US markets followed the rest of the world by gapping down at the open Monday.  After a half-hour of getting their footing, bulls then stepped in to rally stocks the rest of the day, closing near the highs.  This left us with a Bullish Engulfing candle in the DIA and a long-wick Hammer / Hanging Man candle in the QQQ.  On the say, SPY gained 0.25% (to another all-time high close), DIA gained 0.33% (to another all-time high close), and QQQ gained 0.04%.  The VXX was flat at 26.36 and T2122 fell but remained in mid-range at 44.65.  10-year bond yields fell sharply to 1.268% and Oil (WTI) dropped 1.5% to $67.40/barrel.

As we sit at all-time highs, it is worth noting that the S&P500 has now doubled since March of 2020.  That makes the last (just under) 17 months the strongest bull rally since World War II…and not just by a little bit.  The current market reached that “doubling” milestone in 35% less time than the next-fastest bull market.  In fact, this rally has been three times faster than the average post-WWII rally.

In miscellaneous business news Monday, TSLA is under investigation again by Federal safety regulators after 11 accidents where TSLA cars using autopilot crashed into emergency vehicles, resulting in 17 injuries and one death.  The stock fell more than 4% on that news.  Meanwhile, TMUS confirmed Monday afternoon that it had been hit by a data breach that has exposed the full customer information of many T-Mobile users.  Late Sunday night, hackers had boasted that they had taken the personal information of over 100 million people from the breach.  The stock fell almost 3% on the confirmation.

Earnings season continues in retail today, as WMT and HD have both posted beats on both lines this morning. WMT cited strong grocery and back-to-school sales. As for HD, although they beat on revenue, they did report an almost 6% drop in transactions for the quarter. Markets seem to fear that this means an end to the stay-at-home DIY home improvement trend of the last 15 months.

Overnight, Asian markets were mixed but leaned to the downside as China drafted new regulations aimed at anti-competitive activities in the Internet sector.  Shenzhen (-2.34%), and Shanghai (-2.00%) saw the worst of the losses, but the losses were widespread.  On the upside, only Malaysia (+1.38%) managed to gain more than a percent.  In Europe, markets are far more mixed, but still lean to the red side as of mid-day.  The FTSE (+0.17%), DAX (-0.19%), and CAC (+0.56%) are typical of the spread with only Denmark (+0.80%) and Russia (+0.58%) managing significant gains at this point in the day.  As of 7:30 am, US Futures are pointing to a gap-down open.  The DIA is implying a -0.59% open, the SPY implying a -0.47% open, and the QQQ implying a -0.37% open.  10-year bond yields are also down sharply to 1.223% and Oil is 0.83% lower in early morning trading.

The major economic news scheduled for release on Tuesday includes July Retail Sales (8:30 am), July Industrial Production (9:15 am), Jun Business Inventories (10 am), and Fed Chair Powell speaks (1:30 pm).  The major earnings reports scheduled for the day include AIT, HD, GRUB, SE, and WMT before the open.  Then after the close, A, AMCR, BEST, JKHY, and LZB report.

Profit-taking is natural at all-time highs. This is especially true in the face of fear over covid resurgence (Monday a CCL cruise out of Texas reported 27 new cases found during its voyage), news of pressure on the Fed to at least begin tapering bond-buying, and economic news that shows the recovery weakening. However, trends remain bullish or consolidating at worst. In fact, just yesterday there was a report that funds are sitting on a trillion dollars of cash, hoping to buy into a 5% pullback. So, while we should look for short-term opportunities to the downside of that is what the market brings, don’t go “all in” on a bear trend taking shape…especially in the longer term.

Trading rules and discipline are what separates long-term success and failure in trading. Focus on the process and on managing what you can control. Always manage your existing trades before chasing new ones. Trade with the trend until the trend is broken. If you miss a move, just admit it and move on to the next trade. Never chase price on an entry and remember to keep your losses small by managing stops. And always consistently take profits when you have them.

Ed

Swing Trade Ideas for your consideration and watchlist: No trade ideas today. You can find Rick’s review of tickers on his YouTube Channel here. Trade your plan, take profits along the way, and smart. Also, remember to check for impending earnings reports. Finally, remember that any tickers we mention and talk about in the trading room are not recommendations to buy or sell.

🎯 Mike Probst: Rick, Got CTL off the scanner today. Already up 30%. Love it.

🎯 Dick Carp: the scanner paid for the year with HES-thank you

🎯 Arnoldo Bolanos: LTA scanner really works $$, thanks Ed.

🎯 Bob S: LTA is incredible…. I use it … would not trade without it

🎯 Malcolm .: Posted in room 2, @Rick… I used the LTA Scanner to go through hundreds of stocks this weekend and picked out three to trade:  PYPL, TGT, and ZS.   Quality patterns and with my trading, up 24%, 7% and 12%…. this program is gold.

🎯 Friday 6/21/19  (10:09 am) Aaron B: Today, my account is at +190% since January. Thanks, RWO HRC Flash Malcolm Thomas Steve Ed Bob S Bob C Mike P and everyone that contributes every day. I love our job.

Hit and Run Candlesticks / Road To Wealth Youtube videos

Disclosure: We do not act on all trades we mention, and not all mentions acted on the day of the mention. All trades we mention are for your consideration only.

Free YouTube Education  •  Subscription Plans • Private 2-Hour Coaching

DISCLAIMER: Investing / Trading involves significant financial risk and is not suitable for everyone. No communication from Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates or representatives is not financial or trading advice. All information provided by Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates and representatives are intended for educational purposes only. You are advised to test any new trading approach before implementing it.  Past performance does not guarantee future results.  Terms of Service

Markets opened slightly higher on Friday and then ground sideways is a tight range the rest of the day. This left us with small-body, indecisive candles across the 3 major indices.  However, both large-cap indices did this at a new all-time high close and the QQQ only missed a new all-time high close by a fraction of a percent.  On the day, SPY gained 0.18%, DIA gained 0.05% (which accounts for it having a small black body candle), and QQQ gained 0.35%.  The VXX was flat at 26.28 and T2122 remained in the mid-range at 58.26.  10-year bond yields closed down slightly at 1.359% and Oil (WTI) was flat at $68.90/barrel.

During the day Friday, the Michigan Consumer Sentiment reading came out at a pandemic-era low of 70.2.  This was the lowest reading since 2011 and accounted for one of the largest one-month drops of the metric on record.  This dramatic decline comes as covid (Delta variant) is out of control again, communities and businesses are reintroducing mask mandates and the bulk of major corporations are delaying “return to the office” and issuing company vaccination mandates.

With 10-year bond yields stuck in the 1.3% range and plunging consumer sentiment, the stock market continues its perpetual rally.  It seems odd to be sitting at all-time highs on low and declining breadth.  This weekend, Bloomberg said it believes the reason is the market-wide, record corporate profits that have been reported so far this quarter. It seems that despite inflation complaints, the pandemic recovery works in Wall Street’s favor.  It does so by lowering inventories, reducing absolute payrolls/expenses, and giving pricing power to industries across the gamut. This week the focus turns to Retail as WMT, HD, LOW, TGT, KSS, M, FL, and ROST all report.

In miscellaneous stock news, CNBC reports Saudi Aramco is close to a deal that would give it a 20% stake in Indian Chemical (oil to chemical processing) for $25 billion.  A deal for the same ownership stake fell through a couple years ago when oil prices crashed.  Meanwhile, BHP is in talks to sell its petroleum business to Australian producer Woodside.  SONO is also surging in premarket after the ITC rules that GOOGL had infringed on the Sonos audio technology patents.

