Turns Out Breaking Up Isn’t So Hard to Do

Markets gapped higher at the open Thursday, but then drifted sideways back inside the gap the rest of the day on light holiday volume.  DIA was the exception as it opened flat and traded down all day as traders punished DIS for their terrible report the night before.  This left us with black candles in all 3 major indices.  On the day, SPY gained 0.04%, DIA lost 0.45%, and QQQ gained 0.28%.  The VXX fell 2% to 21.14 and T2122 rose a little but remains solidly in the mid-range at 63.51.  10-year bond yields rose to 1.57% and Oil (WTI) fell to $81.17/barrel.

This morning, JNJ announced plans to split into two companies, one focused on consumer healthcare products and the other being its pharmaceutical and medical device business units.  (This is the second version of such a scheme in months.) The logic behind this plan is to move all liability from the Johnson’s Baby Powder cancer lawsuits into the consumer products business, insulating the larger business unit from liability.  The move came just days after the company’s attempted “Texas two-step” (to split off just the talc business alone and choose its own bankruptcy court to limit company liability) failed and the courts ruled that the JNJ bankruptcy will be heard and litigated in the company’s home state of New Jersey.  Hence the company is looking to divide to protect what parts of the company it can.  JNJ stock is soaring in premarket on the news.

Continuing the conglomerate breakup theme started by GE and followed (for different reasons) by JNJ, Toshiba announced overnight that it is also breaking up.  This one is a breakup into 3 companies. TOSYY will spin off its “device and storage” business which makes chips (now branded as Kioxia) as well as its “energy and infrastructure” units into their own companies.  This split comes after a 5-month strategic review that was spawned by a governance scandal.  The company hoped the reorganization is completed by the second half of 2023.  Toshiba closed 1% lower on the news in Japan.

TC2000 Discount

So far this morning, SPB reported a beat on both lines and AZN beat on revenue but missed on earnings.  In other business news, Elon Musk took a back-handed shot at new rival RIVN.  In a tweet last night, Musk said “I hope they (RIVN) are able to achieve high production and breakeven cash flow.  That is the true test.”  He went on to say TSLA is the only American carmaker to do so in the past 100 years.  RIVN is up 58% from its IPO price in two days of trading (and up 4% in premarket).  TSLA is up about 8% over the same time and is flat in premarket trading.

Overnight, Asian markets were mostly green.  South Korea (+1.50%), India (+1.28%), and Japan (+1.13%) led the way.  However, gains were widespread and only New Zealand (-0.91%), Indonesia (-0.60%), and Singapore (-0.30%) were in the red in the region.  In Europe, markets are more mixed at mid-day.  The FTSE (-0.39%), DAX (+0.16%), and CAC (+0.35%) are typical of the continent in early-afternoon trading.  As of 7:30 am, US Futures are pointing toward a modestly green start to the day.  The DIA is implying a +0.28% open, the SPY implies a +0.22% open, and the QQQ implies a +0.25% open at this hour.  Bonds are up off overnight lows to 1.568% and Oil (WTI) is down almost 2% in early trading.

The major economic news scheduled for release Friday is limited to Sept. JOLTS and Michigan Consumer Sentiment (both at 10 am) as well as a Fed speaker (Williams at 12:10 pm).  Major earnings reports scheduled for the day are limited to AZN and SPB before the open.  There are no major earnings reports after the close.

LTA Scanning Software

With no economic news before the open and coming off a slow holiday session, markets are seeming to want to drift higher. While the trend of “rationalizing conglomerates” (breaking into actually related units) will get a lot of talk, that is not enough to move markets. Remember that the short-term trend is down, but the longer-term trend is very bullish and we sit near all-time highs.

Watch your current positions before looking to add any new trades. Focus on your trade rules and on managing the things you can control. That should include consistently taking profits when you have them and moving your stops in your favor. Trade carefully and think twice about holding through earnings.

Ed

Swing Trade Ideas for your consideration and watchlist: WISH, VUZI, CSIQ, CRSR, FAST, LUMN, ROOT, FCX, QS. You can find Rick’s review of tickers on his YouTube Channel here. Trade your plan, take profits along the way, and smart. Also, remember to check for impending earnings reports. Finally, remember that any tickers we mention and talk about in the trading room are not recommendations to buy or sell.

🎯 Mike Probst: Rick, Got CTL off the scanner today. Already up 30%. Love it.

🎯 Dick Carp: the scanner paid for the year with HES-thank you

🎯 Arnoldo Bolanos: LTA scanner really works $$, thanks Ed.

🎯 Bob S: LTA is incredible…. I use it … would not trade without it

🎯 Malcolm .: Posted in room 2, @Rick… I used the LTA Scanner to go through hundreds of stocks this weekend and picked out three to trade:  PYPL, TGT, and ZS.   Quality patterns and with my trading, up 24%, 7% and 12%…. this program is gold.

🎯 Friday 6/21/19  (10:09 am) Aaron B: Today, my account is at +190% since January. Thanks, RWO HRC Flash Malcolm Thomas Steve Ed Bob S Bob C Mike P and everyone that contributes every day. I love our job.

Hit and Run Candlesticks / Road To Wealth Youtube videos

|607% in just 24 months |

Disclosure: We do not act on all trades we mention, and not all mentions acted on the day of the mention. All trades we mention are for your consideration only.

Free YouTube Education  •  Subscription PlansPrivate 2-Hour Coaching

DISCLAIMER: Investing / Trading involves significant financial risk and is not suitable for everyone. No communication from Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates or representatives is not financial or trading advice. All information provided by Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates and representatives are intended for educational purposes only. You are advised to test any new trading approach before implementing it.  Past performance does not guarantee future results.  Terms of Service

DIS Missed and Musk Sells TSLA Shares

Markets gapped lower at the open, after a higher-than-expected CPI number (4.6% vs 4.3% est.), but then rallied to fade the gap the first half-hour of the day.  However, that was the last sighting of the bulls as stocks sold off from 10 am all the way into the close.  This left us with black Spinning Top type candles that closed below the T-line (8ema) in all 3 major indices.  On the day, SPY lost 0.80%, DIA lost 0.61%, and QQQ lost 1.47%.  The VXX rose just under 2% to 21.58 and T2122 dropped back to mid-range at 54.08.  10-year bond yields spiked to 1.565% and Oil (WTI) fell almost 3.5% to $81.28/barrel.

In addition to the CPI number, new Jobless claims came in slightly higher than expected, but still down 4,000 below the prior week.  Interestingly, oil inventories came in far, far lower than expected (less than half of expected and less than one-third of the prior week’s inventory at 1 million barrels vs 2.13 million barrels expected).

After the close DIS reported a miss on both lines.  In particular, it was a bad miss on earnings.  In addition, the company reported on Disney+ subscriber estimates and overall reduced streaming demand across all of its properties (Disney+, ESPN+, Hulu+, etc.).  What makes the Disney+ subscriber miss worse is that the company had previously lowered the forecast before missing their own estimate.

TC2000 Discount

In a follow-up to his “Twitter poll” self-promotion on Saturday (where almost 58% said he should sell 10% of his TSLA stock), Elon Musk sold $4.98 billion of TSLA stock on Tuesday and Wednesday.  The SEC filing indicates these were not planned sales.  Despite his “poll”, it turns out Musk made the sale so he could satisfy tax obligations after exercising a large block of stock options.  TSLA fell more than 15% on Tuesday before rebounding 4% on Wednesday.

