Good morning everyone.
This has been one amazing week. If you’re like me you are so happy to have the election behind us and the market moving again with and abundance of bullish energy. I’m now expecting some very good trading ahead of us at least through the end of the year.
With the market having moved so far so fast it would not be out of the question to see some profit taking as we head into the weekend. However, with the SPY and the IWM still wanting to reach out to new record highs the possibility that the bulls will continue to run still exists.
For me, I will maintain my discipline wait for pullbacks and enter trades where the risk to my stops has been minimized. I would like to say thank you to all the members of Right Way Options for hanging in there during this tough market. I can promise you I will be working hard to make sure it was worth the wait. Have a wonderful weekend!
Trade Wisely,
Doug
Click Here to Watch the Morning Video
Good morning everyone.
After the overnight temper tantrum, the market decided to embrace the leadership change in a big way with an unbelievable rally. That exuberance seems to still be in play this morning with the futures pointing to another gap up.
Right or wrong I am going to maintain my discipline and avoid chasing stocks that are already very extended or those challenging resistance. In years past I would have jumped into trades thinking, I was avoiding the pain of missing out only to step in right before the pullback where the cost my capital was the greatest.
There are a lot of good looking charts so I recommend sticking to your rules and avoid taking an unwarranted risk, it will settle down. I do however think we are seeing the beginning of a fundamental change in the market that is very exciting. I expect we will soon be doing a lot of trading. Watch your email for possible trades.
Trade Wisely,
Doug
Click Here to Watch the Morning Video
Good morning everyone.
The people have spoken and what they had to say has left the market shocked. As the vote came in and Trump began to gain ground the market began to sell off sharply. At one point the futures were off about 750 points. When the Trump win became obvious the futures began to bounce and as I write this the futures are only down 230 points. History tells us there is a pretty good chance that over the next couple days the market will dip lower toward the overnight lows, however, we are in uncharted territory so anything is possible.
I plan to stand aside and let some of this volatility and emotional response subside before putting new capital at risk. The good news is that big reactions such as this historically resolve higher within a couple weeks. Let’s keep in mind Trump will not take office until the latter part of January so the market will have plenty of time to come to grips with this big directional change the country has voted for.
Trade Wisely,
Doug
Click Here to Watch the Morning Video
Good morning everyone.
Election Day 2016 has finally arrived, the robot calls will end, all that hot air will dissipate and perhaps we can get back to some normal market activity. I hope that I’m wrong on this but I fear is that although the campaigns are behind us the lingering effects of this election will haunt us for weeks, months and maybe even years to come. I’m expecting to see considerable volatility as we sort out the damage that has been created. No matter who wins we should all be prepared for a substantial gap Wednesday morning in either direction.
It is my intention to continue to sit on my hands today to protect my capital against the unknown outcome and the emotional reaction that will likely occur. Just imagine we had been trading with the market direction and had been holding a portfolio of short trades yesterday. That would have been painful!
There is little in the economic news that will affect trading today so don’t be surprised if we see choppy price action as America votes.
No matter the outcome I believe better days are ahead for the market and a trade-able direction will emerge. Get out and Vote!
Trade Wisely,
Doug
Click Here to Watch the Morning Video
Good morning everyone.
A wild Monday morning in store for the market as it reacts to the news that the FBI finished its review and the director informed congress that his July decision stands. The Dow futures are suggesting a big gap up at the open of more than 200 points, however, when you looks at the charts you will see nothing has changed and the downtrend continues to be in effect.
The morning gap will do us no good unless there is follow-through buying after the open. It is possible we could see the market simply chop around near that opening range because we still have the election to deal with tomorrow and the polls have it so close that anything could happen. It is also not out of the realm of possibilities there is selling into the morning gap move slowly and plan carefully if you do decide to trade.
As for me, I’m very content to continue sitting on the sideline and waiting to see how the market reacts after the election. I’m also happy to be sitting mostly in cash while I wait.
Trade Wisely,
Doug
Click Here to Watch the Morning Video
Good morning everyone.