Overnight, Asian markets were mostly in the read as Chinese Retail data showed only an 8.5% year-on-year gain in July (well below the 11.5% forecast).  Japan (-1.62%) and South Korea (-1.16%) led the region to the downside.  Meanwhile, India (+0.21%) and Thailand (+0.19%) were the only real green in the area.  In Europe, we see a similar pattern so far today.  The FTSE (-0.95%), DAX (-0.40%), and CAC (-0.76%) are typical of the continent with only Russia (+0.49%) in the green at mid-day.  As of 7:30 am, US Futures are pointing to a quarter of a percent gap down at the open.  The DIA is implying a -0.25% open, the SPY implying a -0.24% open and the QQQ implying a -0.24% open at this hour.  10-year bond yields are also significantly lower (1.278%) with Oil (WTI) also 1.5% lower in early trading.

The major economic news scheduled for release on Monday is limited to NY Empire State Mfg. Index (8:30 am).  The major earnings reports scheduled for the day are limited to UWMC before the open.  The major earnings reports scheduled for after the close include EDR, FN, RBLX, and TME.

With no major earnings news this morning and only the NY Fed Mfg. Index in economic data, markets are very likely to follow the rest of the world. Fear over retail growth numbers indicating a slowing recovery at the same time the Fed is seeing pressure to begin bond-buying tapering will give markets a shiver. This is only going to be exasperated by growing concern over Delta variant impacts. However, there has been no stopping the bulls so far. At most, the bears have just given bulls a rest once in a while. So, caution is required. However, calling reversals is not a strategy for long-term success.

Stick with the trend until the trend is broken. However, if you missed a move, admit it and move on to the next trade. Never chase price on an entry. Remember to keep your losses small by managing stops and then consistently take profits when you have them. Above all, we have to maintain our discipline to trading rules. Focus on the process and on managing what you can control.

Ed

Swing Trade Ideas for your consideration and watchlist: AAPL, BAC, AMRN, WEN, KBH. You can find Rick’s review of tickers on his YouTube Channel here. Trade your plan, take profits along the way, and smart. Also, remember to check for impending earnings reports. Finally, remember that any tickers we mention and talk about in the trading room are not recommendations to buy or sell.

🎯 Mike Probst: Rick, Got CTL off the scanner today. Already up 30%. Love it.

🎯 Dick Carp: the scanner paid for the year with HES-thank you

🎯 Arnoldo Bolanos: LTA scanner really works $$, thanks Ed.

🎯 Bob S: LTA is incredible…. I use it … would not trade without it

🎯 Malcolm .: Posted in room 2, @Rick… I used the LTA Scanner to go through hundreds of stocks this weekend and picked out three to trade:  PYPL, TGT, and ZS.   Quality patterns and with my trading, up 24%, 7% and 12%…. this program is gold.

🎯 Friday 6/21/19  (10:09 am) Aaron B: Today, my account is at +190% since January. Thanks, RWO HRC Flash Malcolm Thomas Steve Ed Bob S Bob C Mike P and everyone that contributes every day. I love our job.

Hit and Run Candlesticks / Road To Wealth Youtube videos

Disclosure: We do not act on all trades we mention, and not all mentions acted on the day of the mention. All trades we mention are for your consideration only.

Free YouTube Education  •  Subscription Plans • Private 2-Hour Coaching

DISCLAIMER: Investing / Trading involves significant financial risk and is not suitable for everyone. No communication from Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates or representatives is not financial or trading advice. All information provided by Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates and representatives are intended for educational purposes only. You are advised to test any new trading approach before implementing it.  Past performance does not guarantee future results.  Terms of Service

July PPI came in much hotter than expected, but as expected Jobless claims kept falling.  Markets shrugged off this news to open flat.  Then after a fade the first hour, the bulls started a long, slow rally that lasted the rest of the day.  This gave us strong candles in all 3 major indices, including a Dragonfly Doji in the DAI (to a new all-time high close), a strong bullish candle in the SPY (to another all-time high close), and a strong bullish candle in the QQQ.  On the day, SPY gained 0.30%, DIA gained 0.08%, and QQQ gained 0.36%.  The VXX fell another 2% to 26.24 and T2122 fell out of the overbought territory to 70.83.  10-year bond yields climbed to 1.361% and Oil (WTI) fell half a percent to $68.91/barrel.

After the close, DIS beat on both lines in its report.  Despite its theme parks remaining unprofitable, the company managed to handily top estimates, delivering $17.02 billion in revenue and $0.80/share earnings for the quarter.  One stand-out from the report was that the Disney+ streaming service added 1.5 million more subscribers than had been expected.

The delta variant is raising concerns in the logistics world.  Which may have major follow-through impacts on the retail and manufacturing sectors in the fall.  Chinese restrictions have caused the partial closure of the world’s third-largest port already.  The Port of Los Angeles is already prepping for another dramatic decline in container volume.  With container pricing up 220% already this year, the logjams that result from another set of port slowdown/shutdowns could have drastic impacts on shipping costs.

Early today the FDA authorized a vaccination booster shot for immunocompromised people. While the FDA said that fully-vaccinated healthy people are adequately protected, the debate continues on whether to expand booster shots or continue to apply the doses that would be required toward getting the unvaccinated population their first rounds of vaccine.  However, Thursday afternoon Dr. Fauci (NIH) told a press briefing that it is likely that everyone will need a booster shot at some point.

Overnight, Asian markets were mostly in the red.  Taiwan (-1.38%) was an outlier, but Shenzhen (-0.69%) and Singapore (-0.54%) paced the losses on global logistics concerns.  However, India (+1.01%) and Australia (+0.54%) were among the few green exchanges in the region.  In Europe, markets are mixed but lean to the green side so far on Friday.  The FTSE (+0.33%), DAX (+0.43%), and CAC (+0.38%) are leading the continent higher at mid-day. As of 7:30 am, US Futures are pointing toward a flat open.  The DIA is implying a +0.13% open, the SPY implying a +0.04% open, and the QQQ is implying a -0.02% open at this hour.  10-year bond yields are down a bit as the dollar is down so far today.

The major economic news scheduled for release on Friday is limited to July Imports and July Exports (both at 8:30 am) and Michigan Consumer Sentiment (10 am).  The major earnings reports scheduled for the day are limited to DSEY and ERJ before the open.  There are no earnings reports scheduled for after the close.

With no major news planned this morning and the twin fears of covid impacts and inflation-caused Fed tightening, the bears have the wind at their back this morning. However, the bulls have been impossible to deny regardless of news for months. It seems like a classic case of “climbing the wall of worry” in recent days. Gaps, fades, and long periods of tight-range sideways grind have been a spot-on description of market action this summer. However, trends remain bullish (if flattened in the QQQ). So, while caution is required, predicting trend change is not a strategy for long-term success.

Keep your losses small by managing stops and consistently take profits when you have them. Never chase price on an entry. If you missed a move, admit it and move on to the next trade. Above all, maintain your discipline to your trading rules. Stick with the trend until the trend is broken. As mentioned, reversal predictors don’t tend to last long in the trading business. Focus on the process and managing what you can control. Discipline will see you through.