Overnight, Asian markets were mixed, but the real movers were on the green side.  Shenzhen (+1.27%), Shanghai (+1.15%), and Hong Kong (+1.01%) led the way as China rebounded.  In Europe, markets are also mixed at mid-day.  The big exchanges are all green (barely in cases), but there are more than a half of a percent losses across many of the smaller countries.  The FTSE (+0.42%) leads with the DAX (+0.07%) and CAC (+0.08%) staying barely above water in early afternoon trading.  As of 7:30 am, US Futures are pointing toward a green open.  The DIA is implying a +0.13% open, the SPY implies a +0.36% open, and the QQQ implies a robust +0.61% open at this hour.

Due to the Veterans Day holiday, there is no US economic news scheduled for release, but OPEC releases its monthly report at 7 am.  Major earnings reports scheduled for the day include MT, AZUL, BHG, BAM, CAE, CRC, EPC, OGN, SBH, TPR, and WB before the open.  Then after the close, FLO and PAGS report.

LTA Scanning Software

With no economic news on the agenda as well as government offices and banks closed for the holiday, do not be surprised if markets drift on light volume. One story that is likely to gain some traction is another surge in cases in Germany (more than 50,000 new cases per day on a population of 83 million), which is obviously a major economy and tied to all of the EU.

The trend remains bullish and the pullback of the last few days is a healthy thing for a rally (easing over-extension). With that said, we know consolidations and pullbacks can last a lot longer than we expect. So, just as with long-term trend reversals, don’t get caught trying to predict short-term reversals either. The trend is our friend.

Focus on your trade rules and on managing the things you can control. That should include consistently taking profits when you have them and moving your stops in your favor. Watch your current positions before looking to add any new trades. Trade carefully and think twice about holding through earnings.

Ed

Swing Trade Ideas for your consideration and watchlist: QS, FCEL, PLUG, GM, BIG, NEE, COTY. You can find Rick’s review of tickers on his YouTube Channel here. Trade your plan, take profits along the way, and smart. Also, remember to check for impending earnings reports. Finally, remember that any tickers we mention and talk about in the trading room are not recommendations to buy or sell.

🎯 Mike Probst: Rick, Got CTL off the scanner today. Already up 30%. Love it.

🎯 Dick Carp: the scanner paid for the year with HES-thank you

🎯 Arnoldo Bolanos: LTA scanner really works $$, thanks Ed.

🎯 Bob S: LTA is incredible…. I use it … would not trade without it

🎯 Malcolm .: Posted in room 2, @Rick… I used the LTA Scanner to go through hundreds of stocks this weekend and picked out three to trade:  PYPL, TGT, and ZS.   Quality patterns and with my trading, up 24%, 7% and 12%…. this program is gold.

🎯 Friday 6/21/19  (10:09 am) Aaron B: Today, my account is at +190% since January. Thanks, RWO HRC Flash Malcolm Thomas Steve Ed Bob S Bob C Mike P and everyone that contributes every day. I love our job.

Hit and Run Candlesticks / Road To Wealth Youtube videos

|607% in just 24 months |

Disclosure: We do not act on all trades we mention, and not all mentions acted on the day of the mention. All trades we mention are for your consideration only.

Free YouTube Education  •  Subscription PlansPrivate 2-Hour Coaching

DISCLAIMER: Investing / Trading involves significant financial risk and is not suitable for everyone. No communication from Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates or representatives is not financial or trading advice. All information provided by Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates and representatives are intended for educational purposes only. You are advised to test any new trading approach before implementing it.  Past performance does not guarantee future results.  Terms of Service

CPI Number and Jobless Claims on Tap

Markets opened flat on Tuesday but sold off hard the first half-hour of the day.  From that point, stocks traded sideways in a pretty tight range the rest of the day but did close up off the lows.  This left us with black candles in all 3 major indices and broke a long string of consecutively higher closes in the large caps.  However, all 3 indices remained in their uptrends and above the 8ema (T-line).  On the day, SPY lost 0.32%, DIA lost 0.29%, and QQQ lost 0.69%.  The VXX rose to 21.21 and T2122 fell to just outside of the overbought territory at 78.79.  10-year bond yields fell to 1.441% and Oil (WTI) rose almost 3% to $84.40/barrel.

Before the open Tuesday, wholesale prices were announced.  They came in up 0.6% for the month and up 8.6% year-on-year (the highest pace in 11 years).  As such, markets sold off early on Tuesday. The PPI was seen as a potential read-through to the more widely watched CPI number coming today.  The consensus expectation for the CPI number is 0.6% for the month and 4.3% year-on-year. However, those seem a lot less likely given the 8.6% wholesale-level increase.

During the day, the big business news was the GE announcement that they will break their company.  The 3 new companies will focus on aviation, healthcare, and energy.  This will be done by spinning off the health care unit by mid-2023 and then spinning off the energy unit by early 2024.  GE stock closed up 2.65% after a very volatile (more than 5% range) on the day.  While activist investors had been calling for such a move for a long time and many thought that was the reason Larry Culp (GE’s first “outsider” CEO) was brought in, the timing surprised the market.

TC2000 Discount

In miscellaneous news, RIVN is set to launch its IPO this morning.  The company priced its shares above the underwriter-valued range (initially $60, then $73) at $78 per share.  Mortgage rates have also dived in the last week, moving from 3.24% to 3.16% on average nationally for a 30-year fixed, conforming loan.  As a result, refinance loan demand was up 7% and new home purchase loan application were up 3% for the week.  Finally, GOOG lost another appeal of the $2.8 billion fine the EU imposed in 2017 for antitrust law breaches.  The company can drag it out the requirement to pay even further with one last appeal to the EU’s highest court and this is exactly what GOOG is expected to do.

Overnight, Asian markets were mostly in the red.  Hong Kong (+0.74%), Indonesia (+0.20%), and Taiwan (+0.10%) were the only exceptions.  However, South Korea (-1.09%), Japan (-0.61%), and Shanghai (-0.41%) paced the losses in the rest of the region.  In Europe, markets are mixed, but mostly red at mid-day.  The FTSE (+0.44%), DAX (-0.12%), and CAC (-0.37%) are typical of the region, with the lone outlier of Denmark (-1.54%).  As of 7:30 am, US Futures are pointing to a down open.  The DIA is implying a -0.16% open, the SPY implies a -0.25% open, and the QQQ is implying a -0.47% open ahead of the news.  10-year bond yields are up to 1.474% and Oil (WTI) is down nine-tenths of a percent in early trading.

The major economic news scheduled for release on Wednesday is limited to Oct. CPI and Weekly Initial Jobless Claims (both at 8:30 am), Crude Oil Inventories (10:30 am), and Oct. Federal Budget Balance (2 pm).  (The Jobless Claims come a day early this week due to the Veterans Day government holiday on Thursday.)  Major earnings reports scheduled for the day include ADNT, AER, ARCO, ARKO, GIB, DFH, ENR, KELYA, EYE, PFGC, RPRX, WEN, and WWW before the open.  Then after the close, APP, ATO, BZH, COMP, ENS, ULCC, KGC, OPAD, OPEN, SPTN, and DIS report.

LTA Scanning Software

Inflation is in focus this morning, along with jobless claims. However, after the win streak on the Jobless Claims front the last 6 weeks, few are expecting a jump in claims today. However, the CPI data is expected to come in much hotter than the 4.3% rate consensus forecast. The reaction to this number is likely to call the tune and drive markets at least the first part of the day.

The trend remains bullish, but the last couple of candles have given the bulls come relief from extension. Yes, they were black candles, but this was a good thing for bulls because that over-extension was preventing some new buying. With that said, consolidations and pullbacks can last a lot longer than you expect. So, just as with long-term trend reversals, don’t get caught trying to predict short-term reversals either. The trend is our friend.

Focus on your trade rules and on managing the things you can control. That should include consistently taking profits when you have them and moving your stops in your favor. Watch your current positions before looking to add any new trades. Trade carefully and think twice about holding through earnings.