It’s Friday, and I for one am so glad the last weekend before the election is here. Let’s cross our fingers and hope we can return to some normal market price action once the election is behind us.
Today we have the Employment Situation number and International Trade report at 8:30 eastern. Both numbers have the ability to move the market under normal circumstances but with the election pending, normal seems nearly impossible to achieve. Currently, the Futures are pointing to a slightly bearish open but after the economic reports, anything is possible. With the SPY, IWM, and DIA so very close to the 200-day average we should not be surprised to see price move that direction and even pass through before a relief bounce occurs. I do however think the charts are telling us a relief bounce is near and possibly even today it could occur.
With it being Friday and just before the election I doubt very much there will be any new trades today but never say never. If you have been looking for a great day to take off this may be your opportunity. I’m confident better trading on the way soon. Have a fantastic weekend everyone.
Trade Wisely,
Doug
Click Here to Watch the Morning Video
Good morning everyone.
As the major indexes draw nearer the 200-day moving average greater is the probability price will be drawn right down to it. However, there is always the possibility of a very short-term oversold bounce that could occur prior to the 200 test. The futures are slightly bullish this morning but I sure wouldn’t believe the selling is over just yet.
We are now 5-day to the election and the jittery market is trying to deal with changing polls and the reality that it may be too close to call. We have several economic reports this morning and although they do have the potential to move the market it’s likely the election will trump everything else. No pun intended. Keep in mind we have the big employment situation number Friday morning so expect light volumes after the morning rush.
Trade Wisely,
Doug
Click Here to Watch the Morning Video
Good morning everyone.
Yesterday we finally saw the bears step and give the market a push on election fears. As a matter a fact it seems everywhere we look there seem to be uncertainty and there is little that the market dislikes more.
Today at 10 eastern we get some Oil numbers that lately can move the market around but the big news of the day will be the FOMC at 2 PM eastern time. I think a .25 basis point increase in December has already been baked into the cake but if the FOMC surprises the market we will likely see a very big reaction. Until the release, however, there will likely be very light volume accompanied by choppy price action. As if we haven’t already had our fill of chop!!
I think we need to continue to stay small and remain cautious. Yesterday was a big move but I don’t think we have seen the full measure of it’s potential just yet. The good new is we seem to be getting closer to shaking loose of this 2-month long range. No matter which direction it decides it will be a welcome change. So hang in there, better trading is on the way.
Trade Wisely,
Doug
Click Here to Watch the Morning Video
Good morning everyone.
During the evening we had some good number out of Asian markets that popped the Dow futures up about 60 points but as we get closer to the open the futures are sliding back toward a flat open.
Today we have several economic numbers before the open with the biggest being the ISM number that won’t be released until 10 AM eastern. Although we have a lot of earnings today it’s unlikely we will see much movement from the reports. The FOMC meeting begins today and as we all know the market tends to trade lightly in a tight range as it waits for the announcement. The Employment Situation number on Friday is another report that normally keeps the market subdued until it’s release.
Last but not least is the election just 7 days away making the market very apprehensive particularly due to the Clinton email scandal bubbling to the surface once again.
Once again I will most likely sit on hands while all this uncertainty unfolds. I understand how hard it is to simply continue to wait but when we have no edge it’s the best thing we can do to protect our capital.
Trade Wisely,
Doug
Click Here to Watch the Morning Video
Good morning everyone
Friday the market was dealt a surprise when the head of the FBI reopened the Clinton E-mail scandal case due to new evidence. Who knows what will come of it but the market hates this kind of uncertainty and may further complicate this very challenging market. With the election now only 8 days way and the market locked into a very tight range truly anything is possible. As a result, I highly doubt I will be doing much trading until the election is over and the market picks a direction.
I understand this has been very frustrating but why risk our money when chop rules the market. I believe big moves are coming soon so will spend my time preparing rather than fighting news driven emotionally charged chop where I have no edge. There are times when the best position is a cash position and personally I think that time is now. If you disagree that’s okay with me and I wish you success.
Trade Wisely,
Doug
Click Here to Watch the Morning Video