Ed

Swing Trade Ideas for your consideration and watchlist: AAPL, MSFT, SOLO, MIME, ORCL, ASAN, PSA, CROX, TRGP, HUBS, EBON. You can find Rick’s review of tickers on his YouTube Channel here. Trade your plan, take profits along the way, and smart. Also, remember to check for impending earnings reports. Finally, remember that any tickers we mention and talk about in the trading room are not recommendations to buy or sell.

🎯 Mike Probst: Rick, Got CTL off the scanner today. Already up 30%. Love it.

🎯 Dick Carp: the scanner paid for the year with HES-thank you

🎯 Arnoldo Bolanos: LTA scanner really works $$, thanks Ed.

🎯 Bob S: LTA is incredible…. I use it … would not trade without it

🎯 Malcolm .: Posted in room 2, @Rick… I used the LTA Scanner to go through hundreds of stocks this weekend and picked out three to trade:  PYPL, TGT, and ZS.   Quality patterns and with my trading, up 24%, 7% and 12%…. this program is gold.

🎯 Friday 6/21/19  (10:09 am) Aaron B: Today, my account is at +190% since January. Thanks, RWO HRC Flash Malcolm Thomas Steve Ed Bob S Bob C Mike P and everyone that contributes every day. I love our job.

Hit and Run Candlesticks / Road To Wealth Youtube videos

Disclosure: We do not act on all trades we mention, and not all mentions acted on the day of the mention. All trades we mention are for your consideration only.

Free YouTube Education  •  Subscription Plans • Private 2-Hour Coaching

DISCLAIMER: Investing / Trading involves significant financial risk and is not suitable for everyone. No communication from Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates or representatives is not financial or trading advice. All information provided by Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates and representatives are intended for educational purposes only. You are advised to test any new trading approach before implementing it.  Past performance does not guarantee future results.  Terms of Service

The July CPI number came in exactly as expected and markets gapped up slightly after having feared seeing a hot number.  The QQQ faded that gap immediately, but the entire market ground sideways in a very tight range from mid-morning on.  This left us with a nice white candle in the DIA, a Dragonfly Doji type candle in the SPY and a black Spinning Top type candle in the QQQ.  On the day, SPY gained 0.24% (a new all-time high close), DIA gained 0.63% (a new all-time high close), and QQQ lost 0.17%.  The VXX fell 2.65% to 26.80 and T2122 rose back into the overbought territory at 83.16.  10-year bond yields fell slightly to 1.334% and Oil (WTI) rose 1.5% to $69.32/barrel.

During the afternoon, a bipartisan bill was introduced in the Senate that could have dramatic impacts on AAPL and GOOG.  The bill, as introduced, would prevent the two behemoths from requiring App developers to use the app store payment system.  It would also prevent AAPL and GOOG from limiting app developers from directly contacting app users with offers.  Finally, it would prevent AAPL and GOOG from punishing app developers for offering better pricing anywhere outside of the app store.  Although the impacts have not been quantified, if this were to become law both companies (and any other app store with 50 million users) would take a huge hit to a major cash cow division.

Also during the day, Dallas Fed President Kaplan said that the Fed should announce they are tapering bond-buying and should then begin tapering in October.  It is worth noting that Kaplan has always been known as a “hawk” and that he is not a voting member at this time.  However, this is the first FOMC member to put a firm timeline out in the public.  KC Fed President George also said that she believes the Fed should move out of “extraordinary policy” and into a “neutral monetary policy” as the recovery continues.  However, once again, George is not a voting member this year.

In another sign that the economy has recovered, US freight volumes (truck and rail) have returned to pre-pandemic levels.  The Cass Freight Index for July showed volumes higher than July 2019.  However, the numbers were down a bit from June.  Interestingly (related to inflation), shipping prices fell faster than volumes in July (shipments declined 3% while costs came down 5%).  The full index will be released later this morning.

Overnight, Asian markets were mostly in the red on modest trading.  Shenzhen (-0.79%), Thailand (-0.64%), and Hong Kong (-0.53%) led the moves lower.  Indonesia (+0.84%) was the only appreciable gainer.  In Europe, markets are showing modest moves, but are mostly green at mid-day.  The FTSE (-0.15%), DAX (+0.38%), and CAC (+0.25%) are typical of the continent.  As of 7:30 am, US Futures are pointing to a flat open.  The DIA is implying a 0.14% gain, the SPY implying a 0.07% gain, and the QQQ implying a 0.04% gain at this hour.  The dollar is flat, but 10-year bond yields are up to 1.357% in early morning trading.

The major economic news scheduled for release on Thursday includes July PPI and Weekly Initial Jobless Claims (both at 8:30 am) and the WASDE (World Ag Supply and Demand Estimate) at noon.  The major earnings reports scheduled for the day include ARKO, BIDU, BR, BAM, CSIQ, DDS, ESLT, IQ, KELYA, MDP, MIDD, EYE, and OGN before the open.  Then, after the close, ABNB, WISH, BAP, DASH, FLO, RKT, and DIS report.

This morning markets will look to July Producer Prices for another clue as to how soon the Fed might start taking away stimulus. Europe and Asia showed some caution as fears over Delta variant impact increase. However, the US Markets love new highs, and a drift higher continues. Beware of volatility as markets have been gapping and resting the rest of the day for a while now. So, even the new highs feel like they are range-bound.

Stick with the trend until the trend is broken. Reversal predictors don’t tend to last long in trading. Also, keep in mind that you don’t need to call market turns to be successful. Just keep your losses small by managing stops and consistently take profits when you have them. Never chase price on an entry. If you missed a move, admit it and move on to the next trade. Above all, stick to your trading rules. Focus on the process and managing what you can control. Discipline will see you through.

Ed

Swing Trade Ideas for your consideration and watchlist: FOLD, FAST, AMD, NET, DOCU, KBH, PLTR, DDD. You can find Rick’s review of tickers on his YouTube Channel here. Trade your plan, take profits along the way, and smart. Also, remember to check for impending earnings reports. Finally, remember that any tickers we mention and talk about in the trading room are not recommendations to buy or sell.

🎯 Mike Probst: Rick, Got CTL off the scanner today. Already up 30%. Love it.

🎯 Dick Carp: the scanner paid for the year with HES-thank you

🎯 Arnoldo Bolanos: LTA scanner really works $$, thanks Ed.

🎯 Bob S: LTA is incredible…. I use it … would not trade without it

🎯 Malcolm .: Posted in room 2, @Rick… I used the LTA Scanner to go through hundreds of stocks this weekend and picked out three to trade:  PYPL, TGT, and ZS.   Quality patterns and with my trading, up 24%, 7% and 12%…. this program is gold.

🎯 Friday 6/21/19  (10:09 am) Aaron B: Today, my account is at +190% since January. Thanks, RWO HRC Flash Malcolm Thomas Steve Ed Bob S Bob C Mike P and everyone that contributes every day. I love our job.

Hit and Run Candlesticks / Road To Wealth Youtube videos

Disclosure: We do not act on all trades we mention, and not all mentions acted on the day of the mention. All trades we mention are for your consideration only.

