The market gapped lower on Wednesday, opening down 0.41% in the SPY, down just 0.10% in the DIA, but down 0.73% in the QQQ.  From there, the first 45 minutes saw a sideways chop in all three major index ETFs.  However, then the Bears took over and sold the market off (in a jagged fashion) for the rest of the day.  Only a slight bounce in the last 10-15 minutes kept all three index ETFs from closing on their lows.  This action gave us black-bodied candles in all three.  The QQQ printed a larger-bodied, black Spinning Top candle that crossed back down through its T-line (8ema) and 50sma.  The DIA printed a large-body, black candle that crossed back below its T-line and 200sma.  Meanwhile, the SPY printed a large-body, black candle with a bit more wick on each end than the DIA.  SPY also crossed back below its 8ema.  This happened on just slightly above-average volume in all three. 

On the day, nine of the 10 sectors were in the red with Basic Materials (-2.71%) and Industrials (-2.62%) out front leading the way lower.  Meanwhile, Energy (+0.45%) held up much better than the other sectors (by 0.75%).  At the same time, the SPY was down 1.33%, the DIA lost 0.99%, and QQQ lost 1.31%.  VXX gained 6.41% to close at 25.06 and T2122 dropped down into the middle of its oversold territory at 10.61.  10-year bond yields spiked again to 4.911% while Oil (WTI) popped again to close at $88.16 per barrel.  So, Wednesday was the Bear’s day from premarket into the close.

The economic news reported Wednesday included Preliminary September Building Permits which came in better than expected at 1.473 million (compared to a forecast of 1.455 million but less than the August number of 1.541 million).  This amounted to a Preliminary decline of 4.4% month-on-month (versus a 6.8% month-on-month increase between July and August).  At the same time, September Housing Starts came in light at 1.358 million (compared to a forecast of 1.380 million but well above the 1.269 million in August).  That amounted to a 7.0% increase month-on-month in September versus a 12.5% decline between July and August.  Later, EIA Weekly Crude Oil Inventories showed a much larger than expected drawdown of 4.491-million-barrels (versus a predicted draw of 0.300-million-barrels and drastically different than the prior week’s inventory build of 10.176-million-barrels.  Finally, at the close, the TIC Net Long-Term Transactions for August came in worse than expected at +$63.5 billion (versus a forecast of +$76.8 billion but dramatically higher than the July reading of +$9.5 billion…which itself was revised up from the original reporting).

In Fed news, Fed Governor Waller promoted the idea of a cautious approach to any further Fed Funds rate changes in a speech made at a conference in London.  Waller said, “I believe we can wait, watch, and see how the economy evolves before making definitive moves on the path of the policy rate.”  He went on to outline two scenarios (an economic slowdown that brings down inflation and a sustained strong economy requiring more hikes), but said which will happen remains very unclear.  Later, NY Fed President Williams reaffirmed the FOMC mantra that rates will need to be kept higher for longer to tame inflation.  At a Queens College speech, Willams reiterated that progress has been made in bringing down inflation and said he will advocate rate cuts once inflation pressures ease.  “Right now, we need to keep this restrictive stance of policy in place for some time to get inflation down.”  These two positions were reinforced by the Fed Beige Book released Wednesday, which showed little change in economic activity in the 45 days ending October 6.  In other words, despite the anecdotes of some, the hard data continues to show a strong economy.

In Autoworker contract talks and strike news, F announced a management shakeup appointing the head of its combustion vehicle unit as the new COO.  The head of its Ford Blue (gas and hybrid) unit will take over as head of the combustion vehicle unit.

In stock news, on Tuesday, HSBC announced it will ban texting from work phones to hopefully head off future investigations for “off book” communications between traders.  At the same time, BA pledged its support to key supplier SPR, in order to overcome the production problems that have plagued SPR (and therefore BA) for a year.  BA did this by providing an agreement under which it will give SPR financial assistance by adjusting SPR prices upward by $190 million.  By mid-morning, AMZN announced it had brought an automated warehouse in Houston, including a humanoid robot worker.  aimed at reducing labor costs, improving inventory accuracy, and increasing order-filling speed.  By early afternoon, members of a Swedish metal worker’s union called for strikes against TSLA in all (seven) of its service centers across that country.  (Around 90% of TSLA employees in Sweden are covered by a collective bargaining agreement.)  The strike was called over salary and pension concerns.  Elsewhere, BNS announced it will terminate 2,700 employees globally (3% of its workforce).  After the close, PCYG announced it would move its listing from NASDAQ to NYSE and chance to the ticker TRAK “around Nov. 2.”  Also after the close, the CEO of COST (Jelinek) announced he will step down in April 2024.  Shortly after this announcement, COST named the current Operations Chief as the new CEO when Jelinek retires.  At the same time, NFLX announced price increases and that the service had added 9 million new users globally.

In stock government, legal, and regulatory news, the SEC proposed a ban on volume-based transaction pricing.  The measure would target brokerages who are routing orders based on volume contracts with middlemen.  In the major anti-trust case now underway, GOOGL began presenting its defense Wednesday.  It called one of its own VPs to testify about the efforts the company has put into improving its (now terrible due to ad and pay-for-placement) search tool since 2004.  Later, Mexico announced that two Chinese TSLA suppliers will invest $1 billion in the Northern Mexican state where TSLA is building a new factory.  Between the two suppliers, Mexico is also expecting to create 14,000 jobs. After the close, F and the NHTSA announced the carmaker was recalling 35,000 2021-2022 Mustang Mach-E cars because main battery connectors may overheat resulting in a loss of control while the car is moving.  Also after the close, a US Appeals Court revived a shareholder case against META for violating user privacy and concealing the misuse of user data in 2017-2018.

After the close, COLB, FNB, LRCX, LVS, LBRT, NFLX, SAP, and ZION all reported beats on both the revenue and earnings lines.  Meanwhile, CCI and PPG both missed on revenue while beating on earnings.  On the other side, AA, DFS, and STLD all beat on revenue while missing on earnings.  Unfortunately, EFX, KMI, and TSLA missed on both the top and bottom lines.  It is worth noting that CCI raised its forward guidance while EFX and NFLX lowered guidance.

Overnight, Asian markets were nearly red across the board.  Only Taiwan (+0.07%) managed to hang onto green territory.  Meanwhile, Hong Kong (-2.46%), Japan (-1.91%), and South Korea (-1.90%) led the region sharply lower.  In Europe, we see a similar picture taking shape at midday.  Only Greece (+0.11%) is in the green as the CAC (-0.59%), DAX (-0.22%), and FTSE (-0.88%) lead the region lower in early afternoon trade.  In the US, as of 7:30 a.m., Futures are pointing toward a mixed open on either side of flat.  The DIA implies a -0.12% open, the SPY is implying a -0.14% open, and the QQQ implies a +0.04% open at this hour.  At the same time, 10-year bond yields are spiking again to 4.971% and Oil (WTI) is down more than one percent to $87.37 per barrel in early trading.

The major economic news scheduled for Thursday includes Weekly Initial Jobless Claims and Philly Fed Mfg. Index (both at 8:30 a.m.), Sept. Existing Home Sales (10 a.m.), and the Fed Balance Sheet (4:30 p.m.).  We also hear from Fed Chair Powell (noon), Bostic (4 p.m.), and member Harker 5:30 p.m.).  The major earnings reports scheduled for before the open ALK, AAL, T, BX, EWBC, FITB, FCX, GPC, KEY, MAN, MMC, NOK, PM, POOL, SNA, SNV, TSM, TFC, UNP, WSO, and WBS.  Then, after the close, CSX, ISRG, KNX, and WAL report. 

In economic news later this week, on Friday, there is no scheduled news.  However, again we hear from Fed member Harker (9 a.m.) and Mester (12:15 p.m.).

In terms of earnings reports later this week, on Friday, AXP, ALV, CMA, EEFT, HBAN, IPG, RF, and SLB report.

So far this morning, T, FITB, KEY, MAN, MMC, POOL, SNA, TSM, TCBI, TFC, WSO, and WBS all reported beats to both the revenue and earnings lines.  Meanwhile, AAL, GPC, and PM missed on revenue while beating on earnings.  On the other side, BKU beat on revenue while missing on earnings.  Unfortunately, ALK, BX, and NOK missed on both the top and bottom lines.  It is worth noting that ALK and MAN both lowered their forward guidance.

In US Congressional news, after a day of bullying tactics (including harassing and then trying to intimidate the wife of a GOP opponent) by right-wing media and Rep. Jordan supporters, Jordan failed in his second vote to be made Speaker of the House.  Jordan lost 3 GOP votes and gained 1 between the first and second votes.  Again, the House adjourned after the single vote when it was clear Jordan would not get the votes to win on Wednesday.  At this point, there is more movement toward expanding the powers of unelected Speaker Pro Tempore McHenry as a stop-gap.  However, there are also some more moderate Republicans who say they won’t support that measure unless it is Jordan himself putting the bill forward (they want their pound of flesh related to the way Scalise was torpedoed).  Finally, another group is now pushing for MI Rep. Bergman (Retired Marine General) to be voted in as Speaker.  Late Wednesday, Bergman made the announcement he would run for the GOP nomination, but would only take the job through the end of this Congress (January 2025).  Jordan announced he plans to stay in the race. For their part, most of the GOP side of the aisle is trying to blame all their problems on the Democrats for not magnanimously crossing the aisle to save McCarthy from MAGA and then not doing the same to elect Scalise as Speaker. Another round of voting is planned for Thursday, but the time was not scheduled.

In miscellaneous news, with the spike in Treasury yields, 30-year, fixed-rate, home loans (after 20% down) hit 8% this morning.  That’s the highest level since the year 2000.  Although there has not been enough time for the market to adjust, demand for loans is expected to plummet in response.  Elsewhere, after a call between President Biden, Sec. of State Blinken, and Egyptian President el-Sissi, the US and Egypt have agreed to open a humanitarian corridor into Gaza from the Egyptian side.  In other Gaza news, Battle Damage Assessment (BDA) tends to indicate that the hospital (parking lot) explosion on Tuesday was caused by a misfire of a Hamas missile.  (The area is burnt, indicating a lot of fuel burned off in/after the explosion.  Israeli air strikes would not contain a lot of fuel.  There was also only a small hole caused by kinetic energy from a falling missile, not a huge crater and collapsed building that would be caused by a bomb explosion.  These indicate it was likely a freshly fired missile from very nearby that malfunctioned and crashed/burned in the hospital parking lot.)

With that background, it looks like we gapped a bit lower in the premarket but since then the Bulls have rallied a bit, giving us white-bodied candles. However, the early session candles are small and indecisive (considerable wick). So, the market does not seem to have made up its mind yet. All three major index ETFs are back below their T-line (8ema). QQQ is also below its 50sma and while the DIA is just below its 200sma in the early session. Economic news today is not likely to rock the boat during premarket and Fed Chair Powell’s speech at noon will also likely cause volatility. Lastly, more drama/news out of Congress could have a say in markets. In terms of extension, none of the three major index ETFs are too far from their T-line (8ema). The T2122 indicator is now back down in the middle of oversold territory. So, we have some slack to the downside, but more slack to the upside if one of the two can gather momentum. Also, remember that the market can stay over-extended a lot longer than you can stay solvent being right too early.

As always, be deliberate and disciplined…but don’t be stubborn. If you have a loss, admit you were wrong and take that loss before it gets out of hand. And when the price does move in your direction, always move your stops in your favor and take a little profit off the table. You have to keep the “Legend of the man in the green bathrobe” in mind. In a winning situation, it is NOT HOUSE MONEY you’re betting, it’s YOUR MONEY! There is absolutely no reason to keep raising your bet (risk) size just because you’ve had a win. Finally, remember that trading is not a hobby. It’s a job. The money is real and so is the risk. So, treat it that way. Do the work and follow the process. Stick to your trading rules, trade with the trend, and take those profits when you have them. Do the work!

See you in the trading room.

Ed

🎯 Mike Probst: Rick, Got CTL off the scanner today. Already up 30%. Love it.

🎯 Dick Carp: the scanner paid for the year with HES-thank you

🎯 Arnoldo Bolanos: LTA scanner really works $$, thanks Ed.

🎯 Bob S: LTA is incredible…. I use it … would not trade without it

🎯 Malcolm .: Posted in room 2, @Rick… I used the LTA Scanner to go through hundreds of stocks this weekend and picked out three to trade:  PYPL, TGT, and ZS.   Quality patterns and with my trading, up 24%, 7% and 12%…. this program is gold.

🎯 Friday 6/21/19  (10:09 am) Aaron B: Today, my account is at +190% since January. Thanks, RWO HRC Flash Malcolm Thomas Steve Ed Bob S Bob C Mike P and everyone that contributes every day. I love our job.

Hit and Run Candlesticks / Road To Wealth Youtube videos

Disclosure: We do not act on all trades we mention, and not all mentions acted on the day of the mention. All trades we mention are for your consideration only.

Free YouTube Education  •  Subscription Plans • Private 2-Hour Coaching

DISCLAIMER: Investing / Trading involves significant financial risk and is not suitable for everyone. No communication from Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates or representatives is not financial or trading advice. All information provided by Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates and representatives are intended for educational purposes only. You are advised to test any new trading approach before implementing it.  Past performance does not guarantee future results.  Terms of Service

Tuesday saw a fair amount of whipsaw in the Market.  The SPY gapped down 0.72%, DIA gapped down 0.46%, and QQQ gapped down 0.99%.  However, the Bulls stepped in to rally all three major index ETFs until 12:30 p.m. when all three had recrossed the opening gap and reached the high of the day.  Then the Bears took over to sell off the market and recapture a good portion of what the Bulls had taken back during the morning rally by 2 p.m.  The rest of the day saw an hour and 45 minutes of sideways grind and then a rally into the close the last 15 minutes for all three major index ETFs.  This action gave us white-bodied candles in all three.  The QQQ printed a Spinning Top candle that retested and closed back up above its T-line (8ema) and 50sma.  The SPY and DIA both printed white candles with significant upper wicks that stayed up above their T-lines and the DIA stayed above its 200sma.  Again, this all happened on above-average volume in the DIA and below-average volume in both the SPY and QQQ.

On the day, eight of the 10 sectors were in the green with Basic Materials (+1.08%) and Consumer Cyclical (+1.00%) out front leading the way higher.  Meanwhile, Utilities (-0.15%) lagged behind the other sectors.  At the same time, the SPY was flat, the DIA gained 0.03%, and QQQ lost 0.33%.  VXX gained 2.79% to close at 23.55 and T2122 climbed back up to the bottom of the overbought territory at 81.61.  10-year bond yields spiked to 4.836% while Oil (WTI) popped back up to close at $87.73 per barrel.  So, it was a volatile day but at least it came on only a couple of moves.  We gapped down, rallied all morning, and reversed to give back much of the morning rebound.  At that point, Mr. Market was basically worn out.  So, we drifted sideways in the late afternoon only to rally the last 15 minutes.

The economic news reported Tuesday included September Retail Sales month-on-month, which came in stronger than expected at +0.7% (compared to a forecast of +0.3% but less than the August reading of +0.8%).  This included Sept. Core Retail Sales that were also stronger than expected at +0.6% (versus a forecast of +0.2% but with a declining rate of increase since August’s value was +0.9%).  Later, Sept. Industrial Production month-on-month was also stronger than anticipated at +0.3% (compared to a forecast of +0.1% and the August reading of +/-0.0%).  On a year-on-year basis, September Industrial Production came in unchanged at +0.08% versus the August value of +0.08%.  Still later, August Business Inventories month-on-month grew more than expected at +0.4% (compared to a forecast of +0.3% and the July value of +0.1%).  At the same time, August Retail Inventories were lower than predicted at +0.5% (versus a forecast of +0.6% but still higher than the July reading of +/- 0.0%).  Finally, API Weekly Cruce Oil Stocks reported a greater-than-expected drawdown of 4.383-million-barrel (compared to a forecasted 1.267-million-barrel drawdown and far different from the prior week’s 12.940-million-barrel inventory build).

