Bulls Running Again?

Strong earnings and an unexpectedly strong jobs report caused a gap up and strong day as the bulls ran hard.  The SPY and QQQ closed at new all-time highs.  Meanwhile, the DIA is closed near its all-time highs and the IWM also had an extremely bullish day (closing at the high since May). The bulls were certainly running Friday.

Over the weekend, the CEO of MCD was fired (had an affair with an employee) and it was reported that Warren Buffett is now holding 10 times his normal amount of cash. (This may indicate he just feels many stocks are over-valued up at all-time highs.) The ATP (an Asian Trade pact similar to NAFTA, but excluding the US), which was created because President Trump decided to pull out of a similar pact the US had started and was close to having in place, took another step toward ratification (expected next year). Finally, the Saudis announced Sunday that Aramco, the world’s most profitable company, will be listed (as expected) on the Saudi stock exchange in December.

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Monday’s economic calendar is limited to September Factory Orders at 11 am, but even though we are now past the half-way point, earning continue.  In a pre-market report, UA posted a beat. However, CNBC reports US is also under Federal Investigation for Accounting fraud.

Overnight, Asian markets were green.  In Europe, markets are also bullish at this point.  As of 7:30 am, U.S. futures were green, looking for about a gap up of between 0.4% and 0.5%.

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It certainly appears the bulls want to continue their strong run from Friday. China Trade War twists and turns, as well as more earnings, remain ahead. However, the bulls have the bit in their teeth early this Monday Morning.

Ed

Swing-Trade Trade ideas for your consideration. Long – FLS, ITW, PM, MHK, AMP, ALK, LUV, INTC, PG, INFO, RF, MS, BBT, TSM, C, BF.B, OLLI, DE, BERY, STX. Trade smart, take profits along the way and trade your plan. Also, do not forget to check for upcoming earnings. Stocks we mention and talk about are not recommendations to buy or sell.

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🎯 Mike Probst: Rick, Got CTL off the scanner today. Already up 30%. Love it.

🎯 Dick Carp: the scanner paid for the year with HES-thank you

🎯 Arnoldo Bolanos: LTA scanner really works $$, thanks Ed.

🎯 Bob S: LTA is incredible…. I use it … would not trade without it

🎯 Malcolm .: Posted in room 2, @Rick… I used the LTA Scanner to go through hundreds of stocks this weekend and picked out three to trade:  PYPL, TGT, and ZS.   Quality patterns and with my trading, up 24%, 7% and 12%…. this program is gold.

🎯 Friday 6/21/19  (10:09 am) Aaron B: Today, my account is at +190% since January. Thanks, RWO HRC Flash Malcolm Thomas Steve Ed Bob S Bob C Mike P and everyone that contributes every day. I love our job.

Disclosure: We do not act on all trades we mention, and not all mentions acted on the day of the mention. All trades we mention are for your consideration only.

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DISCLAIMER: Investing / Trading involves significant financial risk and is not suitable for everyone. No communication from Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates or representatives is not financial or trading advice. All information provided by Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates and representatives are intended for educational purposes only. You are advised to test any new trading approach before implementing it.  Past performance does not guarantee future results.  Terms of Service

Jobs, Earnings and China

Despite strong earnings Wednesday night and premarket on Thursday, markets could not overcome bad news out of the Trade War.  Reports out of China say they won’t budge on the major issues (subsidies to companies, industrial policy and Intel. Property), don’t trust President Trump to keep any deal and doubt any long-term agreement can be done while he is in office. Meanwhile, the White House says they still expect to sign the phase one agreement (just to not make things worse) on the same schedule as before the Chile Conference was canceled.

The net result was that the bears had control of the markets all day on Thursday.  The four major indices ended up printing Hanging Man type candles.  The good news is that all four also managed to climb back above Support by day end.  Also, after the close Thursday, ANET, FTNT, QRVO, and WU all reported beats. 

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Friday’s economic calendar includes Oct. Nonfarm Payrolls (8:30 am) and ISM Mfg. PMI (10 am).  There will also be several FOMC speakers in the afternoon (which will probably have no impact this quickly after the Fed Statment).  However, earnings are still likely to be the driver with AIG, ABBV, BRKB, CBOE, CL, D, XOM, LYB, NWL, PCG, STX, SRE and CVX all among those reporting before the bell today.

Overnight, Asian markets were mixed.  In Europe, markets are also mixed, but mostly green at this point.  As of 7:30 am, U.S. futures were green, looking for about a one-third of a percent gap up.

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China Trade fears remain front and center as of Thursday.  However, earnings remain generally strong, with a few exceptions. Remember this is Friday (payday).  So take some off the table where you can. Be cautious as there are many earnings still to go, likely more twists in the Trade War saga and two days ahead when you can do nothing about a report (or tweet) if you are long or short.

Ed

Normally, we have no trade ideas for Fridays. However, in honor of the Open House, here are some Swing-Trade Trade ideas for your consideration. Long – PM, PCAR, PNR, PKG, NEE, INTC, APH, INFO, TSM, PPG, BF.B, DE. Short – MLM, BA, IBM, DRI. Trade smart, take profits along the way and trade your plan. Also, do not forget to check for upcoming earnings. Stocks we mention and talk about are not recommendations to buy or sell.

✅ SMS text alerts and reminders?👈

✅ Check out our newest YouTube videos👈

🎯 Mike Probst: Rick, Got CTL off the scanner today. Already up 30%. Love it.

