reuters report that the FAA has recertified the 737 Max to fly in the US again (after a 20-month grounding).

On the virus front, the US saw another 157,000+ cases and over 1,600 deaths on Tuesday.  This surge has raised the US totals to 11,697,469 confirmed cases and 254,291 deaths.  The 7-day average of new cases to 160,172 while the average deaths rose to 1,188/day.  Again Tuesday, we saw new restrictions, partial lockdowns, and Governors/Municipalities begging people to take mitigation measures (wear masks, distance, and avoid gatherings, especially indoors) across the country.  The FDA also approved the first self-test for home use from unlisted company Lucira.

Globally, the numbers rose to 56,069,908 confirmed cases and the confirmed deaths are now at 1,346,103 deaths.  Asia is starting to see another surge as even Japan and South Korea are seeing record numbers of cases the last week.  Southern Australia is locking down again (6 days this time) after a new cluster has been seen.  In China, the government declared they have found their own vaccine is safe and effective.  The difference of the Chinese vaccine versus the two in the US is that the Chinese version only requires standard refrigeration and is shelf-stable for up to 3 years.  However, the numbers from their study were not provided and the study hasn’t yet been peer-reviewed.  In Europe, there are first signs that the lockdowns started a couple of weeks ago are helping to plateau new case counts.

Overnight, Asian markets were mixed again, but leaned to the green side.  Japan (-1.11%) led the few losers, while Taiwan (+1.33%) and Thailand (+1.09%) led gainers.  So far today we see a modest green move across the board in Europe.   The FTSE (+0.29%), DAX (+0.32%), and CAC (+0.50%) are typical of European bourses as of mid-day.  As of 7:30 am, US futures are pointing to a modest green open.  The DIA is implying a 0.47% gap up, the SPY implying a 0.35% gap, and the QQQ implying a 0.17% modest gain at the open.

The major economic news for Wednesday includes Oct. Building Permits and Oct. Housing Starts (both at 8:30 am), Crude Oil Inventories (10:30 am), and 3 Fed Speakers (Williams at 12:15 pm, Bullard at 1:20 pm, and Bostic at 5 pm).  Major earnings reports on the day include AVYA, LOW, TGT, and TJX before the open.  After the close, KEYS, LB, NVDA, and UGI report.

The bulls are likely to run today on positive vaccine news. However, don’t get caught up in FOMO. Remember that price moves in a zig-zag pattern. So, don’t be the last one buying the zig unless you can handle the zag to come. Focus on discipline, taking profits (goals/targets) on the way, and work your trade plan.  Consistency trumps the occasional homerun every time. Stick to the trading rules you have built, follow the trend, and respect support and resistance.  Good trading!

Ed

Swing Trade Ideas for your consideration and watchlist: ICPT, WLL, DKNG, GTHX, MUR, DVAX, OXY, CPE, WFC, APA, OKE. Trade your plan, take profits along the way, and smart. Also, remember to check for impending earnings reports. Finally, remember that any tickers we mention and talk about in the trading room are not recommendations to buy or sell.

🎯 Mike Probst: Rick, Got CTL off the scanner today. Already up 30%. Love it.

🎯 Dick Carp: the scanner paid for the year with HES-thank you

🎯 Arnoldo Bolanos: LTA scanner really works $$, thanks Ed.

🎯 Bob S: LTA is incredible…. I use it … would not trade without it

🎯 Malcolm .: Posted in room 2, @Rick… I used the LTA Scanner to go through hundreds of stocks this weekend and picked out three to trade:  PYPL, TGT, and ZS.   Quality patterns and with my trading, up 24%, 7% and 12%…. this program is gold.

🎯 Friday 6/21/19  (10:09 am) Aaron B: Today, my account is at +190% since January. Thanks, RWO HRC Flash Malcolm Thomas Steve Ed Bob S Bob C Mike P and everyone that contributes every day. I love our job.