Ed

Swing Trade Ideas for your consideration and watchlist: HL, CGC, CLX, NEM, TLRY, KR, KRE. You can find Rick’s review of tickers on his YouTube Channel here. Trade your plan, take profits along the way, and smart. Also, remember to check for impending earnings reports. Finally, remember that any tickers we mention and talk about in the trading room are not recommendations to buy or sell.

🎯 Mike Probst: Rick, Got CTL off the scanner today. Already up 30%. Love it.

🎯 Dick Carp: the scanner paid for the year with HES-thank you

🎯 Arnoldo Bolanos: LTA scanner really works $$, thanks Ed.

🎯 Bob S: LTA is incredible…. I use it … would not trade without it

🎯 Malcolm .: Posted in room 2, @Rick… I used the LTA Scanner to go through hundreds of stocks this weekend and picked out three to trade:  PYPL, TGT, and ZS.   Quality patterns and with my trading, up 24%, 7% and 12%…. this program is gold.

🎯 Friday 6/21/19  (10:09 am) Aaron B: Today, my account is at +190% since January. Thanks, RWO HRC Flash Malcolm Thomas Steve Ed Bob S Bob C Mike P and everyone that contributes every day. I love our job.

Hit and Run Candlesticks / Road To Wealth Youtube videos

|607% in just 24 months |

Disclosure: We do not act on all trades we mention, and not all mentions acted on the day of the mention. All trades we mention are for your consideration only.

Free YouTube Education  •  Subscription PlansPrivate 2-Hour Coaching

DISCLAIMER: Investing / Trading involves significant financial risk and is not suitable for everyone. No communication from Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates or representatives is not financial or trading advice. All information provided by Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates and representatives are intended for educational purposes only. You are advised to test any new trading approach before implementing it.  Past performance does not guarantee future results.  Terms of Service

Fed Sees China Real Estate, Crypto Risks

The DIA gapped half a percent higher at the open, while the SPY and QQQ opened flat.  From there, all 3 major indices ground sideways with a slightly bearish trend.  This left us with indecisive Spinning Top or Doji candles in all 3 major indices.  On the day, SPY gained 0.08% (to a new all-time high close), DIA gained 0.27% (to another new all-time high close), but QQQ lost 0.14%.  The VXX was flat at 20.84 and T2122 fell a bit but remains in the overbought territory at 87.83.  10-year bond yields rose to 1.497% and Oil (WTI) closed up 1.21% to $82.26/barrel.

During the day Monday, traders piled into the infrastructure plays, following through on the weekend passage of the infrastructure bill.  Among the big winners on the day were CAT (+4.01%), FCX (+6.40%), VMC (+4.95%), NUE (+3.61%), etc.  However, almost all of these saw pops at the open, with some early follow-through, and then faded the gap on a strong pullback.

In a semi-annual report released Monday, the Fed warned that asset prices continue to rise and are now are a perilous risk of crashing (if the economy were to take a turn, thus causing a change in investor risk sentiment).  The report went on to outline risks to the US such as spill-over from the Chinese real estate market (i.e. Evergrande defaults) and “structural vulnerabilities” caused by the emergence of stablecoins (tied directly to a fiat currency) and other digital currencies that are susceptible to major runs (huge swings).  In a related story, overnight, Bitcoin hit a new all-time high (over $68,300) but has backed off to $67,500 at this point.

TC2000 Discount

After the close, IFF beat on both lines, PYPL and JKHY beat on earnings but missed on revenue, and TRIP missed on both lines.  So far this morning, BTNX, HAIN, IGT, and WRK have posted beats on both lines.  CAH, CANO, CCO, and SATS beat on revenue but missed on earnings.  On the other side, DHI, HUYA, IIVI, PRTY, SEAS, and WNC beat on earnings but missed on revenue.  Only MIDD has missed on both lines among major names.

Overnight, Asian markets were again mixed on mostly modest moves. Japan (-0.75%), Malaysia (-0.74%), and Singapore (-0.63%) paced losses.  However, Taiwan (+0.72%), Indonesia (+0.57%), and Shenzhen (+0.44%) paced the wider-spread, but more modest gains.  In Europe, stocks are leaning toward the green side on light moves at mid-day.  The FTSE (+0.12%), DAX (+0.27%), and CAC (+0.28%) are typical of the continent (with a few outliers in each direction beyond the typical) in early afternoon trading.  As of 7:30 am, US Futures are pointing toward a flat open.  The DIA is implying a -0.06% open, the SPY implies a +0.03% open, and the QQQ implies a +0.17% open at this hour.

The major economic news scheduled for release on Tuesday is limited to Oct. PPI (8:30 am), EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook (noon), 10-year note auction (1 pm), and a pair of Fed speakers (Chair Powell at 9 am and Daly at 11:35 am).  Major earnings reports scheduled for the day include ADT, BNTX, CAH, CCO, DHI, IIVI, IGT, MLCO, MIDD, PRTY, SEAS, SYY, UWMC, and WNC before the open.  Then after the close, ADV, ASH, ELY, COIN, DAR, G, GO, JAZZ, LU, NGL, NIO, SCSC, SGMS, SWX, TTEC, VZIO, VRM, WES, and WYNN report.

LTA Scanning Software

Earnings and October PPI (which should be hot) should call the tune in early trading today. The other news that may change market sentiment is that Bloomberg reports that President Biden has been interviewing other people (notably Fed Member Brainard) for possible nomination as the next Fed Chair. General consensus is that Chair Powell remains the favorite and will be renominated. However, the interviewing of other candidates is not the norm when a sitting Chair is renominated. So, this might cause a small wave of concern in markets.

The trend remains extremely bullish, but the last couple of candles are showing either indecision or rest by the bulls. This can be a good thing for bulls because the over-extension was getting a bit much toward the end of last week. With that said, we have to remember that the market can remain very extended much longer than you can stay solvent while being right about a reversal too early. Long-term trading success has never come from betting on a reversal yet to come. The trend is our friend.

Focus on your trade rules and on managing the things you can control. That should include consistently taking profits when you have them and moving your stops in your favor. Watch your current positions before looking to add any new trades. Trade carefully and think twice about holding through earnings.

Ed

Swing Trade Ideas for your consideration and watchlist: SKLZ, CHWY, CLF, ACB, FCX, MJ, BLNK, ATI. You can find Rick’s review of tickers on his YouTube Channel here. Trade your plan, take profits along the way, and smart. Also, remember to check for impending earnings reports. Finally, remember that any tickers we mention and talk about in the trading room are not recommendations to buy or sell.

🎯 Mike Probst: Rick, Got CTL off the scanner today. Already up 30%. Love it.

🎯 Dick Carp: the scanner paid for the year with HES-thank you

🎯 Arnoldo Bolanos: LTA scanner really works $$, thanks Ed.

🎯 Bob S: LTA is incredible…. I use it … would not trade without it

🎯 Malcolm .: Posted in room 2, @Rick… I used the LTA Scanner to go through hundreds of stocks this weekend and picked out three to trade:  PYPL, TGT, and ZS.   Quality patterns and with my trading, up 24%, 7% and 12%…. this program is gold.

🎯 Friday 6/21/19  (10:09 am) Aaron B: Today, my account is at +190% since January. Thanks, RWO HRC Flash Malcolm Thomas Steve Ed Bob S Bob C Mike P and everyone that contributes every day. I love our job.

Hit and Run Candlesticks / Road To Wealth Youtube videos

|607% in just 24 months |

Disclosure: We do not act on all trades we mention, and not all mentions acted on the day of the mention. All trades we mention are for your consideration only.