In Fed speak news, Richmond Fed President Barkin indicated he is in the “wait and see” camp but is leaning dovish on Tuesday.  Barkin told a Real Estate Conference, “I see an economy that is much further along the path to demand normalization than much of the data would tell you.” even as “the path for inflation isn’t clear yet.”  He went on to say, “I am still looking to be convinced, both that demand is settling and that any weakness is feeding through to inflation.”  Later while being questioned by reporters, Barkin said “Longer-term rates have moved up, that’s certainly tightened financial conditions…”  After the close, Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari gave hawks some reason for hope when Reuters reported he told a University of Minnesota event that inflation has taken much longer than expected to come down and “it is still too high.”

In Autoworker contract talks and strike news, STLA canceled a scheduled presentation at technology show CES in January, blaming the cancellation on the UAW strike.  At the same time, GM announced that it is pushing back the scheduled start of production at its Orion EV truck plan by a year.  While speculated by analysts, the company did not mention the strike as a cause.

In stock news, on Tuesday, WH rejected a $7.8 billion ($49.50/share plus 0.324 shares of CHH) takeover offer from CHH.  This came after a six-month negotiation process.  Later, LCID shares plummeted after they reported Q3 productions and deliveries with minimal increases despite steep discounting.  At the same time, after announcing earnings, JNJ said it has embarked on a 2-year restructuring plan for its orthopedics (medical devices) business unit.  Elsewhere, HSBC announced it has taken further steps to tighten internal communications rules amidst strong scrutiny of the industry for prohibited “off books” communications between traders.  Later, GOOGL and QCOM announced a joint project to develop a RISC-V Snapdragon Chipset to increase the functionality of Wear OS watches.  (This comes after the recent announcement of GOOGL’s latest Pixel Watch 2 using the QCOM Snapdragon processor.)  At the same time, Reuters reported that TSN workers and activists continue their protests outside of the meat company’s headquarters in AR.  The protests are over the company using child labor (through contractors) to clean their slaughterhouses and packing plants.  After the close, Reuters reported that CHK had approached SWN about a potential acquisition in the $12 billion deal value range.  At the same time, Reuters also reported that MSFT is near to bringing on AMZN as a customer for its Office365 via cloud tools (1 million seat licenses) in what insiders said would be more than a $1 billion deal annually for MSFT.

In stock government, legal, and regulatory news, the AVGO merger with VMW was hurt by rumblings from Chinese regulators.  The rumor is that this $61 billion deal is a bargaining chip in the US-China technology sanctions fight.  Later, NKTX shares skyrocketed Tuesday after the FDA approved the company’s genetically engineered therapy for lupus nephritis.  (NKTX closed up more than 112%.)  Elsewhere, the NHTSA announced they have initiated an investigation into GM’s self-driving division (Cruise) related to pedestrian risks posed by their robotaxis.  At the same time, the Fed announced it will not enforce Dodd-Frank Category 2 requirements by the end of 2024.  The rules would have required additional capital requirements for banks of over $700 billion in assets.  BAC was the strongest big bank on the news after having acquired MUFG, which was not compliant with the rules.  Meanwhile, the NHTSA announced TSLA is recalling 55,000 2021-2023 Model X, which are failing to detect low brake fluid.  After the close, META and FTC lawyers argued against one another in a case over the FTC’s toughened privacy rules.  Also after the close, NVDA filed a notice that new technology export restrictions from the US will impact its results by preventing the sale of its high-profit AI products and top-end gaming video cards (which can be used for low-end AI) into China.  The restrictions will also impact AMD and to a lesser extent INTC but neither of them has filed SEC earnings impact statements yet.

After the close, HWC, IBKR, OMC, UAL, and WTFC all reported beats on both the revenue and earnings lines.  However, JBHT missed on both the top and bottom lines.  It is worth noting that UAL also lowered its forward guidance.  It is also worth noting that IBKR had 87% revenue growth (quarter on quarter), while PNFP and WTFC both had greater than 54% quarter-on-quarter revenue growth.

Overnight, Asian markets were mixed but leaned toward the red side.  Shenzhen (-1.24%), Taiwan (-1.21%), and Singapore (-1.11%) led the region lower.  Meanwhile, in Europe, we see a similar picture taking shape midday.  The CAC (-0.61%), DAX (-0.64%), and FTSE (-0.72%) are leading the region lower in early afternoon trade.  In the US, as of 7:30 a.m., Futures are pointing toward a down start to the day.  The DIA implies a -0.28% open, the SPY is implying a -0.44% open, and the QQQ implies a -0.56% open at this hour.  At the same time, 10-year bond yields are down a bit to 4.815% and Oil (WTI) has spiked 2.7% to $89.00 per barrel in early trading.

The major economic news scheduled for September Building Permits and Sept. Housing Starts (both at 8:30 a.m.), EIA Weekly Crude Oil Inventories (10:30 a.m.), and the Fed Beige Book (2 p.m.).  We also hear from Fed members Waller (noon), Williams (12:30 p.m.), Bowman (1 p.m.) and Harker (3:15 p.m.).  The major earnings reports scheduled for before the open ABT, ALLY, ASML, CFG, ELV, FHN, MTB, MS, NDAQ, NTRS, PG, STT, TRV, USB, and WGO.  Then, after the close, AA, COLB, CCI, DFS, EFX, KMI, LRCX, LVS, LBRT, NFLX, PPG, SAP, STLD, TSLA, and ZION report. 

In economic news later this week, on Thursday, we get Weekly Initial Jobless Claims, Philly Fed Mfg. Index, Sept. Existing Home Sales, and the Fed Balance Sheet.  We also hear from Fed Chair Powell (noon), Bostic (4 p.m.), and member Harker 5:30 p.m.).  Finally, on Friday, there is no scheduled news.  However, again we hear from Fed member Harker (9 a.m.) and Mester (12:15 p.m.).

In terms of earnings reports later this week, on Thursday, ALK, AAL, T, BX, EWBC, FITB, FCX, GPC, KEY, MAN, MMC, NOK, PM, POOL, SNA, SNV, TSM, TFC, UNP, WSO, WBS, CSX, ISRG, KNX, and WAL.  Finally, on Friday, AXP, ALV, CMA, EEFT, HBAN, IPG, RF, and SLB report.

So far this morning, ABT, ALLY, ASML, CBSH, ELV, FHN, MTB, MS, NDAQ, PG, and USB all reported beat on both the revenue and earnings lines.  Meanwhile, CFG, NTRS, and TRV reported beats on revenue while missing on earnings.  On the other side, WGO missed on revenue while beating on earnings.  However, SCL and WIT missed on both the top and bottom lines. It is worth noting that ABT and ELV raised their forward guidance while CFG and USB lowered guidance.

In US Congressional news, right-wing Re. Jordan failed to get anywhere near enough votes to become Speaker Tuesday, coming in a distant second even though his party has the majority.  20 GOP members voted against him and one abstained, giving him 200 votes after bullying other moderates to fall in line.  After that vote, a second vote was canceled until today when it became clear he would not gain the votes on Tuesday.  Multiple media reports say one “no” vote has said they will vote for Jordan on the next ballot, but others that were “yes” votes said they are leaning toward voting “no” now. Elsewhere, Reuters reported that Israel is asking for $10 billion in cash aid immediately to pay for its retaliation against Hamas and also payments to its citizens impacted by the terror attacks.  However, Bloomberg reports the Administration is now considering a funding request of $100 billion covering Israel, Ukraine, and Taiwan. (This comes just days after the request was expected to be North of $2 billion and to be fair, I guess 100 is greater than 2.)  Given the race to proclaim and demonstrate support for Israel, these packages are likely to get broad bipartisan support.  GOP Senate Majority Leader McConnell said he expects an assistance bill for Israel, Ukraine, and Taiwan as well as doing “something serious” about the US-Mexican border.  However, he did not commit to any amount when pressed by Reuters.  Of course, no package can even be voted on until the GOP finds their next Speaker of the House.

In miscellaneous news, President Biden is in Israel today and his trip to Jordan to meet with Palestinian and Arab leaders was canceled after a Gaza hospital was blown up Tuesday, reportedly killing at least 500.  (It’s a bit difficult to de-escalate or talk about the future of Palestinians without talking to any Palestinians or their supporters.) Upon landing, Biden echoed the Israeli line that the hospital bombing “appears” to be the fault of a failed missile launch by Hamas. Elsewhere, in China, one of the country’s largest developers faces bankruptcy as Country Garden failed to make a payment on its debt and the grace period expired today.

With that background, it looks like the Bears are firmly in control in the premarket despite more strong earnings reports. All three major index ETFs opened the early session down and have printed black-bodied candles (with DIA being the only one of the three looking indecisive). However, only the QQQ has crossed back below their T-line (8ema). QQQ is also crossing down its 50sma in the early session while the DIA remains just above its 200sma. The economic news today is not likely to more markets much, but news out of the House, Fed speakers, or President Biden’s trip to Israel could cause some volatility. In terms of extension, none of the three major index ETFs are too far from their T-line (8ema). The T2122 indicator is now back just inside the low end of the overbought territory. So, again we have slack to run in either direction, but the probabilities are slightly in the Bears favor.

As always, be deliberate and disciplined…but don’t be stubborn. If you have a loss, admit you were wrong and take that loss before it gets out of hand. And when the price does move in your direction, always move your stops in your favor and take a little profit off the table. You have to keep the “Legend of the man in the green bathrobe” in mind. In a winning situation, it is NOT HOUSE MONEY you’re betting, it’s YOUR MONEY! There is absolutely no reason to keep raising your bet (risk) size just because you’ve had a win. Finally, remember that trading is not a hobby. It’s a job. The money is real and so is the risk. So, treat it that way. Do the work and follow the process. Stick to your trading rules, trade with the trend, and take those profits when you have them. Do the work!

See you in the trading room.

Ed

🎯 Mike Probst: Rick, Got CTL off the scanner today. Already up 30%. Love it.

🎯 Dick Carp: the scanner paid for the year with HES-thank you

🎯 Arnoldo Bolanos: LTA scanner really works $$, thanks Ed.

🎯 Bob S: LTA is incredible…. I use it … would not trade without it

🎯 Malcolm .: Posted in room 2, @Rick… I used the LTA Scanner to go through hundreds of stocks this weekend and picked out three to trade:  PYPL, TGT, and ZS.   Quality patterns and with my trading, up 24%, 7% and 12%…. this program is gold.

🎯 Friday 6/21/19  (10:09 am) Aaron B: Today, my account is at +190% since January. Thanks, RWO HRC Flash Malcolm Thomas Steve Ed Bob S Bob C Mike P and everyone that contributes every day. I love our job.

Hit and Run Candlesticks / Road To Wealth Youtube videos

Disclosure: We do not act on all trades we mention, and not all mentions acted on the day of the mention. All trades we mention are for your consideration only.

Free YouTube Education  •  Subscription Plans • Private 2-Hour Coaching

DISCLAIMER: Investing / Trading involves significant financial risk and is not suitable for everyone. No communication from Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates or representatives is not financial or trading advice. All information provided by Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates and representatives are intended for educational purposes only. You are advised to test any new trading approach before implementing it.  Past performance does not guarantee future results.  Terms of Service

Markets opened higher on Monday, gapping up 0.52% in the SPY, gapping up 0.62% in the DIA, and gapping up 0.42% in the QQQ.  Then the Bulls followed through in all three major index ETFs, reaching the highs at about 10:30 a.m. in the QQQ and about 11 a.m. in both large-cap ETFs.  From there, SPY and QQQ traded sideways the rest of the day while DIA traded sideways with a slight bearish trend.  This action gave us gap-up, white-bodied candles in all three major index ETFs.  The DIA could maybe be seen as a Morning Star-type signal that crossed back up through its 200sma.  At the same time, QQQ printed a Bullish Harami candle that crossed back up through its 50sma.  The SPY and QQQ also crossed back up through their T-line (8ema).  This all happened on above-average volume in the DIA and below-average volume in both the SPY and QQQ.

On the day, all 10 sectors were in the green with Consumer Cyclical (+1.63%) out front leading the way higher.  Meanwhile, Energy (+0.63%) lagged behind the other sectors.  At the same time, the SPY lost 1.05%, the QQQ gained 1.13% and DIA gained 0.94%.  VXX plummeted 9.36% to close at 22.95 and T2122 jumped back up to the top half if its mid-range at 22.95.  10-year bond yields rose again to 4.71% while Oil (WTI) fell almost nine-tenths of a percent to close at $86.92 per barrel.  So, it was the Bull’s day.  Talking heads and market analysts seemed to think the reason was optimism over earnings given the big bank blowout results last Friday.  I don’t know if that is true, it could be optimism from a lack of Israeli ground invasion as of Monday or it could have just been a fluke.  Regardless of the cause, the DIA printed a higher high to go with its recent higher low, and the other two major index ETFs seem to be considering doing the same.  That is the start of a bullish trend.

The only economic news reported Monday was the NY Fed Empire State Mfg. Index which came in better than expected but still low at -4.60 (compared to a forecast calling for -7.00 and a September reading of 1.90).  So, according to that value, manufacturing conditions in the NY Fed area aren’t improving (anything above zero means improving conditions) but a higher-than-expected value is seen as bullish.  In Fed Speak news, we did hear from Philly Fed President Harker twice on Monday.  He told a Mortgage Bankers Assn event that the current level of interest rates has killed off access to the housing market for first-time buyers.  He went on to say the housing market could be summed up in seven words: “There are no first-time time buyers.”  Later, Harker made a point to reiterate his stance that (outside of a dramatic change in data) the current Fed Funds rate should be maintained to give markets time to adapt to the higher rates and give the ongoing disinflation process time to work.

In Autoworker contract talks and strike news, the Executive Chair of F, Bill Ford, appealed to UAW workers to end their 32-day strike.  Ford said, “I call on UAW colleagues…We need to come together to bring an end to this acrimonious round of talks.” Ford went on to say competitors TM, HMC, and TSLA “are loving this strike because the longer it goes on, the better it is for them.”  No new offer came with the public plea and it comes after F negotiators said they were at the limit of what they can afford to spend on wages and benefits. (If I were really speaking to blue-collar factory workers, I’m not sure “acrimonious” is a term I’d use but then again what do I know.) In response to Ford’s statement, UAW President Fain pointed out a 1,500% increase in the money spent on share buybacks by the Big 3 over just the last four years.  For example, GM has put a $5 billion buyback plan in place in August 2022 (up from $3.3 billion prior to that point). 

In stock news, on Monday, TRU warned an industry conference of both increased cost of mortgages as well as many applicants being disqualified with Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac policy change reducing the number of credit reports needed from three to two.  (TRU said it may disqualify nearly two million loan applicants, even though TRU hasn’t tested to verify their claims.  I’m also not sure they realize that they are claiming their product isn’t trustworthy.)  At the same time, NVO announced it is set to acquire a new blood pressure drug from KBP Biosciences for $1.3 billion. Later, MRNA reiterated its guidance despite rival PFE drastically reducing its COVID-19 vaccine forecast last week.  MRNA still anticipates $6 billion – $8 billion from its own vaccine sales this fall.  Later, Bloomberg reported that PRTA is exploring a potential sale prior to the release of key data on its Alzheimer’s disease clinical trials in the coming months. Elsewhere, PCTI spiked on the announcement it is being acquired by APH in an all-cash $139.7 million deal.  At the same time, SNAP popped Monday after leaked internal user number targets exceeded industry analyst estimates.  In layoff news, MSFT’s LinkedIn division said it will lay off 668 employees (3% of its workforce) Monday.  At the same time, Sky News reported that RYCEY (Rolls-Royce) will lay off 2,500 employees as soon as today as part of a cost-cutting drive.  After the close, TM suspended production in at least five Japanese factories after a fire at a major supplier.  Also after the close, Bloomberg reported that analyst surveys show AAPL iPhone 15 sales in China are down almost 5% from the same time after the iPhone 14 release.