Free YouTube Education  •  Subscription Plans • Private 2-Hour Coaching

DISCLAIMER: Investing / Trading involves significant financial risk and is not suitable for everyone. No communication from Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates or representatives is not financial or trading advice. All information provided by Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates and representatives are intended for educational purposes only. You are advised to test any new trading approach before implementing it.  Past performance does not guarantee future results.  Terms of Service

Markets opened flat Tuesday before diverging.  The DIA put in a nice little rally the first hour of the day and then ground sideways in a tight range the rest of the day.  However, SPY wobbled sideways all day long and QQQ sold off the first two hours before starting a sideways grind that lasted into the close.  This left us with a nice white candle (and new all-time high close) in the DIA, a Doji (and new all-time high close by pennies) in the SPY, and a Bearish Engulfing of a Doji (that bounced up off trendline support in the QQQ.  On the day, SPY gained 0.12%, DIA gained 0.45%, and QQQ lost 0.51%.  The VXX fell almost 2% to 27.53 and T2122 remains in the mid-range at 68.28.  10-year bond yields rose to 1.354% and Oil (WTI) spiked almost 3% to $68.45/barrel.

During the day, the Senate passed the $1 trillion Infrastructure bill with bipartisan support (69-30).  Among other winners, steel industry names such as NUE, X, STLD, etc. all rallied hard on the news as did many in the construction industry. However, this Senate vote was not the last step and it sends the bill back to the House, where the next hurdle will be whether the “progressive wing” of the Democratic party will hold the bill hostage. That said, the more liberal wing is not expected to demand large changes since the Senate also introduced (and passed) a $3.5 trillion budget bill immediately after the Infrastructure bill passed. This Budget bill includes most of the liberal wing wish-list items.

In the afternoon, there was a report out of China that should have impacted TSLA, but which in fact had no impact on the stock Tuesday.  The report, from a Chinese Auto Industry trade group, said that TSLA’s sales in China plummeted 70% in July.  TSLA sold 8,600 cars in China during the month compared to about 14,700 in June.  This is important because industry analysts expect China to account for 40% of all TSLA sales by 2022.  However, the export of Chinese-made TSLA cars also increased during July.

In other news, the semiconductor shortage continues to grow.  The average lead time for chip orders has increased again to 21 weeks.  Despite certain bright spots, the bottom line is that this shortage will not ease anytime soon.  (The problem is that it takes from 12-24 months to materially increase production capacity.  Even then there will be a ramp-up process during which production speeds will be slower than existing capacity and QA failure rates much higher.  On top of this, none of the major chipmakers want to be stuck with excess capacity once “reopening demand” wanes.)  So, for the foreseeable future, markets need to get used to things like auto-industry plant shutdowns, computer component shortages, cellphone delays, and generally higher prices for everything that contains a chip.  That will eventually hurt the bottom lines across the economy.

Overnight, Asian markets were mixed again.  Japan (+0.65%) and Malaysia (+0.52%) led gainers while Singapore (-0.85%), Thailand (-0.64%), and Indonesia (-0.64%) paced the losses.  In Europe, markets are mostly green at mid-day.  The FTSE (+0.50%), CAC (+0.29%), and DAX (+0.03%) are typical of the spread across the continent, but there are 3 smaller exchanges slightly in the red.  As of 7:30 am, US Futures are pointing to a flat open ahead of inflation data.  The DIA is implying a +0.05% open, the SPY implying a -0.08% open, and the QQQ implying a -0.20% open at this hour.  It is also worth noting that 10-year bond yields are up to 1.366%, the dollar stronger and Oil down 1.2% ahead of CPI data.

The major economic news scheduled for release on Wednesday includes July CPI (8:30 am), Crude Oil Inventories (10:30 am), July Federal Budget Balance (2 pm), and 2 Fed speakers (Bostic at 10:30 am and George at noon).  10-year Treasury notes are also auctioned at 1 pm.  The major earnings reports scheduled for the day include APG, ARCO, CAE, and RPRX before the open.  Then, after the close, APP, AVT, CACI, CPNG, EBAY, ENS, BEKE, NIO, OPEN, and RXT report.

All eyes will be on July Consumer inflation data this morning (which is expected to be hot as it was in June). However, the White House calling on OPEC to expand oil production in the face of rising fuel prices also is also a wildcard and is having an early morning impact on WTI. Beware of volatility as markets have been gapping and resting in a tight range to have gone “nowhere but sideways” over the slightly longer-term look.

Keep in mind, you don’t need to call the market turn to be successful. In fact, reversal predictors don’t tend to last long in trading. So, stick with the trend until the trend is broken. Also remember, you don’t have to trade every day. If the market action is too whippy or sideways lately, take some time off and enjoy the summer. However, if you do trade keep your losses small and consistently take profits when you have them. Never chase price. If you missed a move, admit it and move on to the next trade. Above all, stick to your trading rules. Focus on the process and managing what you can control. Discipline will see you through.

Ed

Swing Trade Ideas for your consideration and watchlist: FOLD, INO, GSK, PLUG, SNOW, JNJ, CARR. You can find Rick’s review of tickers on his YouTube Channel here. Trade your plan, take profits along the way, and smart. Also, remember to check for impending earnings reports. Finally, remember that any tickers we mention and talk about in the trading room are not recommendations to buy or sell.

🎯 Mike Probst: Rick, Got CTL off the scanner today. Already up 30%. Love it.

🎯 Dick Carp: the scanner paid for the year with HES-thank you

🎯 Arnoldo Bolanos: LTA scanner really works $$, thanks Ed.

🎯 Bob S: LTA is incredible…. I use it … would not trade without it

🎯 Malcolm .: Posted in room 2, @Rick… I used the LTA Scanner to go through hundreds of stocks this weekend and picked out three to trade:  PYPL, TGT, and ZS.   Quality patterns and with my trading, up 24%, 7% and 12%…. this program is gold.

🎯 Friday 6/21/19  (10:09 am) Aaron B: Today, my account is at +190% since January. Thanks, RWO HRC Flash Malcolm Thomas Steve Ed Bob S Bob C Mike P and everyone that contributes every day. I love our job.

Hit and Run Candlesticks / Road To Wealth Youtube videos

Disclosure: We do not act on all trades we mention, and not all mentions acted on the day of the mention. All trades we mention are for your consideration only.

Free YouTube Education  •  Subscription Plans • Private 2-Hour Coaching

DISCLAIMER: Investing / Trading involves significant financial risk and is not suitable for everyone. No communication from Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates or representatives is not financial or trading advice. All information provided by Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates and representatives are intended for educational purposes only. You are advised to test any new trading approach before implementing it.  Past performance does not guarantee future results.  Terms of Service

Markets opened flat and then oscillated sideways all-day Monday.  This left us with Doji-like candles in all 3 major indices.  On the day, SPY lost 0.07%, DIA lost 0.26%, and QQQ gained 0.18%, with all 3 being within a quarter of a percent of all-time highs.  The VXX fell 1% to 28.01 and T2122 dropped back to 45.03 as the consolidation grind continues.  10-year bond yield jumped significantly to 1.329% and Oil (WTI) “rallied” to close down only 2.17% at $66.80/barrel (after having been down over 4.5% during early morning trading).  In fact, the vast majority of commodities were down on the day as the dollar rose and Delta variant news stoked demand fears globally.

During the afternoon, it became clear that the long-awaited Infrastructure bill will receive its final Senate vote on Tuesday morning.  (Since this bill has bipartisan support, with at least 19 Republicans on board, they have delayed the vote until daytime to give Senators plenty of television airtime.)  From there the bill goes to reconciliation between the House and Senate before final passage.  The Senate and Treasury Dept. also reach agreement on an amendment to the bill that would tighten cryptocurrency regulation, while not requiring individual reporting, but forcing that reporting onto trading/brokerage platforms.  Again, this was a bipartisan-negotiated amendment.