Free YouTube Education  •  Subscription PlansPrivate 2-Hour Coaching

DISCLAIMER: Investing / Trading involves significant financial risk and is not suitable for everyone. No communication from Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates or representatives is not financial or trading advice. All information provided by Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates and representatives are intended for educational purposes only. You are advised to test any new trading approach before implementing it.  Past performance does not guarantee future results.  Terms of Service

Infrastructure Bill, Berkshire, and TSLA

Friday was a volatile day as stocks gapped half a percent higher on much stronger than expected October Payrolls and lower than expected Unemployment.  However, after the gap, all 3 major indices just drifted sideways until noon.  Then a sharp selloff took us to the lows of the day by 1:30 pm.  Finally, a modest rally and sideways grind took back near the gap.  This left us with gap-up Doji or Spinning Top type candles in all 3 major indices.  It also meant another all-time high close in all 3 of them.  On the day, SPY gained 0.35%, DIA gained 0.54%, and QQQ gained 0.10%.  (For the week, SPY gained 2.02%, DIA gained 1.42%, and QQQ gained a whopping 3.23%.)  The VXX rose to 20.83 and T2122 jumped back up into the overbought territory at 90.26 at day end.  10-year bond yields fell sharply to 1.455% and Oil (WTI) gained almost 3% to $81.19/barrel.

Over the weekend, the House passed the $1 trillion Infrastructure Bill and sent it to the President for signing.  The bill includes $110 billion for road and bridge repair and replacement as well as $66 billion in freight and passenger railroad maintenance and upgrade.  $65 billion will go to improving the electric grid, another $50 billion to make the grid more resilient.  $55 billion will go for upgrades to water infrastructure (including removing lead pipes).  The bill will also give $65 billion to internet providers (Telcos and Cable companies mainly) for rural broadband.  $47 billion will go toward cybersecurity and climate change threats.  $42 billion will go to airport repair, expansion, and modernization and $39 billion will be used to modernize public transit.  $17 billion goes for seaport improvements, as well as $11 billion for safety, $7.5 billion for electric vehicle charging stations, and $7.5 billion for electric school buses.

BRKA / BRKB also reported that they had an 18% increase in earnings last quarter, citing a strong rebound in railroad, utilities, and energy businesses (reporting $6.47 billion in operating income).  Berkshire also reported a record $149 billion in cash on hand (up over $5 billion from the prior quarter), despite an aggressive stock buyback plan (which repurchased $7.6 billion of BRK stock during the quarter).  Of note to investors, since Buffett is the ultimate value investor, when he is hoarding cash it means he thinks companies and stocks are over-valued. 

TC2000 Discount

In miscellaneous market news, cryptocurrencies are surging this morning.  Ethereum is at an all-time high and Bitcoin is nearing its all-time high again as well as the volatile swings continue in that space.  Elsewhere, TSLA stock is taking a nasty hit this morning after Elon Musk took to TWTR on Saturday.  Musk launched a poll asking whether he should sell 10% of his TSLA stock as a gesture toward avoiding unrealized (and therefore untaxed) gains on his TSLA stock holdings.  58% of the 3.5 million-plus respondents said “yes, he should sell the stock and pay tax on the gains.” (I guess this is a prime example of, “never ask a question to which you don’t already know the answer”.)

Overnight, Asian markets were mixed in modest trading.  India (+0.85%), Indonesia (+0.77%), and Singapore (+0.66%) led to the upside.  Meanwhile, Hong Kong (-0.43%), Japan (-0.35%), and South Korea (-0.31%) paced the losers.  In Europe, stocks are mixed on widely varied trading.  Denmark (+1.50%) and Greece (+0.97%) are both up strong at mid-day.  However, the FTSE (-0.03%), DAX (-0.17%), and CAC (+0.22%) are generally flat in early afternoon trading.  As of 7:30 am, US Futures are pointing toward a flat open.  The DIA is implying a +0.19% open, the SPY implies a +0.06% open, and the QQQ implies a -0.01% open at this hour.  10-year bond yields are back up to 1.479% and Oil (WTI) is up 1.10% in early trading. 

There is no major economic news scheduled for release on Monday.  Major earnings reports scheduled for the day include COTY, GTES, VAC, THS, USFD, and VTRS before the open.  Then after the close, AEL, CBT, IEA, IFF, BEKE, DOOR, MRC, PYPL, PRI, PRIM, RBLX, TME, TPIC, VGR, and ZNGA report.

LTA Scanning Software

With no economic news on the docket and no real earnings of note this morning, it would seem Infrastructure bill winners/losers and follow-through on last week’s strong bullish momentum will call the tune this morning. We remain quite extended to the upside and all 3 major indices can easily be seen as gap-up star candles on Friday. So, watch for signs of an Evening Star.

With that said, we have to remember that the market can remain very extended much longer than you can stay solvent while being right about a reversal too early. Long-term trading success has never come from betting on a reversal yet to come. The trend is our friend.

Focus on your trade rules and on managing the things you can control. That should include consistently taking profits when you have them and moving your stops in your favor. Watch your current positions before looking to add any new trades. Trade carefully and think twice about holding through earnings.

Ed

Swing Trade Ideas for your consideration and watchlist: FCEL, BBIG, LCID, XLE, FSM. You can find Rick’s review of tickers on his YouTube Channel here. Trade your plan, take profits along the way, and smart. Also, remember to check for impending earnings reports. Finally, remember that any tickers we mention and talk about in the trading room are not recommendations to buy or sell.

🎯 Mike Probst: Rick, Got CTL off the scanner today. Already up 30%. Love it.

🎯 Dick Carp: the scanner paid for the year with HES-thank you

🎯 Arnoldo Bolanos: LTA scanner really works $$, thanks Ed.

🎯 Bob S: LTA is incredible…. I use it … would not trade without it

🎯 Malcolm .: Posted in room 2, @Rick… I used the LTA Scanner to go through hundreds of stocks this weekend and picked out three to trade:  PYPL, TGT, and ZS.   Quality patterns and with my trading, up 24%, 7% and 12%…. this program is gold.

🎯 Friday 6/21/19  (10:09 am) Aaron B: Today, my account is at +190% since January. Thanks, RWO HRC Flash Malcolm Thomas Steve Ed Bob S Bob C Mike P and everyone that contributes every day. I love our job.

Hit and Run Candlesticks / Road To Wealth Youtube videos

|607% in just 24 months |

Disclosure: We do not act on all trades we mention, and not all mentions acted on the day of the mention. All trades we mention are for your consideration only.

Free YouTube Education  •  Subscription PlansPrivate 2-Hour Coaching

DISCLAIMER: Investing / Trading involves significant financial risk and is not suitable for everyone. No communication from Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates or representatives is not financial or trading advice. All information provided by Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates and representatives are intended for educational purposes only. You are advised to test any new trading approach before implementing it.  Past performance does not guarantee future results.  Terms of Service

Oct Payrolls and Unemployment in 30 min

The SPY and QQQ gapped a bit higher and the DIA gapped a bit lower at the open.  Then the SPY and QQQ followed through, especially the QQQ, before grinding sideways for most of the day.  A late-day rally took us out near the highs of the day.  This left us with strong white candles in the two broader indices and a Harami Doji in the DIA.  Both the SPY and QQQ closed at yet another new all-time high close.  On the day, SPY gained 0.45%, QQQ gained 1.26%, and DIA lost 0.07%.  The VXX gained 1.5% to 20.13 and T2122 fell just outside of the overbought territory at 76.04.  10-year bond yields fell to 1.523% and Oil (WTI) fell over 2% to $79.10/barrel.

After hours, ILMN, AIG, MCHP, MSI, WELL, OXY, SWKS, EXPE, NLOK, REG, FRT, PINS, EOG, MTD, NWSA, and NWS were among the major companies reporting beats on both lines.  MELI, NKTR, and DUK were among those reporting an earnings beat, but who also missed on revenue.  Meanwhile, MNST missed on earnings, but beat on revenue.  Only PTON missed on both lines.