In stock government, legal, and regulatory news, the Washington Post reported that the Biden Administration has agreed to terms to ease sanctions on Venezuela’s oil industry. This comes after Venezuela agreed to a competitive, internationally-monitored presidential election in 2024.  At the same time, ESTA was given FDA approval for its “tissue expander” product.  Later, the NHTSA announced that F is recalling 238,364 2020-2022 Ford Explorers due to parking brakes not engaging and risking them rolling away.  Elsewhere, Reuters reports BTI, PM, and IMBBY are working on “heat sticks” infused with nicotine (inhalable) as a way to get around an incoming EU ban on flavored burning tobacco products.  The sticks “heat but don’t burn” to get around the new regulations.  At mid-afternoon, the NHTSA announced that CAR had agreed to pay a $150k fine after an investigation found the Zipcar subsidiary was allowing customers to rent vehicles with uncompleted recall notices.  Meanwhile, GM, TM, F, STLA, and nearly all other major automakers sharply criticized the Biden Administration CAFÉ standards increasing significantly.  The automakers claim the higher NHTSA CAFÉ standards will result in a boost in average vehicle prices by $3,000 by 2032.  (For reference, that is about the normal average ANNUAL price increase of the average US vehicle and the automakers are claiming that over 10 years.)  After the close, Reuters reported that the Biden Administration is working on additional sanctions to eliminate loopholes allowing AI chips to make their way to China.  NVDA and AMD will be the most impacted by changes that might stop sales to third parties who reship the products to China now.

So far this morning, BAC, BK, GS, JNJ, and LMT all beat on both the revenue and earnings lines.  Meanwhile, ERIC missed on revenue while reporting in line with earnings.  (PLD and ACI report closer to the opening bell.)  It is worth noting that JNJ raised its forward guidance.  It is also worth noting that banks continue to show very strong (50%+) quarter-over-quarter earnings growth on the impacts of rising interest rates.

Overnight, Asian markets were green across the board.  Japan (+1.20%), South Korea (+0.98%), and Hong Kong (+0.75%) led the region higher.  Meanwhile, in Europe, the bourses are mixed but lean to the red side at midday with just five of 15 exchanges in the green.  The CAC (-0.26%), DAX (-0.45%), and FTSE (+0.33%) lead the region on volume as usual.  In the US, as of 7:30 a.m., Futures are pointing to a modestly lower start to the day.  The DIA implies a -0.22% open, the SPY is implying a -0.30% open, and the QQQ implies a -0.36% open at this point.  At the same time, 10-year bond yields are up strongly again to 4.769% and Oil (WTI) is up a third of a percent to $86.98 per barrel in early trading.

The major economic news scheduled for Tuesday includes September Retail Sales (8:30 a.m.), Sept. Industrial Production (9:15 a.m.), August Business Inventories and August Retail Inventories (10 a.m.), Sept. Federal Budget Balance (2 p.m.), and API Weekly Crude Oil Stocks Report (4:30 p.m.).  We also get two Fed speakers (Williams at 8 a.m. and Bowman at 9:20 a.m.).  The major earnings reports scheduled for before the open include ACI, BAC, BK, ERIC, GS, JNJ, LMT, and PLD.  Then, after the close, IBKR, JBHT, OMC, UAL, and WTFC report.

In economic news later this week, on Wednesday, Sept. Building Permits, Sept. Housing Starts, EIA Weekly Crude Oil Inventories, and the Fed Beige Book are reported.  We also hear from Fed members Waller (noon), Williams (12:30 p.m.), Bowman (1 p.m.) and Harker (3:15 p.m.).  On Thursday, we get Weekly Initial Jobless Claims, Philly Fed Mfg. Index, Sept. Existing Home Sales, and the Fed Balance Sheet.  We also hear from Fed Chair Powell (noon), Bostic (4 p.m.), and member Harker 5:30 p.m.).  Finally, on Friday, there is no scheduled news.  However, again we hear from Fed member Harker (9 a.m.) and Mester (12:15 p.m.).

In terms of earnings reports later this week, on Wednesday, ABT, ALLY, ASML, CFG, ELV, FHN, MTB, MS, NDAQ, NTRS, PG, STT, TRV, USB, WGO, AA, COLB, CCI, DFS, EFX, KMI, LRCX, LVS, LBRT, NFLX, PPG, SAP, STLD, TSLA, and ZION report.  On Thursday, ALK, AAL, T, BX, EWBC, FITB, FCX, GPC, KEY, MAN, MMC, NOK, PM, POOL, SNA, SNV, TSM, TFC, UNP, WSO, WBS, CSX, ISRG, KNX, and WAL.  Finally, on Friday, AXP, ALV, CMA, EEFT, HBAN, IPG, RF, and SLB report.

In US Congressional news, it appears Rep. Jordan has made progress in reversing some of the “no” votes among Republicans over his candidacy for House Speaker.  Two key GOP opponents publicly announced they will vote for him on Monday, bringing down GOP opposition by some unknown number.  Jordan can afford to lose eight GOP votes at most…and even then, only if he convinces those eight to vote “present” instead of “no.” The measure will go to the House floor for a vote at noon today. If he fails on the first vote, the most likely scenario is another round-after-round of votes trying to get the extremist candidate over the line and into office. There are two other scenarios being discussed: giving temporary increases in the power to the unelected Speaker Pro Tempore McHenry, and moderate Republicans breaking with the MAGA-wing of the GOP to form a coalition with moderate Democrats in order to elect a compromise Speaker and actually govern. However, those moderate Republicans don’t seem to have the spine to do that, many already caving to MAGA pressure and always fearing retaliation by the vindictive ex-President and his minions.

In miscellaneous news, Reuters reported after hours that dozens of Chinese-listed companies announced plans to buy back shares and/or scrap plans to sell more shares late Monday.  This is widely seen as a “government-encouraged” measure to prop up Chinese markets.  Elsewhere, it is worth noting that today is the 600^th day of the Russian invasion of Ukraine.   Finally, the White House announced that President Biden will visit Israel tomorrow after a second visit by Sec. of State Blinken.  Sec. of Defense Austin deployed 2,000 medical and logistics troops as of Sunday evening and then another 2,000-man Marine rapid response force to be held close offshore among the flotilla of ships accompanying two aircraft carriers sent to the area “just in case.”

With that background, it looks like the Bears are modestly in control in the premarket despite more strong earnings reports. All three major index ETFs opened the early session flat but have printed small black candles with very little wick so far. However, all three remain above their T-line (8ema) and the QQQ remains just above its 50sma while the DIA remains just above its 200sma. There is economic news today, but the more likely volatility factor would be news from the House Speaker debacle or from the geopolitical front. In terms of extension, none of the three major index ETFs are too far from their T-line (8ema). The T2122 indicator is back in its mid-range. So, again we have plenty of slack to run in either direction.

As always, be deliberate and disciplined…but don’t be stubborn. If you have a loss, admit you were wrong and take that loss before it gets out of hand. And when the price does move in your direction, always move your stops in your favor and take a little profit off the table. You have to keep the “Legend of the man in the green bathrobe” in mind. In a winning situation, it is NOT HOUSE MONEY you’re betting, it’s YOUR MONEY! There is absolutely no reason to keep raising your bet (risk) size just because you’ve had a win. Finally, remember that trading is not a hobby. It’s a job. The money is real and so is the risk. So, treat it that way. Do the work and follow the process. Stick to your trading rules, trade with the trend, and take those profits when you have them. Do the work!

See you in the trading room.

Ed

🎯 Mike Probst: Rick, Got CTL off the scanner today. Already up 30%. Love it.

🎯 Dick Carp: the scanner paid for the year with HES-thank you

🎯 Arnoldo Bolanos: LTA scanner really works $$, thanks Ed.

🎯 Bob S: LTA is incredible…. I use it … would not trade without it

🎯 Malcolm .: Posted in room 2, @Rick… I used the LTA Scanner to go through hundreds of stocks this weekend and picked out three to trade:  PYPL, TGT, and ZS.   Quality patterns and with my trading, up 24%, 7% and 12%…. this program is gold.

🎯 Friday 6/21/19  (10:09 am) Aaron B: Today, my account is at +190% since January. Thanks, RWO HRC Flash Malcolm Thomas Steve Ed Bob S Bob C Mike P and everyone that contributes every day. I love our job.

Hit and Run Candlesticks / Road To Wealth Youtube videos

Disclosure: We do not act on all trades we mention, and not all mentions acted on the day of the mention. All trades we mention are for your consideration only.

Free YouTube Education  •  Subscription Plans • Private 2-Hour Coaching

DISCLAIMER: Investing / Trading involves significant financial risk and is not suitable for everyone. No communication from Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates or representatives is not financial or trading advice. All information provided by Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates and representatives are intended for educational purposes only. You are advised to test any new trading approach before implementing it.  Past performance does not guarantee future results.  Terms of Service

On Friday, markets opened higher to start the day.  The SPY gapped up 0.28%, DIA gapped up 0.34%, and QQQ gapped up 0.20%.  All three major index ETFs then took 30 minutes to figure out their direction.  At that point, the Bears stepped in as all three sold off until shortly after 1:30 p.m.  From there, the SPY, DIA, and QQQ all bobbed their way sideways the rest of the day.  This action gave us black-bodied candles in all three. The DIA printed a Spinning Top that retested and closed above its T-line (8ema) while also retesting and failing to break up through its 200sma.  Meanwhile, the SPY and QQQ both printed larger-body black candles with wicks at both ends.  Both closed back below their T-line (8ema) and the QQQ also retested and crossed below its 50sma.  This happened on average volume in the SPY and QQQ as well as well-above-average volume in the DIA.

On the day, six of the 10 sectors were in the red with Technology (-1.73%) far out in front leading the way lower.  Meanwhile, Energy (+1.83%) and Healthcare (+1.50%) were way out front on the bullish side.  At the same time, the SPY lost 0.50%, the QQQ lost 1.26% and DIA gained 0.12%.  VXX popped more than 12% to close at 25.32 and T2122 jumped back up out of the oversold territory (barely) into the very low end of its mid-range at 21.99.  10-year bond yields dropped again, falling to 4.617% while Oil (WTI) spiked sharply again (on the apparent Israeli ground invasion of Gaza) to close at $87.72 per barrel.  So, it was a bearish day on Friday, but not a decisive one.  Markets may be headed South again but it is not a sure bet.

The economic news reported Friday included the September Export Price Index came above expected at +0.7% (compared to a forecast of +0.5% but much better than August’s +1.1%.  At the same time, the September Import Price Index came in well below anticipated at +0.1% (versus a forecast of +0.5% and far better than August’s +0.6%).  Later, Michigan Consumer Sentiment came in well below predicted at 63.0 (compared to a forecast of 67.2 and well down from the prior reading of 68.1).  At the same time, Michigan Consumer Expectations also were reported lower than anticipated at 60.7 (versus a forecast calling for 65.5 and a prior reading of 66.0).  The Michigan 1-year Inflation Expectations made a huge jump coming in at 3.8% (compared to a forecast and prior value of 3.2%).  However, the Michigan 5-year Inflation Expectations rose more slightly to 3.0% (up from a forecast and prior reading of 2.8%). 

In Fed Speak news, Philly Fed President Harker told a virtual Delaware Chamber of Commerce group that he thinks rate hikes are done for this cycle. Harker said, “Absent a stark turn in what I see in the data and hear from contacts … I believe that we are at the point where we can hold rates where they are.”  When asked for details, Harker said that by doing nothing (on rates), the Fed is really doing quite a lot (by continuing to shrink its balance sheet).  He said that he sees “steady disinflation” which he believes will take inflation below 3% this year and back to the Fed’s 2% target in 2024.  On the other side, St. Louis Fed President Bullard (perma-Hawk) told an IMF seminar to watch out for “underappreciated inflation risks.”  He also hinted that he would like to see the Fed Funds Rate immediately hiked 1.25% (to 6.5%) if inflation spikes again.

In Autoworker contract talks and strike news, the UAW did not expand its strike against the Big 3 automakers on Friday. However, the strike anti had already been significantly upped earlier when F’s largest and most profitable plant was struck.  (The companies laid off about 1,000 employees in response, blaming the move on disruptions caused by the strike.)  However, UAW President Fain did say Friday morning that the union is shifting its strike strategy.  From here forward, the union may call for walkouts at any time and without notice.  Later, STLA laid off another 700 workers.  Then, after the close Friday, F announced it was cutting one of three shifts at its MI F-150 EV plant, resulting in 700 layoffs as well.  After the close Friday, Bloomberg reported that the 10 individuals who have been CEOs of GM, F, and STLA had earned more than a cumulative $1 billion in compensation since 2010.  Over that same period, autoworker (union and non-union) pay has declined 17%.  Then on Sunday, Canadian Unifor autoworkers ratified the GM contract agreed after a 12-hour strike last week.

In stock news, QCOM announced layoffs of approximately 2.5% of its workforce on Friday.  The 1,258 job cuts will take effect on December 13.  Later, BA and SPR stocks both slumped Friday when the companies announced they are expanding their plane inspections into production defects on the 737 Max 8 jet.  After the close, PFE slashed its 2023 full-year revenue forecast by 13% and announced it was introducing a $3.5 billion cost-cutting program.  (The reduction was attributed to lower-than-predicted sales of its COVID-19 vaccine.)  At the same time, BLK announced that its investors pulled $13 billion out of long-term investment funds in favor of cash.  Bloomberg reported that analysts had expected $50 billion in inflows and that this was the first reduction from these funds since the beginning of the Covid pandemic in 2020.

In stock government, legal, and regulatory news, in case you missed it, on Thursday, the US ratcheted up the pressure on Russia by imposing sanctions on the owners of oil tankers that carry crude that is sold for more than the $60 sanction cap price.  That new level of sanction hit XOM on Friday as a ship they chartered was fined by the US Treasury.  At the same time, MSFT said it closed its $69 billion acquisition of ATVI early Friday after getting the approval of the UK’s Competition and Markets Authority.  Despite this news, the FTC said it was pressing ahead with its lawsuit to block the deal.  Later, TSLA asked a Delaware judge to cut the fees requested by the attorneys that defeated TSLA (after a 3-year legal battle) and won a shareholder case which then forced TSLA Board members to return $919 million they had paid themselves.  The attorneys say they intend to sue TSLA over the refusal to pay while the company calls the fees outrageous at over $10k per hour.  Later, the NY State Public Utilities Commission denied Canadian-listed Windfarm ORSTED the ability to raise electricity prices.  This may impact BP and EQNR which are in the same field but are US-listed.  In mid-afternoon, the FDA ordered BTI (RJ Reynolds) to cease the sale of menthol vaping e-cigarettes.  BTI is expected to file a court challenge to the order, even though it complied with previous bans on “berry flavored” vape products. After the close, the SEC said it would not appeal a court decision saying it was wrong to deny Grayscale Investment’s application to create an ETF for the spot price of bitcoin.