Vaccine makers MRNA, BNTX, and PFE continue to extend a strong rally from recent weeks.  This comes even in front of potential catalysts such as approval of booster shot plans and as new (higher in the case of Europe) pricing for vaccine doses is being negotiated for deliveries out past 2021.

Overnight, Asian markets were mostly green today.  Hong Kong (+1.23%), Shanghai (+1.01%), and Singapore (+0.95%) led the gainers.  Taiwan (-0.92%), Indonesia (-0.64%), and South Korea (-0.53%) were the lone red exchanges on the day.  In Europe, markets are strongly leaning toward the green, with only two modest red numbers at this point.  The FTSE (-0.02%) is one of the two, but the DAX (+0.23%) and CAC (+0.14%) are more indicative of the broader continent.  As of 7:30 am, US Futures are pointing to a flat open.  The DIA is pointing to a -0.03% open, the SPY is implying a +0.01% open, and the QQQ is implying a +0.12% open.  10-year bond yields are flat, but Oil is up almost 2% at this hour.

The only major economic news scheduled for release on Tuesday is Q2 Nonfarm Productivity and Q2 Unit Labor Costs (both at 8:30 am).  The major earnings reports scheduled for the day include ARMK, DFH, IIVI, PRGO, SYY, and TDG before the open.  Then, after the close, COIN, DAR, GO, and SMCI report.

Markets continue their sideways chop. Progress toward Infrastructure bill spending and the newly proposed Democratic $3.5 trillion budget plan (with a shifting of priorities from prior budgets) do not seem like major potential drivers. So, the summer doldrums on low breadth may continue as the bears have no immediate catalyst either. However, there are new Covid restrictions taking shape in China and this may be the foreshadowing of a tougher time for the global economy. Be careful of volatility and day-to-day chop as you plan your risk.

Remember, you don’t have to trade every day or even week. Trading success is about consistently winning more than you lose by following the trend and then keeping your losses small while consistently taking profits when you have them. You don’t need to call the turn or have all triple-digit gain trades. So, don’t try to predict the market. Neither should you chase price and, above all, stick to your trading rules. Focus on the process and managing what you can control. Discipline will see you through. Also, remember it’s Friday. Don’t forget to pay yourself and be ready for the weekend news cycle.

Ed

Swing Trade Ideas for your consideration and watchlist: BCRX, SNAP, STLD, TSLA, CHWY, PAVE, IDN, SKY. Rick is out but the RWO Room is open. You can find Rick’s review of tickers on his YouTube Channel here. Trade your plan, take profits along the way, and smart. Also, remember to check for impending earnings reports. Finally, remember that any tickers we mention and talk about in the trading room are not recommendations to buy or sell.

🎯 Mike Probst: Rick, Got CTL off the scanner today. Already up 30%. Love it.

🎯 Dick Carp: the scanner paid for the year with HES-thank you

🎯 Arnoldo Bolanos: LTA scanner really works $$, thanks Ed.

🎯 Bob S: LTA is incredible…. I use it … would not trade without it

🎯 Malcolm .: Posted in room 2, @Rick… I used the LTA Scanner to go through hundreds of stocks this weekend and picked out three to trade:  PYPL, TGT, and ZS.   Quality patterns and with my trading, up 24%, 7% and 12%…. this program is gold.

🎯 Friday 6/21/19  (10:09 am) Aaron B: Today, my account is at +190% since January. Thanks, RWO HRC Flash Malcolm Thomas Steve Ed Bob S Bob C Mike P and everyone that contributes every day. I love our job.

Hit and Run Candlesticks / Road To Wealth Youtube videos

Disclosure: We do not act on all trades we mention, and not all mentions acted on the day of the mention. All trades we mention are for your consideration only.

Free YouTube Education  •  Subscription Plans • Private 2-Hour Coaching

DISCLAIMER: Investing / Trading involves significant financial risk and is not suitable for everyone. No communication from Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates or representatives is not financial or trading advice. All information provided by Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates and representatives are intended for educational purposes only. You are advised to test any new trading approach before implementing it.  Past performance does not guarantee future results.  Terms of Service

The July Payrolls Data came in better-than-expected Friday, resulting in a slight gap up in the large-cap indices and a gap down in the QQQ.  After that, all 3 major indices more or less ground sideways the remainder of the day.  This left us with indecisive Spinning Top type candles in all major averages.  On the day, SPY gained 0.17% (to a new all-time high close), DIA closed up 0.42% (to a new all-time high close), and QQQ closed down 0.44%.  The VXX fell 2.5% to 28.30 and T2122 rose to just outside the overbought territory at 75.33.  10-year bond yields rose sharply to 1.304% and Oil (WTI) fell 1.4% to $68.11/barrel.

Late Friday afternoon it was reported that US consumer borrowing surged in June by the largest on record.  This amounted to a 10.6% ($37.7 billion) increase compared to May.  A large portion of the increase came from credit card balances and non-revolving loans such as motor vehicle purchase loans.

On Saturday, BRK.B reported operating earnings that were up 21% year-on-year while overall earnings (which reflect the value of Berkshire equity investments) were up 6.8%.  The company has continued to buy back shares rather than make acquisitions, but the pace of buybacks has slowed, both from a year ago and from Q1.  As of June 30, the company had well over $144 billion in cash on hand.

In miscellaneous weekend news, a federal judge ruled that NCLH can require proof of vaccination prior to boarding, granting the company an injunction from Florida’s law that had barred any demand of vaccination proof by businesses.  The first NCLH cruise since before the Pandemic left Florida Sunday after the ruling cleared the way. The Infrastructure bill made some progress over the weekend, but there is still a lot of vote-wrangling to do. However, a Senate vote one way or the other seems likely this week. Elsewhere, the UN published a report, approved by all 195 member states on Friday, delivering a stark warning of the “irrefutable and unequivocal evidence” that climate change is real, has had a major human influence and is very close to being irreversible. The effects impact billions of people (consumers), business operations, and distribution around the globe. As will the mitigation efforts such as converting huge swaths of industry and public consumption from fossil fuels and petroleum-based goods (such as plastics). The economic transformation will likely be massive.

Overnight, Asian markets were mixed, but leaned to the green side. Thailand (+1.21%) and Shanghai (+1.05%) were the clear leaders among gainers.  Meanwhile, Indonesia (-1.22%) was by far the largest loser Monday as Oil prices were down over 4.5%.  The remainder of Asian exchanges saw more modest moves in either direction.  In Europe, prices are also mixed, with most of the smaller exchanges modestly higher so far today, but the “big 3” exchanges all on the red side of the ledger.  This may be due to the impact of data out of China showing that Chinese Exports unexpectedly slowed in July.  Regardless, the FTSE (-0.32%), DAX (-0.08%), and CAC (-0.02%) are all down at mid-day.  As of 7:30 am, US Futures are pointing to a mixed and flat open.  The DIA is implying a -0.27% open, the SPY implying a -0.12% open, but the QQQ is implying a +0.15% open at this point.  As mentioned, commodities are widely down with Oil leading the way as WTI is 4.44% lower early today.  The 10-year bond yield is also down significantly to 1.275% in early trading.