So far this morning, ENB, FLR, ELAN, HE, AMCX, CNK, SRE, and VTR all reported beats on both lines.  Meanwhile, HMC, JCI, D, and MODV reported beats on earnings but came up short on revenue.  There have been no major reports the beat on revenue but missed on earnings. However, MGA, GCI, and TIXT missed on both earnings and revenue. 

TC2000 Discount

In miscellaneous business news, PFE says it has developed its own Covid treatment pill that when coupled with a drug for treating HIV, cuts the risk of hospitalization or death by 89% among adults exposed to the Covid virus.  This is the second treatment pill for Covid-19, following MRK’s which was announced at the beginning of October, but was only 50% effective (alone) at reducing hospitalization or death in mild-moderate cases of Covid-19.  Elsewhere, PTON is getting crushed in premarket after last night’s bad earnings report (much larger losses than expected).  PTON was down as much as 35% overnight and now sits down 33%.

Overnight, Asian markets were very mixed with a very widespread.  Hong Kong (-1.41%) and Shanghai (-1.00%) paced the losses.  However, on the other side, Taiwan (+1.28%) and New Zealand (+1.01%) led the gainers.  In Europe, markets are mixed, but lean to the green side.  The FTSE (+0.67%), DAX (+0.18%), and CAC (+0.63%) are representative of the spread on the green side while Portugal (-0.90%), Greece (-0.75%), and Russia (-0.22%) are typical of the spread among the losing exchanges at mid-day.  As of 7:30 am, US Futures are pointing toward a modest gap-up at this hour.  The DIA is implying a +0.09% open, the SPY implies a +0.22% open, and the QQQ implies a +0.30% open at this point. 10-year bond yields and Oil (WTI) are both up a bit in early trading.  

The major economic news scheduled for release on Friday includes Oct. Avg. Hourly Earnings, Oct. Nonfarm Payrolls, Oct. Participation Rate, and Oct. Unemployment Rate (all at 8:30 am).  Major earnings reports scheduled for the day include AMCX, AXL, BEP, CLMT, DSEY, D, SSP, ELAN, FLR, GLP, GT, HE, HMC, JCI, MGA, MODV, PNW, REV, SRE, TIXT, TEN, VTR, and VST before the open.  Then after the close, there are no major reports.

LTA Scanning Software

More earnings overnight and this morning will color the mood of the markets today. However, at this point, traders are mostly waiting on the data dump at 8:30 am. That October Payrolls and Unemployment data are likely to impact the tone of the market this morning. As has been the case for a while, the bulls have all of the momentum, but we are also quite extended in the QQQ especially, but also the SPY. So, it is about time for some relief in the form of consolidation or pullback.

With that said, we have to remember that the market can remain very extended much longer than you can stay solvent while being right about a reversal too early. Long-term trading success has never come from betting on a reversal yet to come. The trend is our friend.

Focus on your trade rules and on managing the things you can control. That should include consistently taking profits when you have them and moving your stops in your favor. Watch your current positions before looking to add any new trades. Trade carefully and think twice about holding through earnings.

Ed

Swing Trade Ideas for your consideration and watchlist: No trade ideas for Friday. You can find Rick’s review of tickers on his YouTube Channel here. Trade your plan, take profits along the way, and smart. Also, remember to check for impending earnings reports. Finally, remember that any tickers we mention and talk about in the trading room are not recommendations to buy or sell.

🎯 Mike Probst: Rick, Got CTL off the scanner today. Already up 30%. Love it.

🎯 Dick Carp: the scanner paid for the year with HES-thank you

🎯 Arnoldo Bolanos: LTA scanner really works $$, thanks Ed.

🎯 Bob S: LTA is incredible…. I use it … would not trade without it

🎯 Malcolm .: Posted in room 2, @Rick… I used the LTA Scanner to go through hundreds of stocks this weekend and picked out three to trade:  PYPL, TGT, and ZS.   Quality patterns and with my trading, up 24%, 7% and 12%…. this program is gold.

🎯 Friday 6/21/19  (10:09 am) Aaron B: Today, my account is at +190% since January. Thanks, RWO HRC Flash Malcolm Thomas Steve Ed Bob S Bob C Mike P and everyone that contributes every day. I love our job.

Hit and Run Candlesticks / Road To Wealth Youtube videos

|607% in just 24 months |

Disclosure: We do not act on all trades we mention, and not all mentions acted on the day of the mention. All trades we mention are for your consideration only.

Free YouTube Education  •  Subscription PlansPrivate 2-Hour Coaching

DISCLAIMER: Investing / Trading involves significant financial risk and is not suitable for everyone. No communication from Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates or representatives is not financial or trading advice. All information provided by Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates and representatives are intended for educational purposes only. You are advised to test any new trading approach before implementing it.  Past performance does not guarantee future results.  Terms of Service

Earnings Strong, More Econ Data Today

Markets opened dead flat on Wednesday and stayed that way until the 2pm Fed Announcement.  However, markets loved that there were no surprises and rallied hard from 2 pm right into the close.  This left us with strong white candles in all 3 major indices, with all 3 closing at yet another new all-time high close (the 4th in a row for DIA, 5th in a row for SPY and 6th in a row for QQQ).  The VXX was down 3.5% to 19.82 and T2122 spiked back up into the overbought territory to 92.65.  10-year bond yields rose to 1.602% and Oil (WTI) fell almost 5% to $79.97/barrel.

As expected, the Fed said Wednesday afternoon that they will begin tapering the purchase of bonds later this month.  Fed Chair Powell said the taper will see a reduction of $10 billion in Treasuries and $5 billion in mortgage-backed bonds to be bought.  There was only a small change in the FOMC’s view of inflation.  They still feel inflation is transitory, but now expect those pressures to last well into next year  (when they had originally forecast they would end at the beginning of the year).

After the close, QCOM, BKNG, MET, ANSS, ALB, FOX, FOXA, MGM, FLT, QRVO, MRO, MAC, and MATX all beat on both lines.  Meanwhile, PXD, DXC, CTRA, and LUMN beat on the earnings line but missed on revenue.  EA, TTWO, LNC, and HST beat on the revenue line but missed on earnings.  No companies reported misses on both lines last night. 

TC2000 Discount

So far today, ZTS, CI, BDX, REGN, APD, SO, ABC, AES, CNP, IRM, NRG, APTV, and XRAY have all reported beats on both lines.  DUK, FIS, ZBH, PWR, CTXS, and HII reported beats on earnings but missed on revenue.  On the other side, BLL, VIAC, and DISH beat on revenue but missed on earnings.  Only MRNA reported misses on both lines, after reporting lower than expected Covid vaccine sales and reducing the forecast for that product in future quarters.

Overnight, Asian markets were mostly green.  Shenzhen (+1.30%), Japan (+0.93%), and Thailand (+0.89%) led the gainers, but the green was widespread.  Among the 4 showing red, Taiwan (-0.25%) was the most notable.  In Europe, markets are green across the board with the lone exception of Russia (-0.54%).  The FTSE (+0.05%) is atypical as it lags, but the DAX (+0.52%) and CAC (+0.39%) are representative of the continent at mid-day.  As of 7:30 am, US Futures are pointing toward a mixed open.  The DIA is implying a flat -0.01% open, the SPY implies a +0.14% open, and the QQQ implies a +0.35% open.  10-year bond yields are down in early trading, but Oil (WTI) is rebounding hard (almost 2%) early to $82.44/barrel.  