Overnight, Asian markets were red across the board as China held short and medium-term rates steady and injected just under $15 billion in liquidity (less than the market wanted).  Japan (-2.03%), Thailand (-1.63%), and Shenzhen (-1.42%) led the region lower.  However, in Europe, we see a much brighter outlook with all but three of the 15 bourses in the green at midday.  The CAC (+0.15%), DAX (+0.04%), and FTSE (+0.39%) lead the region higher on admittedly modest moves in early afternoon trade.  In the US, as of 7:30 a.m., Futures are pointing toward a green start to the day.  The DIA implies a +0.43% open, the SPY is implying a +0.29% open, and the QQQ implies a +0.07% open at this hour. 10-year bond yields have spiked back up to 4.702% and Oil (WTI) is just on the reed side of flat at $87.64 per barrel in early trading.

The major economic news scheduled for Monday is limited to NY Fed Empire State Mfg. Index (8:30 a.m.) and US Federal Budget Balance (2 p.m.).  However, Fed member Harker speaks twice (10:30 a.m. and 4:40 p.m.).  The major earnings reports scheduled for before the open Monday are limited to SCHW (8:45 a.m.).  There are no major earnings reports scheduled for after the close.

In economic news later this week, on Tuesday we get September Retail Sales, Sept. Industrial Production, August Business Inventories, August Retail Inventories, TIC Net Long-Term Transactions, and API Weekly Crude Oil Stocks Report.  We also get two Fed speakers (Williams at 8 a.m. and Bowman at 9:20 a.m.).  Then Wednesday, Sept. Building Permits, Sept. Housing Starts, EIA Weekly Crude Oil Inventories, and the Fed Beige Book are reported.  We also hear from Fed members Waller (noon), Williams (12:30 p.m.), Bowman (1 p.m.) and Harker (3:15 p.m.).  On Thursday, we get Weekly Initial Jobless Claims, Philly Fed Mfg. Index, Sept. Existing Home Sales, and the Fed Balance Sheet.  We also hear from Fed Chair Powell (noon), Bostic (4 p.m.), and member Harker 5:30 p.m.).  Finally, on Friday, there is no scheduled news.  However, again we hear from Fed member Harker (9 a.m.) and Mester (12:15 p.m.).

In terms of earnings reports later this week, on Tuesday, ACI, BAC, BK, ERIC, GS, JNJ, LMT, PLD, IBKR, JBHT, OMC, UAL, and WTFC.  Then Wednesday, ABT, ALLY, ASML, CFG, ELV, FHN, MTB, MS, NDAQ, NTRS, PG, STT, TRV, USB, WGO, AA, COLB, CCI, DFS, EFX, KMI, LRCX, LVS, LBRT, NFLX, PPG, SAP, STLD, TSLA, and ZION report.  On Thursday, ALK, AAL, T, BX, EWBC, FITB, FCX, GPC, KEY, MAN, MMC, NOK, PM, POOL, SNA, SNV, TSM, TFC, UNP, WSO, WBS, CSX, ISRG, KNX, and WAL.  Finally, on Friday, AXP, ALV, CMA, EEFT, HBAN, IPG, RF, and SLB report.

In US Congressional news, the dysfunctional GOP House members voted to nominate right-wing Rep. Jordan as House speaker, 124-81 (16 either not present or abstaining) over last-minute candidate Rep. Scott.  However, a second vote asked, “Would vote for Jordan in the full house as a fellow Republican?” On that measure, Jordan got 152 votes but 55 still voted “no, they won’t support Jordan.”  Obviously, that means the extremist candidate will find it hard to get to the 217 votes needed (given 2 vacant seats in the House) since their caucus only had 221 members to start.  So, as the House GOP broke for the weekend, they were no closer to a viable Speaker candidate that could actually be confirmed than they had been when they ousted McCarthy two weeks prior.  On Sunday, it was announced that the House will vote on Jim Jordan’s House Speaker nomination at noon Tuesday.  However, at the same time (midday Sunday), CNN reported a top Republican told it there are still 40 “hard no” votes against Jordan on the GOP side.  As a reminder, there are 32 calendar days left (Nov. 17 is the last day) as of today until the existing CR ends and we get a government shutdown.  Meanwhile, Ukraine has urgent military needs now and Israel (which has no real military need) has US political reasons that it will require House support action even before Nov. 17. (National Security Advisor Sullivan said Sunday that President Biden will push for an aid package for Ukraine and Israel of “significantly more than $2 billion” this week.

In miscellaneous news, on Friday, the SEC adopted new rules requiring transparency on short-selling.  These rules require institutional investors to report short positions and brokers who lend shares for short sales to report then activity to FINRA.  (S3 Partners analysts report that US market institutional short interest is about $927 billion at the moment.)  Elsewhere, RAD filed for bankruptcy late Sunday night in the face of opioid lawsuits and weakening sales.  Finally, AMC reports that the Taylor Swift concert movie raked in $96 million in US sales and $32 million abroad.  This makes the Era Tour the highest-grossing concert movie in history…much to AMC’s delight.

With that background, it looks like the Bulls are very modestly leading the way in the premarket. The two large-cap index ETFs are up above their T-line while the QQQ is retesting that 8ema level from below. All three are now printing white-bodied candles and are at their highs of the early session. DIA is also retesting its 200sma from below again. With heavier news coming later in the week, including earnings, don’t be caught off guard if today is a drifting day in the market. However, there is potential for new in the House Speaker debacle or from the geopolitical front. In terms of extension, none of the three major index ETFs are too far from their T-line (8ema). The T2122 indicator is back at the bottom of its mid-range (but is not oversold yet). So, again we have room to run in either direction.

As always, be deliberate and disciplined…but don’t be stubborn. If you have a loss, admit you were wrong and take that loss before it gets out of hand. And when the price does move in your direction, always move your stops in your favor and take a little profit off the table. You have to keep the “Legend of the man in the green bathrobe” in mind. In a winning situation, it is NOT HOUSE MONEY you’re betting, it’s YOUR MONEY! There is absolutely no reason to keep raising your bet (risk) size just because you’ve had a win. Finally, remember that trading is not a hobby. It’s a job. The money is real and so is the risk. So, treat it that way. Do the work and follow the process. Stick to your trading rules, trade with the trend, and take those profits when you have them. Do the work!

See you in the trading room.

Ed

🎯 Mike Probst: Rick, Got CTL off the scanner today. Already up 30%. Love it.

🎯 Dick Carp: the scanner paid for the year with HES-thank you

🎯 Arnoldo Bolanos: LTA scanner really works $$, thanks Ed.

🎯 Bob S: LTA is incredible…. I use it … would not trade without it

🎯 Malcolm .: Posted in room 2, @Rick… I used the LTA Scanner to go through hundreds of stocks this weekend and picked out three to trade:  PYPL, TGT, and ZS.   Quality patterns and with my trading, up 24%, 7% and 12%…. this program is gold.

🎯 Friday 6/21/19  (10:09 am) Aaron B: Today, my account is at +190% since January. Thanks, RWO HRC Flash Malcolm Thomas Steve Ed Bob S Bob C Mike P and everyone that contributes every day. I love our job.

Hit and Run Candlesticks / Road To Wealth Youtube videos

Disclosure: We do not act on all trades we mention, and not all mentions acted on the day of the mention. All trades we mention are for your consideration only.

Free YouTube Education  •  Subscription Plans • Private 2-Hour Coaching

DISCLAIMER: Investing / Trading involves significant financial risk and is not suitable for everyone. No communication from Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates or representatives is not financial or trading advice. All information provided by Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates and representatives are intended for educational purposes only. You are advised to test any new trading approach before implementing it.  Past performance does not guarantee future results.  Terms of Service

Markets were essentially dead money the first half of the day Thursday.  The SPY gapped up 0.16%, DIA gapped up 0.22%, and QQQ gapped up 0.15%.  After that the markets traded sideways until just before 1 p.m.  Then we saw a sharp selloff that took us to the lows of the day at 2:20 p.m.  From there, the rest of the day was a steady but modest rally into the close.  That action gave us black-bodied candles in all three major index ETFs.  The QQQ printed a Spinning Top type candle which was also a Bearish Engulfing.  SPY and DIA also printed Bearish Engulfing candles.  However, all three held above their T-line (8ema), after a retest in the SPY and DIA. 

On the day, nine of the 10 sectors were in the red with Basic Materials (-2.05%) far out in front leading the way lower.  Meanwhile, Energy (+0.01%) was the “big winner” by just barely hanging onto the green territory (doing almost 0.80% better than any other sectors).  At the same time, the SPY lost 0.61%, DIA lost 0.52%, and the tech-heavy QQQ lost 0.35%.  VXX increased 1.64% to close at 22.98 and T2122 fell back down into the oversold territory at 13.25.  10-year bond yields fell again, falling to 4.558% while Oil (WTI) closed up slighlty to $83.49 per barrel.  So, if you are a day trader, you’d say the strongest and most significant move of the day was that midday Bearish push. Still, the Bulls ended up recapturing half of the ground they lost in that push.  From a high-level view, Thursday was just a pause or modest pullback in the recent Bull run. There were no major changes with the short-term daily trend remaining bullish.

The economic news reported Thursday was limited to September year-on-year CPI which was a mixed bag.  It came in higher than expected at +3.7% (compared to a forecast of +3.6%, but was in-line with the August reading of +3.7%).  On a month-to-month basis the September CPI was also higher than anticipated at +0.4% (versus the forecast of +0.3% but also significantly better than the August +0.6% value).  At the same time, Weekly Initial Jobless Claims cane in just below expected at 209k (compared to a forecast of 210k and in-line with the revised prior week of 209k).  The most shocking news was EIA Weekly Crude Oil Inventories which shot higher by 10.176 million barrels.  Compare that to a forecast of just a 0.492-million-barrel build and the prior week’s 2.224-million-barrel drawdown).  Finally, after the close, the Fed’s balance sheet continued to shrink, but only slightly ($4 billion) from $7.956 trillion to $7.952 trillion).

Overnight, Asian markets were nearly red across the board.  Only Malaysia (+0.02%) managed to hang onto green territory.  Hong Kong (-2.33%) was by far (by more than 1.25%) the biggest loser followed by Singapore (-1.02%) and Shenzhen (-0.99%).  In Europe, we see a similar picture taking shape at midday.  Only two of the bourses are in the green, led by Russia (+0.27%) while the CAC (-0.75%), DAX (-0.77%), and FTSE (-0.32%) lead the region lower in early afternoon trade.  In the US, as of 7:30 a.m., Futures are pointing toward a mixed start to the day.  The DIA implies a +0.07% open, the SPY is implying a -0.10% open, and the QQQ implies a -0.36% open at this hour.  At the same time, 10-year bond yields are climbing to 4.614% and Oil (WTI) is up a massive 3.81% to $86.09 per barrel in early trading.

The major economic news scheduled for Friday includes September Export Price Index and Sept. Import Price Index (both at 8:30 a.m.)  Michigan Consumer Sentiment, Michigan Consumer Expectations, Michigan 1-year Inflation Expectations, and Michigan 5-year Inflation Expectations (all at 10 a.m.).  We also hear from Fed member Harker at 9 a.m.  The major earnings reports scheduled for Friday include BLK, C, JPM, PNC, PGR, UNH, and WFC all before the open.  There are no major reports scheduled for after the close.

In US Congressional news, what was reported midday Thursday by a right-wing media outlet was confirmed.  Rep. Scalise abandoned his bid to be Speaker of the House after failing in the same way McCarthy failed before him (the handful of most extreme GOP members refused to support him and that was untenable with such a small majority over the Democrats). This leaves right-winger Jordan as the leading candidate but reportedly many of the more Centrist GOP Reps. have been pushing Emmert or Cole.  There are also reportedly 1 or 2 GOP members that have approached the Dems to say they may support Jeffries. (I am not sure if that is a practical move of people who actually want to govern or a Machiavellian move to make everything the Dem’s problem, which can then be blamed on Dem’s in 2024?)  Regardless, we look to be heading into another weekend with a House of Representatives that is dysfunctional, divided (in many ways), and unable to convene for business.

So far this morning, JPM, PNC, UNH, and WFC all reported blow-out earnings with beats on both the revenue and earnings lines.  These all represented major growth in revenue and earnings.  Meanwhile, BLK missed on revenue while beating on earnings including delivering 4.9% growth on earnings.  (C reports at 8 a.m.)  It is worth noting that UNH raised its forward guidance.

In US Congressional news, Rep. Scalise won a GOP caucus nod and was nominated to be House Speaker. This came on a 113 to 99 vote between Scalise and Rep. Jordan.  It is worth noting that three of Scalise’s 113 votes came from GOP delegates who have no vote where it really counts, in the House.  (An interesting side note is that multiple GOP sources indicated the first ballot actually had ex-Speaker McCarthy leading with 60 votes, Jordan with 47, and Scalise with 31 plus a ton of abstentions.  However, when McCarthy said “no way” all of his support, and more, shifted to Scalise.)  The problem for the GOP is that they need 217 votes to elect a speaker and somewhere between five and 20 the 221 GOP members have said publicly that they won’t vote for Scalise.   So, we may see another fiasco like the record 15 rounds of votes needed to select a crippled-from-the-start McCarthy. As a reminder, beyond the GOP caucus, there are 38 calendar days left until the existing CR ends (Nov. 17 is the last day) and a government shutdown.  There are some, both in government and outside analysts, who say even beyond Americans who would be hurt by a shutdown, Ukraine and Israel may also need House action (money appropriations) even before Nov. 17.

In miscellaneous news, Israel seems to be ready for its ground invasion of Gaza.  After hitting close to 7,000 targets in that 25-mile by 5-mile strip in the last few days, Israel has ordered 1.1 million Palestinians to evacuate Southward from the Northern half of Gaza.  Israel also broadened their targets shutting down two airports in Syria.  (It is being speculated that this was to prevent an Iranian official from reaching Syria for a potential “war council.”) 

With that background, it looks like the large-cap index ETFs are little changed in the premarket. However, the QQQ is showing some weakness with the largest candle of the three. However, QQQ was the furthest above its T-line and none of the three are sitting on that 8ema in the premarket. So, the change is nominal. DIA is back below its 200sma and QQQ looks like it will test its 50sma from above today. In terms of extension, none of the three major index ETFs are far from their T-line (8ema) but the T2122 indicator has dropped back down into the oversold territory at 13.25. So, again we still have room to run in either direction. However, this latest Bull run is getting some rest at the very minimum. Remember that it’s Friday, payday, and we have a weekend news cycle ahead before markets reopen. Be prepared. Lighten up, hedge your account, or be prepared to deal with the volatility that might happen.

As always, be deliberate and disciplined…but don’t be stubborn. If you have a loss, admit you were wrong and take that loss before it gets out of hand. And when the price does move in your direction, always move your stops in your favor and take a little profit off the table. You have to keep the “Legend of the man in the green bathrobe” in mind. In a winning situation, it is NOT HOUSE MONEY you’re betting, it’s YOUR MONEY! There is absolutely no reason to keep raising your bet (risk) size just because you’ve had a win. Finally, remember that trading is not a hobby. It’s a job. The money is real and so is the risk. So, treat it that way. Do the work and follow the process. Stick to your trading rules, trade with the trend, and take those profits when you have them. Do the work!

See you in the trading room.

Ed

🎯 Mike Probst: Rick, Got CTL off the scanner today. Already up 30%. Love it.

🎯 Dick Carp: the scanner paid for the year with HES-thank you

🎯 Arnoldo Bolanos: LTA scanner really works $$, thanks Ed.

🎯 Bob S: LTA is incredible…. I use it … would not trade without it

🎯 Malcolm .: Posted in room 2, @Rick… I used the LTA Scanner to go through hundreds of stocks this weekend and picked out three to trade:  PYPL, TGT, and ZS.   Quality patterns and with my trading, up 24%, 7% and 12%…. this program is gold.