🎯 Dick Carp: the scanner paid for the year with HES-thank you

🎯 Arnoldo Bolanos: LTA scanner really works $$, thanks Ed.

🎯 Bob S: LTA is incredible…. I use it … would not trade without it

🎯 Malcolm .: Posted in room 2, @Rick… I used the LTA Scanner to go through hundreds of stocks this weekend and picked out three to trade:  PYPL, TGT, and ZS.   Quality patterns and with my trading, up 24%, 7% and 12%…. this program is gold.

🎯 Friday 6/21/19  (10:09 am) Aaron B: Today, my account is at +190% since January. Thanks, RWO HRC Flash Malcolm Thomas Steve Ed Bob S Bob C Mike P and everyone that contributes every day. I love our job.

Disclosure: We do not act on all trades we mention, and not all mentions acted on the day of the mention. All trades we mention are for your consideration only.

Free YouTube Education  •  Subscription Plans • Private 2-Hour Coaching

DISCLAIMER: Investing / Trading involves significant financial risk and is not suitable for everyone. No communication from Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates or representatives is not financial or trading advice. All information provided by Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates and representatives are intended for educational purposes only. You are advised to test any new trading approach before implementing it.  Past performance does not guarantee future results.  Terms of Service

Fed Gains, China Worries

Wednesday saw a Q3 GDP beat (1.9% vs 1.6% expected) and the Fed cutting rates a third time on the year, by a quarter percent (just as expected).  Chairman Powell did indicate a “pause in easing” lay ahead but went on to say the FOMC would need to see “really significant” inflation indications to raise rates anytime in the foreseeable future.  (Two Fed voters did dissent, believing rates should have been left unchanged.) 

After a flat to mildly down morning, the Fed decision resulted in a rally.  This left the SPY and DIA up about 0.3% and the QQQ up about half a percent on the day.  All three indices managed to bounce up off support during the day.  The QQQ printed a Bullish Harami, while the IWM printed what could be a Bearish Hanging Man signal.  The SPY and DIA did not print a signal on Thursday.

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On the downside, Chile canceled the APEC meeting where President Trump was to meet President Xi.  As of now, there is no announced backup plan for signing the partial Trade Deal with China.  Worse than that, Bloomberg reports this morning that “Chinese officials” have told Western visitors they will never budge on the major issues and they doubt any Long-Term Trade Deal is even possible with President Trump in place.  Further, they urged Westerners to take word back to the U.S. that without additional tariff rollbacks by the US, more substantial negotiations beyond the partial “resuming 2017 grain purchase levels in return for no new tariffs” deal are not going to result in anything.

After the close, both AAPL, FB and KLAC all reported significant beats and saw corresponding rallies in post-market trading Wednesday.  Meanwhile APA, CF and LNC all reported misses.  It is also worth noting that TWTR announced it will no longer accept political ads, which may (or not) be a drag on their revenue since we are going into an election year.  This is in direct contrast to FB’s announcement from earlier this week.

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Overnight, Asian markets were mixed.  In Europe, markets are red across the board with the exception of the FTSE (which is soaring on the hope of the UK Election changing the Brexit deadlock).  As of 7:30 am, U.S. futures were mixed but flat.

The Thursday economic calendar is limited to lesser inflation reports and Jobless Claims (both at 8:30 am).   However, earnings are still going full speed with MO, AMT, ADM, BWA, BMY, CHD, CI, CLX, DD, EL, EXC, HBI, HFC, IP, KHC, MAC, MPC, PH, and WAB among those reporting before the bell today.

Earnings remain generally strong, with a few notable exceptions. Between this, the happiness with the Fed action, and the current trend, the bulls definitely have the upper hand.  However, be cautious as there are many earnings still to go and likely more twists and turns in the Trade War saga.

Ed

Swing-Trade Trade ideas for your consideration. Long – PM, PNR, PCAR, ARE, TSCO, NEE, INTC, APH, INFO, TSM, PPG, KHC. Trade smart, take profits along the way and trade your plan. Also, do not forget to check for upcoming earnings. Stocks we mention and talk about are not recommendations to buy or sell.

✅ SMS text alerts and reminders?👈

✅ Check out our newest YouTube videos👈

🎯 Mike Probst: Rick, Got CTL off the scanner today. Already up 30%. Love it.

🎯 Dick Carp: the scanner paid for the year with HES-thank you

🎯 Arnoldo Bolanos: LTA scanner really works $$, thanks Ed.

🎯 Bob S: LTA is incredible…. I use it … would not trade without it

🎯 Malcolm .: Posted in room 2, @Rick… I used the LTA Scanner to go through hundreds of stocks this weekend and picked out three to trade:  PYPL, TGT, and ZS.   Quality patterns and with my trading, up 24%, 7% and 12%…. this program is gold.

🎯 Friday 6/21/19  (10:09 am) Aaron B: Today, my account is at +190% since January. Thanks, RWO HRC Flash Malcolm Thomas Steve Ed Bob S Bob C Mike P and everyone that contributes every day. I love our job.

Disclosure: We do not act on all trades we mention, and not all mentions acted on the day of the mention. All trades we mention are for your consideration only.

Free YouTube Education  •  Subscription Plans • Private 2-Hour Coaching

DISCLAIMER: Investing / Trading involves significant financial risk and is not suitable for everyone. No communication from Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates or representatives is not financial or trading advice. All information provided by Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates and representatives are intended for educational purposes only. You are advised to test any new trading approach before implementing it.  Past performance does not guarantee future results.  Terms of Service