The major economic news scheduled for release on Thursday includes Sept Trade Balance, Imports/Exports, Weekly Initial Jobless Claims, Q3 Nonfarm Productivity, and Q3 Unit Labor Costs (all at 8:30 am).  Major earnings reports scheduled for the day include AHCO, WMS, AES, APD, AEE, ABC, APTV, ARW, BLL, GOLD, BCE, BDX, BLDR, CNP, CQP, LNG, CI, CTXS, CNHI, CFX, COMM, CS, XRAY, DISH, DUK, DNB, ERJ, EPAM, FIS, GEO, GIL, GTN, GPRE, HBI, HWM, HII, NSIT, IBP, IRM, ICL, ITRI, K, KTB, MRNA, MUR, NOMD, NRG, OGE, OPCH, PAE, PZZA, PH, PENN, PPL, PRMW, PWR, QRTEA, REGN, REYN, SO, SRLP, TRGP, TGNA, VIAC, VSTO, VNT, VMC, W, WCC, ZBH, and ZTS before the open.  Then after the close, AMRK, ABNB, LNT, ATUS, AIG, COLD, AMN, BGS, BHF, BKD, CVNA, CC, CNDT, ED, CVET, BAP, CWK, DK, DBX, ENDP, EOG, EXPE, FSLR, FND, FTNT, IAC, IHRT, ILMN, LYV, MTZ, MELI, MTD, MCHP, MNST, MSI, NWSA, OXY, ZEUS, OTEX, CNXN, PDCE, PTON, PFSI, PINS, RDFN, RGA, REZI, RKT, SEM, SWLS, SFM, SQ, TDS, UBER, USM, and WELL report.

LTA Scanning Software

Once again we got a flood of earnings. And yet again the large majority of them were very positive. Add to that the fact that the market loved the certainty and specifics offered by the Fed yesterday afternoon, and you have a strong bullish setup. However, we also need to remember that we are extended and coming off of many days straight of new all-time highs. So, it is about time for some extension relief in the form of consolidation or pullback.

With that said, bear in mind that the market can remain very extended longer than you can stay solvent being right early. Also, remember that long-term trading success has never come from betting on a reversal to come. The trend is our friend.

Focus on your trade rules and on managing the things you can control. That should include consistently taking profits when you have them and moving your stops in your favor. Watch your current positions before looking to add any new trades. Trade carefully and think twice about holding through earnings.

Ed

Swing Trade Ideas for your consideration and watchlist: BILI, AG, APA, XLE, CVX, ADBE, CHWY, TDOC, DKS, DG You can find Rick’s review of tickers on his YouTube Channel here. Trade your plan, take profits along the way, and smart. Also, remember to check for impending earnings reports. Finally, remember that any tickers we mention and talk about in the trading room are not recommendations to buy or sell.

🎯 Mike Probst: Rick, Got CTL off the scanner today. Already up 30%. Love it.

🎯 Dick Carp: the scanner paid for the year with HES-thank you

🎯 Arnoldo Bolanos: LTA scanner really works $$, thanks Ed.

🎯 Bob S: LTA is incredible…. I use it … would not trade without it

🎯 Malcolm .: Posted in room 2, @Rick… I used the LTA Scanner to go through hundreds of stocks this weekend and picked out three to trade:  PYPL, TGT, and ZS.   Quality patterns and with my trading, up 24%, 7% and 12%…. this program is gold.

🎯 Friday 6/21/19  (10:09 am) Aaron B: Today, my account is at +190% since January. Thanks, RWO HRC Flash Malcolm Thomas Steve Ed Bob S Bob C Mike P and everyone that contributes every day. I love our job.

Hit and Run Candlesticks / Road To Wealth Youtube videos

|607% in just 24 months |

Disclosure: We do not act on all trades we mention, and not all mentions acted on the day of the mention. All trades we mention are for your consideration only.

Free YouTube Education  •  Subscription PlansPrivate 2-Hour Coaching

DISCLAIMER: Investing / Trading involves significant financial risk and is not suitable for everyone. No communication from Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates or representatives is not financial or trading advice. All information provided by Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates and representatives are intended for educational purposes only. You are advised to test any new trading approach before implementing it.  Past performance does not guarantee future results.  Terms of Service

PreMarket Flat in Front of Big News Day

Markets opened basically flat on Tuesday and then very slowly crept higher over the course of the day.  This left us with white candles that closed near the highs of their candles, with all 3 major indices closing at new all-time high closes again.  On the day, SPY gained 0.39%, DIA gained 0.40%, and QQQ gained 0.42%.  The VXX fell to 20.54 and T2122 fell just outside the overbought territory at 78.72.  10-year bond yields fell to 1.545% and Oil (WTI) fell two-thirds of a percent to $83.51/barrel.

After hours, AKAM, AMGN, MDLZ, ATVI, VRTX, PRU, VRSK, OKE, DVN, PKI, and AMCR all beat on both lines.  TMUS beat significantly on earnings but missed on revenue.  On the opposite side, EIX missed on revenue but beat significantly on revenue.  However, WU missed on both lines. 

In other after-hours news, BBY spiked hard as they announced they are launching a digital marketplace to sell third-party products.  They also announced a collaboration between BBY and KR.  Finally, they said their stock buyback program was ahead of schedule.  Elsewhere, the CDC gave final approval for immediate distribution of the PFE vaccine for children ages 5–11.  MDLZ also announced they will raise the prices of their main product lines (Oreo, Ritz Crackers, and Sour Patch candy) by 7% in 2022 after saying they are expecting costs to rise 6%.

TC2000 Discount

So far this morning, MAR, ETR, EVRG, NI, CPRI, HFC, CVS, EXC, BR, and BWA have all reported beats on both lines.  HUM, EMR, CTRA, and CDW beat on earnings but missed on revenue.  DISCA, DISCK, and NCLH beat on revenue but missed on earnings.  There were no reported misses on both lines.

Overnight, Asian markets were mostly red in modest trading.  Australia (+0.93%) and Taiwan (+0.33%) were the only bullish exceptions.  South Korea (-1.25%) was also an outlier to the downside.  However, Japan (-0.43%), Shanghai (-0.20%), and Shenzhen (-0.07%) were typical of the spread in the region.  In Europe, markets are mixed as of mid-day, also on mostly modest trading.  Portugal (-1.96%) is a huge outlier, but the FTSE (-0.27%), DAX (-0.03%), and CAC (+0.08%) are more typical of the continent.  As of 7:30 am, US Futures are pointing toward a flat open in the US as well as we wait on the Fed announcements.  The DIA implies a -0.13% open, the SPY is implying a -0.10% open, and the QQQ implies a +0.06% open at this hour.  

The major economic news scheduled to release on Wednesday includes Oct. ADP Nonfarm Payrolls (8:15 am), Sept. Trade Balance (8:30 am), Oct. Services PMI (9:45 am), Sept. Factory Orders and Oct. ISM Non-Mfg. PMI (both at 10 am), Crude Oil Inventories (10:30 am), FOMC Interest Rate Decision and Statement (2 pm), and the Fed Chair Press Conf. (at 3:30 pm, a non-normal time).  Major earnings reports scheduled for the day include AMRX, ATH, AAWW, BDC, BGCP, BWA, EAT, BR, BIP, CWH, CPRI, CDW, FUN, CRL, CLH, SID, CTRA, CVS, DISCA, EMR, ETR, EVRG, EXC, EXPI, HFC, HZNP, HUM, JLL, MKL, MAR, NYT, NI, ODP, OMI, PSN, PBI, PLTK, PRG, RRD, SMG, SBGI, SITE, SPR, SHOO, SUN, SYNH, TT, TUP, VNTR, VRTV, and VSH before the open.  Then after the close, ALB, ALL, UHAL, APA, ACA, EQH, BKNG, CENX, CF, CHNG, CAKE, CLR, CTVA, CW, DXC, EA, ET, NVST, EQIX, ETSY, FLT, FOXA, GFL, GDDY, H, ICLR, IR, ITT, KL, LHCG, LBTYA, LNC, LUMN, MATX, MET, MGM, NUS, PTVE, PARR, PXD, QRVO, REGI, ROKU, RYI, SWN, SUM, TTWO, TRMB, TPC, VVV, XP, and YELL report.