🎯 Friday 6/21/19  (10:09 am) Aaron B: Today, my account is at +190% since January. Thanks, RWO HRC Flash Malcolm Thomas Steve Ed Bob S Bob C Mike P and everyone that contributes every day. I love our job.

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Disclosure: We do not act on all trades we mention, and not all mentions acted on the day of the mention. All trades we mention are for your consideration only.

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Wednesday was an indecisive day in the market.  Despite a hot PPI, all three major index ETFs opened higher as the SPY gapped up 0.25%, DIA gapped up 0.22%, and QQQ gapped up 0.38%.  From there, all three slowly sold off, recrossing the gap and reaching the lows of the day just before 2 p.m.  However, the Bulls stepped in at that point and led a steeper rally that took the SPY and DIA out very near their highs.  DIA lagged, but still managed to almost close back at its open.  This action gave us white-bodied, Hammer candles in the SPY and QQQ as well as a black-bodied Doji in the DIA.  (DIA is right at its retest of the 200sma from below, QQQ pulled slightly away from its 50sma, and all three sit comfortably above their T-line (8ema).  This happened on less-than-average volume in the SPY and DIA and well-below-average volume in the QQQ.

On the day, seven of the 10 sectors were in the green again with Utilities (+1.33%) way out front again leading the way higher.  Meanwhile, Healthcare (-0.62%) lagged the other sectors.  At the same time, the SPY gained 0.41%, DIA gained 0.17%, and the tech-heavy QQQ gained 0.71%.  VXX fell 1.82% to close at 22.12 and T2122 fell back further into the mid-range at 598.52.  10-year bond yields plummeted again, falling to 4.558% while Oil (WTI) closed down sharply to $83.20 per barrel.  So, if you missed the market Wednesday, you probably thought it was a nothing day.  Those of us who did trade it saw an undulating move that ended with modest gains for the Bulls. Mr. Market may be waiting on CPI or earnings to resume, but clearly, there was no massive fear or greed driving the market.  It was more of a “what else do you have to show me?” kind of day.  

The only economic news reported Wednesday was limited to September PPI, which came in hotter than expected at +0.5% month-on-month (compared to a forecast of +0.3% but still better than August’s +0.7%).  The September Core PPI as also higher than anticipated (but better than the headline number) at +0.3%, versus a forecast and August reading of +0.2%.  Then, after the close, the API Weekly Crude Oil Stocks report showed a MASSIVE inventory build of 12.940 million barrels (versus a forecast that called for a 1.300-million-barrel build and dramatically different than the prior week’s 4.210-million-barrel drawdown.

In Fed Speak news, Fed Governor Waller said higher market rates may help the FOMC slow inflation, letting the central bank “watch and see” (as opposed to hiking rates again).  “The financial markets are tightening up and they are going to do some of the work for us.”  Later, the September FOMC Minutes came out.  Those meeting minutes showed that, at that time, “most” Fed members agreed that one more rate hike would be appropriate at some future meeting while “some” judged that no more hikes would be needed.  However, the thing that everyone seemed to agree on is that rates would need to be kept higher for longer.  Several of the members suggested that the focus of decisions and communications needs to shift away from how high toward how long to hold rates where they are now.  Finally, several participants noted that even after the Fed starts easing again, Quantitative Tightening (reducing the Fed balance sheet) will likely continue for a long time.  Later, Boston Fed President Collins said it is possible the FOMC is not done hiking rates.  “…And while we are likely near, and could be at, the peak for policy rates, further tightening could be warranted depending on incoming information,” she said.  Collins continued, “Patience will give us time to better separate ‘signal’ from ‘noise’ in the data and to balance risks,”.

In Autoworker contract talks and strike news, Reuters reported midday Wednesday that talks between the UAW and the Big 3 have edged closer to a deal.  The report, citing “sources,” noted that there are two main remaining obstacles.  These are first, a union demand to restore defined-benefit retirement plans to pre-2007 levels, which the UAW gave up to save the companies when the industry struggled during the Financial Crisis.  This would force the automakers to take billions of dollars of liabilities onto their books.  Secondly, the UAW wants to include all present and future electric vehicle joint ventures under the union’s contracts.  (Right now, the automakers avoid paying union wages and benefits by organizing those ventures as separate legal entities.)  In a surprise move, union workers began a strike at F’s largest (truck plant in KY) with 8,700 UAW members walking off the job Wednesday evening. This is a sharp increase in pressure since this is F’s most profitable plant (generating $25 billion in annual revenue).

In stock news, speaking of automakers, STLA announced it and its partner Samsung have chosen Kokomo, IN as the site of a second joint-venture EV battery plant.  (This may be a coincidence, but Kokomo is the hometown of UAW President Fain.)  Later, DIS announced it was raising prices at its theme parks by 8.9% on average.  At the same time, AXP announced it is hiking annual fees on a broad range of its cards with the increase going into effect February 28, 2024. In the afternoon, Reuters reported that ERIC has booked a $3 billion impairment charge related to its purchase of Vonage last year.  The company also said, “Core profit fell 39% in Q3.”  (ERIC stock was down more than 3% on the day.)  By mid-afternoon, GS announced it had agreed to sell its Greensky home improvement lender to a consortium of private equity firms.  GS will take a $0.19/share charge in Q3 over the deal.  Elsewhere, the BIRK IPO opened for trade on Wednesday.  Priced at $46/share, the stock opened at $41 and closed down to $40.20 after trading in a $2.50 range.  After the close, VSCO reaffirmed its guidance for the full year 2023.  Also after the close, Australian firm Liontown Resources said it has extended its exclusive due diligence period by a week for its proposed $4.23 billion purchase of ALB.

In stock government, legal, and regulatory news, the NYSE began a delisting process for SSU on Wednesday morning.  Later, the FDA announced it would review MRK’s immunotherapy drug Keytruda on October 16.  This comes after the drugmaker said the drug met both of its primary goals in its recent study.  (The review is over expanded use of the drug which already earned MRK $12.06 billion in the first half of 2023.)  The biggest news in this area came at the close Wednesday when the IRS claimed its audit found that MSFT owes $28.9 billion in back taxes (plus interest and penalties) related to tax periods from 2004 to 2013. (MSFT restructured and changed practices related to profit allocation across regions in 2013.)  MSFT immediately disputed the claim and said it plans to appeal through the IRS system.  After the close, GOOGL, AMZN, and NET jointly reported the largest-ever denial of service (DoS) attack. The attack began in late August using a new technique and was three times larger than any DoS attack seen in the past.

Overnight, Asian markets were mostly green with only three of the 12 exchanges in the region showing even modest red.  Hong Kong (+1.93%), Japan (+1.75%), and South Korea (+1.21%) led the region higher.  In Europe, with the lone exception of Russia (-1.07%) we see green across the board at midday.  The CAC (+0.47%), DAX (+0.57%), and FTSE (+0.77%) are leading the region upward in early afternoon trade.  In the US, as of 7:30 a.m., Futures are pointing toward another green start to the day. The DIA implies a +0.34% open, the SPY is implying a +0.36% open, and the QQQ implies a +0.24% open at this hour.  At the same time, 10-year bond yields are up slightly to 4.571% and Oil (WTI) is up more than 1% to $84.37 per barrel in early trading.

The major economic news scheduled for Thursday include September CPI and Weekly Initial Jobless Claims (both at 8:30 a.m.), EIA Crude Oil Inventories (11 a.m.), WASDE Ag Report (noon), Federal Budget Balance (2 p.m.), and the Fed’s Balance Sheet (4:30 p.m.).  We also get a Fed speaker (Bostic at 1 p.m.).  The major earnings reports scheduled for Thursday include CMC, DAL, DPZ, FAST, INFY, SVNDY, and WBA all before the open.  There are no major reports scheduled for after the close.

In economic news later this week, on Friday, we get the September Export Price Index, Sept. Import Price Index, Michigan Consumer Sentiment, Michigan Consumer Expectations, Michigan 1-year Inflation Expectations, and Michigan 5-year Inflation Expectations.  Fed member Harker also speaks at 9 a.m.

In terms of earnings reports later this week, on Friday, we hear from BLK, C, JPM, PNC, PGR, UNH, and WFC all report as earnings season kicks off again.

In US Congressional news, Rep. Scalise won a GOP caucus nod and was nominated to be House Speaker. This came on a 113 to 99 vote between Scalise and Rep. Jordan.  It is worth noting that three of Scalise’s 113 votes came from GOP delegates who have no vote where it really counts, in the House.  (An interesting side note is that multiple GOP sources indicated the first ballot actually had ex-Speaker McCarthy leading with 60 votes, Jordan with 47, and Scalise with 31 plus a ton of abstentions.  However, when McCarthy said “no way” all of his support, and more, shifted to Scalise.)  The problem for the GOP is that they need 217 votes to elect a speaker and somewhere between five and 20 the 221 GOP members have said publicly that they won’t vote for Scalise.   So, we may see another fiasco like the record 15 rounds of votes needed to select a crippled-from-the-start McCarthy. As a reminder, beyond the GOP caucus, there are 38 calendar days left until the existing CR ends (Nov. 17 is the last day) and a government shutdown.  There are some, both in government and outside analysts, who say even beyond Americans who would be hurt by a shutdown, Ukraine and Israel may also need House action (money appropriations) even before Nov. 17.

So far this morning, DAL, FRCOY, and INFY reported beats on both the revenue and earnings lines.  Meanwhile, CMC and WBA beat on the revenue line while missing on earnings.  On the other side, DPZ, FAST, and SVNDY all missed on revenue while beating on earnings.  It is worth noting that WBA lowered its forward guidance.

With that background, and ahead of data, the Bulls seem to be making another move this morning. The three major index ETFs all gapped up to start the premarket and have moved slightly higher, printing white-bodied candles in the early session. During this premarket, the DIA is testing its 200sma from below again and SPY is just under a retest of its 50sma. However, remember the news at 8:30 a.m. may cause volatility and that may carry through at the actual open. Also, remember it is possible we start seeing voting for the latest Speaker of the House today. That could either be non-news or a cause for volatility, depending on how the drama plays out. In terms of extension, none of the three major index ETFs are too far above their T-line (8ema) yet, but QQQ is starting to get just a bit stretched. The T2122 indicator is now back in the center of its mid-range. So, again we have room to run in either direction. However, this latest Bull run is starting to get just a little long in the tooth and in need of a rest.

As always, be deliberate and disciplined…but don’t be stubborn. If you have a loss, admit you were wrong and take that loss before it gets out of hand. And when the price does move in your direction, always move your stops in your favor and take a little profit off the table. You have to keep the “Legend of the man in the green bathrobe” in mind. In a winning situation, it is NOT HOUSE MONEY you’re betting, it’s YOUR MONEY! There is absolutely no reason to keep raising your bet (risk) size just because you’ve had a win. Finally, remember that trading is not a hobby. It’s a job. The money is real and so is the risk. So, treat it that way. Do the work and follow the process. Stick to your trading rules, trade with the trend, and take those profits when you have them. Do the work!

See you in the trading room.

Ed

🎯 Mike Probst: Rick, Got CTL off the scanner today. Already up 30%. Love it.

🎯 Dick Carp: the scanner paid for the year with HES-thank you

🎯 Arnoldo Bolanos: LTA scanner really works $$, thanks Ed.

🎯 Bob S: LTA is incredible…. I use it … would not trade without it

🎯 Malcolm .: Posted in room 2, @Rick… I used the LTA Scanner to go through hundreds of stocks this weekend and picked out three to trade:  PYPL, TGT, and ZS.   Quality patterns and with my trading, up 24%, 7% and 12%…. this program is gold.

🎯 Friday 6/21/19  (10:09 am) Aaron B: Today, my account is at +190% since January. Thanks, RWO HRC Flash Malcolm Thomas Steve Ed Bob S Bob C Mike P and everyone that contributes every day. I love our job.

Hit and Run Candlesticks / Road To Wealth Youtube videos

Disclosure: We do not act on all trades we mention, and not all mentions acted on the day of the mention. All trades we mention are for your consideration only.

Free YouTube Education  •  Subscription Plans • Private 2-Hour Coaching

DISCLAIMER: Investing / Trading involves significant financial risk and is not suitable for everyone. No communication from Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates or representatives is not financial or trading advice. All information provided by Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates and representatives are intended for educational purposes only. You are advised to test any new trading approach before implementing it.  Past performance does not guarantee future results.  Terms of Service

Markets opened just on the green side of flat Tuesday with the SPY opening up 0.16%, DIA opening up 0.34%, and QQQ opening up 0.12%.  However, at that point, the Bulls took over to drive a steady rally that took all three major index ETFs to the highs of the day at noon. Then we drifted sideways until a sharp 15-minute selloff hit at 1 p.m. From there, all three of the major index ETFs traded sideways in a tight range the rest of the day.  This action gave us something like white-bodied, Inverted Hammer candles in the SPY and QQQ.  Meanwhile, the DIA printed a gap-up, white-bodied Doji.  At the same time, QQQ retested and just managed to close above its 50sma while DIA retested but failed to cross up through its 200sma.  This happened on average volume in the DIA and a little less-than-average volume in the SPY and QQQ.

On the day, all 10 sectors were in the green again with Utilities (+1.59%) leading the way higher.  Meanwhile, Energy (+0.48%) lagged the other sectors.  At the same time, the SPY gained 0.52%, DIA gained 0.40%, and the tech-heavy QQQ gained 0.55%.  VXX fell 3.35% to close at 22.53 and T2122 climbed again to the top of the mid-range and near the overbought territory at 78.48.  10-year bond yields plummeted back down to 4.657% while Oil (WTI) closed down at $85.97 per barrel (essentially where it had opened the day after an overnight move down).  So, Tuesday the Bulls were in control overall. However, the early-afternoon pullback and then the drift sideways leaves not-so-bullish candles (indecisive) in all three major index ETFS.  It just feels like the Bulls have not fully committed (or maybe the Bears have not given up yet).

The only economic news reported Tuesday was Fed speak.  On that front, the day started when Atlanta Fed President Bostic said flat out that the FOMC does not need to raise rates any further and he sees no recession ahead.  Later, Fed Governor Waller reiterated that the Fed is committed to bringing inflation down to its 2% target.  He told a George Mason conference, “Price stability is a primary responsibility of the Federal Reserve.”  He continued, “This is why we have taken forceful steps aimed at reducing inflation – and why we will stay on the job to achieve our objective.”  However, Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari seemed to imply that recently-spiked 10-year bond yields might do some of the lifting, allowing the Fed to ease up.  Kashkari said, “It’s certainly possible that higher long-term yields may do some of the work for us in terms of bringing inflation back down.”  Later asked about a soft landing, Kashkari answered that the chances for a soft landing scenario are looking “favorable.” 

In Autoworker contract talks and strike news, Canadian autoworkers began their strike against GM Tuesday after no new deal was reached by the Monday midnight deadline.  However, Unifor (Canadian version of UAW) and GM reached a tentative deal by midday Tuesday, ending the strike.  The GM deal includes a 25% wage hike (significantly more than GM has offered the UAW in the US).