The only major economic news scheduled for release on Monday is June JOLTs (10 am).  The major earnings reports scheduled for the day include APD, AMRX, AVYA, GOLD, BNTX, DISH, ELAN, ENR, GTES, SGMS, SYNH, TGNA, TSN, USFD, VRTV, and VTRS before the open.  Then, after the close, ADV, ACM, CBT, ELY, CF, COMP, CAPL, HE, LU, DOOR, NGL, NTR, STE, and WES report.

Markets seem mixed and unsettled early Monday. The Delta variant continued to run, with the average daily new cases back above 100,000 and deaths beginning to slowly increase. This comes in the face of evidence the recovery may be slowing even as fiscal stimulus and the will for monetary easing is starting to wane. In short, the bear case has control of the conversation to start the week. Beware of volatility as the futures have changed directions a couple of times this morning already. So, the indices have not broken free of the consolidation of the past few weeks and day-to-day chop may continue to be the order of the day.

Remember, you don’t have to trade every day or even week. Trading success is about consistently winning more than you lose by following the trend and then keeping your losses small while consistently taking profits when you have them. You don’t need to call the turn or have all triple-digit gain trades. So, don’t try to predict the market. Neither should you chase price and, above all, stick to your trading rules. Focus on the process and managing what you can control. Discipline will see you through. Also, remember it’s Friday. Don’t forget to pay yourself and be ready for the weekend news cycle.

Ed

Swing Trade Ideas for your consideration and watchlist: MSI, FOXA, ARKK, QCOM, DEN, DHI, OTIS, VIAC, X, MU, RF, STLD, CLF, NUE, NOK, AA, MT, DVN, NVTA. Rick is out but the RWO Room is open. You can find Rick’s review of tickers on his YouTube Channel here. Trade your plan, take profits along the way, and smart. Also, remember to check for impending earnings reports. Finally, remember that any tickers we mention and talk about in the trading room are not recommendations to buy or sell.

🎯 Mike Probst: Rick, Got CTL off the scanner today. Already up 30%. Love it.

🎯 Dick Carp: the scanner paid for the year with HES-thank you

🎯 Arnoldo Bolanos: LTA scanner really works $$, thanks Ed.

🎯 Bob S: LTA is incredible…. I use it … would not trade without it

🎯 Malcolm .: Posted in room 2, @Rick… I used the LTA Scanner to go through hundreds of stocks this weekend and picked out three to trade:  PYPL, TGT, and ZS.   Quality patterns and with my trading, up 24%, 7% and 12%…. this program is gold.

🎯 Friday 6/21/19  (10:09 am) Aaron B: Today, my account is at +190% since January. Thanks, RWO HRC Flash Malcolm Thomas Steve Ed Bob S Bob C Mike P and everyone that contributes every day. I love our job.

Hit and Run Candlesticks / Road To Wealth Youtube videos

Disclosure: We do not act on all trades we mention, and not all mentions acted on the day of the mention. All trades we mention are for your consideration only.

Free YouTube Education  •  Subscription Plans • Private 2-Hour Coaching

DISCLAIMER: Investing / Trading involves significant financial risk and is not suitable for everyone. No communication from Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates or representatives is not financial or trading advice. All information provided by Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates and representatives are intended for educational purposes only. You are advised to test any new trading approach before implementing it.  Past performance does not guarantee future results.  Terms of Service

Markets gapped higher fractionally on Thursday and then ground sideways until the last half hour.  The day ended with a rally the last 30-minutes causing prices to go out on the highs in all 3 major indices.  This left strong bullish candles (on light volume) across the major markets.  On the day SPY gained 0.63% (to a new all-time high), DIA gained 0.75%, and QQQ gained 0.63% (to a new all-time high).  It is worth noting that breadth continued to decline.  The VXX fell 2% to 29.05 and T2122 rose to 64.58.  10-year bond yields rose to 1.225% and Oil (WTI) climbed 1.4% to $69.10/barrel.

During the day, in a sign of a very competitive labor market, TGT joined WMT, SBUX, and CMG in offering a program to pay for 100% of employee undergraduate college and book fees. After the close, F told CNBC that it is offering a buyout package intended to reduce its workforce by 1,000 employees.  In separate car industry news, President Biden set a national goal of having 50% of all cars sold to be electric by 2030.  The announcement was made while flanked by the executives of F, GM, and STLA (formerly Fiat-Chrysler), but noticeably absent from the event were representatives of TSLA, NKLA, HMC, TM, etc.

In virus-related news Thursday, AMZN, BLK, and WFC joined the growing ranks of companies that have postponed their workforce’s return to the office.  This came as the daily average of new cases has climbed back to about 95,000, up 50% from one week ago.  UAL also announced it will be among the companies requiring employees to be vaccinated before returning to work.  Meanwhile, after the close, NVAX announced it will delay the submission of its request for FDA authorization of its Covid Vaccine until the fourth quarter.  Oddly enough, the company says it is still on track to be making 100 million doses of the vaccine by the end of Q3, despite not having requested or gotten permission to ship.

In crypto news, JPM (whose CEO Jamie Dimon has been an outspoken critic of cryptocurrencies) had begun offering six crypto funds to its institutional and high-end wealth management customers.  Ethereum (the second-largest cryptocurrency behind Bitcoin) also announced they are moving up the event which will force “miners” to already have Ethereum in order to create new coins from mid-2022 to December 2021. This will make mining that currency essentially impossible at a profit, while still not completely centralizing the crypto coin.  Finally, overnight President Biden joined with the group of Senators that are pushing for stricter tax reporting on cryptocurrency transactions as an amendment to the infrastructure bill, which is headed for a vote this weekend.

Overnight, Asian markets were mixed, leaned to the downside on modest trading.  Australia (+0.36%) and Japan (+0.33%) were the only significant gainers, while Taiwan (-0.44%), Malaysia (-0.40%), and Thailand (-0.39%) led the wider-spread losses.  In Europe, markets are also mixed on very modest moves so far today.  The FTSE (+0.05%), DAX (+0.17%), and CAC (+0.22%) are probably the strongest bourses at this hour, with many of the smaller exchanges showing more significant losses.  As of 7:30 am, US Futures are pointing to a flat and mixed open ahead of Jobs data.  The DIA is implying a +0.10% open, the QQQ implying a -0.10% open, and the SPY implying a +0.07% open.  The dollar is up a bit with 10-year bond yields up notably to 1.257% and Oil (WTI) up 1.5% in early morning trading.

The major economic news scheduled for release on Friday includes July Nonfarm Payrolls, July Avg. Hourly Earnings, July Participation Rate, and July Unemployment Rate (all at 8:30 am).  The major earnings reports scheduled for the day include AMCX, BBU, CLMT, D, SSP, FLR, GCI, GLP, GT, LEA, MGA, MODV, NMRK, NCLH, QRTEA, SPB, SRCL, VTR, and VNT before the open.  There are no scheduled reports for after the close.

The world seems to be waiting on this morning’s July Jobs Report. With stocks at their highs, quarterly earnings having been very strong so far, and signs of a peaked recovery, I’m not sure what Mr. Market hopes to see from the report. However, the risk is to the downside. Regardless of the initial reaction, beware of potential whipsaw action as volatility will spike around the binary news event.

Remember, you don’t have to trade every day or even week. Trading success is about consistently winning more than you lose by following the trend and then keeping your losses small while consistently taking profits when you have them. You don’t need to call the turn or have all triple-digit gain trades. So, don’t try to predict the market. Neither should you chase price and, above all, stick to your trading rules. Focus on the process and managing what you can control. Discipline will see you through. Also, remember it’s Friday. Don’t forget to pay yourself and be ready for the weekend news cycle.