LTA Scanning Software

Earnings continue to be very strong for the most part. However, it seems markets around the world are waiting on today’s big dump of data and in particular the Fed announcements. The Fed moves have been widely telegraphed for quite some time, but Mr. Market seems to want to hear the words to remove all doubt. In the meantime, the bulls have been running wild, with the major indices at all-time highs after a very strong 3-week streak. So, the trend is strongly bullish, the Fed news is believed to already be known (bond-buying taper starting and inflation is going to last longer than the FOMC originally thought). That puts the risk on the downside (unexpected bad news could hurt twice as bad). Be prepared.

Keep in mind that while we are extended, the market can remain very extended longer than you can stay solvent being right early. Long-term trading success has never come from betting on reversals. Remember, the trend is our friend. Focus on your trade rules and on managing the things you can control. And that should include consistently taking profits when you have them and moving your stops. Watch your current positions before looking to add new trades. Trade carefully and think twice about holding through earnings.

Ed

Swing Trade Ideas for your consideration and watchlist: BGFV, BIG, BTBT, CHWY, BX, X, MU, ORCL, LVS. You can find Rick’s review of tickers on his YouTube Channel here. Trade your plan, take profits along the way, and smart. Also, remember to check for impending earnings reports. Finally, remember that any tickers we mention and talk about in the trading room are not recommendations to buy or sell.

🎯 Mike Probst: Rick, Got CTL off the scanner today. Already up 30%. Love it.

🎯 Dick Carp: the scanner paid for the year with HES-thank you

🎯 Arnoldo Bolanos: LTA scanner really works $$, thanks Ed.

🎯 Bob S: LTA is incredible…. I use it … would not trade without it

🎯 Malcolm .: Posted in room 2, @Rick… I used the LTA Scanner to go through hundreds of stocks this weekend and picked out three to trade:  PYPL, TGT, and ZS.   Quality patterns and with my trading, up 24%, 7% and 12%…. this program is gold.

🎯 Friday 6/21/19  (10:09 am) Aaron B: Today, my account is at +190% since January. Thanks, RWO HRC Flash Malcolm Thomas Steve Ed Bob S Bob C Mike P and everyone that contributes every day. I love our job.

Hit and Run Candlesticks / Road To Wealth Youtube videos

|607% in just 24 months |

Disclosure: We do not act on all trades we mention, and not all mentions acted on the day of the mention. All trades we mention are for your consideration only.

Free YouTube Education  •  Subscription PlansPrivate 2-Hour Coaching

DISCLAIMER: Investing / Trading involves significant financial risk and is not suitable for everyone. No communication from Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates or representatives is not financial or trading advice. All information provided by Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates and representatives are intended for educational purposes only. You are advised to test any new trading approach before implementing it.  Past performance does not guarantee future results.  Terms of Service

Earnings Strong As We Wait For The Fed

Stocks opened up slightly higher Monday and then drifted sideways in waves all day that closed on an up-wave.  This left us with gap-up Hanging Men-type candles in the SPY and QQQ as well as a Doji in the DIA.  On the day, SPY gained 0.17%, DIA gained 0.25%, and QQQ gained 0.33%.  This left all 3 major indices at all-time high closes again.  The VXX fell 1.5% and T2122 jumped up deep into the overbought territory at 94.431.  10-year bond yields were flat at 1.559% and Oil (WTI) gained half of a percent to $83.95/barrel.

Related to Federal spending, the Treasury Department announced late Monday that it is increasing the expected amount of borrowing to $1.02 trillion during Q4, which is up about $314 billion from the August estimate of $703 billion.  In a related story, the Federal Budget, Debt Ceiling Increase, and Infrastructure bills are back in doubt as WV Senator Manchin announced he “may not” support the $1.75 trillion budget plan because he wants “greater clarity” on the impact on the national debt.  Sources told Bloomberg his main concerns are climate-related initiatives and to a lesser degree social spending initiatives as might be expected.  On the opposite side, Progressive Democrats won’t support the bills at lower costs or fewer social and climate initiatives.  This may be as expected since there is still a month left until the deadline created by budget and debt limit extensions. 

After hours, PSA, WMB, MCK, ANET, CLX, FANG, and HOLX all beat on both lines.  Meanwhile, NXPI, SBAC, O, VNO, and LEG beat on revenue but missed on earnings.  On the other side of the coin, MOS missed on both lines and reported that they expect the massive input price surge they have been seeing to continue in Q4.

TC2000 Discount

In earnings this morning, BP, MPC, PFE, DD, ETN, COP, EL, LDOS, HSIC, MPLX, GPN, WLK, KKR, WEC, ROK, TRI, UAA, SEE, XYL, ZBRA, AMEIT, CTLT, LCII, LPX, IDXX, WAT, and TMX all beat on both lines.  LEA, MLM, NXST, GNRC, BLD, SRCL, and HSC missed on earnings but came in at least in line on revenue.  Only ARNC has missed on both lines so far

Overnight, Asian markets were mixed, but leaned to the red side as Chinese fears over the real estate market flare again and Beijing has halted flights again to combat Covid-19.  South Korea (+1.16%) was the leader to the upside.  Meanwhile, Shanghai (-1.10%), Indonesia (-0.91%), and Shenzhen (-0.69%) paced the losses.  In Europe, markets are also mixed at mid-day.  The FTSE (-0.42%), DAX (+0.52%), and CAC (+0.32%) are typical of the spread across the continent as talk of climate initiatives lead all news in Europe the last couple of days.  As of 7:30 am, US Futures are pointing toward a flat open.  The DIA is implying a +0.02% open, the SPY implies a -0.02% open, and the QQQ is implying a -0.18% open at this hour.  10-year bond yields are down slightly and Oil (WTI) is off by half of a percent in early trading.  

There is no major economic news scheduled for release on Tuesday.  Major earnings reports scheduled for the day include PFE, CRSR, RACE, UAA, CTLT, BP, EL, COP, GPN, GNRC, LPX, RL, ARCB, EPD, ROK, MPC, ZBRA, CMI, BHC, BLMN, MPLX, DD, LGIH, IDXX, KKR, LEA, AME, IT, MLM, ETN, LDOS, SEE, ARNC, INCY, WLK, HSIC, LCII, APO, PEG, BLD, MMP, WAT, NXST, WEC, HSC, XYL, CIGI, TRI, INGR, SRCL, and TMX before the open.  Then after the close, ATVI, AKAM, AMCR, DOX, AMED, AFG, AWK, AMGN, ANDE, ARGO, AIZ, BTG, BFAM, CZR, CHK, DCP, DVN, EIX, ENLC, FMC, FNF, FRG, HLF, KAR, LYFT, MANT, MTCH, MCY, MOD, MDLZ, OKE, OVV, PKI, PAA, PRU, SKY, SEDG, STE, SGRY, TMUS, TX, UNM, VRSK, VRTX, VOYA, WU, XPO, ZG, and Z report.

LTA Scanning Software

Markets seem to be taking a wait-and-see attitude this morning with the FOMC meeting beginning. Even though the outcome is widely expected and has been signaled by the Fed for some time (bond-buying taper begins), traders appear to want to see another card before they place more bets. Despite the fear of a slowing economic recovery and inflation, earnings continue to be mostly strong among the larger companies. Stay nimble, and don’t be surprised if we see a blase day while we wait on the Fed and Congress and COP26 speeches.