In stock news, reports emerged Tuesday that TFC is in serious talks to sell its insurance brokerage unit to a private equity firm for $10 billion.  (Semafor reported Stone Point bought 20% of that unit earlier this year and is now looking to buy the remaining 80%.)  Meanwhile, WMT announced it is expanding online healthcare benefits to workers in 28 states following recent acquisitions in that space.  At the same time, TSLA spokesmen denied union claims that health and safety provisions at its German gigafactory were inadequate.  Later, ADBE announced it is rolling out a new AI product that makes new images from uploaded samples.  At midday, an article from “The Information” claimed NFLX was having serious problems with ad sales and ad-supported subscriber acquisition.  NFLX stock closed down 3.27% on the news.  Elsewhere, BA reported 27 jet deliveries in September (a day after their main competitor EADSY reported 55 for the same period).  Later, PWFL stock surged, closing up more than 28% following the announcement of a merger between the company and MIXT.  (MIXT closed up 1.52% after both stocks had a hugely volatile day.)   At the same time, AKRO stock crashed after the company’s main drug failed to meet its goals in a drug trial.  After the close, the Wall Street Journal reported that BIRK has priced its IPO at $46/share.

In stock government, legal, and regulatory news, the CA Public Utilities Commission proposed a $45 million penalty against PCG related to the 2021 Dixie wildfire.  PCG replied by saying they do not contest the violations or conclusions of the investigation (and will pay).  At the same time, Reuters reported that the EU has agreed to undertake anti-subsidy investigations into Chinese steelmakers in a deal with the Biden Administration.  This will be part of ending Trump-era steel tariffs between the EU and US.   Elsewhere, the SEC shortened the deadline for reporting any stock purchase that results in an investor acquiring 5% or greater ownership of a listed company.  The deadline is now 5 business days, down from the previous 10 calendar days.  Later a US Bankruptcy judge approved the reorganization of MNKKQ, in a plan that cuts $1 billion for the settlement the drugmaker must pay victims as part of opioid-related settlements.  The deal also cancels $2 billion in company debt and wipes out existing equity shares.  (This is noteworthy because the bankruptcy was only filed on August 28 and comes just 14 months after the company’s previous bankruptcy.)  JPM is among the lenders that are taking a serious haircut from this bankruptcy plan.  At the same time, the US Supreme Court is hearing an important “whistleblower” case involving UBS, in which a former employee alleged had fired him over his reporting of company violations of investor-protection laws.  Lower courts had found this to be true and a jury has awarded the employee $900k over his wrongful dismissal.  However, company appeals caused the award to be set aside by a district appeals court and SCOTUS is now considering reinstating the award. (This case will have a much wider impact by setting a precedent on what companies can get away with in retaliating against whistleblowers.)

Overnight, Asian markets were heavily on the green side again.  Singapore (-0.19%) was the only exchange in the red.  Meanwhile, South Korea (+1.98%), Thailand (+1.50%), and Hong Kong (+1.29%) led the other 11 exchanges in the region higher.  In Europe, we see a similar picture taking shape with only the CAC (-0.34%) on the red side while the other 14 exchanges are in the green at midday.  The DAX (+0.11%) and FTSE (+0.19%) lead the region higher on volume while a couple of the smaller bourses are up well over 1% in early afternoon trade.  In the US, as of 7:30 a.m., Futures are pointing to a solidly green open at this point.  The DIA implies a +0.31% open, the SPY is implying a +0.32% open, and the QQQ implies a +0.40% open.  At the same time, 10-year bond yields are plummeting again, now down to 4.56%, and Oil (WTI) is off another 0.38% to $85.64 per barrel in early trading.

The major economic news scheduled for Wednesday includes Sept. PPI (8:30 a.m.), EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook (noon), FOMC Meeting Minutes (2 p.m.), and API Weekly Crude Oil Stocks report (4:30 p.m.).  We also hear from Fed members Bowman at 4:15 a.m., Waller at 10:15 a.m., and Bostic at 12:15 p.m.  There are no significant earnings reports scheduled for Wednesday (it’s the rest day before earnings season begins again on Thursday).

In economic news later this week, on Thursday, Sept. CPI, Weekly Initial Jobless Claims, EIA Crude Oil Inventories, Federal Budget Balance, and the Fed’s Balance Sheet are reported.  Finally, on Friday, we get the September Export Price Index, Sept. Import Price Index, Michigan Consumer Sentiment, Michigan Consumer Expectations, Michigan 1-year Inflation Expectations, and Michigan 5-year Inflation Expectations.  Fed member Harker also speaks at 9 a.m.

In terms of earnings reports later this week, on Wednesday, again there are no reports.  However, earnings season starts again on Thursday, as CMC, DAL, DPZ, FAST, INFY, SVNDY, and WBA report.  Finally, on Friday, we hear from BLK, C, JPM, PNC, PGR, UNH, and WFC all report as earnings season kicks off again.

In miscellaneous news, in what some analysts believe to be a probable Russian action both a undersea gas pipeline and an undersea telecommunication cable between Finland and Estonia were damaged by an explosion Sunday.  The Finnish government said on Tuesday that this was likely done by a deliberate act, not an accident.  Meanwhile, Bloomberg reported that the Chinese government is looking at another round of stimulus by selling $137 billion in bonds and investing money in infrastructure projects (a traditional CCP stimulus approach). 

In late-breaking news, mortgage rates climbed again last week with the national average 30-year, fixed-rate, conforming loan rising from 7.53% the week prior to 7.67%.  Applications for refinance loans were flat (up 0.3%) while new home purchase loan applications rose 1% on the week.  However, both numbers were down significantly from a year earlier.  Elsewhere, XOM did reach an agreement to buy PXD for $59.5 billion (which is $253 per share) in an all-stock deal.  (This will greatly expand XOM’s footprint in the Permian Basin Shale area and comes on interesting timing since XOM’s executive leading its Shale Oil and Gas unit was arraigned for Sexual Assault in Texas yesterday.)  Finally, early this morning, the Biden Administration (led by the FTC and CFPB) announced major steps toward banning “junk fees” (read nickel and diming us to death) from banks.  The rules will not become effective until after a 60-day comment and review period.

With that background, it looks like the Bulls are making another modest move this morning, opening the premarket higher and, so far at least, printing white-body candles with tiny wicks in the early session. During this premarket, the DIA is testing its 200sma from below and QQQ is moving just a bit away from its 50sma after Tuesday’s recross to the upside. We do have modest news today including FOMC Minutes and 3 Fed speakers that could lead to a little market reaction. (There could also be some modest reaction to Congress if the GOP is able to become a little less dysfuntional and choose a replacement House Speaker. Though that may be tough since they need a nearly unanimous choice given their tiny majority.) However, it feels like Mr. Market is waiting on something (CPI, Jobless Claims, and/or the start of earnings season). So, don’t be surprised if today is yet another drift-like day. In terms of extension, none of the three major index ETFs are too far above their T-line (8ema) yet and the T2122 indicator is now at the top of its mid-range and just about to enter into the overbought territory. So, we still have room to run in either direction. However, this short Bull run of the last 4 days is starting to get just a little long in the tooth.

As always, be deliberate and disciplined…but don’t be stubborn. If you have a loss, admit you were wrong and take that loss before it gets out of hand. And when the price does move in your direction, always move your stops in your favor and take a little profit off the table. You have to keep the “Legend of the man in the green bathrobe” in mind. In a winning situation, it is NOT HOUSE MONEY you’re betting, it’s YOUR MONEY! There is absolutely no reason to keep raising your bet (risk) size just because you’ve had a win. Finally, remember that trading is not a hobby. It’s a job. The money is real and so is the risk. So, treat it that way. Do the work and follow the process. Stick to your trading rules, trade with the trend, and take those profits when you have them. Do the work!

See you in the trading room.

Ed

🎯 Mike Probst: Rick, Got CTL off the scanner today. Already up 30%. Love it.

🎯 Dick Carp: the scanner paid for the year with HES-thank you

🎯 Arnoldo Bolanos: LTA scanner really works $$, thanks Ed.

🎯 Bob S: LTA is incredible…. I use it … would not trade without it

🎯 Malcolm .: Posted in room 2, @Rick… I used the LTA Scanner to go through hundreds of stocks this weekend and picked out three to trade:  PYPL, TGT, and ZS.   Quality patterns and with my trading, up 24%, 7% and 12%…. this program is gold.

🎯 Friday 6/21/19  (10:09 am) Aaron B: Today, my account is at +190% since January. Thanks, RWO HRC Flash Malcolm Thomas Steve Ed Bob S Bob C Mike P and everyone that contributes every day. I love our job.

Hit and Run Candlesticks / Road To Wealth Youtube videos

Disclosure: We do not act on all trades we mention, and not all mentions acted on the day of the mention. All trades we mention are for your consideration only.

Free YouTube Education  •  Subscription Plans • Private 2-Hour Coaching

DISCLAIMER: Investing / Trading involves significant financial risk and is not suitable for everyone. No communication from Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates or representatives is not financial or trading advice. All information provided by Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates and representatives are intended for educational purposes only. You are advised to test any new trading approach before implementing it.  Past performance does not guarantee future results.  Terms of Service

Monday saw a knee-jerk gap lower at the open in fears generated by the Israel vs Hamas “war.”  This caused a 0.46% gap down in the SPY, a 0.35% gap down in the DIA, and a 0.67% gap down in the QQQ.  At that point, all three major index ETFs chopped sideways until about 11:00 a.m., when the Bulls started a strong rally that lasted until about 2:45 p.m.  The rest of the day saw a very modest drift lower with a slight rally back the last 15 minutes of the day.  This action gave us gap-down, strong white candles with small wicks on both ends across the SPY, DIA, and QQQ.  All three also retested their T-line (8ema) and passed that test (held support) on the day.  (It is worth noting that QQQ is now back up to and about to test its 50sma).  This happened on above-average volume in the DIA and just below-average volume in both the QQQ and SPY.

On the day, nine of the 10 sectors were in the green again with Energy (+3.54%) way out front (by 2.25%) leading the way higher.  Meanwhile, Healthcare (-0.01%) was the only sector in the red (barely), lagging behind the other sectors.  At the same time, the SPY gained 0.64%, DIA gained 0.60%, and the tech-heavy QQQ gained 0.51%.  VXX fell 1.52% to close at 23.28 and T2122 climbed to the center of its mid-range to close at 52.27.  Bond markets were closed for Columbus Day, so 10-year bond yields remain at 4.795% while Oil (WTI) spiked a massive 4.28% on the day on Israel-Hamas news to close at $86.32 per barrel. So, the knee-jerk reaction at the open was met with some re-evaluation and then the Bulls took over.  Most of the day was spent confirming the Friday move, which now looks a little less like “just short-covering.”  However, Absolute Breadth diverged from other market breadth indicators like McClellan, Zweig, and Adv/Decline. 

There was no major economic news reported Monday, in part because it was a holiday for the Fed and Federal government.

In Autoworker contract talks and strike news, on Monday UAW workers began striking Mack Truck plants after its 4,000 employees rejected (by 73% to 27%) a five-year contract proposal from Mack owned by VLVLY (Volvo).  The rejected deal called for a 19% pay increase over the next five years.  On the company side, STLA laid off 570 more workers, GM laid off 200 additional workers, and F added 70 employees to its layoffs (all blamed on the impacts of the UAW strike).

In stock news, BMY announced Sunday night that it is acquiring MRTX for $5.8 billion.  BMY was volatile but closed little changed on Monday after this news.  On Monday morning, GOOGL announced that it is significantly reducing the size of its recruiting team after 12,000 layoffs back in January.   At the same time, the Wall Street Journal reported that MSFT is losing an average of $20/user/month on one of its first AI products.  In retail news, AMZN is holding its second “Prime Deal Days” of the year today and tomorrow.  AMZN is obviously hoping to get a jump on Black Friday and “steal” sales from brick-and-mortar stores ahead of that day.  However, retail industry analysts are suggesting consumers wait until the traditional Black Friday and Cyber Monday for better deals.  Elsewhere, in a blow to non-union TSLA, Reuters reports that a significant number of its German workers have joined the IG Metall union.  The move seems to be over health, safety, and required overtime concerns at the German TSLA “giga factory”.  At the same time, Investing.com reports that a 2-year holding period on a significant portion of QSR stock ends today.  Later, Reuters reported the NWLI has agreed to buy AEL for $1.9 billion (a 20% premium over Friday’s close).  In banking news, C has sold its Chinese consumer wealth portfolio to HSBC for $3.6 billion in a deal that is expected to close in the first half of 2024.  (There was no word on C’s cost basis in that unit.)  Meanwhile, in the midst of XOM’s late-stage negotiations to buy PXD, it was reported that the head of XOM’s shale oil and gas unit (which is what PXD is) was arrested on charges of sexual assault.  Late in the day, HYMTF (Hyundai) cut the asking price of its Chinese manufacturing plant (300k cars/year capacity) by a whopping 30%, down to $353 million.  At the same time, EADSY (Airbus) confirmed it delivered 55 jets in September.  This brought their 9-month total to 488 jets delivered.

In stock government, legal, and regulatory news, EU antitrust regulators asked users (specifically MSFT and AAPL users) whether tough new rules should apply to MSFT Bing and Edge as well as AAPL’s iMessage.  This was done via a survey those users had 5 days to complete.  A decision on the matter is due within five months.  Later, the Financial Times reported that EU competition regulators had ordered ILMN to sell its Grail unit after the company closed the $8 billion deal without EU approval in 2021.  (The EU has already fined ILMN $445 million over closing the deal without approval.)  ILMN plans to appeal.  At the same time, the US Supreme Court has postponed the GOOGL antitrust case (brought by Indian competition regulators) hearing until January.  In Chip news, two South Korean companies were given indefinite waivers on supplying chip-making equipment to their Chinese factories.  Samsung and SK Hynix will be allowed to continue sending such equipment without individual waivers for each shipment.  (Samsung makes 40% of its NAND memory in China and Hynix makes 40% of its DRAM memory in that country too.  Together those companies control 70% of the DRAM market and 50% of the NAND market globally.)

So far this morning, PEP beat on both the revenue and earnings lines.  Those numbers were also a 6.7% quarter-on-quarter increase and resulted in a modest 3.7% upside surprise.  PEP also raised its earnings guidance for the full year 2023.

Overnight, Asian markets were mostly green on strong moves.  Japan (+2.43%), Malaysia (+1.26%), Singapore (+1.03%), and Australia (+1.01%) led a broad-based rally.  More trouble in the Chinese real estate sector (Country Garden warned it may not be able to repay its debt) and analyst warnings about Korea’s Samsung, caused Shanghai (-0.70%), Shenzhen (-0.56%), and South Korea (-0.26%) to be the only red in the region, far under-performing the other nine exchanges.  In Europe, we see green across the board at midday, like Asia, on strong moves.  The CAC (+1.57%), DAX (+1.71%), and FTSE (+1.58%) lead the region higher.  However, a few of the smaller bourses are up 2% – 4% in early afternoon trade.  In the US, as of 7:30 a.m., Futures are pointing toward a very modest green start to the day, just on the green side of flat.  The DIA implies a +0.16% open, the SPY is implying a +0.10% open, and the QQQ implies a +0.07% open at this hour.  At the same time 10-year bond yields are down sharply to 4.705% and Oil (WTI) is off half a percent to $85.97 per barrel in early trading.

The major economic news scheduled for Tuesday is limited to three Fed speakers (Bostic at 9:30 a.m., Waller at 1 p.m., and Kashkari at 3 p.m.). The only major earnings report scheduled for the day is PEP before the open.  There are no major earnings reports set for after the close.

In economic news later this week, on Wednesday, we get Sept. PPI, EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook, FOMC Meeting Minutes, API Weekly Crude Oil Stocks report.  We also hear from Fed members Bowman at 4:15 a.m. and Waller at 10:15 a.m.  On Thursday, Sept. CPI, Weekly Initial Jobless Claims, EIA Crude Oil Inventories, Federal Budget Balance, and the Fed’s Balance Sheet are reported.  Finally, on Friday, we get Sept. Export Price Index, Sept. Import Price Index, Michigan Consumer Sentiment, Michigan Consumer Expectations, Michigan 1-year Inflation Expectations, and Michigan 5-year Inflation Expectations are reported.  Fed member Harker also speaks at 9 a.m.