Hit and Run Candlesticks / Road To Wealth Youtube videos

|607% in just 24 months |

Disclosure: We do not act on all trades we mention, and not all mentions acted on the day of the mention. All trades we mention are for your consideration only.

Free YouTube Education  •  Subscription PlansPrivate 2-Hour Coaching

DISCLAIMER: Investing / Trading involves significant financial risk and is not suitable for everyone. No communication from Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates or representatives is not financial or trading advice. All information provided by Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates and representatives are intended for educational purposes only. You are advised to test any new trading approach before implementing it.  Past performance does not guarantee future results.  Terms of Service

Virus, TSLA, and Senate Center Stage

Large-caps gapped higher Monday on the news of the MRNA vaccine 94% (first look) effectiveness report.  After early follow-through, that market vacillated the rest of the day except for a strong surge the last 5 minutes.  As a result, both large caps printed white Hammer type candles and the QQQ printed a large-body white candle.  On the day, DIA was up 1.67%, SPY up 1.25%, and QQQ up 0.78%.  The VXX lost another 2% to 18.65 and T2122 rose to extremely overbought at 99.03.  10-year bond yields rose again to 0.909% and Oil (WTI) was up over 3% to $41.44/barrel.

After the close Monday it was announced that TSLA will be joining the S&P500 in December.  The CEOs of both FB and TWTR will face Senate Republicans on Tuesday in a session that will likely focus on perceived “silencing conservatives.”  However, they may not get any quarter from the Democrats, who are likely to hammer them over not being more restrictive on lies and misinformation

On the virus front, the spread continues unchecked.  This surge has raised the US totals to 11,540,461 confirmed cases and 252,684 deaths. The 7-day average of new cases to 158,363 while the average number of deaths rose to 1,170/day.  Meanwhile, hospitalizations continue to rise, climbing to over 73,000 on Monday. In response, new restrictions and partial lockdowns continue from coast to coast as states continue to have to act on their own to control outbreaks.

Globally, the numbers rose to 55,466,741 confirmed cases and the confirmed deaths are now at 1,334,671 deaths.  New restrictions and lockdowns are taking place in Europe as well, even as countries that locked down a couple weeks ago (such as Germany) are starting to report progress in getting new case numbers to plateau. 

Overnight, Asian markets were mixed, but leaned to the green side.  Singapore (+1.11%), and India (+0.74%) led the gainers.  Meanwhile, Shenzhen (-0.89%) paced the losers with other exchanges showing modest moves.  In Europe, markets are mixed, but lean heavily red so far today.  The FTSE (-1.12%), DAX (-0.27%), and CAC (-0.29%) are relatively typical across the continent.  However, there are a couple of gainers such as Greece (+0.55%).  As of 7:30am, US futures are pointing to a lower open on the large caps, with DIA implying a -0.59% and SPY implying a -0.46% open.  The NASDAQ is implying a modest open to the up side at +0.25%.

The major economic news for Tuesday includes Oct. Retail Sales, Oct. Export Price Index, and Oct. Import Price Index (all at 8:30 am), Oct. Industrial Production (9:15 am), Sept. Business Inventories (10 am), and 2 Fed Speakers (Bostic and Daily both at noon).  Major earning releases include ARMK, HD, KSS, SE, and WMT before the open.  There are no major earnings announcements after the close.

WMT and HD posting beats this morning is helping futures. However, the worsening virus conditions and local/state mitigation measures are sure to continue to give volatility. Big tech names may get beaten up as FB and TWTR take their turn in the shooting gallery today. So, even with positive trends and the recent good vaccine news to help bulls, be careful.

Remember that price moves in a zig-zag pattern. Don’t be the last one buying on the zig unless you can handle the zag to come. There will always be either another stock setup down the road. Keep locking in your profits, maintain your discipline, and work your trade plan.  Stick to the trading rules you have built, follow the trend, and respect support and resistance.  Good trading!