The trend remains bullish, with all 3 major indices sitting at all-time highs. Keep in mind that while we are extended, long-term trading success has never come from betting on reversals. So, remember, the trend is our friend. Focus on your trade rules and on managing the things you can control. And that should include consistently taking profits when you have them and moving your stops. Watch your current positions before looking to add new trades. Trade carefully and think twice about holding through earnings.

Ed

Swing Trade Ideas for your consideration and watchlist: STX, CAN, BTBT, CAT, AMD, CSCO, LVS, CHWY, BB, ARKK, NIO, WFC, HPQ. You can find Rick’s review of tickers on his YouTube Channel here. Trade your plan, take profits along the way, and smart. Also, remember to check for impending earnings reports. Finally, remember that any tickers we mention and talk about in the trading room are not recommendations to buy or sell.

🎯 Mike Probst: Rick, Got CTL off the scanner today. Already up 30%. Love it.

🎯 Dick Carp: the scanner paid for the year with HES-thank you

🎯 Arnoldo Bolanos: LTA scanner really works $$, thanks Ed.

🎯 Bob S: LTA is incredible…. I use it … would not trade without it

🎯 Malcolm .: Posted in room 2, @Rick… I used the LTA Scanner to go through hundreds of stocks this weekend and picked out three to trade:  PYPL, TGT, and ZS.   Quality patterns and with my trading, up 24%, 7% and 12%…. this program is gold.

🎯 Friday 6/21/19  (10:09 am) Aaron B: Today, my account is at +190% since January. Thanks, RWO HRC Flash Malcolm Thomas Steve Ed Bob S Bob C Mike P and everyone that contributes every day. I love our job.

Hit and Run Candlesticks / Road To Wealth Youtube videos

|607% in just 24 months |

Disclosure: We do not act on all trades we mention, and not all mentions acted on the day of the mention. All trades we mention are for your consideration only.

Free YouTube Education  •  Subscription PlansPrivate 2-Hour Coaching

DISCLAIMER: Investing / Trading involves significant financial risk and is not suitable for everyone. No communication from Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates or representatives is not financial or trading advice. All information provided by Hit and Run Candlesticks Inc, its affiliates and representatives are intended for educational purposes only. You are advised to test any new trading approach before implementing it.  Past performance does not guarantee future results.  Terms of Service

Earnings Optimism to Start Week

Markets gapped down at the open Friday after AMZN’s terrible report the night before.  However, the bulls stepped in and gave us a gradual and wavy rally most of the day.  Then a strong surge the last 30 minutes took us out near the highs. This meant that all 3 major indices managed to squeak out a new all-time high close on strong white candles.  On the day, SPY gained 0.20%, QQQ gained 0.49%, and DIA gained 0.28%.  The VXX rose slightly to 21.44 and T2122 fell slightly to 68.05.  10-year bond yields also fell slightly to 1.557% and Oil (WTI) rose half a percent to $83.30/barrel.

AAL had to cancel 1,500 flights over the Halloween weekend, citing weather (high winds in Dallas), but also Pilot and Flight Attendant shortages.  As of Sunday, about 1% of AAL’s Monday flights had been canceled.  In other labor-related news, on Sunday Bloomberg reported that a tentative deal has been reached between DE and their striking labor union.  The agreement calls for a 10% across-the-board wage increase. 

Also over the weekend, the G20 approved the 15% minimum corporate tax agreement.  The President also tried to get an agreement on the group working together to solve global supply chain issues.  (It’s uncertain what they could do to solve those issues, but they did discuss the topic.) The same G20 group failed to reach an agreement on how to fight global warming ahead of the upcoming “COP26” climate summit this week. This is critical since 80% of global emissions are produced by G20 countries.  In addition, several more leaders have decided to skip the COP26 meeting. So, no matter where anyone stands on the topic, without a united G20 font, it seems unlikely businesses will face major new carbon costs or forced technology changes coming out of this climate meeting.

TC2000 Discount

As the week starts, markets are looking ahead to both a ton of earnings (175 of the SPY report) and other major data. On Wednesday, the FOMC is expected to announce the beginning of its bond-buying taper (with the betting now forecasting the first rate hike in July 2022).  Toward the end of the week, we will get Jobless Claims, Q3 Productivity, and then October Payrolls on Friday.  So, earnings optimism may continue to energize the bulls, but waiting on more direction may also be the move for many traders.

Overnight, Asian markets were mixed on widely varying trading.  Japan (+2.61%) was a huge outlier to the upside and Malaysia (-2.01%) a huge outlier to the downside.  Hong Kong (-0.88%) was down and Taiwan (+0.48%) as mainland China was flat in front of Chinese productivity numbers coming later.  In Europe, markets are green across the board at mid-day on earnings optimism.  The FTSE (+0.51%), DAX (+0.84%), and CAC (+0.88%) are typical of the continent, with some smaller exchanges moving up over 1% in early afternoon trading.  As of 7:30 am, US Futures are pointing toward a gap higher as confidence about earnings grows.  The DIA is implying a +0.48% open, the SPY implies a +0.45% open, and the QQQ is implying a +0.42% open at this hour.  10-year bond yields are up briskly to 1.582% and Oil (WTI) is up half of a percent in early trading.   

The major economic news scheduled for release on Monday is limited to Mfg. PMI (9:45 am) and ISM Mfg. PMI (11 am).  Major earnings reports scheduled for the day include AMG, CNA, ENBL, BEN, JELD, LDI, L, ON, PCG, and TKR before the open.  Then after the close, ANET, CAR, BRKR, BWXT, CLX, CVI, FANG, FN, HOLX, NSP, KMT, LEG, MOS, NTR, NXPI, PSA, RRX, SBAC, SPG, RIG, TA, UNVR, and WMB report.

LTA Scanning Software

Earnings optimism continues in premarket this morning, as to date more than 80% of reports have been beats. However, there is plenty of news that could move markets ahead this week. Stay nimble, and don’t forget that you don’t have to chase at the open. The market will present a good opportunity later…you’re not missing anything that can’t be made up. So, manage your risk.

The trend remains bullish, with all 3 major indices sitting at all-time highs. Keep in mind that long-term trading success has never come from betting on a reversal. So, remember, the trend is our friend. Focus on your trade rules and on managing the things you can control. And that should include consistently taking profits when you have them and moving your stops. Watch your current positions before looking to add new trades. Trade carefully and think twice about holding through earnings.

Ed

Swing Trade Ideas for your consideration and watchlist: FCEL, M, QS, BTBT, BB, BMY, NKE, TDOC, XLV, CHWY. You can find Rick’s review of tickers on his YouTube Channel here. Trade your plan, take profits along the way, and smart. Also, remember to check for impending earnings reports. Finally, remember that any tickers we mention and talk about in the trading room are not recommendations to buy or sell.

🎯 Mike Probst: Rick, Got CTL off the scanner today. Already up 30%. Love it.

🎯 Dick Carp: the scanner paid for the year with HES-thank you

🎯 Arnoldo Bolanos: LTA scanner really works $$, thanks Ed.

🎯 Bob S: LTA is incredible…. I use it … would not trade without it

🎯 Malcolm .: Posted in room 2, @Rick… I used the LTA Scanner to go through hundreds of stocks this weekend and picked out three to trade:  PYPL, TGT, and ZS.   Quality patterns and with my trading, up 24%, 7% and 12%…. this program is gold.

🎯 Friday 6/21/19  (10:09 am) Aaron B: Today, my account is at +190% since January. Thanks, RWO HRC Flash Malcolm Thomas Steve Ed Bob S Bob C Mike P and everyone that contributes every day. I love our job.

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Disclosure: We do not act on all trades we mention, and not all mentions acted on the day of the mention. All trades we mention are for your consideration only.

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