In terms of earnings reports later this week, on Wednesday, again there are no reports.  However, earnings season starts again on Thursday, as CMC, DAL, DPZ, FAST, INFY, SVNDY, and WBA report.  Finally, on Friday, we hear from BLK, C, JPM, PNC, PGR, UNH, and WFC all report as earnings season kicks off again.

In miscellaneous news, at mid-afternoon on Monday Reuters reported that Venezuela and the US are in talks to provide sanctions relief to the Central American heavy oil producer.  The Biden Administration is encouraging Maduro to negotiate with political opposition over elections since his 2018 election was widely seen as a sham.  At the same time, such a move would add more “heavy, sour” crude to world markets AND help Venezuela repay its foreign debt.  (As an aside, US refineries are geared toward refining “heavy, sour” like that produced in Canada and Venezuela rather than the light, sweet crude produced in the US.  As a result, regardless of record oil production in the US, gasoline prices are held high in the US by the oil companies.  The talks are aimed at increasing the global “heavy, sour” supply and possibly reducing US gas prices.) Meanwhile, on Monday, Fed Vice Chair Jefferson and Dallas Fed President Logan both noted that higher bond yields are likely to give the FOMC reason to pause any further rate hikes.

In Israeli-Hamas news, the “war” has been over for a day or two.  By this I mean Hamas has been shoved back into Gaza.  The current phase is the Israeli punishment of Hamas phase (more than 1,000 targets bombed) with it widely expected a ground invasion will follow, again aimed at retribution.  The unknown number of hostages Hamas took is at least publicly irrelevant to Israeli action decisions.  Meanwhile, US airlines have suspended flights to Israel over security concerns.  Fertilizer stocks shot higher Monday as the main export port for Israeli potash is just north of Gaza and well within Hamas rocket range.  (Israel accounts for just less than 3% of global potash production.)

With that background, it looks like markets are very tepid this morning. The Bears don’t seem to have strength, but the Bulls have no conviction either despite the big bullish moves in Asia and Europe. All three major index ETFs are printing small, white-bodied, but indecisive candles so far in the premarket. We do have a trio of Fed speakers on tap to potentially change the narrative during the day. However, with no major news or earnings scheduled, it would not be out of the question that markets are drifting while they wait on CPI and/or the resumption of earnings season at week’s end. In terms of extension, none of the three major index ETFs are far above their T-line (8ema) yet and the T2122 indicator is now smack-dab in the middle of its range. So, again we have room to run if either the Bulls or Bears can find energy. Expect potential volatility as Israel almost certainly will invade Gaza soon (which is likely to cause another short-term knee-jerk). However, geopolitical concern will soon return to the much more important Russian invasion of Ukraine.

As always, be deliberate and disciplined…but don’t be stubborn. If you have a loss, admit you were wrong and take that loss before it gets out of hand. And when the price does move in your direction, always move your stops in your favor and take a little profit off the table. You have to keep the “Legend of the man in the green bathrobe” in mind. In a winning situation, it is NOT HOUSE MONEY you’re betting, it’s YOUR MONEY! There is absolutely no reason to keep raising your bet (risk) size just because you’ve had a win. Finally, remember that trading is not a hobby. It’s a job. The money is real and so is the risk. So, treat it that way. Do the work and follow the process. Stick to your trading rules, trade with the trend, and take those profits when you have them. Do the work!

See you in the trading room.

Ed

🎯 Mike Probst: Rick, Got CTL off the scanner today. Already up 30%. Love it.

🎯 Dick Carp: the scanner paid for the year with HES-thank you

🎯 Arnoldo Bolanos: LTA scanner really works $$, thanks Ed.

🎯 Bob S: LTA is incredible…. I use it … would not trade without it

🎯 Malcolm .: Posted in room 2, @Rick… I used the LTA Scanner to go through hundreds of stocks this weekend and picked out three to trade:  PYPL, TGT, and ZS.   Quality patterns and with my trading, up 24%, 7% and 12%…. this program is gold.

🎯 Friday 6/21/19  (10:09 am) Aaron B: Today, my account is at +190% since January. Thanks, RWO HRC Flash Malcolm Thomas Steve Ed Bob S Bob C Mike P and everyone that contributes every day. I love our job.

Hit and Run Candlesticks / Road To Wealth Youtube videos

Disclosure: We do not act on all trades we mention, and not all mentions acted on the day of the mention. All trades we mention are for your consideration only.

Free YouTube Education  •  Subscription Plans • Private 2-Hour Coaching

DISCLAIMER: Investing / Trading involves significant financial risk and is not suitable for everyone. No communication from Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates or representatives is not financial or trading advice. All information provided by Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates and representatives are intended for educational purposes only. You are advised to test any new trading approach before implementing it.  Past performance does not guarantee future results.  Terms of Service

Friday gave us the gap lower at the opening bell on what most attributed to fear over a strong payroll report (fear it will lead the Fed to more hikes).  We opened down 0.57% in the SPY, down 0.30% in the DIA, and down 0.81% in the QQQ.  After an hour of grinding along the lows (and a little lower in the DIA), the Bulls ripped the face off of the Bear chasers.  This resulted in a strong rally in all three major index ETFs until just after noon and then a slow further rally to the highs at about 2:45 p.m.  At that point, all three just ground sideways and a bit lower into the close.  This action gave us strong white-bodied Bullish Engulfing candles in the SPY, DIA, and QQQ.  All three crossed back above their T-line (8ema), barely in the DIA, strongly in the QQQ, and somewhere in between those two on the SPY.

On the day, nine of the 10 sectors were in the green with Technology (+2.03%) far out ahead (by three-quarters of a percent) leading the way higher.  Meanwhile, Consumer Defensive (-0.31%) lagged behind the other sectors. At the same time, the SPY gained 1.19%, DIA gained 0.88%, and the tech-heavy QQQ gained 1.68%.  VXX fell 1.25% to close at 23.64 and T2122 climbed up out of the oversold territory into the lower end of the mid-range at 29.94.  10-year bond yields spiked to close at 4.797% while Oil (WTI) gained a bit more than half of a percent to end the day at $82.79 per barrel.  So, we saw a Bullish whipsaw after a significant open lower.  Some analysts believe this was just largely a short covering rally.  While I tend to be in this camp, short covering does not necessarily count out a bottom.  For example, all three major index ETFs put in above-average volume (far above average in the QQQ) on Friday.  Absolute Breadth also increased slightly.  

The major economic news reported Friday included the September Avg. Hourly Earnings (month-on-month) which came in the same as the August increase at +0.2%.  This is a bit better than expected compared to a forecast of +0.3%.  The September year-on-year Avg. Hourly Earnings also came in just a touch better (from a Fed standpoint) than forecast at +4.2% (versus the +4.3% forecast and +4.3% August reading).  At the same time, September Nonfarm Payrolls came in extremely hot a +336k (compared to a forecast of +170k and the August value of +227k).  There were also big upward revisions to both the July and August job creation numbers.  Likewise, September Private Nonfarm Payrolls were also extremely hot at +263k (versus the +160k forecast and the +177k August reading).  The Sept. Participation Rate remained steady at 62.8%.  Still, even with the massive number of jobs created, the Sept. Unemployment Rate remained steady at 3.8% (compared to a 3.7% forecast and the 3.8% August reading).  As always, interpretation is everything.  The bears (and largely out of the White House party) thought these numbers were a dire warning to the Fed that they MUST hike rates massively and relentlessly to avoid Armageddon.  On the other hand, the bulls (and the party in the White House) see the data as validation that the economy is creating a huge number of jobs while inflation keeps slowly ticking lower.  In short, everything is rosy.  I will leave it to you to decide how you see the data.  For myself, I am between the two extremes but lean toward the latter interpretation.  Either way, I fully expect the Fed to do what they have been saying and signaling for months…hike once more this year and then hold steady, most likely through Q3 of next year.

Speaking of the Fed, Cleveland Fed President Mester (typically a hawk) commented on the Payrolls report Friday in an interview with CNN.  Mester said, “With this one report, [the data] continues to say it’s a strong labor market, but it is getting a little bit less tight than we saw before … We also in that report saw that wage growth is tempering a bit.”  She went on to characterize the overall economy as “economic growth has been strikingly strong and yet we’re still making progress on inflation.”  She continued “We are basically at or near” the peak of the tightening campaign and the main question is how long the Fed should keep rates high to bring inflation back to 2% by the end of 2025.”

In Autoworker contract talks and strike news, the UAW did not widen its strike on Friday.  The UAW reported that the last-minute counter-offer from GM made a major concession as the automaker agreed to include EV battery plants in their UAW offer.  In addition, GM raised their wage increase offer to 23% (surpassing the F and STLA offers).  North of the border, Unifor (UAW equivalent in Canada) says that GM is fighting key elements of the recent F contract agreed and approved by the union to avoid a strike.  The key issues are GM’s classification of full-time employees as temporary contract workers (avoiding higher wages and benefits), health allowances for retirees, and product investment commitments.  The Unifor strike deadline for GM is Monday night at midnight.

In stock news, MGM clarified its report of “significant” impacts on Q3 profits from the cyber-attack back in September.  On Friday, the company said that they estimate the revenue lost is $110 million (which was less than some analysts had feared).  Elsewhere, to add insult to injury, a day after a Commerce Dept. investigation was announced (into the percentage of staff that comes from the US) TSM now faces a labor cost threat from a coalition of 14 unions who say the company is stalling negotiations.  Elsewhere, AMZN announced that its first two Kuiper satellite internet network satellites were launched Friday at 2 p.m.  (Kuiper will compete with Elon Musk’s SpaceX.)  At the same time, AMGN announced it had completed the $27.8 billion acquisition of HZNP.  Late in the day, Reuters reiterated what was reported here before the open Friday, saying that XOM is now in advanced talks to purchase PXD in a deal that could be over $60 billion.  At the same time, T faced rumors Friday late that it is considering divesting its 70% ownership of DirecTV (purchased for $16 billion in 2021).

In stock government, legal, and regulatory news, the UK said the SNAP AI Chatbot may pose a privacy risk for children.  However, the UK Information Commissioner’s Office said it will consider a company reply before deciding whether or not to ban the service in UK.  Later, the US Treasury Dept. issued new EV tax credit guidance on Friday.  The change will allow consumers (as of January) to transfer their $7,500 (new EV) or $4,000 (used) tax credit directly to the dealership.  This will mean a de facto price reduction for electric vehicles. At the same time, the USDA announced that bird flu was detected in a commercial flock of turkeys, the first infection discovered since April.  This comes just as CALM announced that egg prices are down 48% from a year ago (as of September).  Elsewhere, a recall of nearly 10k 2023 electric vehicles by NSANY (Nissan) was announced by the NHTSA.  The recall is related to defective inverter software that could lead to vehicle shutdowns.  After the close, a US District Judge ruled that SBUX must disclose its anti-union spending in efforts to quash a union in Buffalo, NY.  The US Labor Dept. NLRB had demanded the data during its investigation and SBUX had refused.  Also after the close, HEINY (Heineken) had its Brazilian brewery added to the government’s list of companies it says are responsible for labor practices analogous to slavery.  Friday evening, the Mexican government said that WMT will face an anti-trust investigation from the country’s anti-trust panel (related to wholesale distribution of consumer goods).

Overnight, Asian markets were mixed but leaned to the downside on modest moves.  Taiwan (+0.41%) paced the five gaining exchanges while New Zealand (-0.73%) and India (-0.72%) led the seven exchanges in the red.  In Europe, we see a similar mixed picture with a bit more amplitude at midday.  Norway (+1.49%) and Russia (+1.17%) are way out-front pacing the gains while Greece (-1.54%) is by far the biggest loser.  However, the CAC (-0.49%), DAX (-0.73%), and FTSE (+0.22%) lead the region (as usual) on volume in early afternoon trade. In the US, as of 7:30 a.m., Futures point toward a gap down to start the day.  The DIA implies a -0.51% open, the SPY is implying a -0.64% open, and the QQQ implies a -0.83% open at this hour.  At the same time, the 10-year bond yield has spiked to 4.795% and Oil (WTI) spiked 2.64% to $85.80/barrel.

There is no major economic news scheduled for Monday.  There are also no major earnings reports scheduled for either before the open or after the close.

In economic news later this week, on Tuesday we have two Fed speakers (Waller at 1 p.m. and Kashkari at 3 p.m.).  Then Wednesday, we get Sept. PPI, EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook, FOMC Meeting Minutes, API Weekly Crude Oil Stocks report.  We also hear from Fed members Bowman at 4:15 a.m. and Waller at 10:15 a.m.  On Thursday, Sept. CPI, Weekly Initial Jobless Claims, EIA Crude Oil Inventories, Federal Budget Balance, and the Fed’s Balance Sheet are reported.  Finally, on Friday, we get the September Export Price Index, Sept. Import Price Index, Michigan Consumer Sentiment, Michigan Consumer Expectations, Michigan 1-year Inflation Expectations, and Michigan 5-year Inflation Expectations.  Fed member Harker also speaks at 9 a.m.

In terms of earnings reports later this week, on Tuesday, PEP reports.  Then Wednesday, again there are no reports.  However, earnings season starts again on Thursday, as CMC, SAL, DPZ, FAST, INFY, SVNDY, and WBA report.  Finally, on Friday, we hear from BLK, C, JPM, PNC, PGR, UNH, and WFC all report as earnings season kicks off again.

In miscellaneous news, JPM released a market forecast on Friday which predicts a bearish scenario for global equities.  The report cited a very strong dollar, weakening service sector, and interest rates expected to peak in Q4.  JPM suggested that their clients rebalance portfolios to go overweight on technology, consumer staples, and utilities as those sectors get beaten down by currently rising bond yields.  Elsewhere, Bloomberg reported that a bi-partisan group of US Senators (including Majority Leader Schumer) will be in China this week, hoping to get a meeting with Chinese President Xi.  Their hope is to discuss escalating tensions. At the same time, Taiwan is probing four of their companies (at US urging) for helping China’s Huawei set up a network of chip manufacturing plants in Southern China.  (As reported here last week, President Biden is looking likely to meet Xi in mid-November on the sidelines of an Asia Pacific Economic Conference in San Francisco.

In late-breaking news, given the attacks in Israel and Palestine, oil is sure to knee-jerk higher (despite neither place having any real oil production or transit), and oil-levered stocks may take a hit.  The most recent news out of Israel has the IDF placing Gaza under siege (no food, water, fuel, or electricity allowed to enter) and are continuing their pounding of targets in that 141 sq. mile strip.  (The IDF says 500 targets were hit last night alone.)  Elsewhere, CNBC reports that China’s key economic ministries announced Monday that they are targeting a 50% increase in the country’s computing power by 2025.  The six main technology-related ministries jointly announced a goal of 300 exaflops by that date.  (For reference, that would be a computer equivalent to 600 million mainstream laptop computers tied together.)  Just for comparison, the US now has three of the top five supercomputers in the world.  China’s current best (known) is not even among the top 500 of the world’s most powerful computers.

With that background, it appears the Bears are gapping all three major index ETFs lower. However, premarket candles in all three are white-bodied and indecisive. In other words, the Bears are not getting follow-through after the initial knee-jerk gap. We have scheduled news, speakers, or earnings to change the narrative. So, expect the Israel-Palestine war to drive the news cycle all day. In terms of extension, none of the three major index ETFs are far below their T-line (8ema) and the T2122 indicator is now back in its mid-range. So, again we have room to run if either the Bulls or Bears can find energy. Expect more volatility at the open as traders who do not trade the premarket session get their first chance to over-react. It could be a bumpy day. (Mondays like this are the reason for hedging, lightening up, and/or buying option insurance on Friday can be a good idea.)