Ed

Swing Trade Ideas for your consideration and watchlist: ESNT, SHOO, AEO, MFC, KNSL, DAR, ERIE, WING. Trade your plan, take profits along the way, and smart. Also, remember to check for impending earnings reports. Finally, remember that any tickers we mention and talk about in the trading room are not recommendations to buy or sell.

🎯 Mike Probst: Rick, Got CTL off the scanner today. Already up 30%. Love it.

🎯 Dick Carp: the scanner paid for the year with HES-thank you

🎯 Arnoldo Bolanos: LTA scanner really works $$, thanks Ed.

🎯 Bob S: LTA is incredible…. I use it … would not trade without it

🎯 Malcolm .: Posted in room 2, @Rick… I used the LTA Scanner to go through hundreds of stocks this weekend and picked out three to trade:  PYPL, TGT, and ZS.   Quality patterns and with my trading, up 24%, 7% and 12%…. this program is gold.

🎯 Friday 6/21/19  (10:09 am) Aaron B: Today, my account is at +190% since January. Thanks, RWO HRC Flash Malcolm Thomas Steve Ed Bob S Bob C Mike P and everyone that contributes every day. I love our job.

Hit and Run Candlesticks / Road To Wealth Youtube videos

|607% in just 24 months |

Disclosure: We do not act on all trades we mention, and not all mentions acted on the day of the mention. All trades we mention are for your consideration only.

Free YouTube Education  •  Subscription PlansPrivate 2-Hour Coaching

DISCLAIMER: Investing / Trading involves significant financial risk and is not suitable for everyone. No communication from Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates or representatives is not financial or trading advice. All information provided by Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates and representatives are intended for educational purposes only. You are advised to test any new trading approach before implementing it.  Past performance does not guarantee future results.  Terms of Service

MRNA Vaccine and Virus Dominate News

The market gapped about two-thirds of a percent higher Friday at the open.  From there, we saw a sideways grind in all three major indices until an afternoon rally took off.  Profit taking the last 15 minutes of the day closed markets off their highs, but it was still a white candle day in all 3 of the major indices.  The QQQ printed an indecisive Spinning Top type candle while the DIA printed something that could be called a Morning Star signal if you squint.  For the day QQQ closed up 0.88%, SPY up 1.38%, and DIA up 1.41%.  The VXX lost 6% to close at 19.08 and T2122 (4-week New High/Low Ratio) shot up back deep into overbought territory at 94.70.  10-year bond yields rose to 0.898% and Oil (WTI) fell two and a half percent to $40.12/barrel.

Early Monday, MRNA announced that its vaccine candidate was 94% effective against Covid-19 according to the initial look at 54 cases.  As has been mentioned previously, this does not speak to the safety of the vaccine and it is based on a small sample size.  However, markets are likely to jump on this news at least as confirmation of the PFE vaccine news from a week or so ago. At most, this is the second source of a vaccine against the virus, but this one too requires strict extreme low-temperature storage requirements.

In other business news, on Sunday AAL announce dit is slashing the number of flights between the US and UK in December due to weak demand brought on by the virus surge in both countries. Early Monday, PNC announced it will buy the US operations of Spanish bank BBVA. This $11.6 billion deal would be the second-largest bank merger of all time.

On the virus front, the spread continues unchecked.  Friday the US had the worst day of any country since the beginning of the pandemic and had a new case count (188,000) almost 2.5 times higher than our worst day during the summer surge.  This raised the US totals to 11,367,214 confirmed cases and 251,901 deaths. The 7-day average of new cases to 152,136 while the average deaths rose to 1,156/day.  45 states saw an increase of more than 10% in new case counts week-to-week with 17 of those seeing an increase of more than 50% in the period.  4 states saw a small increase (up less than a 10% week-on-week) and on SC reported a reduction (but that is believed to be a reporting glitch with their state’s data).  This comes as many states are enacting new lockdown and restrictions.