Ed

Swing Trade Ideas for your consideration and watchlist: MT, DVN, DHI, UPRO, CLF, NYCB, NOK. Rick is out but the RWO Room is open. You can find Rick’s review of tickers on his YouTube Channel here. Trade your plan, take profits along the way, and smart. Also, remember to check for impending earnings reports. Finally, remember that any tickers we mention and talk about in the trading room are not recommendations to buy or sell.

🎯 Mike Probst: Rick, Got CTL off the scanner today. Already up 30%. Love it.

🎯 Dick Carp: the scanner paid for the year with HES-thank you

🎯 Arnoldo Bolanos: LTA scanner really works $$, thanks Ed.

🎯 Bob S: LTA is incredible…. I use it … would not trade without it

🎯 Malcolm .: Posted in room 2, @Rick… I used the LTA Scanner to go through hundreds of stocks this weekend and picked out three to trade:  PYPL, TGT, and ZS.   Quality patterns and with my trading, up 24%, 7% and 12%…. this program is gold.

🎯 Friday 6/21/19  (10:09 am) Aaron B: Today, my account is at +190% since January. Thanks, RWO HRC Flash Malcolm Thomas Steve Ed Bob S Bob C Mike P and everyone that contributes every day. I love our job.

Hit and Run Candlesticks / Road To Wealth Youtube videos

Disclosure: We do not act on all trades we mention, and not all mentions acted on the day of the mention. All trades we mention are for your consideration only.

Free YouTube Education  •  Subscription Plans • Private 2-Hour Coaching

DISCLAIMER: Investing / Trading involves significant financial risk and is not suitable for everyone. No communication from Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates or representatives is not financial or trading advice. All information provided by Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates and representatives are intended for educational purposes only. You are advised to test any new trading approach before implementing it.  Past performance does not guarantee future results.  Terms of Service

ADP July Nonfarm Employment came in far below (less than half of) expectations early Wednesday.  Still markets shrugged off the news and only gapped down fractionally.  After that initial move, trading ground sideways in the large-caps and slowly rallied in the QQQ.  The exception was a significant across-the-board selloff the last 5 minutes.  This left us with indecisive candles, a Doji on the SPY and Spinning Top type candles in the DIA and QQQ.  On the day SPY lost 0.48%, DIA lost 0.89%, and QQQ gained 0.14%. However, this left us still in the sideways consolidation in all 3 major indices.  The VXX was flat a 29.77 and T2122 fell to 32.05.  10-year bond yields remained flat at 1.174% and Oil (WTI) fell over 3.5% to $68.04/barrel.

Just before the close, Treasury Sec. Yellen said that she expects monthly inflation to be running at a level consistent with the Fed’s goal (2% per year or 0.1 – 0.2%/ month) by the end of 2021.  However, she believes annual inflation readings will remain “uncomfortably high for some time.”  She also reiterated the administration’s position that an eviction moratorium is needed because state and local governments have only managed to disperse 10% of the $47 billion in rental assistance that the Federal government has allocated.  This is due to the program being brand new and multiple levels of government being involved. 

After the close, the torrid earnings pace continued, with the only reported misses being ALB on revenue and BKNG on earnings (loss).  MET, ALL, MCK, WDC, MRO, and APA were among those reporting strong beats.  However, forward guidance continues to be potty as many companies do not believe they can continue to match Q2 performance.

In stock news early today, the strong earnings season continues.  CI, BDX, HBI, XRAY, BLL, and IRM were among those reporting beats, without a single report missing on either line so far among major companies this morning.  MRNA reported that its vaccine booster shot has produced a “robust” immune response against the Delta variant (which now makes up 95% of new cases) in Phase 2 trials. The company also beat on both lines of their earnings report.  HOOD continues to be extremely volatile in its first week of trading as the company amended its filing to say that insiders and pre-IPO investors will sell almost 98 million shares.  This comes after the price soared more than 50% on Wednesday while trading in a 60%-wide range.

Overnight, Asian markets were mixed but leaned to the red side on modest moves.  Thailand (-1.18%) was the biggest mover as their currency fell.  However, outside that anomaly, Hong Kong (-0.84%) and Shenzhen (-0.79%) led the losses.  Indonesia (+0.75%) and Japan (+0.52%) paced the gainers.  In Europe, markets are mostly green on modest moves at mid-day.  The FTSE (-0.25%) and DAX (+0.01%) lag, but the CAC (+0.23%) is fairly typical of the rest of the continent.  As of 7:30 am, US Futures are pointing to green start to the session.  The DIA is implying a +0.13% open, the SPY is implying a +0.19% open, and the QQQ is implying a +0.22% open.  10-year bond yields are flat at 1.172% and commodities are mixed as the dollar is down slightly in early trading.

The major economic news scheduled for release on Thursday includes June Trade Balance and Initial Jobless Claims (both at 8:30 am) and a Fed speaker (Waller at 10 am).  The major earnings reports scheduled for the day include GOLF, AHCO, ADNT, WMS, AES, APTV, ARW, ATH, AAWW. BLL, BCE, BDX, BERY, BV, BEP, BLDR, CAH, CNP, CQP, LNG, CI, XEC, COMM, XRAY, DUK, EPC, EPAM, EVRG, GIL, GTN, HBI, HII, IBP, IRM, ITRI, K, MMS, MRNA, NOMD, NRG, OGE, PAE, PZZA, PH, PRTY, PENN, PPL, PRMW, PWR, REGN, REV, SRE, SRLP, TRGP, TEN, TMX, TRI, VGR, VIAC, VSAT, W, WCC, and ZTS before the open.  Then after the close, IHRT, AL, LNT, AEL, AIG, COLD, AMN, BECN, BHF, BKD, CVNA, CNDT, ED, CTVA, CVET, CWK, DBX, ENDP, EXPE, FND, FLS, G, ILMN, ITT, MTZ, MNST, MSI, NFG, NWSA, ZEUS, OTEX, CNXN, PFSI, POST, PRI, REZI, RMD, SEM, SWX, SFM, TDS, TDC, USM, VOYA, ZG, and ZNGA report.

Weekly Initial Jobless Claims are likely to decide the direction of markets early today as traders look for clues to what Friday’s July Jobs data might be (or mean). Jitters over a potential “already peaked” recovery with the Fed policy change down the road has the bulls being hesitant. Yet, the bears have made no headway either as markets just consolidated for two weeks at the all-time highs. With that said, we have drifted close to the longer-term bullish trendlines in all 3 major indices. So, a decision point for the next move may be near.

Remember, trading success is about winning more than you lose by following trend and price action and then keeping your losses small while consistently taking profits when you have them. You don’t need to call the turn or have all triple-digit gain trades. So, don’t try to predict the market. Nobody ever made a consistent living calling the top (or bottom). Neither should you chase price and above all, stick to your trading rules. Discipline will see you through. Focus on the process and managing what you can control.

Ed

Swing Trade Ideas for your consideration and watchlist: No tickers today. Rick is out but the RWO Room is open. You can find Rick’s review of tickers on his YouTube Channel here. Trade your plan, take profits along the way, and smart. Also, remember to check for impending earnings reports. Finally, remember that any tickers we mention and talk about in the trading room are not recommendations to buy or sell.