As always, be deliberate and disciplined…but don’t be stubborn. If you have a loss, admit you were wrong and take that loss before it gets out of hand. And when the price does move in your direction, always move your stops in your favor and take a little profit off the table. You have to keep the “Legend of the man in the green bathrobe” in mind. In a winning situation, it is NOT HOUSE MONEY you’re betting, it’s YOUR MONEY! There is absolutely no reason to keep raising your bet (risk) size just because you’ve had a win. Finally, remember that trading is not a hobby. It’s a job. The money is real and so is the risk. So, treat it that way. Do the work and follow the process. Stick to your trading rules, trade with the trend, and take those profits when you have them. Do the work!

See you in the trading room.

Ed

🎯 Mike Probst: Rick, Got CTL off the scanner today. Already up 30%. Love it.

🎯 Dick Carp: the scanner paid for the year with HES-thank you

🎯 Arnoldo Bolanos: LTA scanner really works $$, thanks Ed.

🎯 Bob S: LTA is incredible…. I use it … would not trade without it

🎯 Malcolm .: Posted in room 2, @Rick… I used the LTA Scanner to go through hundreds of stocks this weekend and picked out three to trade:  PYPL, TGT, and ZS.   Quality patterns and with my trading, up 24%, 7% and 12%…. this program is gold.

🎯 Friday 6/21/19  (10:09 am) Aaron B: Today, my account is at +190% since January. Thanks, RWO HRC Flash Malcolm Thomas Steve Ed Bob S Bob C Mike P and everyone that contributes every day. I love our job.

Hit and Run Candlesticks / Road To Wealth Youtube videos

Disclosure: We do not act on all trades we mention, and not all mentions acted on the day of the mention. All trades we mention are for your consideration only.

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DISCLAIMER: Investing / Trading involves significant financial risk and is not suitable for everyone. No communication from Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates or representatives is not financial or trading advice. All information provided by Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates and representatives are intended for educational purposes only. You are advised to test any new trading approach before implementing it.  Past performance does not guarantee future results.  Terms of Service

Markets started the day flat Thursday, down 0.02% in the SPY, down 0.03% in the QQQ, and down 0.05% in the DIA.  However, the SPY and QQQ immediately sold off, reaching the low of the day shortly after 11 a.m.  Then both began a slower rally that took them back to their highs (high of the day in SPY) about 2:45 p.m.  From there, the pair of index ETFs traded sideways with a very modest bearish trend for the last 75 minutes.  Meanwhile, DIA traded sideways in a very tight range for an hour after the open.  Then it followed the other major index ETFs lower, finding its lows at about 11:50 a.m.  At that point, DIA traded sideways until 1:15 p.m. before following the SPY and QQQ higher until 2:45 p.m.  From there, DIA traded sideways in a tight range for the rest of the day.

On the day, six of the 10 sectors were in the red with Consumer Defensive (-1.67%) way out in front (by almost a full percent) leading the way lower.  Meanwhile, Financial Services (+0.76%) held up better than the other sectors.  At the same time, the SPY lost 0.04%, DIA gained 0.06%, and the tech-heavy QQQ lost 0.29%.  VXX fell 1.28% to close at 23.97 and T2122 climbed but still remained well into the oversold territory at 9.09.  10-year bond yields basically bobbed along sideways after Wednesday’s “fall” to close at 4.714% while Oil (WTI) dropped another 2.10% to end the day at $82.45 per barrel.  

This action gave us very indecisive candles in all three major index ETFs.  The DIA and SPY printed Dojis that remain below their T-line all day.  At the same time, QQQ printed more of a black-bodied Spinning Top which retested its T-line before closing just below it again.  This all happened on below-average volume in all three major index ETFs.  So, we saw a flat open followed by a selloff, a rebound, and finally a lack of conviction in the last hour.  That probably tells us Mr. Market is just waiting on the next shoe to drop this morning (September Payrolls and Unemployment data in the premarket).

The major economic news reported Thursday included August Exports, which came in higher than the previous month at $256 billion (compared with $251.9 billion in July).  At the same time, August Imports were down slightly to $314.3 billion (versus July’s $316.6 billion). Together this gave us an August Trade Balance (Deficit) of $58.3 billion which was better than expected (compared to a forecast of -$62.3 billion and July’s -$64.7 billion.  After the close, the Fed’s Balance Sheet came in below $8 trillion for the first time in over two years at $7.956 trillion (down $46 billion on the week).  Much of the drop was attributed to a big drop in the credit being given to deal with bank failures.

In Fed speak, Chicago Fed President Goolsbee told Bloomberg he doesn’t see treasury yields threatening a soft landing.  (To be fair, the interview was recorded before rates hit 7.5%.) Goolsbee said “On the real side I feel like nothing has happened so far that is convincing evidence that we are off the golden path.” (Goolsbee has been referring to the Fed path to a soft landing as “the golden path.”)  Later San Francisco Fed President Daly hinted at keeping rates steady at the next Fed meeting.  Daly said, “If we continue to see a cooling labor market and inflation heading back to our target, we can hold interest rates steady and let the effects of policy continue to work.”  Finally, Richmond Fed President Barkin said that surging Treasury yields reflect the strong economic data we’ve seen lately along with a heavy supply of bonds in the market.  (More bonds available drive down bond prices, which automatically drives up the bond yields.)

In Autoworker contract talks and strike news, GM revealed Thursday that it has made a counter-offer to the UAW.  (No details were released.)  Elsewhere, Reuters reported details of the tentative deal between the UAW and VLVLY (Volvo Mack Trucks).  The report showed a 19% hike over 5 years (10% immediately) plus a $3,500 “ratification bonus,” improved benefits (including a $1,000 annual addition to each 401K plan), additional vacation days, and a reduction in the tier-structure (the time it takes to get to top pay scale).    The deal must still be ratified by 4,000 hourly UAW workers.  Meanwhile, UAW President Fain announced he will hold another 2 p.m. Eastern streaming event to update workers on the progress of the talks.  In his post-scheduling the event, he hinted there might be an expansion of the strike but that all three of the automakers may not be hit.

In stock news, BHP told Reuters Thursday that it intends to focus on cost-cutting rather than M&A to improve results over the next year.  Without setting a goal or forecast, the CEO said “If we can cut our cost base by 10%, that’s $20 billion in value…the last time someone created $20 billion with an M&A – I’d like them to tell me when it was.”  At the same time, XOM raised its Q3 profit forecast by $1 billion, citing escalated oil prices.  Elsewhere, a study published in the JAMA Medical Journal showed a link to increased stomach paralysis and other rare gastrointestinal issues for NVO’s wildly popular diabetes drugs Ozempic, Wegovy, and Saxenda which are all widely used for significant weight loss.  Bloomberg said the study found patients on one of those drugs are nine times more likely to develop swelling of the pancreas than a competing diabetes drug.  At the same time, C outlined its layoff process for eliminating layers of management in a brief internal meeting on Thursday.  No specifics were given, but Reuters reports the next layoffs will hit in November. A bit later, CLX announced that its sales took a hard hit from a cyber-attack but also acknowledged a “challenging consumer environment.” In the early afternoon, GSK announced it had raised $1.1 billion by selling 270 million shares of Haleon Plc in the UK. The funds will reportedly be rolled back into its Pharma business unit (Haleon is just an investment).  Meanwhile, STLA announced a $90 million investment in Argentina Lithium & Energy.  STLA will hold 19.9% ownership as a result of the deal.  Late in the day, MRTX shares jumped after Bloomberg reported rumors that French Pharma giant SNY is exploring an acquisition of MRTX.  After the close, MGM announced it expects operational disruptions from its September cyber-attack to negatively impact Q3 results.

In stock government, legal, and regulatory news, the UK announced Thursday morning that it will investigate the AMZN and MSFT dominance of the cloud computing market.  (The two combined have 80% market share with GOOGL being the closest competitor with 5%-10% of the market.)  Later, the Commerce Dept. said it is examining TSM, whose $40 billion AZ plant is a crucial planned recipient of US CHIPS Act funds.  Recent information indicates that nearly half of the project’s workforce comes from Taiwan.  This is, of course, contrary to the act’s goal of increasing US employment and chip manufacturing capability.  (TSM has had a very hard time filling jobs with qualified, i.e., experienced, US workers and has found it most expedient to bring in staff from the Taiwanese facility, of which the AZ fab is designed to be a mirror image.)  Elsewhere, GIFI announced a settlement of a lawsuit with Hornbeck Offshore Services.  After the settlement, the court dismissed the suit.  (No terms were released.)  At the same time, principally INTC, NVDA, and QCOM (but including others) launched a large-scale lobbying campaign in Washington in a bid to defeat semiconductor sales to China.  (NVDA was particularly vocal with the trio above claiming the restrictions could cost their firms $50 billion in lost sales per year from China.)  The three companies also testified before a House committee hearing Thursday.  Later, TSLA asked the Mexican government to build new infrastructure in the Northern Mexican state where the company intends to construct a new car plant.  (These improvements included upgrades to the region’s electric grid and railway system.)  In the afternoon, the NHTSA held a public hearing and recommended the government mandate a recall of 52 million air bag inflators (11 million of those produced under license by ALV).  These inflators were used between 200 and 2018 by 12 different car makers.  At the close, the SEC sued TSLA CEO Musk related to his X (Twitter) purchase. The SEC is attempting to force Musk to testify in the agency’s probe of his purchase of the company.  (Musk defied a subpoena to appear on Sept. 15 from the agency.)

After the close, LEVI missed on revenue while beating on earnings.  The company also cut its full-year guidance again.  (It cut forward guidance just 3 months ago as well.)

Overnight, Asian markets were mostly green.  Thailand (-0.97%) was the only major outlier to the downside while Hong Kong (+1.58%) was an outlier to the upside.  Singapore (+0.61%) and India (+0.55%) were the more typical leaders to the upside.  In Europe, we see the same picture taking shape at midday with only two of the 15 bourses showing red.  The CAC (+0.69%), DAX (+0.83%), and FTSE (+0.40%) lead the region higher in early afternoon trade.  In the US, as of 7:30 a.m., markets are now looking to start the day on the upside.  (Of course, this is pre-Payrolls data.)  The DIA implies a +0.20% open, the SPY is implying a +0.21% open, and the QQQ implies a +0.27% open at this hour.  At the same time, 10-year bond yields are higher at 4.744% and Oil (WTI) is just on the green side of flat at $82.43 per barrel in early trading.

The major economic news scheduled for Friday includes Sept. Avg. Hourly Earnings, Sept. Nonfarm Payrolls, Sept. Private Nonfarm Payrolls, Sept. Participation Rate, Sept. Unemployment Rate (all at 8:30 a.m.).  We also hear from a Fed speaker (Waller at noon).  The major earnings reports scheduled for before the open are limited to. There are no major earnings reports scheduled for Friday (either before the bell or after the close).

In miscellaneous news, Nat Gas hit a price not seen since January as the commodity broke $3 to close at $3.184.  After hours, AMC announced that cultural phenom Taylor Swift is helping it rake in money.  A film of Swift’s recent Eras tour will open on Oct. 13 and has already surpassed $100 million in advance ticket sales.  Meanwhile, Politico reports that in the wake of the GOP mess in Congress, the Biden Administration is now looking at using State Dept. grants as a way to send more weapons to Ukraine.  The idea seems to be grating the money to Ukraine who would use the funds to buy arms from US weapons manufacturers such as GD, NOC, and RTX.  (The same mechanism has been used to transfer weapons to Taiwan in the past.)  At the same time, the National Assn. of Realtors said the average US mortgage rate has now hit a 22-year peak of 7.49% for a 30-year, fixed-rate loan.

In late-breaking news, TSLA announced it will cut its US prices again on its Model 3 and Model Y cars.  (A 3%-4% cut in Model 3 prices and a 3.7% cut in Model Y.)  The move comes after TSLA vehicle deliveries for Q3 missed the market expectations.  At the same time, PHG (Philips) took a hit overnight as the FDA said it does not believe the data shared by the medical device maker is sufficient to evaluate the risks posed by the company’s recalled sleep apnea ventilators.  (More than 10 million of those devices were recalled after a number of deaths were attributed to breathing toxic materials produced by the breakdown of some silicone components of the device.)  Elsewhere, Bloomberg reports this morning that XOM is in “advanced talks” on buying PXD in a $60 billion deal.  It would be the oil giant’s biggest acquisition since Mobil back in 1999.  (The CEO of PXD had previously announced his retirement at year end.)  Finally, a meeting between President Biden and Chinese President Xi next month is looking more likely.  The meeting would take place on the sidelines of an APEC (Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation) summit in San Francisco in Mid-November.

With that background, it looks like the Bulls are tentatively and indecisively in charge prior to today’s data drop. All three major index ETFs are easing closer to their T-line (8ema) from below. All three are also printing very small, white-body, Spinning Top type candles very early. In terms of extension, none of the three major index ETFs are far below their T-line (8ema) but the T2122 indicator is now in the middle of its oversold range. So, we are not extremely oversold and have some slack to run with if either the Bulls or Bears can find energy. Expect some volatility at 8:30 a.m. and again at the open (and possibly when the UAW streams its news mid-afternoon). Also remember that this is Friday, payday, and time to get your account ready for the weekend news cycle. Just remember, the first rule of making big money in the market is to not lose big money in the market.

As always, be deliberate and disciplined…but don’t be stubborn. If you have a loss, admit you were wrong and take that loss before it gets out of hand. And when the price does move in your direction, always move your stops in your favor and take a little profit off the table. You have to keep the “Legend of the man in the green bathrobe” in mind. In a winning situation, it is NOT HOUSE MONEY you’re betting, it’s YOUR MONEY! There is absolutely no reason to keep raising your bet (risk) size just because you’ve had a win. Finally, remember that trading is not a hobby. It’s a job. The money is real and so is the risk. So, treat it that way. Do the work and follow the process. Stick to your trading rules, trade with the trend, and take those profits when you have them. Do the work!

See you in the trading room.

Ed

🎯 Mike Probst: Rick, Got CTL off the scanner today. Already up 30%. Love it.

🎯 Dick Carp: the scanner paid for the year with HES-thank you

🎯 Arnoldo Bolanos: LTA scanner really works $$, thanks Ed.

🎯 Bob S: LTA is incredible…. I use it … would not trade without it

🎯 Malcolm .: Posted in room 2, @Rick… I used the LTA Scanner to go through hundreds of stocks this weekend and picked out three to trade:  PYPL, TGT, and ZS.   Quality patterns and with my trading, up 24%, 7% and 12%…. this program is gold.

🎯 Friday 6/21/19  (10:09 am) Aaron B: Today, my account is at +190% since January. Thanks, RWO HRC Flash Malcolm Thomas Steve Ed Bob S Bob C Mike P and everyone that contributes every day. I love our job.

Hit and Run Candlesticks / Road To Wealth Youtube videos

Disclosure: We do not act on all trades we mention, and not all mentions acted on the day of the mention. All trades we mention are for your consideration only.

Free YouTube Education  •  Subscription Plans • Private 2-Hour Coaching

DISCLAIMER: Investing / Trading involves significant financial risk and is not suitable for everyone. No communication from Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates or representatives is not financial or trading advice. All information provided by Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates and representatives are intended for educational purposes only. You are advised to test any new trading approach before implementing it.  Past performance does not guarantee future results.  Terms of Service