Globally, the numbers rose to 54,936,761 confirmed cases and the confirmed deaths are now at 1,326,265 deaths.  With lockdowns in place in many parts of Europe for the last couple of weeks, there is starting to be a little better news.  Germany reported last night that they are seeing the first signs of infection rates flattening.  Meanwhile, the spread is picking up steam in Asia as Japan reported 3 consecutive record-high case count days,

Overnight, Asian markets were green across the board.  Australian markets were paused at the open due to a data issue, but managed to recover.  Taiwan (+2.10%), Japan (+2.05%), and South Korea (+1.97%) led the gainers.  There were no losers although New Zealand markets were closed.  In Europe, we see a very similar picture so far today.  The only red is from Denmark (-0.90%), while the rest of the continent followed Asia higher.  Among the 3 major bourses, FTSE is up 1.61%, DAX up 1.35%, and CAC up 2.24% as of mid-day.  These are typical of the rest of the indices across Europe.  As of 7:30 am, US futures are pointing to strong gaps higher in the large-caps.  The DIA is implying a 1.75% gap up and the SPY is implying a 1.19% pop higher at the open.  The NASDAQ is implying a flat open with the QQQ at -0.04% as of now.

The major economic news for Monday is limited to Nov. NY Empire State Mfg. Index (8:30 am) and 2 Fed Speakers (Daily at 1:45pm and Clarida at 2 pm).  Major earning releases include ACM, JD, PANW, and TSN before the open.  After the close, BIDU, IQ, and BEKE report.

The MRNA vaccine news was expected, but very welcome nonetheless. Futures show we are going to get a pop out of the news and maybe a resumption of rotations out of the lockdown tech names. Remember not to chase the moves that you have missed. Fear of missing out can be deadly for a trading account. Keep in mind that the market moves in a zig-zap pattern. Don’t be the last one buying on the zig unless you can handle the zag to come. There will always be either another stock setup down the road. So, keep locking in profits, maintain discipline, and working your plan.  Stick to your trading rules, follow the trend, and respect support and resistance. 

Ed

Swing Trade Ideas for your consideration and watchlist: BP, JETS, UPWK, EVRI, KO, TGI, PSX. Trade your plan, take profits along the way, and smart. Also, remember to check for impending earnings reports. Finally, remember that any tickers we mention and talk about in the trading room are not recommendations to buy or sell.

🎯 Mike Probst: Rick, Got CTL off the scanner today. Already up 30%. Love it.

🎯 Dick Carp: the scanner paid for the year with HES-thank you

🎯 Arnoldo Bolanos: LTA scanner really works $$, thanks Ed.

🎯 Bob S: LTA is incredible…. I use it … would not trade without it

🎯 Malcolm .: Posted in room 2, @Rick… I used the LTA Scanner to go through hundreds of stocks this weekend and picked out three to trade:  PYPL, TGT, and ZS.   Quality patterns and with my trading, up 24%, 7% and 12%…. this program is gold.

🎯 Friday 6/21/19  (10:09 am) Aaron B: Today, my account is at +190% since January. Thanks, RWO HRC Flash Malcolm Thomas Steve Ed Bob S Bob C Mike P and everyone that contributes every day. I love our job.

Hit and Run Candlesticks / Road To Wealth Youtube videos

|607% in just 24 months |

Disclosure: We do not act on all trades we mention, and not all mentions acted on the day of the mention. All trades we mention are for your consideration only.

Free YouTube Education  •  Subscription PlansPrivate 2-Hour Coaching

DISCLAIMER: Investing / Trading involves significant financial risk and is not suitable for everyone. No communication from Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates or representatives is not financial or trading advice. All information provided by Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates and representatives are intended for educational purposes only. You are advised to test any new trading approach before implementing it.  Past performance does not guarantee future results.  Terms of Service