🎯 Mike Probst: Rick, Got CTL off the scanner today. Already up 30%. Love it.

🎯 Dick Carp: the scanner paid for the year with HES-thank you

🎯 Arnoldo Bolanos: LTA scanner really works $$, thanks Ed.

🎯 Bob S: LTA is incredible…. I use it … would not trade without it

🎯 Malcolm .: Posted in room 2, @Rick… I used the LTA Scanner to go through hundreds of stocks this weekend and picked out three to trade:  PYPL, TGT, and ZS.   Quality patterns and with my trading, up 24%, 7% and 12%…. this program is gold.

🎯 Friday 6/21/19  (10:09 am) Aaron B: Today, my account is at +190% since January. Thanks, RWO HRC Flash Malcolm Thomas Steve Ed Bob S Bob C Mike P and everyone that contributes every day. I love our job.

Hit and Run Candlesticks / Road To Wealth Youtube videos

Disclosure: We do not act on all trades we mention, and not all mentions acted on the day of the mention. All trades we mention are for your consideration only.

Free YouTube Education  •  Subscription Plans • Private 2-Hour Coaching

DISCLAIMER: Investing / Trading involves significant financial risk and is not suitable for everyone. No communication from Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates or representatives is not financial or trading advice. All information provided by Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates and representatives are intended for educational purposes only. You are advised to test any new trading approach before implementing it.  Past performance does not guarantee future results.  Terms of Service

Monday was a “fade the gap” kind of day with a modest gap higher at the open met with all-day selling, closing near the lows.  The SPY printed a Bearish Engulfing candle and the DIA printed a Bear Engulfing of a Doji.  However, all 3 major indices stayed in their recent consolidation ranges.  On the day, the SPY lost 0.20%, the DIA lost 0.32%, and QQQ gained 0.01% after having gapped up a bit more than the large-cap indices.  The VXX gained almost 4% t o31.34 and T2122 remains in the mid-range at 52.07.  10-year bond yields fell to 1.174% and Oil (WTI) dropped 3.45% to $71.40/barrel.

During the day there was a bit of news on the virus front.  The 7-day average of new cases in the US has reached almost 73,000 again (surpassing last summer’s peak). While hospital space is an issue in some areas (for example, only 7 available ICU beds for 3 million people in Austin TX and the state of LA report they’ve reached the highest level of hospitalization since the start of the pandemic), fortunately, death rates have not spiked with cases (7-day average is at 317/day).  The White House announced the country had reached the goal of 70% of adults being at least partially vaccinated, albeit about a month later than the goal. 

After the close, Fed (voting) member Waller told CNBC that he could see the possibility of a reduction in bond-buying activity starting as soon as October.  However, he would need to see strong jobs reports in August and September before he agreed to any such tightening.  As with other members of the FOMC, he said that the data the Fed is seeing continues to indicate that inflation is transitory, but that there is some evidence this might not be the case.

It has started off as another good day on the earnings front.  However, it is notable that there are more misses today than any day so far this earnings season.  Chief among those misses were LLY (came in short on the bottom line) and CLX (missed on both lines and guided lower as it says the pandemic surge has passed.  However, there are still plenty of beats, including COP and PSX in the oil space, UAA and RL in clothing, and DISCA in finance. In non-earnings news, PEP announced it will sell its juice brands, including Tropicana to a French private equity firm for $3.3 billion.

Overnight, Asian markets were mixed on modest moves.  Japan (-0.50%), Shanghai (-0.47%), and Shenzhen (-0.41%) paced the losses.  Meanwhile, India (+1.55%), Thailand (+1.01%), and Indonesia (+0.56%) led the gainers.  However, in Europe, markets are green across this board so far today.  The FTSE (+0.30%) and DAX (+0.20%) are typical of the continent, with the CAC (+0.98%) being an outlier to the upside.  As of 7:30 am, US Futures are pointing to a mixed, but modestly green open.  The DIA is implying a +0.46% open, the SPY implying a +0.34% open, and the QQQ implying a +0.09% open.  10-year bond prices are also up and the dollar down in early trading Tuesday.

The major economic news scheduled for release on Tuesday is limited to June Factory Orders (10 am) and a Fed speaker (Bowman at 2 pm).  The major earnings reports scheduled for the day include BABA, ATI, AME, ARNC, BHC, BCC, BP, BHG, CWH, CLX, COP, CRSR, DISCA, DD, DNB, ETN, SATS, LLY, EXPD, FNMA, FIS, FCNCA, BEN, IT, HSC, HSIC, INCY, INGR, IGT, J, KKR, LHX, LCII, LGIH, LDI, LPX, MAR, NVT, OMI, PSX, PBI, PEG, RL, SEE, SUN, BLD, UAA, VNTR, WMG, WAT, WEC, WLK, WLTW, XYL, ZBRA, and ZBH before the open.  Then after the close, ATVI, AKAM, AFG, AMGN, ANDE, AIZ, CAR, CZR, CNR, CW, DK, DVN, ET, ENLC, NVST, FMC, FNF, FRG, HLF, HST, H, JAZZ, KAR, LYV, LYFT, MCY, OI, OXY, OKE, PAA, PRIM, PRU, PSA, RGA, TX, UNM, and XP report.

Jitters over the resurgence of Covid at the same time the economy may have already reached peak recovery mode and stimulus is fading has markets concerned. However, it would be quite a stretch to say we are seeing any panic. Markets seem to want to open Tuesday inside of yesterday’s candle…just in the consolidation area. So, again the trend remains bullish and all 3 major indices remain very near their all-time highs. This is letting the moving averages catch up and is a healthy thing for a trend.

Don’t get caught trying to predict the market. Nobody ever made a consistent living calling the top (or bottom). Remember, trading success is about winning more than you lose by following trend and price action and then keeping your losses small while consistently taking profits when you have them. You don’t need to call the turn or have all triple-digit gain trades. So, don’t chase price, predict turns, and above all, stick to your trading rules. Discipline will see you through. Focus on the process and managing what you can control.

Ed

Swing Trade Ideas for your consideration and watchlist: TEVA, PSTG, JETS, LEVI, QID, RIOT, GLW. Rick is out but the RWO Room is open. You can find Rick’s review of tickers on his YouTube Channel here. Trade your plan, take profits along the way, and smart. Also, remember to check for impending earnings reports. Finally, remember that any tickers we mention and talk about in the trading room are not recommendations to buy or sell.

🎯 Mike Probst: Rick, Got CTL off the scanner today. Already up 30%. Love it.

🎯 Dick Carp: the scanner paid for the year with HES-thank you

🎯 Arnoldo Bolanos: LTA scanner really works $$, thanks Ed.

🎯 Bob S: LTA is incredible…. I use it … would not trade without it

🎯 Malcolm .: Posted in room 2, @Rick… I used the LTA Scanner to go through hundreds of stocks this weekend and picked out three to trade:  PYPL, TGT, and ZS.   Quality patterns and with my trading, up 24%, 7% and 12%…. this program is gold.

🎯 Friday 6/21/19  (10:09 am) Aaron B: Today, my account is at +190% since January. Thanks, RWO HRC Flash Malcolm Thomas Steve Ed Bob S Bob C Mike P and everyone that contributes every day. I love our job.

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Disclosure: We do not act on all trades we mention, and not all mentions acted on the day of the mention. All trades we mention are for your consideration only.

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